A weak short wave aloft lifting out of New Mexico was responsible for generating widespread severe thunderstorm activity from southeastern Colorado southward into east-central New Mexico. This lift was able to act upon ample instability in place contributing to the intense nature of the thunderstorms.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.
A weak short wave aloft lifting out of New Mexico was responsible for generating widespread severe thunderstorm activity from southeastern Colorado southward into east-central New Mexico. This lift was able to act upon ample instability in place contributing to the intense nature of the thunderstorms. Isolated thunderstorms on the southern end of this lift moved into the extreme southwestern Texas Panhandle with one storm becoming severe in Parmer County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 13, 2:16 PM CST, 2 hours 56 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 316 PM CDT MON JUN 13 2016 .SHORT TERM... Challenging forecast ahead for tonight thanks to the outflow boundary from last night's MCS that has stalled out across the South Plains and southern Rolling Plains. 19Z surface analysis and KLBB radar data who the outflow boundary roughly along a Muleshoe, Abernathy, Lubbock, Tulia, to Aspermont line and it hasn't moved much over the past hour. Surface wind is starting to veer, now indicating that the outflow boundary will likely not move much more to the west with time. East of the boundary, the Rolling Plains is underneath a very stable airmass with no CU being detected on visible satellite. CU are starting to develop along and east of the outflow boundary to the edge of the Caprock, while the western South Plains has what appears to be a field of mid-level ACCAS or high- based CU pushing in from New Mexico. There was also a weak ACCAS field over Lubbock around noon indicating at least some mid-level instability was present. Whether or not that instability will stay around or if the mid-level warming in the forecast soundings will be a key part of the forecast for storm initiation and maintenance later tonight. Models are pretty much all over the place with coverage, intensity, and timing of any possible storms so confidence in how things will unfold is pretty low. Past experience leads me to believe that we will see storms go up along or near the outflow boundary and storms will try to organize along or near the boundary thanks to decent 0- 6km shear values expected to be between 30-40 knots. Deep mixing has resulted in inverted-V type soundings so the primary severe weather threat will be damaging winds, although a few storms early this evening may also contain hail up to golf ball size as CAPE values range between 1500-3000 J/kg. SPC mesoanalysis does show an axis of 3000-3500 J/kg MLCAPE values across the central forecast area with little to no CIN in place. Satellite and looking around outside seems to indicate that there is at least some CIN in place due to a lack of cloud development. If storms develop and after the initial hour or two, storm mode will likely be influenced by outflow boundary interaction and storms could briefly stall out resulting in locally heavy rainfall as well. Precipitable water values are between 1.25 inches so there is enough moisture present to support brief heavy downpours as well. Forecast PoPs could have been bumped up into the 30-40 percent range for the central part of the forecast area but confidence and uncertainty on how things will unfold limited pops to around 20-24 percent. Did go ahead and include mention of severe for the 00-06Z time frame but dropped that off afterwards as the boundary layer should have started to stabilize by then. Forecast for Tuesday still looks to be warmer than the past couple of days as the dryline/surface trough mixes east resulting in southwest to westerly winds at the surface. Good downslope component should help to push temps towards the century mark for the region with some spots in the Rolling Plains reaching 102-103 degrees F. Only thing that may limit how warm we get will be areas that receive rainfall and evaporative cooling for any water left on the surface. No way to really forecast these microscale impacts and have left the forecast highs fairly close to what the blends have for the area. Only other saving grace may be any high clouds that are pulled over the area in southwest to westerly flow aloft, however that will likely occur too late in the day to provide any shade from the sun and keep temps from climbing as high as forecast. Jordan .LONG TERM... We are one week away from the summer solstice, so it's no surprise temperatures are warming up. Unfortunately, it seems our last week of spring will be hotter than the average maximum temperatures we see in July. The culprit? That pesky 500 MB dome of high pressure that tends to develop this time of year, and it will be exceptionally strong, especially towards the weekend when we see it strengthen to 600 dam and expand across all of the desert SW and into West Texas. The outer reaches of this dome will even affect the Great Lakes by late Sunday. So, temperatures will be hot, triple digit heat hot, and with this comes the other other dreaded word...dry. We may have a small reprieve late Wednesday as a theta-e axis sets up across eastern NM allowing just enough instability to break out isolated convection. Models have not resolved weakly forced convection as of late, so confidence is not terribly high for Wednesdays precipitation. Nonetheless, left slight chance POPs in for now. The GFS has an interesting low retrograde across the southeastern CONUS early next week, but the dome is so well established by then that the low bounces right back. Other solutions have the high so strong, this low doesn't even have a chance to retrograde. No relief from the heat in the extended is seen for now. && .LUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && 14/74
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 1134 AM CDT MON JUN 13 2016 TXZ021>044-141645- PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE- FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING- YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 1134 AM CDT MON JUN 13 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...ROLLING PLAINS AND THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT WAS STRETCHED ACROSS THE NORTHERN SOUTH PLAINS AND NORTHERN ROLLING PLAINS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE MAIN THREATS DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 70 MPH AND UP TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WIDESRPEAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. JORDAN
The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 67 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:11 UTC.
1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
The Sheriff's office in Parmer County reported hail up to golf ball size in Bovina. No damage was reported.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 630239.