Hot temperatures and very little rain in July led to ideal wildfire conditions in August. A large wildfire developed in northeast Concho County as dried fuels were in abundance from the spring rains.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SJT wrote it up.
Hot temperatures and very little rain in July led to ideal wildfire conditions in August. A large wildfire developed in northeast Concho County as dried fuels were in abundance from the spring rains.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Angelo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 9, 11:10 AM CST, 1 hour 22 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX 1210 PM CDT TUE AUG 9 2016 .UPDATE... To adjust PoPs... && .DISCUSSION... Showers and thunderstorms across the Big Country have started to dissipate early this afternoon. An outflow boundary is currently across the Concho Valley, with some towering cumulus evident on satellite. Additional isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon across mainly the northern half of the forecast area. Slight chance PoPs were extended south into the Concho Valley and Heartland. Otherwise, no other changes are needed at this time. && .AVIATION... /18Z TAFS/ Scattered showers and thunderstorms across the Big Country are steadily dissipating late this morning. Additional isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon, mainly affecting KSJT and KABI. Otherwise, mainly VFR conditions are expected with southeast winds of 5 to 10 knots. Patchy stratus will be possible across the Interstate 10 corridor Wednesday morning, but coverage should remain limited enough to not include MVFR ceilings at this time. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 619 AM CDT TUE AUG 9 2016/ AVIATION... /12Z TAFS/ Expect mainly VFR conditions at the terminals for the next 24 hours. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will develop across the Big Country mainly this afternoon and evening. Going with a VCTS at the KABI terminal between 21Z and 24Z. PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 354 AM CDT TUE AUG 9 2016/ SHORT TERM... (Today and Tonight) There is a slight chance for showers and thunderstorms today and this evening, across mainly the Big Country. Showers and a few thunderstorms are continuing west and northwest of our Big Country counties this morning. Outflow boundaries from this activity may initiate mainly showers this morning, across the northwestern Big Country and then showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and evening, across all of the Big Country. Otherwise, expect afternoon highs today and lows tonight close to persistence. LONG TERM... (Wednesday through Monday) The long term forecast remains dry for this week, with promising rain chances continuing for this weekend. The GFS and ECMWF continue to weaken the upper ridge over the Central Plains and shift it toward the east, as an upper trough develops over the western CONUS. The ECMWF continues to be more aggressive regarding QPF generation, and consensus is to continue with a solution closer to the ECMWF. Models also continue to push a weak cold front into our counties late Friday night into Saturday. This boundary will also enhance rain chances, given at least some upper support from minor disturbances in the flow from the southwest aloft. Otherwise, look for warmer than seasonal normal temperatures to continue for much of this week and then a cooling trend as we move into next weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 77 101 76 101 / 20 10 5 5 San Angelo 77 101 77 100 / 5 10 5 5 Junction 74 99 75 99 / 5 5 5 5 && .SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && Daniels
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX 421 AM CDT TUE AUG 9 2016 TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139- 140-154-155-168>170-100930- FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO- CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD- TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE- MASON- 421 AM CDT TUE AUG 9 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY ACROSS THE BIG COUNTRY. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL BE DANGEROUS LIGHTNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
The Horse Creek Ranch Wildfire burned about 6623 acres in northeastern Concho County.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, August 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 656502.