A cluster of high-based monsoonal thunderstorms created a severe downburst near Friona.
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The episode as NWS LUB wrote it up.
A cluster of high-based monsoonal thunderstorms created a severe downburst near Friona.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 2, 5:17 PM CST, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lubbock TX 617 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016 .AVIATION... VFR expected next 24 hours. Thunderstorm activity along the TX/NM state line should remain well clear of all terminals both this evening and again on Wednesday. Winds may become a bit variable after sunset. Check density altitude. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 206 PM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016/ SHORT TERM... Upper level high pressure is centered over East Texas this afternoon, although the ridge itself extends westward toward the 4- corners. The center of the ridge is expected to shift westward to west central Texas by Wednesday afternoon. Monsoonal moisture will remain underneath the western extension of this ridge. Scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop on the high terrain of eastern New Mexico, likely as far east as the western Panhandle and western South Plains. Each of run of the HRRR has trended a bit drier, but still enough of a signal in the hi-res models with support from water vapor imagery, especially now that winds have backed to the southeast in the vicinity of expected initiation. Will keep setup of previous forecast with chance PoPs near the New Mexico state line tapering to slight chance one column of counties to the east and no mention I-27 eastward. Rain chances become more questionable for Wednesday afternoon as the high shifts to the west. That could very well keep initiation across New Mexico. However, with some models still producing precipitation near or in the far western counties, will keep slight chance mention there. Temperatures near persistence and the high end of objective guidance looks fine with very little change in magnitude of progged heights and thicknesses. LONG TERM... We have our fifth tropical storm of the season in the northwestern Caribbean Sea...Earl. Unfortunately, he isn't going to do anything for us here in West Texas where crops are begging for rain. High pressure will continue to dominate our weather pattern in the long term. The biggest question over the next several days will be how far west the ridge builds, thus affecting the monsoonal moisture plume. Latest model runs show most of the moisture being bumped around the high into NM and into the northern TX Panhandle each day, with just our west/northwestern counties having a shot at some thunderstorms. Should the ridge slacken slightly, we could see storms move further into our forecast area, but at this time, went ahead and elected to keep most of the area dry with this pattern. Also, bumped temperatures up to near guidance on Thursday and Friday, especially on the Rolling Plains. We shouldn't be under to worst influence of the ridge those days...that appears to be to the east of us, so kept temps just shy of guidance. It will still be hot. && .LUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && 99/99/26
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 537 AM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016 TXZ021>044-031045- PARMER-CASTRO-SWISHER-BRISCOE-HALL-CHILDRESS-BAILEY-LAMB-HALE- FLOYD-MOTLEY-COTTLE-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LUBBOCK-CROSBY-DICKENS-KING- YOAKUM-TERRY-LYNN-GARZA-KENT-STONEWALL- 537 AM CDT TUE AUG 2 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS...ROLLING PLAINS AND THE FAR SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THE PROBABILITY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 85 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:40 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Measured by a Texas Tech University West Texas mesonet near Friona.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, August 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 641087.