Widely scattered strong to marginally severe thunderstorms affected parts of southwest Middle Tennessee during the afternoon hours on September 13. One report of wind damage was received in Lawrence County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OHX wrote it up.
Widely scattered strong to marginally severe thunderstorms affected parts of southwest Middle Tennessee during the afternoon hours on September 13. One report of wind damage was received in Lawrence County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 13, 1:52 PM CST, 18 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 252 PM CDT TUE SEP 13 2016 .DISCUSSION... Isolated showers and thunderstorms have developed over the south and east portions of the mid state along some upper level forcing from shortwave activity. Short term models have convection continuing this afternoon and dissipating during the early evening. Chances for showers and thunderstorms should subside overnight, and with increased dewpoints overnight compared to last night, some fog may develop across the area tomorrow morning. Have mention of fog in the grids during the 06Z to 12Z timeframe Wednesday morning, but fog may continue for another hour or so for a few areas. Wednesday may see a few showers and thunderstorms pop up during the late morning and afternoon hours. Forcing does look weak, but enough models are on board for some isolated convection so have slight chance mention during the day tomorrow. Again looking like a diurnal threat so have Wednesday night into Thursday morning dry. One more round of slight chance pops will move in Thursday, but be mainly for the south and west. Better chances for precip will move in later on Friday with the approaching trough and cold front. The GFS and ECMWF still differ slightly for weekend timing, but both suggest the cold front will move through the region on Sunday. Ahead of the front, chances for showers and thunderstorms look to peak during the day Saturday and overnight into Sunday. Precip chances will continue Sunday during the day but Sunday night into Monday morning will see chances diminish from northwest to southeast behind the front. Next week shows ridging trying to return, but again the GFS and ECMWF are a bit different on their solutions. The ECMWF keeps precip around during the day Monday, but the GFS is much drier. Just the opposite occurs Tuesday with the GFS showing isolated precip chances and the ECMWF being dry. Went with a consensus forecast for the last few periods of the long term forecast which is pretty close to what the previous forecasts showed until models get a better handle on precip timing next week. && .AVIATION... 18Z TAF DISCUSSION. A few showers (and eventually isolated TS) are starting to pop up around Middle TN at TAF time. This development is expected to continue throughout the afternoon hours and wane as soon as the sun goes down. Expectations are for activity to be scattered enough not to warrant any prevailing lines. The only flight category reductions will be after midnight when fog may become an issue at KCKV/KCSV. KCSV will likely get the worst of it with low dew point depressions and calm winds. Will show IFR vis at this point, but may need to reduce even more with upcoming TAF issuances. Winds will be light an variable through the afternoon, then calm tonight. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 68 91 69 91 69 / 10 20 10 10 10 Clarksville 67 88 67 87 68 / 10 20 10 10 10 Crossville 63 85 63 85 64 / 10 20 10 20 10 Columbia 67 89 67 90 68 / 20 20 10 10 10 Lawrenceburg 67 89 67 90 68 / 20 20 10 20 10 Waverly 68 88 68 87 68 / 10 20 10 10 10 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && DISCUSSION......Barnwell AVIATION........Unger
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 638 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2016 TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-141145- STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON- HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH- JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON- MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD- COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES- 638 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
The Nashville radar (KOHX), 123 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:08 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Lawrence County SKYWARN reported a tree was blown down across Napier Road near the Lawrence County and Lewis County line. Time estimated based on radar.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, September 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 660292.