Dry conditions that plagued southern Cameron County during July continued into August. 18 inches of rainfall reported at Brownsville/South Padre Island International Airport.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS BRO wrote it up.
Dry conditions that plagued southern Cameron County during July continued into August. Little rain fell during July, with only 0.18 inches of rainfall reported at Brownsville/South Padre Island International Airport. This lack of rain continued into August, resulting in drought conditions intensifying and Severe (D2) drought conditions returning to southern Cameron County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Brownsville, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 12, 11:50 PM CST, 10 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service BROWNSVILLE TX 1250 AM CDT TUE SEP 13 2016 .DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below. && .AVIATION...A few low clouds are drifting across the areas...with light and variable to light SE winds in place. VFR conditions are generally expected although a brief MVFR CIG could be develop by sunrise. Expect winds to become easterly and isolated convection once again Tuesday afternoon with the seabreeze. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 628 PM CDT MON SEP 12 2016/ DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below. AVIATION...VFR will prevail through the next 24 hours. Winds will become light and variable for the overnight hours with clear skies. Tomorrow, winds will back as the seabreeze boundary moves inland. Some cloudiness is expected with only very isolated convection. PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 1256 PM CDT MON SEP 12 2016/ DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below. AVIATION...Sea-breeze convergence line showing up nicely on radar imagery at this time...just about to move through BRO terminal. A few weak shower cells are noted within the line. This is consistent with the short-term model guidance which has been indicating that the sea-breeze front will not be particularly strong in terms of lift but will penetrate a good distance inland. So...will just include VCSH (due to the very spotty coverage thus far) at all three terminals timing with arrival of the sea- breeze front. Expecting this feature to reach HRL around 19Z and MFE around 21Z. A light breeze from the ESE will also occur behind the boundary, but have trimmed a couple knots of wind speed from previous TAF's. Expect any convective showers to end, even for MFE, by around 03Z with light winds and VFR prevailing overnight across the area. VFR continues Tuesday morning, with light SE winds and FEW-SCT cumulus developing. PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 637 AM CDT MON SEP 12 2016/ DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below. AVIATION...VFR conditions are expected through the period with some gusty winds from the East to Southeast as the seabreeze front pushes through during the afternoon. There may be isolated convection with the seabreeze passage...although certainty remains too low to merit mention. High pressure over the region will allow for light and variable to calm winds again overnight. PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 438 AM CDT MON SEP 12 2016/ SHORT TERM (Today through Tuesday): A rather benign short term period is expected as high pressure aloft remains in control of the sensible weather. The 00Z sounding from Sunday evening indicated precipitable water at 2.02 inches which was a bit higher than some model data suggested. Current thinking is that light onshore flow could led to some isolated seabreeze showers this afternoon. However...overall deep layer moisture will be rather lacking and do not expect any more then isolated convective activity on Tuesday as well. As far as temperatures...readings will continue to run a few degrees above normal. LONG TERM (Tuesday Night through Sunday): The 500 mb pattern over the Gulf of Mexico and the RGV will be dominated in the longer range period by a broad weakness/trough that starts off over the Gulf. The troffing aloft will likely drift slowly towards the Texas coastline throughout the rest of this week which will gradually increase the moisture levels over the RGV and near the coastline. Meanwhile to the northwest a 500 mb trough will dig over the western portions of the lower 48 states. This will push a cold front into central and southern Texas by next Sunday and Monday. This approaching cold front may add to the surface convergence over the region to maintain slgt chc/chc pops through the end of the forecast period. With the general weakness prevailing in the 500 mb pattern throughout most of the longer range period and deeper layer moisture levels remaining a bit more elevated expect overall temp trends to be a bit cooler in comparison to the last several days. However average temps for the RGV will likely remain above climo through next Monday. The overall agreement between the GFS and the ECMWF 500 mb fields through Day 7 is pretty good in the handling over the weakness in the Gulf of Mexico and the trough axis diving south towards the south central plains states late in the forecast period. Run to run consistency with the GFS MEX MOS temps/pops is pretty good over the last several days worth of runs. The ECMWF has a bit warmer bias for temps throughout the longer range period versus the GFS. Believe that the ECMWF may be pushing the high temps a bit too high considering the weakness in the 500 mb pattern. So will lean a little closer to the GFS numbers for temps. Pops will be a general blend of both the GFS and the ECMWF. MARINE: (Today through Tuesday): Light E to SE winds and low seas will continue to be the norm for today and Tuesday as surface high pressure over the northern Gulf keeps the pressure gradient relaxed. Tuesday Night through Friday Night...Both the ECMWF and the GFS models both hint at some broad surface troffing developing over the central Gulf of Mex later this week with this surface trough/low drifing west towards the middle to lower TX coastline through Thurs/Fri. The approach of this surface feature will likely maintain a fairly weak PGF over the lower TX Bay and Gulf waters. According...fairly low winds and seas will prevail for the latter periods of the CWF. && .BRO Watches/Warnings/Advisories... TX...None. GM...None. && This product is also available on the web at: HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV 69/60
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX 349 PM CDT MON SEP 12 2016 TXZ248>257-132100- ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY- INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON- 349 PM CDT MON SEP 12 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AN ELEVATED RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS POSSIBLE AT THE BEACHES OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND AND AT BOCA CHICA BEACH WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-132100- LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO- LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TX- LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 349 PM CDT MON SEP 12 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
A general lack of rainfall allowed for drought conditions to intensify cross southern Cameron County by mid August, with Severe (D2) drought conditions returning to the region.
A general lack of rainfall allowed for drought conditions to intensify cross coastal Cameron County by mid August, with Severe (D2) drought conditions returning to the region.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 660901, 660902.