Scattered thunderstorms developed across Middle Tennessee during the afternoon hours on July 3. A few storms became strong to severe in White and Cumberland Counties, with some reports of wind damage.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OHX wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms developed across Middle Tennessee during the afternoon hours on July 3. A few storms became strong to severe in White and Cumberland Counties, with some reports of wind damage.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 3, 2:03 PM CST, 42 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 303 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016 .DISCUSSION... Temperatures have climbed into the upper 80s and low 90s across Middle Tennessee this afternoon. Along with dew points in the low 70s, this has allowed CAPE values to increase to 1000-1250 J/KG. With general weakness in the upper level pattern, scattered showers have developed across the mid-state. As we move through the rest of the afternoon and instability increases even more, expectations are for many of these showers to turn into thunderstorms. While widespread severe weather is not expected due to relatively warmer temperatures aloft, steep low-level lapse and drier air above 700 mb could help a few strong storms to develop across a majority of the mid-state. Strong straight line winds are going to be the main threat through the early evening hours. The main area we will have to monitor this evening will be areas north of I-40 and west of I-65 (closer to the TN River) where slightly higher shear values will reside due to the passage of a weak surface low to our NW. Again, damaging straight line winds will be the main threat, but this threat should be very limited in areal coverage. Bad news for the fireworks enthusiasts out there. Independence Day will bring more of the same. In fact, coverage of these showers and thunderstorms will be higher and with the passage of another surface low to our NW and the inclusion of some upper level support, we very well could see some strong to severe thunderstorms develop by late afternoon and evening. Areal coverage for strong/severe storms should be limited to those counties along and north of I-40 where damaging straight line winds will be the main threat, but PoPs will be higher for all of Middle Tennessee on Monday. If there's any good news to all of this, if the timing is right, forecast soundings are showing cloud bases will be around 4000 feet tomorrow evening. If a window of opportunity presents itself for those with the better shot of precipitation, ceilings should be high enough for a good show. The rest of the week, while not defined by the passage of a front or a synoptic boundary will be very summer-like. Temperatures in the low to middle 90s each afternoon, dew points in the upper 60s and low 70s and with general weakness in the upper level pattern, each afternoon will offer the opportunity for scattered showers and thunderstorms, with all of them having the potential to produce strong winds. && .AVIATION... 18Z TAF DISCUSSION. Frontogenesis to take place to the north of middle TN during the taf period. Thus, the widespread rainfall will be kept north. However, 2 different slug of pva energy will effect the area. The first of which will occur late this afternoon and into this evening. The second will occur after sunrise on Monday. Will go ahead and include vcnty in the taf for those 2 periods. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 75 92 74 89 74 / 30 50 60 40 30 Clarksville 74 88 72 88 73 / 60 70 70 30 30 Crossville 69 87 69 82 68 / 20 50 70 50 30 Columbia 74 92 73 88 73 / 20 40 60 50 30 Lawrenceburg 73 92 72 87 72 / 20 50 60 60 30 Waverly 75 89 73 87 74 / 50 60 70 40 30 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && DISCUSSION......Unger AVIATION........21
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 512 AM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016 TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-041015- STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON- HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH- JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON- MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD- COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES- 512 AM CDT SUN JUL 3 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...A FEW OF WHICH MAY BE STRONG WITH TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THE LIKELIHOOD FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...ESPECIALLY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. 19
The Nashville radar (KOHX), 99 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:45 UTC.
3 thunderstorm wind, 1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Two trees were blown down on Webbs Camp Road near Walling.
One tree was blown down on Allen Drive and another tree was blown down on Highway 70 South in Sparta.
Several reports of trees down throughout the city of Crossville. In addition, an apartment complex suffered minor roof damage, a store had window damage, and a storage shed was blown across a street.
Crossville Airport ASOS measured 1.07 inches of rain in just 24 minutes. 911 Call Center reported minor street flooding in Crossville.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 634280, 649394, 634281, 634282.