Scattered showers and thunderstorms developed across Middle Tennessee during the afternoon hours on July 23. One isolated severe thunderstorms caused wind damage in Bedford County.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OHX wrote it up.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms developed across Middle Tennessee during the afternoon hours on July 23. One isolated severe thunderstorms caused wind damage in Bedford County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Nashville, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 23, 2:40 PM CST, 2 hours 7 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 340 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016 .DISCUSSION... It's another hot and muggy day today across Middle Tennessee as some scattered thunderstorms have developed this afternoon giving some lucky locations a nice break in the heat. With quite a bit of high cloud cover today, many locations were able to keep a lid on heat index values, with most at or below 105F degrees. Showers and thunderstorms will continue through the evening hours although short range models tend to dissipate convection by 8pm. But then again, we all know how well these short range models have done pinpointing convection lately. But I do think there will be opportunities for these models to redeem themselves next week. Keep reading. Until then...there will be patchy fog again in the morning with Sunday looking to be a carbon copy of today. Of course, there is a lot of model disagreement in where storms develop and how much coverage, but regardless, do think the potential is there that Middle Tennessee will see more storms Sunday than today. With that said, extended the Heat Advisory only for locations west of Interstate 65 through Sunday at 8pm...mainly due to the fact that the past two days have been borderline reaching criteria of 105F heat index at best especially over the eastern areas. The upper ridge finally shifts west allowing a slightly more active pattern to develop over the area as several upper level disturbances pass over the region. As a result, higher POPs are expected resulting in High Temperatures being a few degrees lower. Think the threat for any heat index values nearing 105F will end on Sunday. Thursday and Friday...as the work week progresses so will the active weather pattern. Upper trough sets up over the eastern U.S. as I mentioned yesterday. This will be the best shot for showers and thunderstorms over the next 7 days as long range models continue to be in fairly good agreement with this pattern change. The good news is that with the extra cloud cover and precipitation around, High Temperatures will likely stay in the 80s/lower 90s. && .AVIATION... 18Z TAF DISCUSSION. Expect scattered showers and thunderstorms across the region through 01Z. Storms will move very slowly...quasi stationary. Winds will be light and variable this afternoon then calm overnight. Like last night...expect some areas of light fog between 09-12Z where vsbys could briefly be reduced to 3-5SM. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 75 94 75 92 75 / 20 30 20 40 40 Clarksville 73 92 74 90 74 / 20 20 20 40 40 Crossville 71 90 72 87 70 / 20 40 20 50 40 Columbia 73 93 73 92 73 / 20 30 20 50 40 Lawrenceburg 73 93 73 92 73 / 20 40 20 40 40 Waverly 73 92 74 90 74 / 20 30 20 40 50 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening FOR Bedford-Cannon- Clay-Davidson-De Kalb-Giles-Jackson-Lawrence-Macon-Marshall- Maury-Rutherford-Smith-Sumner-Trousdale-Williamson-Wilson. Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT Sunday FOR Cheatham-Dickson-Hickman- Houston-Humphreys-Lewis-Montgomery-Perry-Robertson-Stewart-Wayne. && DISCUSSION......Hurley AVIATION........49
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN 517 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016 TNZ005>010-023>031-056>064-075-093>095-241030- STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-HOUSTON-HUMPHREYS- DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH-JACKSON-PERRY- HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB- BEDFORD-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES- 517 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT CONTINUED HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN TODAY WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 105 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. TNZ011-032>034-065-066-077>080-241030- PICKETT-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-COFFEE-WARREN- GRUNDY-VAN BUREN- 517 AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
316 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016
TNZ011-034-066-232100-
PICKETT TN-CUMBERLAND TN-FENTRESS TN-
316 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN PICKETT...FENTRESS
AND NORTH CENTRAL CUMBERLAND COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...
AT 315 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF JAMESTOWN TO 10 MILES
NORTHWEST OF FAIRFIELD GLADE. MOVEMENT WAS WEST AT 5 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JAMESTOWN...ALLARDT...GRIMSLEY...PICKETT STATE PARK...PALL MALL AND
CLARKRANGE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH
FLOODED ROADWAYS.
&&
LAT...LON 3660 8479 3641 8473 3627 8490 3620 8492
3616 8491 3606 8489 3606 8505 3654 8504
TIME...MOT...LOC 2015Z 100DEG 6KT 3649 8481 3613 8499
LVSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
418 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016
TNZ011-034-232145-
PICKETT TN-FENTRESS TN-
418 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL PICKETT AND
NORTHWESTERN FENTRESS COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CDT...
AT 414 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A BAND OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS...ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
NEAR SUNNYBROOK TO 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JAMESTOWN. MOVEMENT WAS TO
THE WEST AT ABOUT 10 MPH.
DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES OF RAIN
HAS FALLEN IN SOME SPOTS NEAR JAMESTOWN. ADDITIONAL HEAVY DOWNPOURS
MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. IF YOU APPROACH AN AREA WHERE WATER
COVERS THE ROAD...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PALL MALL.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BRIEF WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITHT THESE STORMS.
&&
LAT...LON 3661 8488 3661 8501 3649 8509 3636 8511
3636 8501 3642 8497 3648 8494
TIME...MOT...LOC 2114Z 168DEG 10KT 3661 8494 3638 8509
19SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
535 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016
TNZ075-232300-
BEDFORD TN-
535 PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN BEDFORD COUNTY UNTIL
600 PM CDT...
AT 533 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
IN THE SHELBYVILLE AREA. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM...ALONG
WITH TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS OF RAIN.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SHELBYVILLE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SINCE THIS THUNDERSTORM IS MOVING VERY LITTLE...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL
WILL LIKELY LAST THROUGH AT LEAST 600 PM...AND MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED
FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3541 8630 3539 8640 3547 8644 3550 8642
3550 8635 3548 8632
TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 159DEG 3KT 3548 8639
19The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 70 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:48 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Several trees and power lines were blown down with power outages in Shelbyville.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 639154.