A weak cold front produced showers and thunderstorms across west Tennessee during the late morning hours of July 14th. One storm reached severe limits producing damaging winds.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
A weak cold front produced showers and thunderstorms across west Tennessee during the late morning hours of July 14th. One storm reached severe limits producing damaging winds.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 14, 9:17 AM CST, 1 hour 23 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Memphis TN 1017 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016 .DISCUSSION... Thunderstorms are currently moving across West Tennessee and extreme northern sections of Mississippi. These thunderstorms have been producing wind gusts of 35 to 40 mph along with locally heavy downpours. Temperatures across the forecast area vary quite a bit due to the thunderstorms with readings ranging from the lower 70s to mid 80s. Another large area of thunderstorms is moving through southern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. This area is moving southeast and additional thunderstorms could develop ahead of this area and move into the forecast area this afternoon. With the thunderstorms that have already moved through, temperatures will have a hard time reaching forecasted highs so have lowered highs down a few degrees. ARS && PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 409 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016/ Short term... Better storm chances will exist throughout the day and night on Thursday as a series of shortwave disturbances make their way through the Mid- South. Strong storms will be possible this afternoon and evening as the first of the series of shortwaves impacts the region. Model soundings depict a very unstable atmosphere throughout the Mid-South this evening with MUCAPE values ranging from 2500-4000 j/kg, 0-3km lapse rates between 6-7 C/km, and dewpoints in the low to mid 70's. Model soundings also depict an inverted-V lower sounding profile suggesting an increased wind threat. However, weak shear values don't support long tracked well organized storms. The main threat with any storms today will be strong winds and hail. PWAT values over 2 inches also indicates flash flooding will be a threat. High temperatures today will be in the low to mid-90's, these highs coupled with dewpoints in the mid 70's could lead to heat index values near 105 degrees in some locations not impacted by convective thunderstorms. Coverage and timing of thunderstorms today is still uncertain, however there is enough confidence in storm coverage during peak heating hours to support not issuing a heat advisory today. The Storm Prediction Center has placed Northeastern Arkansas and the Missouri Bootheel in a slight risk zone in their Day 1 Outlook Product. The rest of the Mid- South was placed in a moderate risk. The best chances of storms during this active period remains on Friday as a deeper upper shortwave swings through the Mid Mississippi Valley. All indications so far suggest better thunderstorm coverage and intensity on Friday. Long term... Models are trending drier on Saturday and Sunday as drier air associated with a building upper ridge over the Plains begins to filter into the region. The best chances of storms on Saturday will exist in the southern portions of the Mid-South. Warmer, drier weather is expected on Sunday and Monday as the steep upper ridge moves slowly eastward towards the Mid-South. Hot and humid weather will continue throughout the upcoming week, with daily highs in the mid to upper 90's. However, storm chances will increase slightly during mid-week as the upper ridge retrogrades slightly west. JPM3 && .AVIATION... 12z TAF Set An MCS has held together overnight and is advancing southward across east Arkansas this morning. This MCS is pushing into a moderately unstable airmass and it appears that inhibition is weaker than previously thought. Therefore storms should continue to progress south and impact KJBR and KMEM this morning. Further east...storms should develop later this afternoon and continue through the day. Mainly VFR cigs are anticipated...but there could be brief periods of MVFR conditions in stronger storms. Winds will remain out of the southwest through the day. There will likely be a break late this afternoon before another MCS forms to our west and impacts all of the terminals tonight. Provided best initial timing but this may be difficult to determine further than a few hours out. Winds will remain light southerly outside of convection. JLH && .MEG Watches/Warnings/Advisories... AR...None. MO...None. MS...None. TN...None. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 445 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-151145- ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY- COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR- DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD- HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE- LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION- PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN- RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON- TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 445 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE MID-SOUTH TODAY AND TONIGHT AS SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVES MOVE THROUGH THE AREA. THE MAIN THREAT WITH STORMS TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL BE STRAIGHT- LINE WINDS AND FLASH FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY AS A DEEPER SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. ONCE AGAIN... DAMAGING STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. DANGEROUS HEAT IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 90'S COMBINED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70'S WILL RESULT IN DANGEROUS HEAT INDICES FROM SUNDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND TOMORROW.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
942 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016
TNZ049>052-088>090-141530-
FAYETTE TN-TIPTON TN-HARDEMAN TN-MADISON TN-HAYWOOD TN-CROCKETT TN-
SHELBY TN-
942 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1030 AM CDT FOR...
FAYETTE COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
SOUTHEASTERN TIPTON COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
WESTERN HARDEMAN COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
MADISON COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
HAYWOOD COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN CROCKETT COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
SOUTHEASTERN SHELBY COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
AT 942 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR
LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED NEAR ARLINGTON...OR 14
MILES SOUTH OF COVINGTON
VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.
PEOPLE IN FAYETTE...SOUTHEASTERN TIPTON...WESTERN HARDEMAN...
MADISON...HAYWOOD...SOUTHERN CROCKETT AND SOUTHEASTERN SHELBY
COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.
LAT...LON 3499 8919 3500 9008 3580 8922 3579 8861
3578 8861
TIME...MOT...LOC 1442Z 248DEG 53KT 3536 8959SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1007 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016
TNZ003-020-021-051-141545-
CARROLL TN-WEAKLEY TN-GIBSON TN-CROCKETT TN-
1007 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1045 AM CDT FOR...
WESTERN CARROLL COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN WEAKLEY COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
GIBSON COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
CENTRAL CROCKETT COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
AT 1006 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR
LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED OVER TRENTON
VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.
PEOPLE IN WESTERN CARROLL...SOUTHERN WEAKLEY...GIBSON AND CENTRAL
CROCKETT COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.
LAT...LON 3579 8860 3581 8935 3618 8899 3617 8853
3615 8853 3615 8828
TIME...MOT...LOC 1506Z 254DEG 30KT 3598 8890SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1013 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016
MSZ001>003-008-141600-
BENTON MS-TATE MS-MARSHALL MS-DESOTO MS-
1013 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1100 AM CDT FOR...
BENTON COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEASTERN TATE COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI...
MARSHALL COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI...
EAST CENTRAL DESOTO COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI...
AT 1013 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING WINDS AT LEAST 40
MPH WAS LOCATED OVER MT PLEASANT...OR 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
COLLIERVILLE
${REPORT2}
PEOPLE IN BENTON...NORTHEASTERN TATE...MARSHALL AND EAST CENTRAL
DESOTO COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.
LAT...LON 3486 8904 3481 8904 3481 8909 3471 8909
3468 8910 3469 8997 3499 8971 3499 8902
3486 8902
TIME...MOT...LOC 1513Z 254DEG 30KT 3496 8955SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1023 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016
TNZ050-052-089-090-141630-
FAYETTE TN-HARDEMAN TN-MADISON TN-HAYWOOD TN-
1023 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1130 AM CDT FOR...
FAYETTE COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
HARDEMAN COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
SOUTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN HAYWOOD COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
AT 1023 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR
LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
SOMERVILLE...OR 15 MILES NORTHEAST OF COLLIERVILLE
VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.
PEOPLE IN FAYETTE...HARDEMAN...SOUTHWESTERN MADISON AND SOUTHERN
HAYWOOD COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.
LAT...LON 3543 8884 3539 8884 3533 8879 3526 8878
3500 8879 3500 8964 3547 8944 3551 8877
3545 8877
TIME...MOT...LOC 1523Z 254DEG 30KT 3520 8947SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1055 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016
TNZ053>055-091-092-141700-
HARDIN TN-DECATUR TN-HENDERSON TN-CHESTER TN-MCNAIRY TN-
1055 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CDT FOR...
HARDIN COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN DECATUR COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
SOUTHEASTERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN CHESTER COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
MCNAIRY COUNTY IN WESTERN TENNESSEE...
AT 1055 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR
LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTH OF BIG
HILL POND STATE PARK
VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.
PEOPLE IN HARDIN...SOUTHERN DECATUR...SOUTHEASTERN HENDERSON...
SOUTHERN CHESTER AND MCNAIRY COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM
CLOSELY.
LAT...LON 3539 8798 3539 8803 3535 8801 3530 8802
3529 8798 3501 8799 3500 8879 3535 8878
3556 8800 3552 8797 3550 8798 3547 8802
3545 8804 3542 8803 3541 8797
TIME...MOT...LOC 1555Z 244DEG 35KT 3517 8875SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1113 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016
MSZ005-006-141645-
TISHOMINGO MS-ALCORN MS-
1113 AM CDT THU JUL 14 2016
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1145 AM CDT FOR...
NORTHERN TISHOMINGO COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...
ALCORN COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...
AT 1113 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR
LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED NEAR BURNSVILLE...OR
NEAR IUKA
${REPORT2}
PEOPLE IN NORTHERN TISHOMINGO AND ALCORN COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS
STORM CLOSELY.
LAT...LON 3472 8812 3469 8833 3474 8833 3474 8835
3476 8835 3476 8875 3486 8875 3486 8882
3499 8882 3499 8820 3492 8816 3489 8810
TIME...MOT...LOC 1613Z 252DEG 24KT 3485 8826The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 130 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 16:38 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Three trees down on HWY 224.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 643311.