Scattered thunderstorms developed during the afternoon and evening across Upstate South Carolina. Some of these storms organized into clusters that produced brief, isolated damaging winds.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GSP wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms developed during the afternoon and evening across Upstate South Carolina. Some of these storms organized into clusters that produced brief, isolated damaging winds.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 14, 4:58 PM EST, 18 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
558 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
Warm and humid conditions are expected through the end of the work
week. A cold front will push across the region on Friday, with dry
and cooler high pressure arriving this weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 550 PM: I will issue another quick update to increase PoPs
across NE GA...NC mtns...and the upstate through early this evening.
Widespread CAPE and moderate DCAPE will favor the development of
long lasting outflow boundaries to drift across the region...with
cells triggering along the boundaries. This process will continue
across the CWA, until the instability is cut off from the expanding
outflows. I will update temperatures with the latest observations.
KAVL saw its fourth day in a row with highs 91 or more. Today the
high of 92 broke the old record of 90 set in 1981.
As of 240 PM: A weak frontal boundary remains essentially stationary
across the CWFA, dividing hot and very humid subtropical air
from notably drier continental air. This boundary can be seen on
satellite as the northern edge of a Cu field. Southerly flow is
expected to push the boundary north again overnight. Meanwhile, an
upper ridge is seen over the mid-eastern CONUS. A weak shortwave
trough is moving through the ridge, across the Gulf states,
and will move over the Carolinas Wednesday morning. Storms along
and south of the boundary will pose a threat of damaging wind,
mainly on account of SBCAPEs near 2000 J/kg and high DCAPEs well
over 1000 J/kg. Shear is relatively weak but may allow storms to
grow into clusters. SPC has expanded the Marginal Risk in their
Day 1 outlook to cover most of the Upstate.
Confidence in the overnight forecast is somewhat limited given
varying degrees of convection featured during the afternoon. It
appears some of the short range guidance, e.g. 4km NAM, depict
"worked-over" profiles by late evening that would not support
additional precip. However, many SREF members show a modest
amount of elevated instability persisting throughout the night,
and something like that would account for the lingering PoPs
suggested by a guidance consensus. That of course assumes some
source of lift. The incoming trough does not have the dynamics to
expect much intiation from it alone, but weak warm upglide could
also have an effect. I'm handling the situation by reflecting
a very slowly decaying PoP trend tonight. Robust thunderstorms
are not expected to last past the loss of the sfc instability,
however. Moist conditions and convective debris will keep temps
several degrees above normal.
The shortwave axis will be entering the CWFA from the west a little
after daybreak. Models generally key on this and rapidly develop
convection in the morning. The wave is trailed by a broad cold
frontal zone, most notable for enhancing low level convergence as it
moves thru the area during the day. CAPE values peaking below those
Tuesday given slightly cooler conditions. Prog soundings are not as
dry, and shear will remain rather weak, so heavy rain may end up
being our most significant threat given PWAT values remaining 1.9
to 2.0 inches over much of the area per NAM. Max temps will not be
as hot, but still 2-3 degrees above normal. Despite sfc dewpoints
expected to exceed those Tuesday, heat indices will be lower.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 145 PM EDT Tuesday...the second half of the week looks
problematic in terms of coverage and strength of deep convection.
The period begins Wednesday evening with lingering showers/storms,
especially over the Piedmont zones. Most of the convection will do
the usual diurnal weakening and be gone by late evening. However,
the models continue to indicate the approach of a wave/vort lobe
from the lower OH valley region after 06Z Thursday. The question is
whether or not this feature will support/drive any thunderstorm
activity south/east of the Ohio River after dark. The model guidance
shows an unstable boundary layer overnight with substantial CAPE,
probably 1000 J/kg or so, across the area to the west of the NC
mountains, which would support keeping convection alive that would
be able to reach the NC mountains in the pre-dawn hours. For that
reason, a chance of precip was retained on the TN border overnight.
Thursday is more of a question, especially in light of the Day 3
slight risk across most of the forecast area. What is interesting
with this part of the forecast is that the operational NAM and GFS
fail to respond with much of any convection on Thursday. In that
regard, the Slight Risk appears to be based on the ingredients seen
in the model guidance, that being a surface boundary dropping down
across the OH valley and toward the Srn Appalachians Thursday
evening, substantial surface-based CAPE ahead of the boundary
(perhaps greater than 2000 J/kg), and what would also be substantial
deep layer shear brought on by a mid-level jetlet. If the
operational models are wrong with their failure to develop storms,
then we could have some kind of severe wind-producing MCS coming at
us from the Cumberland Plateau in the evening hours. An idea worth
letting simmer away on a back burner for now. Precip chances will be
kept modest for the time being for Thursday and Thursday night, and
temps will be seasonally warm. Friday looks a bit less busy and
naturally a bit more uncertain. An upper low dropping down across
the central Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic will help to bring a
surface boundary down across the region during the day. This will
probably take the form as more of a back-door cold front as it wraps
around the mountains. How far the front gets will determine the
extent of precip coverage and the high temps. For now, a chance of
precip is shown across mainly the NC part of the fcst area. The
temp will be more tricky, perhaps limited to the mid 80s across the
NW Piedmont but still in the mid 90s in northeast GA ahead of the
southward moving front.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
At 230 PM Tuesday: On Friday evening an upper trough will be along
the eastern seaboard, with an upper low moving reaching the NC
coast. The GFS closes off this low near the SC coast by Sunday
evening, while the ECMWF closes off a deeper low off the northeast
NC coast. The GFS low moves to western FL by Sunday evening, while
while the ECMWF low remains in the vicinity of the NC Outer Banks.
By Monday evening the weakening GFS low reaches the AL coast, while
hte stronger ECMWF low moves up the Gulf Stream east of NJ. By mid
week, the models solutions diverge, with the GFS showing a
reamplfied and retrogresses low over the eastern USA, and the ECMWF
showing zonal flow over the same area.
At the surface: On Friday evening high pressure will set up along
the east slopes of the southern Appalachians in the wake of a cold
front, and will linger into Sunday. By Monday a northward return
of the front will allow precipitation to spread inland towards the
mountains, and this pattern persists into Tuesday. Temperatures will
run slightly below normal until Tuesday, when the rise above normal.
&&
.AVIATION /22Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
At KCLT: Midday visible satellite imagery shows a line of enhanced
Cu stretching acrs the immediate vcnty of KCLT, highlighting
the position of a stationary front. This front is expected to
gradually shift northward this aftn, bringing warmer and more moist
air over the field. Regardless of whether a shower develops along
the front itself, a round of convection will be most likely in the
late afternoon with heating and destabilization. A TEMPO has been
retained to cover these possibilities, but some SHRA or even TSRA
could recur later in the evening. The longer initiation is delayed,
the later into the evening the activity could last, as the energy
could be realized by an advancing (but weak) shortwave. With the
front expected to move north, a southerly wind shift is expected,
and low stratus are not likely to develop with only very weak
warm upglide occurring. A chance of diurnally driven convection
does exist tomorrow, and overall will be higher than today, so a
PROB30 has already been included late in the period.
Elsewhere: Trends mostly as at KCLT. Anywhere south of the frontal
boundary will have at least a small chance of seeing TSRA this
afternoon and evening. Chances warrant a TEMPO at all terminals
except KHKY, which is expected to remain on the cool/north side
until tonight. Smaller chances of mainly just light precipitation
do persist overnight, though if widespread convection develops and
diminishes diurnally (early evening) the advancing trough may not
be able to produce much further activity. Though very moist sfc
conditions will be in place south of the front tonight, low level
profiles are not supportive of dense fog or low stratus, so VFR is
expected. That said, some ground fog could develop particularly
in areas where rain falls this aftn. Unstable conditions and SCT
SHRA/TSRA are expected to ramp up again late Wed mrng.
Outlook...Mostly VFR conditions are expected, except for possible
valley fog in the NC MTNS each morning. Coverage is expected to be
more isolated for Thursday and Friday in the wake of a departing
trough.
Confidence Table...
22-04Z 04-10Z 10-16Z 16-18Z
KCLT High 100% High 100% High 82% High 93%
KGSP High 100% High 100% High 90% High 100%
KAVL High 100% High 97% High 86% High 100%
KHKY High 100% High 100% High 90% High 100%
KGMU High 100% High 100% High 90% High 100%
KAND High 100% High 100% High 90% High 100%
The percentage reflects the number of guidance members agreeing
with the schedule TAF issuance flight rule category. Complete hourly
experimental aviation forecast consistency tables and ensemble forecasts
are available at the following link:
www.weather.gov/gsp/aviation
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
NC...None.
SC...None.
&&
SYNOPSIS...JAT
NEAR TERM...NED/Wimberley
SHORT TERM...PM
LONG TERM...JAT
AVIATION...WimberleyHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 322 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016 GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ048-051>053-058-059-062>065-068>072- 082-507>510-SCZ001>014-019-151930- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD- BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA- HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION- RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK- OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 322 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT AND SOUTHERN FOOTHILLS OF NORTH CAROLINA...THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA...AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL PRODUCE CLOUD-TO- GROUND LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL GROW LARGE ENOUGH TO BECOME SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THE MAIN THREAT. THE STORMS WILL DIMINISH IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY LATE THIS EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. NCZ033-035>037-049-050-056-057-501>506-151930- AVERY-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-YANCEY-MITCHELL-CATAWBA-ROWAN- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL- 322 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE CLOUD- TO- GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. ..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. PM
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
545 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016
SCZ002-142215-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS SC-
545 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN PICKENS COUNTY UNTIL
615 PM EDT...
AT 545 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES NORTHWEST OF PICKENS...OR 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TABLE ROCK STATE
PARK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TABLE ROCK STATE PARK...JOCASSEE GORGES...SASSAFRAS MOUNTAIN...
PUMPKINTOWN...SUNSET AND ROCKY BOTTOM.
DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
LAT...LON 3494 8285 3508 8280 3508 8278 3507 8278
3507 8277 3505 8275 3505 8272 3506 8271
3506 8268 3503 8259 3501 8259 3501 8255
3489 8274
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 212DEG 12KT 3498 8276
LANESPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
548 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016
NCZ051-142215-
SWAIN NC-
548 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL SWAIN COUNTY UNTIL
615 PM EDT...
AT 548 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES SOUTHWEST OF BRYSON CITY...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.
LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BRYSON CITY...FONTANA LAKE...ALMOND...ALARKA...LUADA AND WESSER.
PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FONTANA LAKE IS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS BOATING CONDITIONS.
MOVE TO SHORE IMMEDIATELY.
&&
LAT...LON 3544 8362 3543 8339 3530 8346 3530 8350
3529 8357 3537 8360 3541 8358 3542 8359
3543 8359 3543 8361
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 181DEG 7KT 3535 8353
LANESPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 553 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016 SCZ014-142230- CHESTER SC- 553 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL CHESTER COUNTY UNTIL 630 PM EDT... AT 553 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CHESTER...OR NEAR BLACKSTOCK...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH. LOCATIONS TO BE IMPACTED INCLUDE... BLACKSTOCK AND CORNWELL. HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS. LAT...LON 3456 8117 3464 8118 3462 8102 3455 8105 TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 187DEG 6KT 3457 8112 LANE
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
602 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0442 PM TSTM WND DMG 9 E TOCCOA 34.60N 83.18W
06/14/2016 STEPHENS GA COUNTY OFFICIAL
COUNTY OFFICAL REPOTED A TREE FELL THROUGH A HOUSE ON
RIDGEMORE DR. STRUCTURAL DAMAGE OF UNKNOWN MAGNITUDE WAS
ALSO REPORTED IN THE SAME GENRAL AREA.
&&
KRENTZPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
606 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0442 PM TSTM WND DMG 8 ENE TOCCOA 34.60N 83.18W
06/14/2016 STEPHENS GA TRAINED SPOTTER
MANY POWER POLES REPORTED BLOWN DOWN ON SHOREWOOD CIRCLE.
&&
KRENTZPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
612 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0442 PM HAIL 8 ENE TOCCOA 34.60N 83.18W
06/14/2016 E1.75 INCH STEPHENS GA TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER RELAYED REPORT OF GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL ON SHOREWOOD
CIRCLE.
&&
KRENTZThe Greer radar (KGSP), 21 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:15 UTC.
3 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Highway Patrol and the public reported a few trees, power lines, and multiple large limbs blown down along Tigerville Rd near Highway 290. Public also reported multiple trees blown down along Pleasant Hill Rd near Gowensville.
Highway Patrol reported trees blown down on Beltline Rd, Brendale Dr in Chester, and on Hardin Strait Rd at York St.
County comms reported multiple trees blown down from Boiling Springs/Spartanburg northeast to the Chesnee area.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in South Carolina in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in South Carolina, June 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 644097, 644103, 644105.