Puerto Rico, 2016

Tornado in Puerto Rico, November 18, 2016

November 18, 2016 · NWS SJU · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Copious amount of tropical moisture trailing a tropical wave, moving across the Mona Passage along with a pre-frontal trough and a frontal boundary just to the Northwest of the region, allowed for deep pooling of moisture across the region. A polar trough moving across the Western Atlantic continued to erode ridge aloft as it moved eastward across the region today.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$10,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS SJU wrote it up.

Copious amount of tropical moisture trailing a tropical wave, moving across the Mona Passage along with a pre-frontal trough and a frontal boundary just to the Northwest of the region, allowed for deep pooling of moisture across the region. A polar trough moving across the Western Atlantic continued to erode ridge aloft as it moved eastward across the region today. This scenario allowed for favorable upper level dynamics and strong divergent aloft. The combination of a humid environment, a Southeast steering flow and surface convergence were more than enough to provide support for enhanced and near severe convection across portions of the islands. |The prevailing S-SE steering flow with a S-SW shear aloft provided the forcing and lift needed to create the convective eddies (rotation) over the Mountain Range and into the low to mid levels of the atmosphere. This led to the horizontal rotating column of air to combine with the increasing updraft from the Squall line activity, which eventually led to the funnel cloud formation and finally to a Touchdown funnel rotation Tornado in the Manat urban area.

Preliminary information from the NWS indicates that the tornado that tore through the municipality of Manat was an EF-0 tornado. This tornado hit the ground at some point in the urbanization of Flamboy n around 3:10 p.m. and moved northwest through Road #2 with flying debris and strong winds reported over the urbanization of Atenas. The tornado dissipated about 10 minutes later, leaving minor damages through its path.

After the survey was done, the area most affected by the strong winds associated to this tornado was over the urbanization of Flamboy n, where several downed trees were reported. Large trees were reported fallen on Calle 2, and another at Calle Marginal. Also, on road 669, a cyclone fence was torn down by the strong winds and a building lost the roof. On Calle 22, two houses lost their tin roof porches. There was several damage reports over vehicles due to the flying debris associated to the tornado, affecting mainly the urbanization of Atenas.

Based on damages and actual reports, the NWS survey team believes winds associated to this tornado could have reached 50 to 75 miles per hour.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS San Juan, PR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 18, 2:17 PM AST, 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 18, 2:17 PM AST, 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Juan PR
217 PM AST Fri Nov 18 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Persistent moisture ahead of a cold front will keep
rain chances high over Puerto Rico through Tuesday. Showers and
thunderstorms will affect some areas with very heavy rain that
could result in flooding during the period. Drying is expected to
begin on Wednesday.

At upper levels...A ridge over the Anegada passage shifts back to
Puerto Rico Saturday night, but then quickly moves east into the
tropical Atlantic late Sunday when a trough passes north of the
area. Flow becomes west northwest afterward.

At mid levels...High pressure continues over the Caribbean Sea. A
trough passes north of the area on Monday. Relative humidities
remain high through Wednesday morning.

At lower levels...A cold front northwest of the area continues
over the eastern tip of Hispaniola leaving Puerto Rico and the
U.S. Virgin Islands in moist easterly flow until at least Tuesday.
Flow continues from the east northeast afterwards with diminishing
moisture as low pressure continues across the southern Caribbean.

&&

.DISCUSSION...As of 1:30 PM AST radar showed heavy showers and
a few thunderstorms south of Puerto Rico and showers west and
northwest of Puerto Rico. More or less continuous light rain has
persisted across South east and south central coastal Puerto Rico
with minor amounts. Some thinning has occurred in the cloud cover
that, so far, has prevented convection over most of mainland
Puerto Rico. However moisture continues very high over the area,
especially in the southwest, and so some convection is still
possible. First heavy showers have begun to form over Arecibo and
Camuy.

Models are no longer bringing the boundary over the local area,
but do keep very moist and saturated air in the local area, but
mainly northwest of the islands. The ECMWF brings the moisture
ahead of the boundary over Puerto Rico on Monday and this
continues through Tuesday night. The most favorable upper level
dynamics are now portrayed Saturday night through Monday night.
Hence although the severity of the flooding originally expected
over the next 5 days is some what diminished, the threat of
flooding and mudslides still continues and appears to last through
Tuesday.

&&

.AVIATION...Mainly VFR conditions are to prevail across all
TAF sites through at least 19/00z. SHRA/TSRA could affect TJPS and
TJMZ tonight producing brief periods of MVFR conditions. The Leeward
islands should remain VFR, but may have brief periods of shra and
MVFR conds due to CIGS. Winds alf are ESE up to 12 kft then becoming
WSW to W and increasing to 35 kt near 40 kft. Conds should prevail
through 19/12Z.

&&

.MARINE...Marine conditions will remain inclement with showers and
isolated thunderstorms in the area for the next 5 days; the best
conditions being in the southeast. During this time seas in the
Atlantic will slowly rise. Seas will begin to increase on Saturday
with 6 foot seas in the outer Atlantic waters possible by Sunday
night. Small craft advisories may be necessary by Wednesday.
Caribbean waters should remain below 6 feet until Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SJU  77  87  75  86 /  40  40  40  40
STT  78  86  76  86 /  50  50  50  50

&&

.SJU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PR...Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for Central Interior-
     Eastern Interior-Mayaguez and Vicinity-North Central-
     Northeast-Northwest-Ponce and Vicinity-San Juan and
     Vicinity-Southeast-Southwest-Western Interior.

VI...None.
AM...Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for Coastal Waters OF
     Southwestern Puerto Rico out 10 NM-Coastal Waters of
     Southern Puerto Rico out 10 NM.

&&

71/12
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 18, 9:45 AM AST, 5 hours 25 minutes before
PERSPECTIVAS SOBRE CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS DEL TIEMPO...CORRECCION
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA SAN JUAN PR
904 AM AST VIERNES 18 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2016

AMZ710>745-PRZ001>013-191315-
SAN JUAN Y VECINDAD-NORESTE-SURESTE-
ESTE INTERIOR-NORTE CENTRAL-CENTRAL INTERIOR-PONCE Y VECINDAD-
NOROESTE-OESTE INTERIOR-MAYAGUEZ Y VECINDAD-SUROESTE-CULEBRA-VIEQUES-
AGUAS COSTERAS Y MAR AFUERA DEL ATLANTICO Y DEL CARIBE-
904 AM AST VIERNES 18 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2016

ESTA PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES DEL TIEMPO PELIGROSAS ES PARA
PUERTO RICO Y LAS AGUAS COSTERAS ADYACENTES DEL ATLANTICO.

.DIA UNO...HOY Y ESTA NOCHE

.INUNDACIONES...INUNDACIONES GENERALIZADAS POSIBLES, CAUSANDO
MAYOR IMPACTO EN ESTRUCTURAS Y CIERRES DE CARRETERAS. UNA VIGILANCIA
DE INUNDACIONES REPENTINAS ESTA EN EFECTO DESDE LAS 2 PM ESTA TARDE
HASTA EL SABADO EN LA MANANA.

.TRONADAS...EXISTE UNA PROBABILIDAD MODERADA DE TRONADAS CON LLUVIAS
FUERTES Y VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS BREVES ESTA TARDE A TRAVES DE PORCIONES
DEL INTERIOR ESTE, EL INTERIOR Y OESTE DE PUERTO RICO.

.DIAS DOS HASTA SIETE...SABADO A JUEVES

UN AMBIENTE MUY HUMEDO CON UN FLUJO DE VIENTO DEL SURESTE, UNA
VAGUADA EN EL CANAL DE LA MONA, UNA ZONA FRONTAL JUSTO AL NOROESTE
DEL AREA DE PRONOSTICO Y ALGO DE CALENTAMIENTO EN EL INTERIOR DE
PUERTO RICO CREARAN CONDICIONES CONDUCENTES A LLUVIAS MUY FUERTES
QUE PROBABLEMENTE CAUSARAN INUNDACIONES DE RIACHUELOS Y RIOS EN
PUERTO RICO CON LA ENFASIS EN EL INTERIOR, OESTE Y NOROESTE DE
PUERTO RICO EL SABADO

.COMUNICADO SOBRE INFORMACION REPORTADA POR OBSERVADORES...

SE LES EXHORTA A LOS OBSERVADORES A REPORTAR INUNDACIONES AL
SERVICIO NACIONAL DE METEOROLOGIA EN SAN JUAN.

AMZ715-725-VIZ001-002-191315-
SAN TOMAS SAN JOHN E ISLAS ADYACENTES-SANTA CRUZ-
AGUAS CERCA DE LA COSTA DEL ATLANTICO Y AGUAS COSTERAS ADYACENTES
DEL CARIBE-
904 AM AST VIERNES 18 DE NOVIEMBRE DE 2016

ESTA PERSPECTIVA SOBRE LAS CONDICIONES PELIGROSAS DEL TIEMPO ES PARA
LAS ISLAS VIRGENES AMERICANAS Y LAS AGUAS COSTERAS ADYACENTES.

.DIA UNO...HOY Y ESTA NOCHE

.TRONADAS...EXISTE UN POTENCIAL DE TRONADAS CON LLUVIAS FUERTES Y
VIENTOS EN RAFAGAS BREVES ESTA MANANA A TRAVES DE LAS AGUAS
CIRCUNDANTES DE LAS ISLAS. ALGUNA DE ESTA ACTIVIDAD PODRIA
APROXIMARSE A PORCIONES DE LAS ISLAS VIRGENES DURANTE EL DIA.

.DIAS DOS HASTA SIETE...SABADO A JUEVES

LA HUMEDAD AUMENTARA A TRAVES DEL AREA DE PRONOSTICO HASTA EL FIN DE
SEMANA Y TEMPRANO LA SEMANA PROXIMA A MEDIDA QUE UNA ZONA FRONTAL
SOBRE LAS AGUAS DEL ATLANTICO Y UNA VAGUADA EN LA SUPERFICIE
INDUCIDA SE EXTIENDA A TRAVES DEL ESTE DEL CARIBE.

.COMUNICADO SOBRE INFORMACION REPORTADA POR OBSERVADORES...

NO SE ANTICIPA ACTIVACION AMPLIA DE OBSERVADORES.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 18, 12:03 PM AST, 3 hours 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1203 PM AST FRI NOV 18 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0439 AM     DEBRIS FLOW      4 S YABUCOA             18.00N 65.89W
11/18/2016                   MAUNABO            PR   911 CALL CENTER

            MUDSLIDE ON HIGHWAY 3 AT KM 111.2

&&

WSNELL
Local storm report, Nov 18, 1:22 PM AST, 1 hour 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
122 PM AST FRI NOV 18 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     DEBRIS FLOW      SALINAS                 17.98N 66.30W
11/18/2016                   SALINAS            PR   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MINOR MUDSLIDE OVER HIGHWAY 1 IN SECTOR PARCEL VASQUEZ

&&

WSNELL

The radar

The San Juan radar (TJUA), 55 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:08 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.

Tornado, Manati

When
November 18, 3:10 PM AST to 3:20 PM AST
Where
Manati County, 0.71 mi NNW of Manati to 1.14 mi NW of Manati
Rating
EF0
Path length
0.62 mi
Path width
1,091.2 yd
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
NWS Storm Survey
Coordinates
18.430, -66.483

A Tornado was reported at the urban area of Manati. Among the structural damages identified were weak structures in a highly populated area, structural damages due to flying debris, galvanized roofs and medium to large size trees were ripped off.

What these are

Tornado
A violently rotating column of air in contact with the ground and extending from a thunderstorm, filed with its path, width and Fujita or Enhanced Fujita rating from the damage survey.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Puerto Rico in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Puerto Rico, 2016Warnings in Puerto Rico, November 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 666193.