Blizzard in Pennsylvania, January 22 to 24, 2016

Name: Blizzard in Pennsylvania, January 22 to 24, 2016
Start: 2016-01-22T17:00
End: 2016-01-24T02:00
Location: Pennsylvania

January 22 to 24, 2016 · NWS PHI · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

An impulse from the west coast traversed the midsection of the country, then developed into a low pressure system as it tracked across the Gulf states before intensifying along the Carolina coast into a major nor'easter, producing record snowfall in eastern Pennsylvania from late January 22nd into early January 24th. It then moved out to sea after passing by the mid-Atlantic coast early on…

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

Tornadoes
Tropical storms and surge
Floods
Wind
Hail
Winter weather
Heat and drought
Cold
Fire, smoke and dust
Marine and coastal
Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths: 8
Injuries: 0
Property damage: None recorded
Crop damage: None recorded
Events: 4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PHI wrote it up.

Snow began falling during the Friday afternoon commute on January 22nd, then continued, heavy at times, Friday night into early Sunday morning. Wind gusts over 35 MPH produced blizzard conditions as visibilities dropped to one-quarter mile or less in spots. Some representative snowfall totals include: 33.5 inches in Laureldale (Berks County), 30.0 inches in Perkasie (Bucks), 23.0 in Furlong (Bucks), 18 inches near Palmerton (Carbon), 30.1 inches in Malvern (Chester), 22 inches in Bromall (Delaware), 32.0 inches in Center Valley (Lehigh), 17.5 inches in Stroudsburg (Monroe), 31.0 inches in Eagleville (Montgomery), 31.1 inches in Forks Township (Northampton), and 22.3 inches at Fire Station 78 in Philadelphia.

This storm set several new snowfall records at Allentown. A total of 30.2 inches of snow fell at the Lehigh Valley International Airport on the 23rd, establishing a new record for the date. The previous record daily maximum snowfall for January 23rd was 7.7 inches set in 1966. It was the greatest calendar day snowfall at Allentown, replacing the 24.0 inches that fell on February 11, 1983. The two-day total for this storm was 31.9 inches at Allentown, which is a new record as well. The previous record two-day snowfall total was 25.6 inches set on January 7 and 8, 1996. Allentown's normal seasonal snowfall of 32.9 inches was almost exceeded by this one storm. Also, the liquid equivalent precipitation total at the Lehigh Valley International Airport was 1.65 inches on January 23rd, establishing a new record for the date. The previous record daily precipitation total for January 23rd was 1.39 inches set in 1983.

A total of 19.4 inches of snow fell at the Philadelphia International Airport on January 23rd, establishing a new record for the date. The previous record daily maximum snowfall for January 23rd was 11.9 inches set in 1935. It was the 5th greatest calendar day snowfall at Philadelphia with the top spot being held by the 27.6 inches of snow that fell on January 7, 1996. The two-day total for this storm was 22.4 inches at Philadelphia, which is exactly equal to the city's normal snowfall for the entire season. The two-day storm total of 22.4 inches was the 4th greatest on record for Philadelphia dating back to the 1870s. The greatest two-day total on record is 30.7 inches on January 7-8, 1996.

Power outages were minimal during this event, in part due to the strong winds which prevented snow from accumulating on trees and wires, but not so strong as to knock them down. Philadelphia Electric Company reported only 140 customers in the five-county southeast Pennsylvania region without power on Saturday. Numerous stranded vehicles were reported throughout eastern Pennsylvania because of poor driving conditions produced by heavy snow. In Montgomery County alone, more than 300 stranded-vehicle calls came into the 911 center from Friday night into Saturday afternoon. Snow removal costs totaled from $300-500 K in the city of Bethlehem. In Philadelphia, the total cost for snow removal was over $7 million.

Five deaths were reported in eastern Pennsylvania as a result of this blizzard. A 55-year-old Allentown man was found unconscious in his car on Sunday, January 24th after being overcome by exhaust fumes, and died the following Tuesday from related complications. A 54-year-old Allentown man collapsed from a heart attack Saturday night, January 23rd while shoveling snow. A 56-year-old Muhlenburg Township (Berks County) man died from carbon monoxide poisoning after his idling car was buried in snow from a passing plow on Saturday evening, January 24th. An 18-year-old Pottstown (Montgomery County) woman died on Sunday, January 25th after shoveling snow. Finally, an 88-year-old Lower Providence Township (Montgomery County) man died on Saturday, January 24th after shoveling snow.

Pennsylvania Governor Tom Wolf declared a State of Emergency on Thursday, January 21st for the duration of the event. Schools and many businesses recessed early on Friday afternoon in anticipation of the storm. Philadelphia International Airport canceled all Saturday flights, and 155 departures and 133 arrivals scheduled for Sunday. Governor Wolf stated the costs to the state were over $55 million and he has requested Federal Disaster Assistance. On March 23, 2016, President Obama declared the following counties federal disaster areas: Berks, Bucks, Chester, Lehigh, Montgomery, Northampton, and Philadelphia. This declaration makes federal funding available on a cost-sharing basis for hazard mitigation and snow assistance for a continuous 480hour period during the storm.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 22, 4:14 PM EST, 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 22, 4:14 PM EST, 46 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
414 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES,
STRENGTHENING AS IT PUSHES EASTWARD AND PASSES OFF THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST TONIGHT. THE LOW WILL THEN TRACK NORTHEASTWARD AND
OUT TO SEA OVER THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
REGION, SLIDING TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA LATE MONDAY. A
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT FOLLOWED BY A RETURN
TO HIGH PRESSURE. ANOTHER SYSTEM MAY IMPACT THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
THE STORM SYSTEM THAT WILL IMPACT THE AREA WAS TRANSFERRING ITS ENERGY
FROM THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TO THE GEORGIA COAST THIS AFTERNOON.
THE COASTAL LOW WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN AS IT TRACKS UP THE SOUTHEAST
COAST THIS EVENING AND JUST EAST OF MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY BY
DAYBREAK SATURDAY MORNING.

WE EXPANDED THE BLIZZARD WARNING TO A TIER OF ZONES BOTH TO THE
WEST AND EAST OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. SEE /PHLWSWPHI/ FOR MORE DETAILS.

SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE WITH THE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON
REGARDING SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. WE SAW THE MAJORITY OF THE 12Z GUIDANCE
(EXCEPT FOR THE ECMWF) SHIFT THE TRACK OF THE STORM SYSTEM CLOSER TO
OUR AREA. THIS FARTHER NORTH TREND PUTS SE PA (INCLUDING PHILLY),
S/C NJ AND THE NRN DELMARVA UNDERNEATH THE AXIS FOR THE HEAVIEST
SNOW. FORECAST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN THESE AREAS WERE INCREASED BY
ALMOST A HALF FOOT, RESULTING IN STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 16-24
INCHES. THE NORTHWARD SHIFT ALSO PUTS AREAS TO THE NORTH (I-78
CORRIDOR) THAT WERE ON THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THE PRECIPITATION IN A
BAND OF 10-16 INCHES. ALL GUIDANCE BUT THE NAM CONTINUES TO SHOW
SNOW AMOUNTS TAPERING OFF QUICKLY AS YOU HEAD TOWARD THE I-80
CORRIDOR AS WELL AS CLOSER TO THE DE AND SE NJ COAST DUE TO MIXING.
ADDITIONAL REFINEMENTS TO THE FORECAST MAY BE NEEDED ON BOTH THE
SOUTHEASTERN AND NORTHERN SIDE OF THESE TIGHT SNOWFALL GRADIENTS.

THE FASTER START TIME FOR THE SNOW HAS PANNED OUT. IT'S ALREADY
SNOWING AS OF 330 PM AT KDOV AND KESN. THE WORDING IN THE WINTER
HEADLINES WERE UPDATED EARLIER TO ACCOUNT FOR THE QUICKER ARRIVAL OF
THE SNOW. A SPS WAS ISSUED FOR SOUTH OF PHILLY AS THE SNOW WILL
IMPACT THIS EVENING'S COMMUTE HOME. ONCE THE SNOW STARTS, IT WON'T
TAKE LONG FOR IT TO BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY IN INTENSITY. WITH
TEMPS IN THE 20S, IT WILL QUICKLY STICK ON UNTREATED ROADS. SNOWFALL
RATES OF 1"/HR COULD OCCUR IN THE DELMARVA AND MAYBE THE SOUTHERN-
MOST PART OF NJ DURING RUSH HOUR.

THE FRONT END OF THIS EVENT WILL BE IMPRESSIVE AS 4 TO 10 INCHES OF
SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED FROM THE PHILLY METRO AND CENTRAL NJ SOUTHWARD
JUST THROUGH TONIGHT WITH THE HIGHEST OF THESE AMOUNTS SOUTH OF
PHILLY.

WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY LATE TONIGHT AS THE LOW DEEPENS OFF
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
OVERNIGHT ESPECIALLY FROM I-95 SOUTH AND EASTWARD (MINUS SRN DE AND
FAR SE NJ WHERE IT WILL START TO MIX WITH SLEET AND RAIN BY THE
TIME THE STRONG WINDS ARRIVE).

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
HEAVY SNOW AND STRONG WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR ON SATURDAY. TRAVEL WILL BE
EXTREMELY DIFFICULT, IF NOT IMPOSSIBLE ACROSS A GOOD PART OF THE
AREA. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE SNOW WILL BECOME PARTICULARLY
HEAVY/WET ON SATURDAY AS MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWS A SIGNIFICANT AMOUNT
OF RIMING. POWER OUTAGES COULD BE EXTENSIVE AT THE HEIGHT OF THE
STORM DUE TO THE HEAVY WET SNOW AND STRONG WINDS. ADDITIONALLY,
EXTENSIVE POWER OUTAGES AND WIND DAMAGE ARE LIKELY NEAR THE COAST
EVEN IF THEY SWITCH OVER TO RAIN WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60-65 MPH
EXPECTED. PLEASE SEE OUR LATEST HAZARDOUS WEATHER BRIEFING AND THE
WSW TEXT PRODUCT FOR A FULL DESCRIPTION OF OUR EXPECTED IMPACTS FROM
THIS STORM.

THE DRY SLOT ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW, WHICH IS SEEN
CLEARLY ON THIS AFTERNOON'S WATER VAPOR SATELLITE LOOP OVER GEORGIA,
IS FORECAST TO ADVANCE NORTHWARD UP THE COAST ON SATURDAY. WE'LL
ALSO HAVE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESSION IT AS THERE COULD BE A
TEMPORARY LULL IN PRECIP AND IT COULD POTENTIALLY RESULT IN LOWER
THAN FORECAST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. THERE IS INDICATION FROM THE
GUIDANCE THAT IT MAY REACH THE DE BAY LATE MORNING-AFTERNOON AND
PERHAPS EVEN SLIGHTLY FARTHER NORTH.

THE MODELS ARE SHOWING THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT MESOSCALE
BANDING TO THE NW OF THE LOW (JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE DRY SLOT AND
RAIN-SNOW LINE). THERE IS DISAGREEMENT THOUGH REGARDING THE EXACT
PLACEMENT OF IT AND DURATION OF THE BAND. RIGHT NOW, WE ARE THINKING
THAT IT'LL PIVOT SOMEWHERE IN THE VICINITY OF THE PHILLY METRO
DURING THE DAY. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2-3" PER HOUR AND PERHAPS
THUNDERSNOW IS POSSIBLE UNDERNEATH THIS BAND.

WITH REGARDS TO SNOW RATIOS, THEY WILL BE LESS THAN THE TYPICAL
10:1DURING THE HEART OF THE EVENT ON SATURDAY(ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE CWA) DUE TO THE RIMING FACTOR AND POTENTIAL
FOR MIXING.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...THE STORM WILL STILL BE RAGING ON
DURING SATURDAY NIGHT BUT WILL START TO SEE THE LIGHT AT THE END OF
THIS STORMS TUNNEL. SNOW WILL CONTINUE SATURDAY NIGHT, REMAINING
HEAVY AT TIMES, WITH A TREND TOWARDS LIGHTENING UP AS WE HEAD INTO
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. MOST SNOW ACCUMULATION SHOULD BE OVER WITH BY
AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH ONLY LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION AFTER
THAT TIME. IN ADDITION, THE WINDS WILL CONTINUE BUT AGAIN THE TREND
WILL BE FOR WEAKENING TO OCCUR AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM STARTS TO
PULLS FURTHER AWAY FROM THE AREA AND THE WINDS START TO TURN MORE TO
THE NORTH.

SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY....HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE
REGION, MOVING OFF TO THE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA BY LATE MONDAY.
THIS SHOULD BRING A PERIOD OF SOME DRIER AND SLIGHTLY WARMER WEATHER
TO OUR AREA. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST WHICH SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO MODIFY. HIGHS ON MONDAY SHOULD REACH INTO THE UPPER
30S TO LOWER 40S WITH HIGHS ON TUESDAY IN THE 40S ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA. LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ACROSS THE MIDWESTERN STATES AND
GRADUALLY PUSHES EAST ON MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. AS THE LOW CROSS THE
GREAT LAKES AREA, IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT. THIS MAY BRING SOME SNOW AND/OR RAIN TO THE AREA FOR
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT, CLEARING OUT ON WEDNESDAY.

WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD INTO
THE REGION FROM THE WEST/SOUTHWEST. AS THE RIDGE OF THE HIGH STARTS
TO BUILD JUST WEST OF THE AREA, WE WILL SEE A NORTHWEST TO WEST
WIND, WHICH MAY ALLOW FOR SOME FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TO
REACH THE REGION. THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT WILL BE SITTING WELL
OFFSHORE AND WILL HAVE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOP ALONG IT AND THEN TRACK
UP THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC SEABOARD. AS OF NOW, THE MODEL GUIDANCE KEEPS
THE CENTER OF THIS SYSTEM OFFSHORE BUT WE COULD SEE SOME
PRECIPITATION MAKE ITS WAY INTO THE AREA TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON...VFR CIRRUS CIGS LOWERING WITH IFR
SNOW BREAKING OUT KPHL/KILG AND KMIV BETWEEN 23Z-24Z/22. NORTH TO
NORTHEAST WIND AROUND 10 KT WITH SCATTERED GUSTS AROUND 20 KT.

TONIGHT...THE 18Z TAFS ARE POSTED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. IFR VARIABLE
LIFR IN SNOW, OCCASIONALLY HEAVY WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW
DEVELOPING WHEN NORTHEAST WIND GUSTS INCREASE TO BETWEEN 25 AND 45
KT AFTER 05Z/23. AIRPORT CLOSURES WITH PLOWING. FOUR TO 8 INCHES OF
NEW DIFFICULT TO MEASURE SNOW ON THE GROUND AT ALL TAF SITES BY 12Z/23...
HEAVIEST PROBABLY KPHL/PNE AND KILG.

SATURDAY...IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY WITH ALMOST
CONTINUOUS HOURLY MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING-DRIFTING SNOW
AT ALL TAF SITES EXCEPT A POSSIBLE BRIEF CHANGE TO RAIN OR SLEET
KMIV/KACY DURING MORNING-MIDDAY. NE WINDS GUST 30 TO 40 KT EXCEPT
NEAR 50 KT KACY. WINDS TURNING NORTHERLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
GUSTS MAY DIMINISH 5 TO 10 KTS BY 23Z/23.

OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO MVFR
AND POSSIBLY VFR BY SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH IMPACT STORM WILL CONTINUE
INTO SATURDAY NIGHT WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS INTO SUNDAY. SNOW WILL
CONTINUE SATURDAY NIGHT, HEAVY AT TIMES, BUT WITH A TREND TOWARDS
LIGHTENING AND ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT/EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING. SOME MIXING MAY OCCUR CLOSER TO KACY AND KMIV BUT A
CHANGEOVER TO ALL SNOW IS EXPECTED BEFORE THE STORM ENDS. NORTHEAST
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST AROUND 30 TO 40 KNOTS SATURDAY NIGHT BUT
THE GUSTS WILL COME DOWN QUICKLY, FALLING BELOW 20 KNOTS BY SUNDAY
MORNING AS THE WINDS TURN MORE TO THE NORTH AND THEN NORTHWEST.
ANY DRIER SNOW WILL TOSSED AROUND AND BLOWN ACROSS THE AIRFIELDS.

MONDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

TUESDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. INCREASING CLOUDINESS
WITH A CHANCE FOR SOME RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS, WHICH MAY CAUSE
MVFR CONDITIONS TO OCCUR.

WEDNESDAY...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
**STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 KT WILL OCCUR AT TIMES BETWEEN
  4 AM AND 6 PM SATURDAY AND ALL SMALL CRAFT SHOULD BE SAFELY IN
  PORT BY 6 PM THIS EVENING**

ISOLATED GUSTS TO 65 KT-HURRICANE FORCE, ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
MORNING.

A DANGEROUS NOR'EASTER IS COMING WITH A 20 KT INCREASE IN
SUSTAINED WINDS FCST BETWEEN 6 PM AND MIDNIGHT...AND ANOTHER 15 KT
INCREASE BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6 AM SATURDAY.

THERE MAY BE A LULL IN THE WIND OFF DELAWARE MIDDAY TOMORROW AS THE
STORM CENTER APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH,  THEN STORM FORCE NORTHERLY
WINDS WILL RESUME THERE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

HEAVY SNOW AT THE FRONT OF THE STORM WILL CHANGE TO RAIN SATURDAY
MORNING FROM NEAR BARNEGAT LIGHT SOUTH THEN, AFTER A LULL IN PCPN
MIDDAY IT SHOULD CHANGE TO PERIODS OF SNOW LATE IN THE DAY.

THE GFS WAVE WATCH SEAS FORECAST LOOKS TO BE BIASED WAY TOO LOW...
ALREADY UNDER DONE BY A FOOT IN THE SOUTHERN WATERS. HAVE RAISED
THOSE FORECAST SEAS BY 5 FT SO THAT SEAS SHOULD INCREASE AT THE
BUOYS 44009 AND 44091 TO AROUND 22 FT BY 10 AM SATURDAY.

OUTLOOK...
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...NORTHEAST WINDS OF 30 TO 40 KNOTS
SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS UP AROUND 50 KNOTS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL START TO
COME DOWN THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. AS WE HEAD INTO SUNDAY
MORNING, THE WINDS WILL START TO TURN MORE TO THE NORTH AND THEN
NORTHWEST. AS THE WINDS SHIFT, THE SPEEDS AND GUSTS WILL START TO
DIMINISH, FALLING BELOW 25 KNOTS BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

SEAS WILL REMAIN AROUND 8 TO 12 FEET AND WILL DIMINISH THROUGH
SUNDAY AS THE SYSTEM STARTS TO PULL AWAY.

SUNDAY NIGHT...SEAS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE THROUGH THE NIGHT,
FALLING BELOW 5 FEET BY LATE MONDAY MORNING. ONCE THE SEAS FALL
BELOW 5 FEET, ANY LINGERING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES SHOULD BE ABLE TO
BE DROPPED.

MONDAY...SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE AREA WATERS AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION.

TUESDAY...WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY AROUND 25 KNOTS AND SEAS MAY NEAR 5
FEET ON TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED.

WEDNESDAY...SUB-ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE AREA
WATERS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
I WANT TO START OFF BY POINTING OUT THAT WATER LEVELS HAVE BEEN
RATCHETED UP ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND AND DELAWARE.

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 400 AM SATURDAY UNTIL NOON
SUNDAY. IT INCLUDES THE NEW JERSEY COUNTIES OF MIDDLESEX, MONMOUTH,
OCEAN, SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON, ATLANTIC, CAPE MAY AND CUMBERLAND,
AND THE DELAWARE COUNTIES OF SUSSEX AND KENT.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR NEW CASTLE COUNTY IN
DELAWARE AND FOR SALEM COUNTY IN NEW JERSEY FOR MINOR FLOODING IN
THOSE COUNTIES. IT IS IN EFFECT FROM 800 AM SATURDAY UNTIL 200 PM
SUNDAY.

FOR MIDDLESEX AND MONMOUTH, WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS
EXPECTED ON SATURDAY MORNING WITH MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING
ANTICIPATED FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

FOR OCEAN, ATLANTIC, BURLINGTON, AND CUMBERLAND  COUNTIES,
WIDESPREAD MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS EXPECTED WITH EMBEDDED AREAS
OF MAJOR.

FOR CAPE MAY, SUSSEX, AND KENT COUNTIES, WIDESPREAD MAJOR COASTAL
FLOODING IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY MORNING WITH MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING AND EMBEDDED MAJOR ANTICIPATED FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING.

FOR NEW CASTLE AND SALEM COUNTY, MINOR FLOODING IS ANTICIPATED
AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE ON SATURDAY, SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

THE COASTAL FLOODING THREAT WILL LAST FOR THREE CONSECUTIVE HIGH
TIDE CYCLES ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AS WATER IS PUSHED UP AGAINST THE
COAST AND INTO THE BACK BAYS AND ESTUARIES. THE STORM WILL COINCIDE
WITH THE FULL MOON, SO THE BASE ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL BE HIGH AND
IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH OF A SURGE TO PRODUCE FLOODING.

THE BRISK NORTHEAST WIND SHOULD ACT TO PUSH WATER DOWN THE TIDAL
DELAWARE RIVER AND DOWN THE UPPER PART OF CHESAPEAKE BAY. AS A
RESULT, IT DOES NOT APPEAR THERE WILL BE ANY TIDAL FLOODING IN
THOSE AREAS.

ADDRESSING IMPACTS...MODELS, ALL WEEK, HAVE BEEN PRODUCING THE
HIGHEST TIDAL ANOMALIES ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE.
CAN'T ARGUE WITH THAT. IT'S TRACK RELATED. AS MENTIONED AT THE TOP,
PREDICTED WATER LEVELS HAVE INCREASED. THAT SAID, COMPARED TO
PREVIOUS STORMS, WATER LEVELS ARE NOW CURRENTLY FORECAST TO APPROACH
THE TOP 5 RECORDED LEVELS IN CAPE MAY AND LEWES AND THE TOP 10 IN
ATLANTIC CITY. IMPACTS ARE FORECAST TO BE LESS SEVERE, BUT STILL
NOTABLE, ACROSS THE NORTHERN NEW JERSEY COAST. PLEASE REFER TO AHPS
FOR MORE INFORMATION REGARDING AN HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE.

I HAVE RECEIVED A COUPLE QUESTIONS ABOUT ICE. I'LL ADDRESS IT HERE.
IT HAS BEEN COLD ENOUGH THE LAST FEW DAYS FOR ICE FORMATION, MAINLY
BORDER ICE. WE'RE SEEING ICE ACROSS MORE OF THE SHELTERED TIDAL
ESTUARIES THAN ANYWHERE ELSE ALONG THE COAST. AS THE TIDES RISE,
THIS BORDER ICE WILL RELEASE, BREAK UP, AND BEGIN TO FLOW WITH THE
TIDES. THE RISING TIDAL WATERS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO OVERTOP THE ICE
AND EXACERBATE FLOODING FURTHER. THAT SAID, ANY ICE THAT DOES BREAK
UP COULD MOVE INLAND DURING THE TIME OF INUNDATION.

&&

.CLIMATE...
PERSPECTIVE...WHAT IT TAKES FOR HISTORIC AROUND HERE.

TWO DAY RANKED SNOWFALL AND ENDING DATE AS DERIVED FROM THE
AVAILABLE DATA IN OUR CLIMATE DATABASE:

ALLENTOWN
#1  25.6 1/8/1996
#10 17.8 2/10/2010

ATLANTIC CITY
#1  20.0 2/17/2003
#10 16.3 1/26/1987

PHILADELPHIA
#1  30.7 1/8/1996
#10 19.4 4/4/1915

WILMINGTON DE
#1  25.8 2/6/2010
#10 18.0 1/24/1935

PLEASE SEE SOCIAL MEDIA FOR ALL THE YEARS BETWEEN 1 AND 10.

RECORD DAILY WATER EQUIV AND SNOW

    1/22                  1/23
ACY 1.03-1954  5.0-1954   2.09-1998 1.2-1948
PHL 1.03-1987 10.8-2005   2.32-1998 11.9-1935
ILG 2.60-1902 12.0-1987   2.51-1998 3.9-1982
ABE 1.06-1987 11.1-1987   1.39-1983 7.7-1966

TTN 1.20-1987             2.30-1998
GED 1.52-1954             1.22-2006
RDG 1.11-1891             1.18-1966
MPO 1.68-1958             2.10-1987

NORMAL SNOWFALL FOR AN ENTIRE SEASON IS LISTED BELOW.

THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT ENTIRE SEASONS NORMAL SNOWFALL WILL
OCCUR IN ONE STORM, BY MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT.

PHILADELPHIA  22.4
ALLENTOWN     32.9
ATLANTIC CITY 16.5
WILMINGTON    20.2

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR PAZ061-062.
     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR PAZ070-071-101>106.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
     SUNDAY FOR PAZ060.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR PAZ054-055.
NJ...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR NJZ007-008.
     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
     NJZ009-010-012>015.
     COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO NOON EST SUNDAY
     FOR NJZ012>014-020>027.
     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR NJZ016>022-026-027.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST
     SATURDAY NIGHT FOR NJZ023>025.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
     SUNDAY FOR NJZ023>025.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 AM SATURDAY TO 2 PM EST SUNDAY
     FOR NJZ016.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR NJZ001.
DE...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO NOON EST SUNDAY
     FOR DEZ002>004.
     BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR DEZ001-002.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST
     SATURDAY NIGHT FOR DEZ003-004.
     WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
     SUNDAY FOR DEZ003-004.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 8 AM SATURDAY TO 2 PM EST SUNDAY
     FOR DEZ001.
MD...BLIZZARD WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST SUNDAY
     FOR MDZ008-012-015-019-020.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY FOR
     ANZ450>455.
     STORM WARNING FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR ANZ430.
     STORM WARNING FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY FOR ANZ431.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MEOLA
NEAR TERM...KLEIN
SHORT TERM...KLEIN
LONG TERM...MEOLA
AVIATION...DRAG/MEOLA
MARINE...DRAG/MEOLA
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...KRUZDLO
CLIMATE...BUNKER/GAINES/FRANCK/DRAG

Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 22, 3:41 PM EST, 1 hour 19 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

NJZ007-008-PAZ061-062-232045-
WARREN-MORRIS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PAZ060-232045-
BERKS-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ002-NJZ020>022-026-027-232045-
KENT-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO NOON EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-101>106-232045-
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
LOWER BUCKS-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND...SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ003-004-NJZ023>025-232045-
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM
EST SUNDAY...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO MIDNIGHT EST
SATURDAY NIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO NOON EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ009-010-015-232045-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ001-NJZ016-232045-
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM SATURDAY TO 2 PM EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ012>014-232045-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO NOON EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BLIZZARD WARNING.
   COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-232045-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM SATURDAY TO 10 AM EST
SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ450>455-232045-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SATURDAY TO 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ430-232045-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ431-232045-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
341 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   STORM WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jan 22, 3:14 PM EST, 1 hour 46 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
314 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ016>018-021>025-PAZ070-071-
101-102-104-230015-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...
MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...
ATLANTIC CITY...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...
WEST CHESTER...KENNETT SQUARE...NORRISTOWN...LANSDALE
314 PM EST FRI JAN 22 2016

...SNOW TO CAUSE SLIPPERY TRAVEL BY 6 OR 7 PM FROM NEAR PHILADELPHIA
SOUTH AND WEST...

SNOW WILL DEVELOP OVER MARYLANDS UPPER EASTERN SHORE AND DELAWARE
BY 530 PM, REACHING PHILADELPHIA AND NEARBY SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA
AND SOUTHWESTERN NEW JERSEY COMMUNITIES, BETWEEN 6 AND 7 PM.

ALL UNTREATED SURFACES WILL QUICKLY BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY.

ONE TO 2 INCHES OF NEW SNOW WILL BE ON THE GROUND OVER NORTHEAST
MARYLAND AND ALL OF DELAWARE BY 7 PM WITH AROUND ONE HALF INCH OF
NEW SNOW IN SOUTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND NEAR PHILADELPHIA.

SNOW WILL BE MODERATE AT TIMES THIS EVENING WITH VISIBILITY LOWERING
TO ONE HALF MILE.

BE PREPARED FOR RAPIDLY DETERIORATING ROAD CONDITIONS DURING THIS
EVENINGS COMMUTE.

DRAG

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 blizzard. Local standard time, as filed.

Blizzard, Eastern Montgomery

When: January 22, 5:00 PM EST to January 24, 2:00 AM EST
Where: Eastern Montgomery forecast zone
Deaths: 0 direct, 2 indirect
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 40.211, -75.367 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snow began during the late afternoon hours on Friday, January 22nd, and continued through the overnight hours, through Saturday, into Saturday night. Winds gusting over 35 mph late Friday night and Saturday reduced visibilities to under one-quarter mile at times. Some representative snowfall totals include 30.0 inches in Norristown, 28.0 inches in North Wales, 25.5 inches in Montgomeryville, and 23.0 inches in Maple Glen.

Blizzard, Upper Bucks

When: January 22, 5:00 PM EST to January 24, 2:00 AM EST
Where: Upper Bucks forecast zone
Deaths: 0 direct, 2 indirect
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 40.337, -75.107 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snow began during the late afternoon hours on Friday, January 22nd, and continued through the overnight hours, through Saturday, into Saturday night. Winds gusting over 35 mph late Friday night and Saturday reduced visibilities to under one-quarter mile at times. Some representative snowfall totals include 30.0 inches in Perkasie, 29.0 inches in West Rockhill Township, 21.5 inches in Springtown, and 18.5 in Doylestown.

Blizzard, Lower Bucks

When: January 22, 5:00 PM EST to January 24, 2:00 AM EST
Where: Lower Bucks forecast zone
Deaths: 0 direct, 2 indirect
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 40.337, -75.107 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snow began during the late afternoon hours on Friday, January 22nd, and continued through the overnight hours, through Saturday, into Saturday night. Winds gusting over 35 mph late Friday night and Saturday reduced visibilities to under one-quarter mile at times. Some representative snowfall totals include 27.0 inches in Washingtons Crossing, 24.0 inches in Richboro, 23.0 inches in Furlong, 20.5 inches in Bensalem, and 16.0 inches in Morrisville.

Blizzard, Philadelphia

When: January 22, 5:00 PM EST to January 24, 2:00 AM EST
Where: Philadelphia forecast zone
Deaths: 0 direct, 2 indirect
Reported by: Trained Spotter
Coordinates: 40.008, -75.134 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Snow began during the late afternoon hours on Friday, January 22nd, and continued through the overnight hours, through Saturday, into Saturday night. Winds gusting over 35 mph late Friday night and Saturday reduced visibilities to under one-quarter mile at times. Some snowfall totals include 22.4 inches at Philadelphia International Airport, 22.3 inches at Philadelphia Fire Station 78, 20.0 in Port Richmond, 18.2 inches at Fire Station 66, 17.8 inches at Fire Station 33, 17.1 inches in Spring Garden (OEM), and 16.0 inches in Somerton.

The 22.4 inch storm total snowfall at Philadelphia International Airport is exactly equal to the City's normal snowfall for the entire season. This was also the 4th greatest two-day total on record dating back to the 1870s. The greatest two-day total on record is 30.7 inches set during the January 7-8, 1996 storm. In addition, a total of 19.4 inches of snow fell at the Philadelphia International Airport on Saturday, January 23rd, establishing a new record for the date. The previous record daily maximum snowfall for January 23rd was 11.9 inches set in 1935.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

Event	Date	Age	Sex	Where	Kind
Blizzard, Eastern Montgomery	2016-01-23	54	Male	Outside/Open Areas	Indirect
Blizzard, Eastern Montgomery	2016-01-26	55	Male	Vehicle/Towed Trailer	Indirect
Blizzard, Upper Bucks	2016-01-23	54	Male	Outside/Open Areas	Indirect
Blizzard, Upper Bucks	2016-01-26	55	Male	Vehicle/Towed Trailer	Indirect
Blizzard, Lower Bucks	2016-01-23	54	Male	Outside/Open Areas	Indirect
Blizzard, Lower Bucks	2016-01-26	55	Male	Vehicle/Towed Trailer	Indirect
Blizzard, Philadelphia	2016-01-23	54	Male	Outside/Open Areas	Indirect
Blizzard, Philadelphia	2016-01-26	55	Male	Vehicle/Towed Trailer	Indirect

What these are

Blizzard: Sustained winds or frequent gusts of 35 mph or more with falling or blowing snow that cuts visibility below a quarter mile for three hours or longer.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

Every storm in Pennsylvania in 2016 Every state in 2016 This day in weather history Warnings in Pennsylvania, January 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 610536, 610537, 610538, 610540.