An incoming front brought a brief period of strong winds to some south central Oregon locations.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MFR wrote it up.
An incoming front brought a brief period of strong winds to some south central Oregon locations.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 25, 8:03 PM PST, 3 hours 37 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
803 PM PST Fri Nov 25 2016
.UPDATE...A few changes were necessary this evening, mainly just
to increase winds along the coast and over the East Side. This was
mostly in regards to the updated models, showing some slight
changes in timing and strength of the low pressure moving onshore.
Otherwise, the forecast appears to be on track. For more
information, see the previous discussion below. -BPN
&&
.AVIATION...26/00Z TAF cycle...Generally VFR conditions exist this
afternoon as one frontal boundary pushes inland and another front
develops offshore and moves toward the coast. Given the southerly
flow, the lowest conditions will continue to be around the Mount
Shasta area and on the south side of other high terrain. Winds
aloft are increasing from the south today, and where these winds are
not surfacing, low level wind shear (LLWS) is likely.
As the front moves closer to the coast tonight, south winds should
increase further, and this will generate increased chances for
turbulence, especially to the north of high terrain.
Ceilings will lower to MVFR Saturday from west to east as the front
moves inland, mountain obscuration will increase, and freezing
levels will lower.
Note: The ceilometer at FAA site KOTH remains out of service, so
there will be no ceiling observations available generally between
the hours of 04Z and 14Z.
&&
.MARINE...Updated 500 PM PST Friday 25 November 2016...Southerly
winds will increase again and expand in coverage across the waters
this afternoon into tonight with gales mainly beyond 10NM from shore
as low pressure approaches from the southwest. Seas will become wind
wave dominated and very high this evening while building to a new
peak.
There will be modest improvement behind the low on Saturday.
Westerly winds will approach advisory strength while seas will
remain high and very steep due to west swell. Seas are likely to
remain high through the middle of the week as the active pattern
continues.
Very high and very long period swell on Tuesday continues on track
with the past four consecutive runs of the wave watch. On Tuesday
afternoon northwesterly swell of 18 feet at 18 seconds is currently
projected.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 321 PM PST Fri Nov 25 2016/
DISCUSSION...Scattered showers remain over southern Oregon and
northern California mainly west of the Cascades. The showers are
light and are not expected to be anything but light through
sunset. The next well defined but not very large short wave is
crossing 130 W longitude at this time. The low center is moving
eastward pretty much along 40 N latitude. The GFS seems to have a
good handle on it and brings the precipitation associated with it
onshore sometime around midnight tonight. Precipitation will be
concentrated along the southern Oregon coast...southwest Josephine
County and western Siskiyou County overnight. As this system moves
through...snow levels will drop from around 5500 feet to 4500 feet
by morning.
Attention...the Flood Warning for the Coquille River at Coquille
has been cancelled, but the product remains on the NWS web because
of technical difficulties. We are not expecting any river flooding
through the rest of the weekend.
Following this system...the trof axis will move inland putting
the area under northwest flow and colder air will continue to
infiltrate the area. A system will track into the area from this
northwest flow Saturday late afternoon through Sunday morning.
Snow levels will continue to fall and bottom out to between 2500
and 3000 feet by Sunday morning. This will affect travel over all
higher passes in the Cascades. Siskiyou Summit on I-5 should also
see snow but how much is still in question. Lower summits on I-5
such as Sexton should remain wet with just rain but could see some
snow mixed in with the rain.
Active northwest flow continues through Monday. So scattered to
numerous showers should continue with snow levels fluctuating
between 3000 and 4000 feet.
A well-defined cold front will move through Wednesday. Snow
levels will drop to around 3000 feet late Wednesday, so there
could be travel impacts to Interstate 5 and the Cascades passes.
Upper ridging builds late Thursday into the weekend. Valley fog
will likely increase given the recent wet weather and plenty of
low level moisture.
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...Winter Weather Advisory from 10 AM Saturday to 4 AM PST Sunday
for ORZ029-030.
Wind Advisory until 7 AM PST Saturday for ORZ030-031.
Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening ABOVE 4500
FEET for for ORZ028.
Flood Watch through Saturday morning for ORZ022.
Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening for ORZ027.
Winter Weather Advisory from 4 AM Saturday to 4 AM PST Sunday
ABOVE 4000 FEET for for ORZ027-028.
CA...Wind Advisory until 7 AM PST Saturday for CAZ085.
Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening ABOVE 4000
FEET for for CAZ082.
Winter Weather Advisory from 4 AM Saturday to 4 AM PST Sunday
ABOVE 3500 FEET for for CAZ080-082.
Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM PST this evening ABOVE 4500
FEET for for CAZ080-083.
High Wind Warning until 10 PM PST this evening for CAZ081.
Wind Advisory until 4 AM PST Saturday for CAZ081.
Winter Weather Advisory from 4 AM Saturday to 4 AM PST Sunday
for CAZ083.
Pacific Coastal Waters...Small Craft Advisory until 4 AM PST Saturday for
PZZ350-356-370-376.
Hazardous Seas Watch from Saturday afternoon through Sunday
afternoon for PZZ350-356-370-376.
Gale Warning until 4 AM PST Saturday for PZZ350-356-370-376.
Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas until 4 PM PST Saturday
for PZZ350-356-370.
Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas from 4 AM to 4 PM PST
Saturday for PZZ376.
BPN/KRS/NSK/SBNPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
916 PM PST FRI NOV 25 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0815 PM HEAVY RAIN 7 ESE COOS BAY 43.35N 124.09W
11/25/2016 U3.99 INCH COOS OR TRAINED SPOTTER
24 HOUR RAINFALL. .
&&
CCThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The Squaw Peak RAWS recorded a gust to 77 mph at 26/0039 PST and a gust to 78 mph at 26/0339 PST.
The Summer Lake RAWS recorded a gust to 69 mph at 26/0938 PST.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oregon in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Oregon, November 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 662082, 662083.