Heavy rain resulted in high river levels on New Year's Day.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ILN wrote it up.
Heavy rain resulted in high river levels on New Year's Day.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 1, 6:47 PM EST, 13 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 647 PM EST FRI JAN 1 2016 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO THE REGION WILL MEAN FEWER CLOUDS AND FLURRIES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER GREAT LAKES WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS FOR MONDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SEASONABLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH DAYTIME HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 30S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 20S. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/... TEMPS IN THE NORTHWEST APPEARED TO BE PLAYING WITH EXPECTED OVERNIGHT LOWS SO I DROPPED MIN TEMPS TONIGHT BY A FEW DEGREES IN THE NORTHWEST. WILL KEEP AN EYE ON IF THE LOSS OF CLOUD COVER WILL BE OVERCOME BY WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS TO KEEP THE FORECAST IN LINE OR IF THE WINDS DIE DOWN THAT TEMPS MAY DROP A SOLID 5 DEG OR BETTER. LOWERED SKY COVER TO NIL IN THE SRN 1/3 OF CWA AND TRIED TO TIME THE BACK EDGE OF THE LOW STRATUS THROUGH THE NORTHERN 2/3 OF CWA TONIGHT. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... WITH THE GREAT LAKES PATTERN REMAINING ACTIVE AND MUCH OF THE AREA CONTINUING UNDER NW FLOW IN ESPECIALLY THE NORTHERN 2/3 OF THE FCST AREA...MORE AMPLE CLOUDS IN THE FAR NORTH AND CONTINUED SEASONAL TEMPERATURES. ANY FLURRY ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN NORTH OF FCST AREA THOUGH. MORE AMPLE SUN IN THE SOUTH SO THERE WILL BE AN 8-10 DEGREE TEMPERATURE GRADIENT FOR SAT AND SUNDAY WITH LOW 30S NORTH AND LOW 40S SOUTHERN FCST AREA. OVERNIGHT LOWS GENERALLY IN THE 20S. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL WORK THROUGH THE REGION ON MONDAY. IN ADDITION COLDER AIR WILL BE WORKING INTO THE REGION THROUGH THE DAY AND H8 WINDS WILL BE OFF OF THE LAKES. THESE CONDITIONS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR SCATTERED SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY. ALTHOUGH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT BURSTS OF HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS OR BRIEF SNOW SQUALL TYPE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE. WINDS WILL PICK UP FOR THE DAYTIME HOURS WHICH WILL FURTHER HELP TO REDUCE VSBYS. EXPECT SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO TAPER DOWN IN THE EVENING HOWEVER SOME LINGERING CLOUD COVER WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS CENTRAL OHIO. A COLD NIGHT IS IN STORE FOR MONDAY NIGHT. HAVE THE WARMEST READINGS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL OHIO WHERE CLOUD COVER WILL LINGER LONGER HOWEVER STILL WENT WITH LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE TEENS FOR THE ENTIRE FA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN PLACE FOR LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY BEFORE BEGINNING TO PUSH OFF TO THE EAST. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL THEN ALLOW FOR A GRADUAL WARMING ACROSS THE REGION. THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE ON THURSDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM. PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. PRECIPITATION SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70 IS GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN AT THIS TIME WHILE SNOW HAS A GREATER POTENTIAL OF MIXING IN NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70. && .AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... LOW STRATUS IS SHOWING A PERSISTENT BACK EDGE OF THE CLOUD SHIELD THAT SHOULD HIT KDAY AT 0330Z AND KCMH TOWARDS 6Z IN FAVOR OF CLEAR SKIES OR SOME SCATTERED MID TO HIGH CLOUDS AROUND 12-15KFT. WESTERLY WINDS WILL KEEP UP AROUND 10KT OVERNIGHT AND SEE A SW SHIFT AS THE COLD POOL AND STRATUS EXITS OVERNIGHT. MID LEVEL S/W AND STRONG VORT MAX ALONG IT WILL HELP USHER IN CLEAR SKIES FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD WITH GENERAL DOWNWARD MOTION THROUGH A DEEP LAYER. THE COLD POOL AT THE SURFACE MAY TAKE A WHILE TO EXIT CENTRAL OHIO SO I RE-INTRODUCED THE STRATUS WITH THE THOUGHT PROCESS OF THE SUN HITTING THE COLUMN PRODUCING ANOTHER LAYER OF STRATOCU BY LATE MORNING LASTING THROUGH THE LATER PART OF THE DAY. OUTLOOK...MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS POSSIBLE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH SNOW SHOWERS. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...NONE. KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...JDR NEAR TERM...JDR/FRANKS SHORT TERM...JDR LONG TERM...NOVAK AVIATION...FRANKS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH 416 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016 INZ050-058-059-066-073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ026-034-035-042>046- 051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088-021100- WAYNE-FAYETTE-UNION-FRANKLIN-RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND- CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN- ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN- DELAWARE-MIAMI-CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-LICKING-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY- GREENE-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING- HAMILTON-CLERMONT-BROWN-HIGHLAND-ADAMS-PIKE-SCIOTO- 416 AM EST FRI JAN 1 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR INDIANA...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...CENTRAL OHIO...SOUTHWEST OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
A man jumped into the Little Miami River in Morrow after fleeing a house fire. He was swept away and killed (indirect fatality) as the river was running very high from earlier heavy rainfall.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy Rain, Warren | 2016-01-01 | 27 | Male | In Water | Indirect |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Ohio in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Ohio, January 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 613990.