Ahead of a cold front, rain showers fell on either side of dawn on the 3rd. Dew points were in the 50 to 55 degree range ahead of the front.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RLX wrote it up.
Ahead of a cold front, rain showers fell on either side of dawn on the 3rd. Dew points were in the 50 to 55 degree range ahead of the front.
The heaviest rain fell over extreme southern Lawrence County in about a 2 to 3 hour time frame. Less rain fell further north. For example, South Point measured 1.2 inches.
Minor flash flooding occurred in southern Lawrence County and closed roads.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 3, 5:54 AM EST, 1 hour 21 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 554 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016 .SYNOPSIS... STRONG COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH TODAY. COLDER WEATHER MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONT AND LASTS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... SURFACE LOW HEADING INTO THE GREAT LAKES EARLY THIS MORNING WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE CWA TODAY. ALREADY HAVE SHOWERS ENTERING WESTERN CWA AHEAD OF THIS FRONT...AND HAVE AN AREA OF 100 POPS MOVING ACROSS FORECAST AREA...EXITING TO THE EAST BY MID AFTERNOON. HAD A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES DETECTED IN PERRY COUNTY JUST BEFORE MIDNIGHT. WHILE THERE IS CURRENTLY NO LIGHTNING BEING DETECTED...KEPT AN ISOLATED THUNDER MENTION. GUSTY WINDS ONGOING EARLY THIS MORNING. ACCORDING TO THE NAM...850MB FLOW PEAKS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AND HAVE NOT SEEN ANY ADVISORY LEVEL GUSTS YET...SO FEEL FAIRLY COMFORTABLE IN NOT NEEDING AN ADVISORY. CURRENTLY HAVE SPS GOING FOR THE MOUNTAINS...WHERE HIGHEST PEAKS COULD SEE SOME 35-45 MPH GUSTS. WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO DECREASE AFTER SUNRISE AS THE 850MB JET PULLS AWAY. HOWEVER...STILL A BREEZY DAY WITH THE COLD FRONT PASSING. WITH THE CURRENT GUSTY SOUTHERLY FLOW...TEMPS HAVE BEEN HOLDING FAIRLY STEADY OR EVEN RISING SOME OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS. HAVE A NON-DIURNAL CURVE FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT. TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO FALL BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TODAY...ALTHOUGH THE COLDEST AIR LAGS A BIT BEHIND AND ARRIVES TONIGHT. HAVE AN AREA OF DRY POPS THIS EVENING BUT WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLDER AIR TONIGHT...WRAP AROUND MOISTURE WILL START SQUEEZING OUT. HAVE SPRINKLES AND LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING OVER TO FLURRIES AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. WITH SHALLOW MOISTURE...COULD END UP BEING MORE DRIZZLE. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/... FOR THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...COLD AIR ADVECTION GETS THE LOW LEVELS COLD ENOUGH THAT SOME LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. PROBLEM IS...MOISTURE DEPTH BY THAT POINT IS ONLY AROUND 850 MB AND BELOW. THEREFORE WILL KEEP POPS LOW. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BY FRIDAY AND REMAINS THROUGH SATURDAY. WILL REMOVE SMALL MOUNTAIN POPS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS CURRENT MODELS SHOW NO SUPPORT FOR THIS. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FCST. ZONAL FLOW REGIME STICKS AROUND THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHILE THE BULK OF MOISTURE RESIDES TO OUR NORTH ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AREA...HENCE A DRY WEEKEND FCST. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WOULD BE AN OUTSIDE CHANCE FOR UPSLOPE -SHSN IN THE NRN MOUNTAINS SAT AFTERNOON. GLOBAL MODEL RUNS HIGHLIGHT SRN STREAM SYSTEM EJECTING OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN SEABOARD BY SUN EVE. THIS WILL REMAIN DISPLACED TOO FAR SOUTH TO AFFECT THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. HOWEVER...APPROACHING NRN STREAM TROF IN A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN WILL INTRODUCE CHANCES FOR PRECIP BY LATE SUN EVENING. LOBES OF ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LOW ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES WILL KEEP US UNSETTLED AS THEY PIVOT THROUGH THE REGION THROUGH AT LEAST MIDWEEK...BRINGING PERIODS OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO TAKE A TUMBLE WITH COLDER AIR RETURNING. && .AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... HAVE GUSTY S TO SE WINDS -- GENERALLY 20-30 KTS -- THIS MORNING AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE THROUGH TODAY. THESE SHOULD BE NEAR PEAK NOW AND DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY. HAVE A LINE OF SHOWERS AHEAD OF THE FRONT...EXPECT SHOWERS WITH AT LEAST MVFR VIS AND CIG. THERE HAS BEEN A VERY THIN LINE OF IFR VISIBILITY...AND A WIND SHIFT TO AROUND 250-270 DEGREES THAT LASTS AROUND AN HOUR BEFORE TRENDING BACK TO SE. TRIED TO TIME THIS THROUGH CRW...CKB AND BKW. DID NOT GO IFR AT EKN AS THE MODEL TRENDS HAVE BEEN TO WEAKEN THIS SO WILL HANDLE THAT WITH AMENDMENTS IF NEEDED. BEHIND THE FRONT...EXPECT ANY LINGERING LOW CLOUDS TO BREAK AND LIFT...WITH VFR ARRIVING FROM WEST TO EAST. THE COLD AIR LAGS BEHIND AND AS IT ARRIVES TONIGHT HAVE MVFR STRATUS RETURNING TO ALL STIES. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE...MEDIUM. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: TIMING OF SHOWERS MAY VARY AND WINDS COULD GUST A BIT STRONGER IN SOME AREAS THAN CURRENTLY FORECASTED. TIMING OF CATEGORY CHANGES BEHIND THE FRONT MAY VARY. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. DATE WED 02/03/16 UTC 1HRLY 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 EST 1HRLY 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 CRW CONSISTENCY M L L L L L M M M H H H HTS CONSISTENCY L L L M M M H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY M M L L L L L M M M H H EKN CONSISTENCY H M L L L L L M M M H H PKB CONSISTENCY L L L M M M M M M H H H CKB CONSISTENCY M L L L L L M M M H H H AFTER 12Z THURSDAY... IFR POSSIBLE IN MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY. && .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...NONE. OH...NONE. KY...NONE. VA...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...RPY/MZ/DTC NEAR TERM...MZ SHORT TERM...RPY LONG TERM...DTC AVIATION...MZ
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 234 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016 VAZ003-004-WVZ024>026-033>038-046-047-040745- DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH- FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- 234 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ACROSS THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGES. IF IT LOOKS LIKE WINDS WILL TOP WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA...A SHORT FUSED ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. WINDS WILL BEGIN DECREASING THIS AFTERNOON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. KYZ101>103-105-OHZ083-084-086-087-040745- GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-JACKSON OH-VINTON-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH- 234 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OHIO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING AS SHOWERS MOVE INTO THE AREA. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. OHZ066-067-075-076-085-WVZ005>011-013>020-027>032-039-040-040745- PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-MEIGS-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV- WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN- RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-UPSHUR- BARBOUR- 234 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OHIO AND MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 304 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016 VAZ003-004-WVZ033>038-046-047-031300- DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS- WEBSTER-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLINTWOOD...GRUNDY...VANSANT...WELCH... GARY...WAR...MULLENS...OCEANA...PINEVILLE...BECKLEY...OAK HILL... FAYETTEVILLE...SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE... WEBSTER SPRINGS...MARLINTON...ELKINS 304 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016 ...GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED THIS MORNING... SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL INCREASE TONIGHT OVER THE MOUNTAINS TO 30 TO 45 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL PRIMARILY AFFECT THE RIDGE TOPS AND HILL TOPS...BUT SLIGHTLY LOWER GUSTS WILL ALSO BE EXPERIENCED IN THE MOUNTAIN VALLEYS. DRIVERS ARE URGED TO EXERCISE CAUTION AND BE AWARE OF CROSSWINDS...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.
The Charleston,WV radar (KRLX), 74 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 12:14 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Solida Creek overflowed and caused minor flash flooding. County Route 18 was closed. School buses had to turn around.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Ohio in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Ohio, February 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 610048.