Tropical Storm Bonnie stalled just off the coast of South Carolina during the afternoon and evening. Rain bands from Bonnie extended into Central North Carolina during the evening hours, resulting in a band of isolated showers and thunderstorms.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RAH wrote it up.
Tropical Storm Bonnie stalled just off the coast of South Carolina during the afternoon and evening. Rain bands from Bonnie extended into Central North Carolina during the evening hours, resulting in a band of isolated showers and thunderstorms. One storm produced locally heavy rainfall, which resulted in flash flooding. In addition the the flooding, lightning struck and injured one person and also started a fire at a residence.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 29, 1:24 PM EST, 3 hours 11 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 224 PM EDT Sun May 29 2016 .SYNOPSIS...Tropical cyclone Bonnie will track inland along the South Carolina coast today, then turn northeast and track along the North Carolina coast through early next week. && .NEAR TERM /Today and Tonight/... As of 220 PM EDT... Tropical cyclone Bonnie has tracked inland over southern SC. Shower activity increased over central NC coincident with Bonnie's landfall this morning, with the heaviest activity early this afternoon focused invof an inverted trough/coastal front south and southeast of the Triangle where PWAT values are AOA 2.00" and weak diurnal destabilization has yielded 250-500 J/kg of mlcape. The primary forecast concern this afternoon will be a potential for isolated flash flooding in areas repeatedly affected by heavy showers and a low-end potential for a brief/isolated tornado from the Triangle southward into the sandhills and eastward into the coastal plain where the latest SPC mesoanalysis data indicated supercell composite parameter values of 1-2. Given a mean storm motion from the SE (~160degrees), cyclonic updrafts exhibiting deviant motion will tend to propagate to the N/NNE (from ~190 degrees). A rotating updraft exhibiting deviant motion toward the N/NNE and echo tops approaching 40 KFT was observed in Lenoir county late this morning, and brief periods of weak low/mid-level rotation have been observed in additional updrafts since then. This lends strong support to the notion that a low-end risk for a brief/isolated tornado is present south and east of the Highway 1 corridor this afternoon through this evening. -Vincent && .SHORT TERM /Monday through Monday night/... As of 215 PM Sunday... The remnants of TD Bonnie are expected to track very slowly ENE from northeastern SC into southeastern NC Monday and Monday night. Additional locally heavy rain is expected over portions of central NC with the main focus likely along or near the track of the low. This would place the SE Piedmont, Sandhills, and Coastal Plain in the heaviest QPF of 1 to 1.5 inches with locally higher totals. POP and QPF will be lower back in the NW Piedmont where some drier low level air will advect off the higher terrain into the far western Piedmont lowering the PW's and lift there. Skies should range from Cloudy down east to variably cloudy in the western Piedmont. Showers and isolated thunderstorms will affect the eastern third of the region with much more scattered showers to the west. Highs Monday will again be held down by the clouds and rain, especially in the east where readings will be in the 70s to near 80. Highs in the western Piedmont should be around 80. Lows generally in the 65-70 range. && .LONG TERM /Tuesday through Sunday/... As of 205 PM Sunday... The remnants of TD Bonnie are still expected to be a factor into Tuesday and possibly Wednesday for eastern sections of NC. We will follow the latest NHC forecasts which indicates a very slow moving depression finally beginning to get steered a bit quicker NE along the coast Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday. Models are in good agreement in depicting the highest POP near the coast along a low level boundary and very near the track of the low. This appears very reasonable although there will be a chance of showers and isolated thunderstorms inland with the QPF much lower than along the track of the low. QPF of 0.25 to 0.50 with locally higher totals can be expected over the far eastern Coastal Plain with QPF of 0.25 or less inland over much of central NC. Day time temperatures will be held in check but the humidity levels will remain high. Expect highs to reach back into the 80-85 range Tuesday and Wednesday. Lows in the mid to upper 60s. Later in the week, expect the influence of the TD to give way as the remnant low is bumped east as mid level troughing moves out of the Rockies and heads eastward. This system should approach the Appalachians and mid-Atlantic region next weekend and is expected to bring significant convective rains at times by the end of the week into the weekend. A slow moving cold front is expected to stall over the SE states by the weekend focusing heavy QPF. Lows will be well above normal 65-70 and highs in the 80s cooling into the 75-82 range by Sunday. && .AVIATION /18Z Sunday through Friday/... As of 200 PM Sunday... 24-hr TAF Period: MVFR/IFR conditions associated with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will be most likely to affect the RDU/FAY/RWI terminals this afternoon and evening, though sub-vfr conditions will remain possible at the Triad terminals as well. Similar conditions will persist through the remainder of the TAF period in association with nearby tropical cyclone Bonnie, located inland over southern SC at 18Z. Bonnie (or Bonnie's remnants) are expected to stall, then track slowly northeast through coastal NC onMonday and Tuesday. Looking ahead: Sub-VFR condition associated with showers, isolated thunderstorms and low ceilings will persist through mid-week as Bonnie's remnants track slowly norheast along the NC coast. The FAY/RWI terminals are most likely to be affected, followed by RDU, and finally INT/GSO. -Vincent && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SYNOPSIS...Vincent NEAR TERM...Vincent SHORT TERM...Badgett LONG TERM...Badgett AVIATION...Vincent
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 146 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>040-073>076-083-084-301800- PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE- ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM- STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-ANSON-RICHMOND- 146 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE STALLS NEAR OR JUST INLAND OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ041>043-077-078-085-086-088-089-301800- WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-HARNETT-WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- 146 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS TROPICAL CYCLONE BONNIE STALLS NEAR OR JUST INLAND OF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. A BRIEF...ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT FROM THE TRIANGLE SOUTHWARD INTO THE SANDHILLS AND EASTWARD INTO THE COASTAL PLAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
206 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016
NCZ085-086-291845-
SCOTLAND NC-HOKE NC-
206 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN
SCOTLAND AND HOKE COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM EDT...
AT 205 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER ANTIOCH...OR NEAR RAEFORD...MOVING NORTHWEST
AT 15 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RAEFORD...ANTIOCH...WAGRAM...ASHLEY HEIGHTS...BOWMORE...SILVER CITY...CAMP
MACKALL AND SANDHILLS GAME LAND.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH
CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.
DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION IN THIS STORM. IF THE
STORM INTENSIFIES AND ROTATION STRENGTHENS...A WARNING MAY NEED TO
BE ISSUED.
&&
LAT...LON 3501 7953 3503 7950 3504 7946 3513 7937
3520 7928 3520 7926 3490 7910 3483 7919
3484 7928 3483 7935
TIME...MOT...LOC 1805Z 137DEG 12KT 3489 7924
VINCENTSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
246 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016
NCZ077-088-291930-
CUMBERLAND NC-HARNETT NC-
246 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
CUMBERLAND AND SOUTHEASTERN HARNETT COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM EDT...
AT 246 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
GODWIN...OR 12 MILES SOUTH OF LILLINGTON...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LILLINGTON...GODWIN...ERWIN...WADE...FALCON...LINDEN...BUIES CREEK...
ANDERSON CREEK AND TIMBERLAKE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
40 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND
TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.
DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION WITH THIS STORM. IF THE
STORM INTENSIFIES AND ROTATION STRENGTHENS...A WARNING MAY NEED TO BE
ISSUED.
&&
LAT...LON 3533 7905 3548 7875 3522 7862 3521 7863
3513 7880
TIME...MOT...LOC 1846Z 147DEG 16KT 3522 7874
30SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
337 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016
NCZ041-042-077-292015-
JOHNSTON NC-WAKE NC-HARNETT NC-
337 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
JOHNSTON...SOUTHWESTERN WAKE AND EASTERN HARNETT COUNTIES UNTIL 415
PM EDT...
AT 337 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
BENSON...OR 12 MILES EAST OF LILLINGTON...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GARNER...FUQUAY-VARINA...DUNN...ANGIER...BENSON...HOLLY SPRINGS...ERWIN...
COATS...LAKE BENSON AND BUIES CREEK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
40 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND
TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3565 7888 3573 7856 3532 7847 3531 7853
3532 7854 3530 7857 3530 7858 3529 7859
3527 7868
TIME...MOT...LOC 1937Z 162DEG 20KT 3537 7860
30The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 97 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:37 UTC.
1 lightning, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
A female was struck by lightning approximately 2 miles west-southwest of Rockfish. Lightning was also responsible for a house fire shortly after 6 PM on the 1100 block of Turnpike Road in Fayetteville.
Heavy rainfall associated with a thunderstorm in the rain band of Tropical Storm Bonnie resulted in flash flooding along highway 211 south of Raeford.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, May 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 637993, 637992.