Broken line of storms over Southeastern Virginia surged south into the area late in the evening of the 16th, where it produced widespread wind damage across Warren County, before weakening and dissipating.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS RAH wrote it up.
Broken line of storms over Southeastern Virginia surged south into the area late in the evening of the 16th, where it produced widespread wind damage across Warren County, before weakening and dissipating.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 16, 8:43 PM EST, 2 hours 2 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 943 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 .SYNOPSIS... An approaching upper trough will bring a cold front into central NC tonight, followed by a cooler northeasterly flow for the upcoming weekend. A warming trend will commence by early next week as an upper level ridge builds back over the region. && .NEAR TERM /through Tonight/... As of 943 PM Thursday... Strong to locally severe thunderstorms possible over the northern Piedmont and northeast Coastal Plain through around 200 am... We most likely will not need a Severe Thunderstorm Watch for the Raleigh CWA; however, the line of convection is behaving generally as anticipated as it pushes into southern VA. The main thrust of the damaging wind potential continues to be in the Richmond to Norfolk areas with the line. The line has been building back westward and extends across southwest VA westward into KY. Earlier thinking was the the timing of the line of convection from the north (late evening) would limit the severe threat for our region as the line weakens. This still looks most likely, yet we still yet may have to issue some Warnings for the northern tier, especially where the boundary layer has become more favorable with less downslope negating affects. The surface winds have actually backed to the south and southeast (east of the Triad), allowing the low level moisture to increase (dew points now in the 70s). Winds in the Triad are now SW instead of NW, and there is a weak surface trough extending from the lower pressure over central VA - southward into northern NC. This region (along and east of this trough and where the moisture is pooling) is a region that has the best chance of getting localized severe wind gusts with the line. SPC has the slight risk - across our northern tier - and this appears in line with the current data. The line should weaken as it moves into our northern tier of Piedmont counties, but there may still be some damaging wind threat until at least 1200 am or 100 am. We will keep the highest POP for thunderstorms from KINT and KGSO east and northeast to KRDU to KRWI - with the best chance of a few Warnings from Roxboro to KRWI and eastward. Otherwise, areas south and west of the Triad to Fayetteville have little chance of storms with this current event. && .SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... As of 255 PM Thursday... A stronger mid/upper level trof low will dive south across VA and into northern NC towards mid day on Friday. Meanwhile, moisture will be back on the increase in easterly low level flow as a surface low lingers over eastern NC. Dew points will be in the mid to upper 60s with precipitable water edging back above 1.5 inches by afternoon. Instability will be unimpressive with cool air advection wrapping around the low and mid level lapse rates of less than 6C/Km, but expect at least scattered showers due to strong low convergence around the low and secondary frontal zone pushing south juxtapositioned with strong QG/DPVA forcing and favorable diffluence aloft in the lee of the upper short wave. Highs will range from upper 70s in the north where cloudiness will be prevalent early to upper 80s which will benefit from morning insolation. Cloudy skies will linger overnight with perhaps some light showers lingering in the east through around midnight Friday night, but the depth of the moist layer, and loss of lift should prove too shallow and weak to produce any rain in the west. Northerly flow and subsequent earlier clearing across the north will allow temps across the northern tier to fall into the upper 50s, while lows will be in the lower 60s south. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 250 PM Thursday... Our weather for this weekend is shaping up to be very nice as our area will be positioned between a closed upper low offshore of Hatteras and a sprawling ridge that will extend from the four corners region to the Miss Valley. Northerly flow will help facilitate a fairly dry airmass across our area characterized by pwats well under an inch. Low level thicknesses are progged to fall during the weekend, bottoming out near 1370m by early Sunday and resulting in below normal temps. Highs will range from the upper 70s to lower 80s along with lows in the 50s. The pattern will change little early next week (Monday through Monday night) with dry weather continuing, although temps expected to moderate to near normal - highs in the mid 80s and lows around 60. For the mid-week period, a longwave trough is expected to deepen over the east. Look for a cold front to move through Tuesday night or early Wednesday, resulting in isolated to scattered showers/tstms along and ahead of it, followed by additional isolated showers/tstms on Thursday as another short wave trough drops into the base of the long wave trough. This pattern favors near to slightly below normal temps. && .AVIATION /00Z Friday through Tuesday/... As of 840 PM Thursday.... 24 Hour TAF Period: A line of convection will approach the area this evening and possibly move into northern portions of central NC and affecting KGSO, KINT, KRDU, and KRWI. If the storms hold together they should move into northern portions of the between 10 PM to midnight and bring the threat of gusty winds and sub-VFR conditions. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions to generally continue with a chance of sub-VFR conditions for locations that receive appreciable rain late this evening into early Friday morning. A cold front will drop southward through the area behind the convective on Friday with north to northwesterly winds developing by mid to late Friday morning at all TAF sites. Sub-VFR cigs (MVFR to possibly IFR) are expected to develop by mid to late afternoon behind the front, with some scattered showers developing during the afternoon. Outlook: Chances of rain will continue into the overnight as a stronger upper trof pivots across the area, with MVFR/IFR ceilings possible tomorrow night in the deeper east to northeast low level flow. Could see stratus return in the eastern TAF sites Saturday night as well in continued northeast flow. Otherwise, VFR conditions are then expected into early next week. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SYNOPSIS...MLM NEAR TERM...Badgett SHORT TERM...mlm LONG TERM...rah AVIATION...7/mlm
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 1145 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 NCZ007>011-024>028-041-043-180345- PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH- EDGECOMBE-WAKE-WILSON- 1145 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT AND NORTHERN COASTAL PLAIN THROUGH 2 AM. WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED. NCZ021>023-038>040-042-073>078-180345- FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-JOHNSTON-STANLY- MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE- 1145 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH MAY HOLD TOGETHER AND AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE NC PIEDMONT THROUGH 3 AM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED. NCZ083>086-088-089-180345- ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- 1145 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1052 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016
NCZ008>011-170415-
WARREN NC-HALIFAX NC-VANCE NC-GRANVILLE NC-
1052 PM EDT THU JUN 16 2016
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF WARREN...
HALIFAX...NORTHERN VANCE AND NORTHERN GRANVILLE COUNTIES UNTIL 1215
AM EDT...
AT 1049 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR CHASE CITY TO
NEAR KEELING. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT 55 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROANOKE RAPIDS...HENDERSON...WARRENTON...HALIFAX...NORLINA...
LITTLETON...ENFIELD...WELDON...STOVALL AND MIDDLEBURG.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS
55 MPH ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL OR WEAKENED TREES AND
BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER
LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.
MONITOR LOCAL RADIO STATIONS AND TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
&&
LAT...LON 3651 7790 3648 7764 3644 7762 3641 7755
3637 7755 3634 7759 3632 7757 3630 7754
3632 7744 3620 7736 3614 7789 3619 7792
3619 7797 3618 7798 3621 7802 3621 7809
3625 7813 3648 7880 3654 7880 3654 7790
TIME...MOT...LOC 0249Z 299DEG 47KT 3685 7847 3673 7935
77The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 94 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 03:46 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Numerous trees were blown down across the county.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in North Carolina in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in North Carolina, June 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 641676.