A 24 year old women and her male companion were knocked off their feet by a rip current and pulled into the ocean off of the Spray beach section in Long Beach Township NJ at around 11 am. The women died less than a day later.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PHI wrote it up.
A 24 year old women and her male companion were knocked off their feet by a rip current and pulled into the ocean off of the Spray beach section in Long Beach Township NJ at around 11 am. The women died less than a day later.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 18, 8:36 AM EST, 1 hour 34 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 936 AM EDT SAT JUN 18 2016 .SYNOPSIS... Strengthening high pressure overhead today will slip offshore Sunday and remain in control through Monday. A cold front will approach from the northwest on Tuesday and push across the area by Tuesday night or Wednesday. High pressure, with a cooler airmass, will then settle into the area for the latter part of next week. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... High pressure axis was situated to the lee of the Appalachians, extending from New England to the mid-Atlantic, on the 12Z surface analysis. This axis will shift southeast across the area today. Meanwhile, a shortwave moving southeast around the mid-level ridge to our west will traverse the region today. 12Z soundings indicate a northwest flow aloft with some moisture around 700 hPa, also indicative on visible satellite, with a few mid-level clouds over the Catskills. Other than a few clouds over PA and NJ, a mostly sunny and dry day is in store. Temperatures are rebounding nicely this morning. 12Z soundings indicate 850 hPa temperatures around 12C, similar to yesterday. As high pressure moves offshore, the synoptic flow will favor the southwest direction, particularly northwest of I-95. This will also lead to some warm air advection. Thus, temperatures will be warmer compared to yesterday, and generally a couple degrees above the guidance suite. Overall, highs will be in the mid to upper 80s, with the warmest temperatures situated just northwest of I-95. Closer to the shore, a light onshore flow will limit highs to the 70s. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM SUNDAY/... Another clear night is expected with high pressure still near the region. Radiational cooling similar to last night is likely once again. As a result, temperatures in the Southern Poconos, Lehigh Valley southeastward into the Pine Barrens drop rapidly in the evening. Low temperatures in these regions will be quite a bit lower than MET/MAV guidance with a dry airmass still in place. Lows will be in the 50's for most of the region and slightly warmer for the immediate Philadelphia region. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... **Dry pattern established across our area this month looks to continue, probably at least another week** 500MB: Hot ridge near 600 dm centered vicinity Amarillo this week extends briefly east toward our area Sunday-early Tuesday. A trough of uncertain magnitude dominates the northeast USA next Wed and Thursday then weakens along the east coast by next weekend. Should the amplitude of the Wed-Thu trough moving into the northeast be weaker-flatter...this would mean normal or above normal temps would return sooner late next week. Am a little concerned about the strength of the southern Plains ridge and its potential overwhelming dominance aloft across the USA, minimizing rain chances/volume and increasing heat eastward to our area. Temperatures: the month as a whole through the first 17 days has averaged within 2 degrees of normal. Calendar day averages while a degree or 2 above normal Sunday will warm to around 5 degrees above normal Monday and Tuesday, then cool to almost 5 degrees below normal Thursday before trending to near normal next weekend. Forecast basis: Unless otherwise noted, a 50 50 blend of the 00z/18 GFS/NAM MOS guidance Sunday-Monday, thereafter the 00z/18 GFS MEX MOS for Monday night-Tuesday and 05z/18 WPC Guidance Tuesday night- Friday. The dailies... Increased diurnals can be expected due to the dryness of this month. June rainfall so far was generally 50 pct of normal...or currently a deficit of 1 to 1.5 inches save for isolated above normal pockets such as KILG. Warming pattern Sunday - Tuesday invades from north to south ahead of the next trough moving into the Great Lakes Tuesday. Should/could also mean a short 3 day heat wave for portions of the I-95 corridor into the Lehigh Valley Sunday-Tuesday. Sunday...Mostly sunny and very warm. Around 90 - max's 5 to 10f above normal. Monday (first day of summer at 2234z/20)...Mostly Sunny and hot (lower 90s), definitely warmer than normal by 6-12f, but low dewpoints...so easier to take. Warmest departures with respect to normal north and west of I-95. Monday night...There may be a dying squall line well in advance of the cold front. This decaying lines of showers and thunderstorms would be making its way into the I78-180 region toward dawn Tuesday. Tuesday...Becoming partly to mostly sunny, hot and humid with an uncertain chance of afternoon- evening showers and thunderstorms. High 90-93 depending on timing of any cold frontal generated thunderstorms. 00z/18 Mex guidance was raised 3-5F since am anticipating less opportunity for midday convection/associated debris clouds. It should be at least 16C at 850mb at 18z with a westerly flow throughout the forecast area (less than ideal for convection). Heat index should easily make the 90s in and near the I-95 corridor. Wednesday and Thursday...Mostly Sunny and seasonable. 05z/18 WPC Guidance raised a couple of degrees. Friday-Saturday...considerable uncertainty and a very low confidence forecast. Possible warm advection showers and thunderstorms on either day, but that in part depends on the amplitude of the Wed- Thu trough moving into the northeast USA. If that trough is weaker and flatter, There may be less opportunity for warm advection showers since it will not have cooled off quite as much Wed-Thu. && .AVIATION /13Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG, KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas. Today: VFR. Variable winds will become more southerly in the afternoon. By the late afternoon, winds will increase to around 10 knots with gusts up to around 15 knots in the I-95 corridor. Elsewhere, winds will be generally less than 10 knots. A seabreeze is not of the question this afternoon which could impact KACY resulting some change in wind direction. Tonight: VFR. Winds under 10 knots. Another round of patchy fog possibile for KRDG, KMIV, KACY and KABE after 06z Sunday which could reduce visibilities temporarily. Outlook... Confidence: Above average all days discussed below. Sunday...VFR with ocnl sct clouds aoa 5000 ft. West wind turns southwest in the afternoon-night with gusts under 15 kt. Monday...VFR with ocnl sct clouds aoa 5000 ft. Light northwest wind probably turns south by afternoon. gusts under 15 kt. Tuesday and Tuesday night...VFR sct-bkn aoa 5000 ft with brief MVFR conditions possible in any showers or thunderstorms that may occur. Timing uncertain. It could be that the best chance of a tstm occurs between 08z-14z Tuesday June 21. Otherwise a westerly gradient (non-tstm) wind will gust 15 to 20 kt. Wednesday...VFR. West wind gust 15 kt. Thursday...VFR. Light west to northwest wind to start. && .MARINE... Seas are generally expected to range from 2 to 3 feet today on the ocean and about a foot lower in the bay. Winds will be around 10 knots, northeasterly for the morning hours then more southerly in the afternoon. No headlines. RIP CURRENTS...A medium period, east-southeasterly swell between 2 and 4 ft (highest farther south toward the DE) will continue today. A borderline moderate risk of rip currents is anticipated in this setup across the Delaware beaches and the southern NJ shore once again today. Given the fact that we are getting closer to the full moon on Monday, opted to go with a moderate risk for these southern beaches. it should be noted if the waveheights or onshore component of the winds are higher/stronger than forecasted an upgrade to a moderate risk could occur for the northern NJ coastline as well. Outlook... Sunday through Monday...No marine headlines. Winds tend to become southerly during the afternoon/evening (sea breeze component) then turn offshore later at night and the early morning and generally under 18 kt with Atlantic seas 3 to 4 feet (mostly an east southeast 7-8 second period swell). De Bay seas aob 2 ft. Tuesday and Tuesday night...SCA possible. west or southwesterly winds will increase ahead of a cold front and could gust near 25 kt at times. Winds shift northwesterly at night. Atlantic waters: predominately a se 4 ft 8 second swell with wind wave on top. Wednesday...Winds and seas gradually subside back below SCA criteria. Thursday...No marine headlines anticipated. RIP CURRENTS: we're not putting this into the HWO since its not categorical (80) percent confidence and we did not achieve the expected onshore flow and associated swell pattern yesterday. Still, we're in a period of 3-4ft ese-se swells of 7 to 9 seconds. This swell combined with afternoon onshore flow Sunday and Monday will lead to a low enhanced or moderate risk for the formation of dangerous rip currents. This low enhanced or moderate risk for the formation of dangerous rip currents could linger Tuesday. Of additional concern is the slowly warming surf zone water temperatures and much above normal max temperatures just a couple of miles inland. This may lead a few swimmers to take unnecessary chances. Swimming at unguarded locations, as for example after the lifeguards have left the beach for the day, can be dangerous. Be safe...no jetty swimming and do swim within view of the lifeguards. && .EQUIPMENT... KFWN comms ots and a NOTAM is posted through 18z. && .PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PA...None. NJ...None. DE...None. MD...None. MARINE...None. && Synopsis...Drag Near Term...Franck/Gaines Short Term...Gaines Long Term...Drag Aviation...Drag/Franck/Gaines Marine...Drag/Franck/Gaines Equipment...
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ 517 AM EDT SAT JUN 18 2016 DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>023-027- PAZ054-055-060>062-070-071-101>106-190930- NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT- CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX- WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN- NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY- SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON- DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER- WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS- 517 AM EDT SAT JUN 18 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NJZ014-026-190930- EASTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL OCEAN- 517 AM EDT SAT JUN 18 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ANZ430-431-450>455-190930- DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE- COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM- 517 AM EDT SAT JUN 18 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND DELAWARE BAY WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. DEZ004-NJZ024-025-190930- DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC- 517 AM EDT SAT JUN 18 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE APPEARS TO BE A MODERATE RISK FOR THE FORMATION OF DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES IN DELAWARE AND FAR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 rip current. Local standard time, as filed.
A 24 year old women and her male companion were knocked off their feet by a rip current and pulled into the ocean off of the Spray beach section in Long Beach Township NJ at around 11 am. The women died less than a day later.
As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.
| Event | Date | Age | Sex | Where | Kind |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rip Current, Eastern Ocean | 2016-06-18 | 24 | Female | In Water | Direct |
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Jersey in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in New Jersey, June 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 632207.