Nevada, 2016

Cold in Nevada, January 14, 2016

January 14, 2016 · NWS VEF · 1 event in 1 county or zone

One person died of hypothermia in Las Vegas. It was the sixth consecutive day of below normal temperatures.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

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  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
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  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
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The toll

Deaths
1
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS VEF wrote it up.

One person died of hypothermia in Las Vegas. It was the sixth consecutive day of below normal temperatures.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Las Vegas, NV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 14, 9:10 AM PST, 2 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 14, 9:10 AM PST, 2 hours 50 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAS VEGAS NV
910 AM PST THU JAN 14 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A SERIES OF WEAK STORM SYSTEMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
REGION THIS WEEK...MAINLY STAYING TO OUR NORTH BUT CLIPPING THE
SIERRA AND SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN WITH SOME SHOWER CHANCES AT TIMES.
GUSTY WINDS WILL IMPACT THE SIERRA AND WESTERN MOJAVE DESERT TODAY
AND FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR
NORMAL. ANOTHER SYSTEM LOOKS TO AFFECT THE AREA DURING THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK.
&&

.UPDATE...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS ABUNDANT MOISTURE PUSHING ACROSS
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL CALIFORNIA THIS MORNING AND IN THE NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT, EXPECT SCATTERED CLOUDS TO PASS ACROSS OUR AREA THROUGH
THE DAY. THE MAIN QUESTION IS WHETHER THE CLOUDS WILL BE THICK
ENOUGH TO AFFECT THE TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON. IF SO,
THEY COULD END UP A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST...
MAINLY ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN CWA. THE CURRENT TEMPERATURE
IN LAS VEGAS IS 3 DEGREES WARMER THAN AT 9 AM YESTERDAY WHICH IF THE
TREND HELD, WOULD PUT US NEAR OUR FORECAST HIGH. WILL LEAVE THE
TEMPERATURE FORECAST ALONE FOR NOW BASED ON THE UNCERTAINTY WITH
CLOUD COVER. THE ONLY CHANGES MADE WERE TO ADJUST SKY COVER FOR
TODAY BASED ON THE LATEST SATELLITE TRENDS AND FORECAST RH.
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...323 AM PST...

.SHORT TERM...THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION INTO THIS
WEEKEND. THE FIRST WAVE IS EXITING THE REGION THIS MORNING AFTER
BRINGING LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS TO THE SIERRA YESTERDAY. A NEAR-
REPEAT OF THIS SCENARIO WILL OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING AS ANOTHER WAVE DIVES ACROSS THE AREA. WINDS ACROSS THE
SIERRA ARE EXPECTED TO RAMP UP THIS EVENING AND PEAK OVERNIGHT. A
WIND ADVISORY WAS ISSUED FOR 3 PM TODAY THROUGH NOON FRIDAY.
THIS WAVE WILL ALSO BRING CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE
SIERRA AND THEN THE SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.
THIS SYSTEM IS VERY FAST WITH THE BRUNT OF THE MOISTURE JUST NORTH
OF THE AREA. THEREFORE...PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT
AND WILL HOLD OFF ON ISSUING ANY WINTER WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS THIS
MORNING.

ANOTHER WAVE WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION SATURDAY...BRINGING ANOTHER
CHANCE OF PRECIP TO THE SIERRA AND SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN AREAS. THIS
AGAIN WILL BE A QUICK HITTER...AND THUS IMPACTS WILL BE GENERALLY
LOW.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE MIGHTILY IN THE EXTENDED RANGE. OVERALL
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS BELOW AVERAGE OWING TO RATHER POOR RUN-TO-RUN
CONSISTENCY AND TIMING/STRENGTH DIFFERENCES AMONG THE LONG-RANGE
GUIDANCE.

AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE IN PLACE IN WESTERN NORTH AMERICA ON
12Z SUNDAY WITH A ZONALLY-ORIENTED ELONGATED LOW IN THE FAR
NORTHEAST PACIFIC. THERE IS LITTLE AGREEMENT REGARDING THE EVOLUTION
OF THE LOW AND THE RESULTANT DOWNSTREAM RIDGING...WITH THE GFS
TRENDING MUCH DEEPER AND MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE LOW COMPARED TO
24 HOURS AGO AND THE EURO REMAINING ON THE SLOW SIDE OF THE
GUIDANCE. UNFORTUNATELY, THESE DIFFERENCES APPEAR TO AFFECT THE
TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE SUBSEQUENT SYSTEMS MOVING INTO THE WEST
COAST NEXT WEEK...SUGGESTING THAT RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY ISSUES ARE
LIKELY TO CONTINUE UNTIL MODELS CONVERGE ON THE WEEKEND SYSTEM
AFFECTING THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST. ONE EXAMPLE IS THE 00Z VS. 06Z
GFS...WITH THE LATTER FEATURING THE UPPER-LEVEL JET MUCH FARTHER
NORTH NEXT WEEK AND A CONSIDERABLY WEAKER, MORE PROGRESSIVE TROUGH
IMPACTING THE WEST DURING THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK THAN ITS 00Z
COUNTERPART.

AS A RESULT...MODEL DISCREPANCIES ARE QUITE LARGE MONDAY ONWARD AS
THE NEXT PACIFIC SYSTEM IN THIS PROGRESSIVE PATTERN MOVES ONSHORE
APPROXIMATELY 12Z-18Z TUESDAY. 00Z GFS SHOWS A MAJOR SNOWSTORM FOR
THE SIERRA WITH LIGHTER PRECIP SPREADING THROUGH MUCH OF THE
NORTHERN CWA TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 06Z GFS SHOWS
MUCH LESS PRECIP FOR THE SIERRA AND A BRIEF PERIOD OF PRECIP FOR THE
NORTHERN CWA 18Z TUESDAY TO 06Z WEDNESDAY. MEANWHILE...THE 00Z ECMWF
HAS PROLONGED SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW BRINGING A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF
PRECIP TO THE SIERRA FOLLOWED BY SIGNIFICANT PRECIP TO MUCH OF THE
REST OF THE CWA AS AN UPPER-LEVEL LOW CLOSES OFF AS IT MOVES THROUGH
THE AREA THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY. THE CMC, MEANWHILE, BASICALLY
PRODUCES NO PRECIP FOR OUR AREA...KEEPING THE SYSTEM OFF TO OUR
NORTH. CANNOT DISCOUNT THIS SOLUTION GIVEN THE BEHAVIOR OF THE 06Z
GFS.

BASICALLY ALL THIS MEANS I HAD VERY LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN CHANGING
THE GRIDS BEYOND WHAT WAS INHERITED. DID INCREASE POPS SOMEWHAT
DURING THE TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY TIMEFRAME GIVEN THAT MOST GUIDANCE IS
PRODUCING AT LEAST SOME PRECIP IN OUR AREA...PARTICULARLY THE
SIERRA/SOUTHERN GREAT BASIN. BUMPED UP SKY GRIDS...AT TIMES
CONSIDERABLY...GIVEN THE STRONG SIGNAL OF THICK HIGH CLOUDS PROVIDED
BY BOTH THE GFS/EURO. BOTH THE PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE PATTERN AND
THE NATURE/ORIGIN OF THE PACIFIC SYSTEMS SUGGESTS TEMPERATURES WILL
NOT DEVIATE TOO FAR FROM NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. WAS INCLINED
TO LOWER MAX TEMPS SOMEWHAT FROM GUIDANCE GIVEN THE EXPECTED THICKER
HIGH CLOUDS, HOWEVER.

BOTTOM LINE IS THAT THE LONG RANGE LOOKS FAIRLY ACTIVE...BUT THE
DETAILS ARE NEBULOUS AT BEST.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR MCCARRAN...GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS FAVORING TYPICAL
DIURNAL TRENDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. OCCASIONAL MID AND
HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ABOVE 12K FEET. A COLD FRONT WILL SLIDE THROUGH
THE REGION FRIDAY...BRINGING ENHANCED NORTHERLY WINDS BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.

FOR THE REST OF SOUTHERN NEVADA...NORTHWEST ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA...GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS FAVORING TYPICAL DIURNAL TRENDS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS THE
SIERRA...WHERE STRONG WEST WINDS AND CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION WILL
INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AND LAST THROUGH MID-DAY FRIDAY. THIS WILL
BRING AREAS OF MECHANICAL TURBULENCE ALONG AND DOWNSTREAM OF THE
MOUNTAINS. GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SAN BERNARDINO
COUNTY FRIDAY MORNING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WITH ENHANCED NORTH
WINDS THAT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.
&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.
PLEASE REPORT ANY SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ACCORDING TO STANDARD
OPERATING PROCEDURES.
&&

UPDATE...SALMEN

PREV SHORT TERM/AVIATION...WOLCOTT
PREV LONG TERM.............SHAFER

FOR MORE FORECAST INFORMATION...SEE US ON OUR WEBPAGE:

HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LASVEGAS OR FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK AND TWITTER

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 cold/wind chill. Local standard time, as filed.

Cold/Wind Chill, Las Vegas Valley

When
January 14, 12:00 PM PST
Where
Las Vegas Valley forecast zone
Deaths
1 direct, 0 indirect
Reported by
County Official
Coordinates
36.215, -115.014 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

One person died of hypothermia in Las Vegas. It was the sixth consecutive day of below normal temperatures.

The people who died

As the offices recorded each death: direct deaths were caused by the weather itself, indirect ones by something it set in motion.

EventDateAgeSexWhereKind
Cold/Wind Chill, Las Vegas Valley2016-01-1457FemalePermanent StructureDirect

What these are

Cold/Wind Chill
Cold or wind chill below warning criteria that caused deaths, injuries or damage.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Nevada in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Nevada, January 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 612214.