Heavy rain caused flooding in Stone County.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MOB wrote it up.
Heavy rain caused flooding in Stone County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Mobile, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 11, 11:34 AM CST, 1 hour 45 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
1234 PM CDT THU AUG 11 2016
.DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.
&&
.AVIATION...
18Z issuance...IFR/MVFR conditions will prevail through the period
with scattered to numerous showers and a few isolated thunderstorms.
Southwest winds of 6 to 12 knots can be expected through tonight. /13
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 938 AM CDT THU AUG 11 2016/
DISCUSSION...See updated information for land areas below.
UPDATE...
Adjusted morning forecast package to capture current trends. Bumped
up shower coverage over the Florida Panhandle and over Southwest
Alabama and tapered it back over Southeast Mississippi this morning.
Thunderstorm activity has remained very isolated this morning and
expect that trend to continue through the late morning...early
afternoon timeframe. /08
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 703 AM CDT THU AUG 11 2016/
DISCUSSION...Updated for latest aviation discussion below.
AVIATION...
12Z issuance...MVFR to IFR cigs and visibilities through 12.12z.
Lower cigs and visibilities in and around showers and thunderstorms
through 12.12z. Due to a very high moisture content in the lower
atmosphere very heavy rain reducing visibilities to 2 miles or less
can be expected today and early tonight. Winds will be south to
southwest at 6 to 12 knots through tonight. 32/ee
PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 511 AM CDT THU AUG 11 2016/
NEAR TERM /Now Through Thursday night/...Main upper low center now
located along the ms/al coast is forecast to move further west
through tonight reaching lower parts of Louisiana including the
adjacent gulf waters through 12z Fri. With this pattern plenty of
deep moisture in the boundary layer continues through tonight
combined with slightly better forcing in the mid levels due to the
proximity of the upper system...and marginal capes ranging from 1200
to 2400 j/kg...the threat for more heavy rainfall possibly leading to
some flooding situations will continue through tonight with better
accumulations occurring near the coast early this morning then
shifting inland by mid morning continuing through early this evening.
With this a flash flood watch will continue through tonight covering
all areas over the western Fl panhandle...stretching west over Mobile
and Baldwin counties in Al and George and Stone counties in Ms.
Similar to yesterday due to pwats still around 2.4 inches most of the
flooding will be somewhat localized with copious amounts of rain
coming from individual cells in a short period of time. Also expect
dangerous cloud to ground lightning with some of the stronger cells
by afternoon. With plenty of rainfall across the region in the last
couple of days some river stages across lower parts of the forecast
area have or are reaching action stage. Will continue to monitor this
situation closely. As for temps with plenty of rain and clouds
daytime highs will continue to be below seasonal averages with highs
mostly in the mid 80s over the lower half of he forecast area and the
mid to upper 80s to the north. Lows tonight will continue to range
from the middle 70s for most inland areas and the upper 70s to lower
80s along the immediate coast. 32/ee
SHORT TERM /Friday Through Saturday night/...Not a whole lot of
change in each individual models handling of the 925-700mb low
pressure system as the GFS/ECMWF and NAM models all have the stacked
over southern Mississippi Friday morning, again with the NAM closest
to the forecast area. The GFS/ECMWF models are similar in moving the
system westward across central Louisiana, and then northwest toward
the Texas/Arkansas border by the end of the short term. The NAM still
deepens the low pressure system slightly and then moves it northward
toward northern Mississippi. Precipitable water values will also
remain very high, ranging from 2.2 to 2.5 inches across the western
half on the forecast area on Friday. Slightly drier air will move
into the region form the east lowering the precipitable water values
across the eastern portion of the forecast area to around 2 inches.
This slightly drier air will expand west across the remainder of the
forecast area Friday night into Saturday.
As upper level disturbances rotate around the upper level low to our
west along with decreasing stability during the daytime hours,
maintained definite rain shower and thunderstorm activity across the
southern and western portions of the forecast area throughout the
day Friday with likely coverage elsewhere. Scattered to likely rain
shower and thunderstorm activity will also occur on Saturday, with
the best occurring across our western zones closest to the exiting
upper low. Additional rainfall totals through the short term should
range from 1.5 to 2.7 inches southwest of a line from Waynesboro MS
to Navarre Beach FL, and from 0.75 to 1.5 inches northeast of this
line. Localized higher rainfall amounts in a short period of time are
certainly likley near areas of strong convection.
High temperatures both Friday and Saturday will range from 84 to 89
degrees. Low temperatures each night will be in the mid 70s inland
areas with upper 70s along the immediate coastal sections. /22
LONG TERM /Sunday Through Wednesday/...With the weak surface trough
exiting the region over the weekend, a surface ridge will extend from
the western Atlantic across the northeast Gulf of Mexico and
southeast states through the first half of next week. Likely rain
shower and thunderstorm activity is still forecast across our far
southwest zones on Sunday with scattered coverage elsewhere. A
continuing downward trend in rain chances will occur throughout the
long term as drier air moves into the region. Expect a return to a
more diurnal convective pattern with scattered coverage during the
daytime hours Monday through Wednesday and mainly isolated coverage
overnight. Additional widespread rainfall totals on Sunday and Monday
should only range from 0.25 to 0.5 inches. Little change in the
overall temperature pattern is expected. /22
MARINE...A broad upper low along the ms/al coast will continue to
shift west though the remainder of the week...leading to less
coverage of showers and thunderstorms late Fri through the weekend.
For today and tonight numerous showers and thunderstorms will
continue over the marine area generally moving to the east and north
on the southern and eastern sides of the low center. Very heavy rain
reducing visibilities to less than a mile and frequent lightning
strikes will be the main threats with the stronger storms along with
gusty winds mostly between 20 and 35 knots. Otherwise...winds will
continue from the south southwest ranging from 18 to 23 knots mostly
offshore through this afternoon diminishing slowly late tonight
through friday. A light to moderate southerly flow develops over the
weekend as high pressure becomes reestablished. A small craft
advisory will remain in effect for the offshore waters of al and
nwfl including the lower end of Mobile bay and the Ms sound east of
Pascagoula through this afternoon. 32/ee
&&
.MOB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AL...High Rip Current Risk through Friday evening for ALZ265-266.
Flash Flood Watch through Friday evening for ALZ261>266.
FL...High Rip Current Risk through Friday evening for FLZ202-204-206.
Flash Flood Watch through Friday evening for FLZ201>206.
MS...Flash Flood Watch through Friday evening for MSZ078-079.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening for GMZ631-632-
650-655-670-675.
&&
This product is also available on the web at:
http://weather.gov/mobHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 559 AM CDT THU AUG 11 2016 ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-121100- CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW- ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL- BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND- ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL- OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE- 559 AM CDT THU AUG 11 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...COASTAL SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH TONIGHT. A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE GULF BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...COASTAL SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. A HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE GULF BEACHES OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY. GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-121100- NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND- PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 559 AM CDT THU AUG 11 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT HAZARDOUS WIND AND WAVE CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE MARINE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE HIGHER NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TONIGHT. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND WATERSPOUTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WINDS AND SEAS WILL BE HIGHER NEAR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND WATERSPOUTS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
900 AM CDT THU AUG 11 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0856 AM FLOOD 2 SSW ORANGE BEACH 30.27N 87.58W
08/11/2016 BALDWIN AL EMERGENCY MNGR
COUNTY EM REPORTS WATER COVERING PERDIDO BEACH BLVD IN
ORANGE BEACH
&&
RROGERSPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
219 PM CDT THU AUG 11 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0219 PM FLASH FLOOD E WIGGINS 30.86N 89.13W
08/11/2016 STONE MS EMERGENCY MNGR
COUNTY EM REPORTS MULTIPLE ROADS IN STONE COUNTY NEAR AND
EAST OF WIGGINS ARE UNDERWATER.
&&
RROGERSThe Mobile radar (KMOB), 87 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:21 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain caused flooding of multiple roads near and east of Wiggins.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, August 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 656723.