A slow moving upper level disturbance brought areas of moderate to heavy rain with a few embedded thunderstorms to North Mississippi from the early evening hours on April 14, 2016 to early morning hours on April 15, 2016. The embedded storms allowed for higher rainfall amounts over localized areas.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
A slow moving upper level disturbance brought areas of moderate to heavy rain with a few embedded thunderstorms to North Mississippi from the early evening hours on April 14, 2016 to early morning hours on April 15, 2016. The embedded storms allowed for higher rainfall amounts over localized areas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 14, 5:23 PM CST, 37 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 623 PM CDT THU APR 14 2016 .DISCUSSION... UPDATED FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 315 PM CDT THU APR 14 2016/ DISCUSSION... CURRENTLY... AT 3 PM CDT SHOWERS WERE ONGOING AROUND THE REGION WITH CLOUDS OVER MOST OF THE FA. H5 ANALYSIS DEPICTED AN UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS SITUATED INSIDE THE LARGER RIDGE AXIS ALOFT. SURFACE ANALYSIS CENTERED HIGH PRESSURE WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE REGION WITH HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING SOUTHWESTWARD INTO THE LOCAL AREA. SURFACE TEMPERATURES RANGED FROM THE LOWER 60S TO THE LOWER 70S. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO DEVELOP AND IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE EVENING AS THE UPPER LOW PROGRESSES SLOWLY TO THE EAST. LATEST MESOANALYSIS INDICATES MODEST INSTABILITY PRIMARILY OVER PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE AND NORTH MISSISSIPPI AND AS SUCH THESE WILL BE THE LOCALES MOST LIKELY TO SEE SOME SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS EVENING. SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE ON FRIDAY AS THE AREA REMAINS BLANKETED WITH CLOUDS AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES DIRECTLY OVER THE REGION WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. RAIN CHANCES WILL FINALLY COME TO AN END AREAWIDE OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS THE LOW MOVES EAST AND THE REGION BECOMES ENTRENCHED UNDER THE UPPER RIDGE. THIS WILL BEGIN A PERIOD OF WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS ON SATURDAY IN THE LOWER 70S WARMING TO BE IN THE UPPER 70S ON SUNDAY. THE OMEGA BLOCK PATTERN ALOFT...WITH AN UPPER LOW TO BOTH THE EAST AND WEST OF THE MIDSOUTH...WILL KEEP THE REGION UNDER A RIDGE THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES REACHING AT LEAST THE MID 70S THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MODELS SUGGEST THE UPPER RIDGE SLOWLY WEAKENS EARLY NEXT WEEK AS AN UPPER LOW MOVES OUT OF THE ROCKIES TO THE WEST. THIS WILL BRING A RETURN TO RAIN CHANCES FOR TUESDAY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE EACH DAY AS THE LOW TRAVERSES THE REGION ALOFT. ZDM && .AVIATION... 00Z TAFS CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO VARY FROM MVFR TO VFR NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS AS UPPER LOW PRODUCES SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. BEST THREAT FOR VCTS WILL BE AT TUP AND MEM EARLY. EAST/SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 6-10 KTS...WITH A FEW HIGHER GUSTS LATE AT MEM AND TUP. JAB && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 336 AM CDT THU APR 14 2016 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-151200- ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY- COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR- DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD- HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE- LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION- PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN- RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON- TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 336 AM CDT THU APR 14 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. KRM
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 606 PM CDT THU APR 14 2016 MSZ022-023-142330- CALHOUN MS-CHICKASAW MS- 606 PM CDT THU APR 14 2016 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 630 PM CDT FOR... NORTHEASTERN CALHOUN COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI... NORTHERN CHICKASAW COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI... AT 606 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR LARGER WAS LOCATED NEAR PYLAND...OR 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF HOUSTON... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN CALHOUN AND NORTHERN CHICKASAW COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. LAT...LON 3385 8926 3407 8924 3407 8881 3393 8881 TIME...MOT...LOC 2306Z 231DEG 5KT 3395 8913
The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 80 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:00 UTC.
2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Highway 341 between Pittsboro and Vardamann flooded. Water was an inch away from entering homes along that area.
Water completely covered Dummyline road near highway 6. A few homes were surrounded by water and unable to be evacuated.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, April 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 631359, 631360.