Louisiana, 2016

Flash Flooding in Louisiana, June 14, 2016

June 14, 2016 · NWS JAN · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a disturbance set the stage for slow moving storms during the morning. These storms led to flash flooding across portions of northeast Louisiana.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$12,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a disturbance set the stage for slow moving storms during the morning. These storms led to flash flooding across portions of northeast Louisiana.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 14, 3:17 AM CST, 5 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 14, 3:17 AM CST, 5 hours 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
417 AM CDT TUE JUN 14 2016

.SHORT TERM...Today through Wednesday night...Convection has
gotten off to an early start this morning over the ArkLaMiss Delta
as scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms have already
developed in close proximity to the weak mid level impulse. This
impulse should continue to promote widespread convection across the
forecast area today as it moves through a near tropical airmass
during max heating. As has been the case the last couple of days and
again today, the weak flow pattern and PWs above 2 inches will
bolster the potential for locally heavy rainfall. Low DCAPEs and
feeble lapse rates will continue to preclude wet microburst
potential, however precip loading may still manage to crank out some
locally gusty winds.

A somewhat drier pattern appears to be in the offing beginning
Wednesday. Mid/upper level ridging will begin tonight from the west.
This looks to begin decreasing the high PW air and warming the
column, especially in the lower levels. While a good coverage of
convection will hang on in the east for Wednesday, it will be
increasingly hard to come by in the west as low level capping builds.

Despite decreasing PWs Wednesday, recent rainfall will help surface
dewpoints hang on in the mid 70s during the maximum heating of the
day. This with expected highs approaching 95 will create heat
indices from 100 to 105 over northwest sections of the ArkLaMiss
Delta. As ridging continues aloft, high heat indices will surely
become a problem areawide in later periods./26/

.LONG TERM...Thursday through Monday...a large 591dam ridge
spreading over our cwa from the southern plains will lead to the
warmest two days of the long term period Thursday and Friday.
Afternoon highs will top out mainly in the mid 90s Thursday and
Friday. This heat will combine with a very moist air mass with pwats
just shy of two inches to result in peak heat index values between
100 and 106 each afternoon. Since a heat index value of 105 is the
value at which the body begins to succumb to heat related illnesses
wl continue to mention this threat in the HWO. There will be a low
chance of rain each afternoon over the eastern half of the cwa that
may limit the duration of the heat but convection looks to remain
very limited over the western half of our cwa. A mid level trough
dropping over the eastern CONUS Friday will send an associated weak
backdoor cold front into our northeast zones Friday evening.
Slightly greater rain chances are expected Friday night as the front
drifts southwest through the cwa. A few strong storms can be
expected over the northeast portions of our cwa late Friday
afternoon and early evening along and ahead of the cold front. Rain
chances are still expected to end from the northeast Saturday as the
cold front pushes south of our cwa by Saturday evening and a surface
high to the northeast helps bring in a drier air mass to our region
in the wake of the front. This will result in cooler temperatures
Saturday and Saturday night. Dry weather and a warming trend is
expected Sunday and Monday but there are considerable differences in
the models with respect to the ridge to our west and the development
of a closed low to our east. The GFS appears to be too weak with the
ridge over the west and too far south in developing a closed low
over the southeast CONUS by Saturday evening. The ECMWF has support
from the Canadian in developing a closed low farther away from our
region off the mid Atlantic seaboard while strengthening the mid
level ridge over the central CONUS. The result will be warmer
temperatures over our cwa Sunday into Monday but with lower relative
humidity as the drier air from the northeast lingers over the
region. /22/

&&

.AVIATION...Localized MVFR conditions this morning will give way to
VFR ceilings by 14/15Z with scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms increasing from the west. This convection will briefly
lower flight categories as it imapcts the TAF sites both this
morning and this afternoon...lingering until 15/02Z. Thereafter, VFR
ceilings can be expected through the end of the period./26/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       90  73  91  75 /  73  36  23   6
Meridian      90  72  90  73 /  68  54  54  11
Vicksburg     90  73  92  76 /  68  18  14   4
Hattiesburg   89  73  93  75 /  55  35  50  15
Natchez       89  74  91  75 /  62  18   9   8
Greenville    91  74  94  75 /  69  37  19   8
Greenwood     89  74  91  75 /  69  46  30   9

&&

.JAN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 14, 6:49 AM CST, 1 hour 36 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
749 AM CDT TUE JUN 14 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>025-MSZ018-034-035-040-041-047-
053-151300-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-BOLIVAR-WASHINGTON-
HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-WARREN-CLAIBORNE-
749 AM CDT TUE JUN 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE REGION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL
AMOUNTS FROM ONE TO THREE INCHES HAVE ALREADY FALLEN...WITH ISOLATED
AMOUNTS NEAR FIVE INCHES IN A FEW AREAS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS
FROM TWO TO FIVE INCHES MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES NEAR 105 DEGREES ARE POSSIBLE EACH
AFTERNOON FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT MONDAY.

LAZ026-MSZ019-025>033-036>039-042>046-048>052-054>066-072>074-
151300-
CONCORDIA-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-
CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-
YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-
LAUDERDALE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-
FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-
MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
749 AM CDT TUE JUN 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES NEAR 105 DEGREES ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THEN OVER
THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AFTERNOONS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT MONDAY.

21

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
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   WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/
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FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
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   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 174 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 14:23 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Morehouse

When
June 14, 8:25 AM CST to 11:30 AM CST
Where
Morehouse County, 1.72 mi NNW of Jones to 4.34 mi SW of Bonita
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$5,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
32.991, -91.646

Portions of Highway 834 and the intersection of Highways 165 and 140 had standing water.

Flash Flood, West Carroll

When
June 14, 9:47 AM CST to 11:30 AM CST
Where
West Carroll County, 1.38 mi NNW of Forest to 0.86 mi NE of Forest
Cause
Heavy Rain
Property damage
$7,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
32.799, -91.427

Portions of Highway 17 was closed between Pioneer and Forest due to standing water.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Louisiana in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Louisiana, June 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 629950, 629951.