Clusters of thunderstorms formed in the heat of the afternoon along a warm front that extended southeast from the St. Louis area across western Kentucky.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Clusters of thunderstorms formed in the heat of the afternoon along a warm front that extended southeast from the St. Louis area across western Kentucky. The storms formed in a very moist and unstable environment. Precipitable water values were close to two inches. A damaging wet microburst occurred with one of the storms.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 25, 5:40 AM CST, 8 hours 12 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Paducah KY 640 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016 .UPDATE... Issued at 640 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016 Updated aviation discussion only. && .SHORT TERM...(Today through Monday) Issued at 324 AM CDT Sat Jun 25 2016 A weak warm front, bisecting the PAH forecast area from northwest to southeast early today, is expected to move northeastward through the region and become diffuse during the day. This boundary will be motivated by a minor vort max skipping through the otherwise anticyclonic flow aloft. Most of the energy associated with the vort will be during the morning hours, after which the models indicate the feature will damp out as it moves eastward. The front will be the focus for some low level lift in a moist and unstable atmosphere (3-4k j/kg CAPE). Therefore, widely scattered to scattered showers and tstms should develop by late morning mainly west of the MS River, but also possibly in southwestern IL and the Purchase area of KY. However, by late afternoon, the coverage of deep moist convection should diminish rapidly with the loss of upper support. An isolated shower or tstm cannot be ruled out after 00Z, but we will continue to hold PoPs below the mentionable level (15%) for tonight. As the atmosphere destabilizes again during the day Sunday, a northern stream shortwave centered in southern Canada is forecast to be in the vicinity of the Great Lakes. This will tend to lower mid level heights to our north and push a surface boundary toward the PAH forecast area. Scattered showers and tstms should be expected Sunday, mainly for southeastern MO, southern IL, and southwestern IN. A storm or two could be strong there. The frontal boundary will sink southward partially through the region Sunday night, providing focus for deep moist convection to continue mainly ahead of it, albeit with a slowly stabilizing atmosphere. Slight to chance PoPs were maintained. As significantly drier, cooler air deepens behind the front Monday, pcpn will end rapidly from north to south. The southern half of our region has the highest PoPs then, up to 50%. Surface dewpoints are expected to surge back into the lower 70s by late today, even in southwestern IN. Expect lows in the tepid middle 70s this weekend, with highs in the lower half of the 90s, dropping off a bit Monday. Heat indices will probably exceed 100 for the southwestern half of the region today, and the whole region Sunday. .LONG TERM...(Monday night through Friday) Issued at 324 AM CDT Sat Jun 25 2016 Models continue to drive a strong front southward into the deep south as a deep upper trof takes shape over the ne U.S. and Great Lakes regions. As a result, we'll see H5 heights drop almost 100 meters by 12Z Tuesday, with the 1000-500 mb thermal field showing a corresponding thinning by a similar magnitude. Confidence is high that we will be experiencing below normal temps by mid week, with high temps from near 80 to the lower half of the 80s. Likewise, humidity levels will be very comfortable. By Thursday, the models continue to dive a vigorous short wave of energy across the Missouri/mid Mississippi River Valley regions within broad nwly flow aloft. Thinking is that most of the energy (and hence pops) will stay generally west and south of our area, and the atmosphere will be quite dry in the lower levels. Hence, will keep rain/shower chances on the low side, generally less than 30 percent. && .AVIATION... Issued at 640 AM CDT Sat Jun 25 2016 VFR conditions can be expected in the next 24 hrs at the TAF sites. As a weak warm front bisecting the region moves northeastward today, light winds will gain a southerly component. Though there may be some showers/tstms in the western half of the region, probabilities were not high enough to include in the KCGI/KPAH TAFs. && .PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories... IL...None. MO...None. IN...None. KY...None. && SHORT TERM...DB LONG TERM...GM AVIATION...DB
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 344 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-261000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 344 AM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS, SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA, WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY, MAINLY WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER, BUT ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE IN SOUTHWESTERN ILLINOIS AND THE PURCHASE AREA OF KENTUCKY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG ON SUNDAY, MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI, SOUTHERN ILLINOIS, AND SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA. MAXIMUM HEAT INDICES MAY APPROACH 105 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI, SOUTHWESTERN ILLINOIS, AND THE PURCHASE AREA OF KENTUCKY, AND ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION SUNDAY AFTERNOON. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 64 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:51 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Just east of Midway, part of a metal roof was blown off a barn. A few trees were blown down in the Murray area, including one in the city of Murray and another two miles east of town.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, June 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 635948, 635947.