Kansas, 2016Damaging Winds in Kansas, November 17, 2016
November 17, 2016 · NWS DDC · 3 events in 1 county or zone
Very high based showers with occasional lightning along the leading edge of a short wave trough produced a high wind event across mainly Haskell county. Numerous wind gusts over 80 MPH were reported.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $1.9 million
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Very high based showers with occasional lightning along the leading edge of a short wave trough produced a high wind event across mainly Haskell county. Numerous wind gusts over 80 MPH were reported. Estimates of around 100 MPH gusts were verified by the amount of damage that was observed.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 17, 2:06 PM CST, 2 hours 52 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 17, 2:06 PM CST, 2 hours 52 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
206 PM CST Thu Nov 17 2016
...Updated for Short, Long, and Fire Weather sections...
.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 200 PM CST Thu Nov 17 2016
For tonight, a strong upper level trough will lift northeastward
from far eastern Colorado and into Nebraska tonight. An
associated strong cold front will blast across western Kansas with
a surface low moving near Dodge City then east overnight. Strong
west to southwest winds are still possible later this afternoon
just behind the low west and south of Dodge City, then shifting to
the northwest and increasing to 25 to 35 mph with higher gusts
possible. The cold front looks to move across the Dodge City area
by around 9 pm to midnight. Some light rain showers may also
develop near and north of a Syracuse to Garden City and Hays area
this evening, and then end near Hays after midnight. Skies will
be partly to mostly cloudy. Overnight lows will be around 28 to
32, except warmer around 35 to 40 for parts of south central
Kansas.
For Friday, the upper low will be moving away from the Central
Plains and into the Upper Midwest. Strong northwest winds of 20 to
35 mph will continue with highs only from the mid to upper 40s. Some
morning clouds will break with skies becoming mostly sunny in the
afternoon.
.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 200 PM CST Thu Nov 17 2016
For Friday night into Monday, upper level ridging will bring a
gradual warming trend with highs Saturday around 50 warming back
to around 60. Lows will be in the upper teens to around 22 degrees
on Friday night, then warming back to around 30.
For Tuesday into Thursday, an upper trough will bring a chance for
showers and isolated thunderstorms on Tuesday, then drying into
Thursday. Highs will be around 60 with lows in the mid to upper 30s.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1137 AM CST Thu Nov 17 2016
A strong upper trough will push a strong cold front across
southwest Kansas with mainly VFR conditions. Light south to
southeast winds will become gusty and shift to the west after
21-23Z at GCK, then after 00Z at Dodge and Hays. Winds then shift
abruptly northwesterly at 25-35kt after 04-06Z and remain strong
and gusty into the early morning.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 205 PM CST Thu Nov 17 2016
Have gone ahead and cancelled the Red Flag Warning from Syracuse and
east to Dodge City and Cimarron and left the area south to the
Oklahoma and Colorado borders. The surface low is expected to track
towards Dodge City with the stronger winds and higher temps west and
south and southwest of Dodge City. Winds may be strong for an hour
or so near Dodge before sunset. Also forecast relative humidities
are forecast above 15 percent in the areas just cancelled.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC 32 47 20 49 / 10 0 0 0
GCK 31 44 18 50 / 20 0 0 0
EHA 28 46 20 53 / 10 0 0 0
LBL 30 48 18 52 / 10 0 0 0
HYS 34 45 21 49 / 20 0 0 0
P28 40 50 24 51 / 10 0 0 0
&&
.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CST this evening for KSZ074>076-
084>088.
&&
SHORT TERM...Kruse
LONG TERM...Kruse
AVIATION...Kruse
FIRE WEATHER...Kruse
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 17, 2:23 PM CST, 2 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
223 PM CST THU NOV 17 2016
KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-182030-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
223 PM CST THU NOV 17 2016 /123 PM MST THU NOV 17 2016/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
DAY 1 DISCUSSION
----------------
A RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON FOR AREAS SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST OF DODGE CITY THROUGH 7 PM. STRONG WINDS COULD STILL
GUST TO NEAR 50 MPH IN PARTS OF THE RED FLAG WARNING. A STRONG
COLD FRONT WILL BLAST ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS THIS EVENING WITH A
FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS, OR AN ISOLATED RUMBLE OF THUNDER FROM NEAR
SYRACUSE TO GARDEN CITY AND HAYS AND NORTH, THEN ENDING AROUND
MIDNIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO NORTHWESTERLY AT
25 TO 35 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS.
DAY 1 HAZARDS
-------------
* NON-THUNDERSTORM WIND: ELEVATED RISK
* FIRE WEATHER: ELEVATED RISK
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
DAYS 2-7 DISCUSSION
-------------------
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY.
DAYS 2-7 HAZARDS
----------------
* FRIDAY
- NON THUNDERSTORM WIND: ELEVATED RISK
- FIRE WEATHER: ELEVATED RISK
* SATURDAY
- FIRE WEATHER: LIMITED RISK
* SUNDAY
NO HAZARDS.
* MONDAY
- LIGHTNING: LIMITED RISK
* TUESDAY
- LIGHTNING: ELEVATED RISK
* WEDNESDAY
NO HAZARDS.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.
&&
FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT OUR WEBPAGE HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC/EHWO
06
Thunderstorm Wind, Haskell
- When
- November 17, 4:58 PM CST
- Where
- Haskell County, 0.88 mi SW of Satanta Muni Arpt
- Measured
- 78 kt (90 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 37.440, -100.990
A trailer was damaged and there was heavy tree damage in Satanta. Dozens of pivot irrigation sprinklers near Satanta were rolled over.
Thunderstorm Wind, Haskell
- When
- November 17, 5:05 PM CST
- Where
- Haskell County, Sublette
- Measured
- 78 kt (90 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $1.8 million
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 37.480, -100.850
There was heavy tree damage in Sublette. At least 2 dozen pivot sprinkler irrigation sprinklers were overturned or destroyed, mainly west and north of Sublette. There were a few sprinklers reported damaged south of town town. There was video of the downburst wind moving through town with a few brief gustnadoes observed on the leading edge of the wall of dirt that was picked up.
Thunderstorm Wind, Haskell
- When
- November 17, 5:15 PM CST
- Where
- Haskell County, 7.41 mi SE of Sublette Arpt
- Measured
- 70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $110,000
- Reported by
- Law Enforcement
- Coordinates
- 37.400, -100.740
Power poles were blown down and at least 2 pivot irrigation sprinklers were overturned in the vicinity.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Wildfire in Arkansas, November 17 to 18, 2016$250,000 · 1 event
- Blizzard and Winter Storm in South Dakota, November 17 to 18, 201624 events
- High Wind in New Mexico, November 17, 2016$1,000 · 82 kt wind · 19 events
- Blizzard and Heavy Snow in Minnesota, November 17 to 19, 201614 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in South Dakota, November 17 to 18, 201613 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Colorado, November 17 to 18, 201611 events
- Winter Storm in Nebraska, November 17 to 18, 20169 events
- Winter Weather in Wyoming, November 17, 20166 events
- Winter Weather in Nebraska, November 17, 20166 events
- Winter Weather in Wyoming, November 17, 20165 events
- Winter Weather in Colorado, November 17 to 18, 20164 events
- Winter Storm in Nebraska, November 17, 20162 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 668130, 668131, 668132.