Kansas, 2016

Damaging Winds in Kansas, November 17, 2016

November 17, 2016 · NWS DDC · 3 events in 1 county or zone

Very high based showers with occasional lightning along the leading edge of a short wave trough produced a high wind event across mainly Haskell county. Numerous wind gusts over 80 MPH were reported.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
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  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1.9 million
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS DDC wrote it up.

Very high based showers with occasional lightning along the leading edge of a short wave trough produced a high wind event across mainly Haskell county. Numerous wind gusts over 80 MPH were reported. Estimates of around 100 MPH gusts were verified by the amount of damage that was observed.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 17, 2:06 PM CST, 2 hours 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 17, 2:06 PM CST, 2 hours 52 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
206 PM CST Thu Nov 17 2016

...Updated for Short, Long, and Fire Weather sections...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 200 PM CST Thu Nov 17 2016

For tonight, a strong upper level trough will lift northeastward
from far eastern Colorado and into Nebraska tonight. An
associated strong cold front will blast across western Kansas with
a surface low moving near Dodge City then east overnight. Strong
west to southwest winds are still possible later this afternoon
just behind the low west and south of Dodge City, then shifting to
the northwest and increasing to 25 to 35 mph with higher gusts
possible. The cold front looks to move across the Dodge City area
by around 9 pm to midnight. Some light rain showers may also
develop near and north of a Syracuse to Garden City and Hays area
this evening, and then end near Hays after midnight. Skies will
be partly to mostly cloudy. Overnight lows will be around 28 to
32, except warmer around 35 to 40 for parts of south central
Kansas.

For Friday, the upper low will be moving away from the Central
Plains and into the Upper Midwest. Strong northwest winds of 20 to
35 mph will continue with highs only from the mid to upper 40s. Some
morning clouds will break with skies becoming mostly sunny in the
afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 200 PM CST Thu Nov 17 2016

For Friday night into Monday, upper level ridging will bring a
gradual warming trend with highs Saturday around 50 warming back
to around 60. Lows will be in the upper teens to around 22 degrees
on Friday night, then warming back to around 30.

For Tuesday into Thursday, an upper trough will bring a chance for
showers and isolated thunderstorms on Tuesday, then drying into
Thursday. Highs will be around 60 with lows in the mid to upper 30s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1137 AM CST Thu Nov 17 2016

A strong upper trough will push a strong cold front across
southwest Kansas with mainly VFR conditions. Light south to
southeast winds will become gusty and shift to the west after
21-23Z at GCK, then after 00Z at Dodge and Hays. Winds then shift
abruptly northwesterly at 25-35kt after 04-06Z and remain strong
and gusty into the early morning.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 205 PM CST Thu Nov 17 2016

Have gone ahead and cancelled the Red Flag Warning from Syracuse and
east to Dodge City and Cimarron and left the area south to the
Oklahoma and Colorado borders. The surface low is expected to track
towards Dodge City with the stronger winds and higher temps west and
south and southwest of Dodge City. Winds may be strong for an hour
or so near Dodge before sunset. Also forecast relative humidities
are forecast above 15 percent in the areas just cancelled.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  32  47  20  49 /  10   0   0   0
GCK  31  44  18  50 /  20   0   0   0
EHA  28  46  20  53 /  10   0   0   0
LBL  30  48  18  52 /  10   0   0   0
HYS  34  45  21  49 /  20   0   0   0
P28  40  50  24  51 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CST this evening for KSZ074>076-
084>088.

&&

SHORT TERM...Kruse
LONG TERM...Kruse
AVIATION...Kruse
FIRE WEATHER...Kruse
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 17, 2:23 PM CST, 2 hours 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
223 PM CST THU NOV 17 2016

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-182030-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
223 PM CST THU NOV 17 2016 /123 PM MST THU NOV 17 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

DAY 1 DISCUSSION
----------------
A RED FLAG WARNING CONTINUES THIS AFTERNOON FOR AREAS SOUTH AND
SOUTHWEST OF DODGE CITY THROUGH 7 PM. STRONG WINDS COULD STILL
GUST TO NEAR 50 MPH IN PARTS OF THE RED FLAG WARNING. A STRONG
COLD FRONT WILL BLAST ACROSS WESTERN KANSAS THIS EVENING WITH A
FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS, OR AN ISOLATED RUMBLE OF THUNDER FROM NEAR
SYRACUSE TO GARDEN CITY AND HAYS AND NORTH, THEN ENDING AROUND
MIDNIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT THE WINDS TO NORTHWESTERLY AT
25 TO 35 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS.

DAY 1 HAZARDS
-------------
* NON-THUNDERSTORM WIND: ELEVATED RISK
* FIRE WEATHER: ELEVATED RISK

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

DAYS 2-7 DISCUSSION
-------------------
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY.

DAYS 2-7 HAZARDS
----------------
* FRIDAY
  - NON THUNDERSTORM WIND: ELEVATED RISK
  - FIRE WEATHER: ELEVATED RISK

* SATURDAY
  - FIRE WEATHER: LIMITED RISK

* SUNDAY
  NO HAZARDS.

* MONDAY
  - LIGHTNING: LIMITED RISK

* TUESDAY
  - LIGHTNING: ELEVATED RISK

* WEDNESDAY
  NO HAZARDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT OUR WEBPAGE HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC/EHWO

06

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 97 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:56 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.

Thunderstorm Wind, Haskell

When
November 17, 4:58 PM CST
Where
Haskell County, 0.88 mi SW of Satanta Muni Arpt
Measured
78 kt (90 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
37.440, -100.990

A trailer was damaged and there was heavy tree damage in Satanta. Dozens of pivot irrigation sprinklers near Satanta were rolled over.

Thunderstorm Wind, Haskell

When
November 17, 5:05 PM CST
Where
Haskell County, Sublette
Measured
78 kt (90 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$1.8 million
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
37.480, -100.850

There was heavy tree damage in Sublette. At least 2 dozen pivot sprinkler irrigation sprinklers were overturned or destroyed, mainly west and north of Sublette. There were a few sprinklers reported damaged south of town town. There was video of the downburst wind moving through town with a few brief gustnadoes observed on the leading edge of the wall of dirt that was picked up.

Thunderstorm Wind, Haskell

When
November 17, 5:15 PM CST
Where
Haskell County, 7.41 mi SE of Sublette Arpt
Measured
70 kt (81 mph) estimated gust
Property damage
$110,000
Reported by
Law Enforcement
Coordinates
37.400, -100.740

Power poles were blown down and at least 2 pivot irrigation sprinklers were overturned in the vicinity.

What these are

Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Kansas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, November 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 668130, 668131, 668132.