Scattered thunderstorms formed across eastern Kansas during the late morning hours on July 13. There was only minor damage done to trees across the far eastern part of the state.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS EAX wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms formed across eastern Kansas during the late morning hours on July 13. There was only minor damage done to trees across the far eastern part of the state.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 13, 7:27 AM CST, 2 hours 1 minute earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO 827 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016 .Update... Issued at 820 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016 A severe thunderstorm watch has been issued for the Kansas City metro and much of the remaining western counties. A thunderstorm complex currently over north central Kansas is approaching eastern Kansas and will likely head due east into the late morning hours. Initial thinking was that this activity would weaken but a supportive environment will help to maintain this activity as it approaches the CWA. Main threat with this activity will be damaging winds with large hail possible. This should move relatively quickly and exit the CWA in the early afternoon. Will then need to assess how the environment is able to recover for convection along the cold front this evening. && .Discussion... Issued at 351 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016 Nothing short of a challenging forecast going forward today as multiple rounds of convection appear possible today considering early morning radar trends. Out of the gate...non-severe storms ongoing across west-central Missouri this morning as a low-level jet of roughly 40 kts and a weak approaching shortwave combined for modest ascent over our region. Meanwhile upstream...regional radars showing a maturing cluster of storms across northwestern Kansas and southwest Nebraska as a more potent mid-level impulse tracks east in zonal flow aloft from the central High Plains. Latest HRRR shows this initial activity currently over our area dissipating towards sunrise but maintains the secondary cluster to our west and tracks it east into our area between 12 and 15z. The WRF and NMM NAM solutions weaken it as it track east...so we'll definitely have to monitor trends over the next few hours and make adjustments as needed. Last look before issuance suggests main convective elements to our west are beginning a southward dive which may mean bulk of activity misses us. Not an easy one today folks! Otherwise...models continue to suggest a pretty active afternoon and overnight period shaping up for our area as strong daytime heating (highs in the upper 80s to low 90s) combines with cool temps aloft to result in strong instability by afternoon. Fcst models suggest that capping will remain across our region this morning but should show signs of weakening later today as aforementioned High Plains shortwave/MCV begins passing over the area. Under this scenario...its conceivable to believe that initial activity this morning will be followed by a few hours of dry weather before convection develops over SE Nebraska and SW Iowa along an approaching cold front and gradually descends south upon our area by late afternoon and evening. As this activity begins to develop...concerns for severe weather will increase as strong instability combines with strengthening wind fields aloft as a mid- level speed max begin to settle south over the lwr Missouri Vly. With 0-6 km bulk shear magnitudes in the 50 kt range...along with steep low and mid-level lapse rates...large hail and damaging wind gusts will certainly be a possibility. Radar to remain active heading into the evening and overnight hrs with concerns transitioning from severe to hydro as models are in excellent agreement that a low-level jet of 45 kts will impinge directly on our area. This feature may interact with any lingering outflow boundaries from late afternoon/evening activity to result in continued chances for rainfall (some of which may be heavy) south of the the Missouri Rvr through the overnight hrs. Was considering a possible flash flood watch for areas south of the river but have elected to hold off for now until afternoon convection trends are better known. Moving into Thursday...main cold front to our north should begin to settle south over our region as high pressure builds into the Northern Plains and upper Miss Vly. This should result in rain chances gradually sinking south but southern portions of our area will not be out of the woods as afternoon storms will remain possible. Even cooler weather expected both Friday and Saturday as cool air continues to settle south over our region as high pressure builds east into the western Great Lakes. Front lifts back north as a warm front Saturday night which should allow for a return of near normal temps Sunday afternoon. Heading into next week...models showing a strong signal of very warm temperatures as 500 mb heights continue to build over the Nation's midsection. Quick look at 850 temps from the GEFS suggest values of 2-3 standard deviations above normal extending as far north as the Canadian border with slightly values of 1-2 standard deviations above normal locked over our area. This should result in the return of mid to upper 90 degree temps by Tuesday. && .Aviation...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday Morning) Issued at 650 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016 Main concerns remain convection upstream across central Kansas this morning...and that this activity will do as it continues progress east with time. Prevailing thought right now is that activity will start to slide southeast with time as mean flow across eastern Kansas is from the northwest. Considering this...have elected to offer a VCTS mention at both MCI and MKC this morning...while offering a short tempo TSRA mention at IXD. This is a low confidence forecast and dayshift will need to amend/update as necessary. Otherwise...expect several hours of dry weather after this initial activity passes. Following this...another round of shwrs/storms is expected later this afternoon and evening. For now...have attempted to time this activity as best as possible however modifications will be required once this morning's convective trends are established. In any event...expect temporary restrictions overnight down to the IFR category as this activity develops and moves through the region. && .EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories... KS...None. MO...None. && Update...Welsh Discussion...32 Aviation...32
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 400 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016 KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040- 043>046-053-054-140900- ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS- ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER- HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON- CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON- RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS- COOPER-BATES-HENRY- 400 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. STRONG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST ACTIVITY. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL MISSOURI AND EASTERN KANSAS. THIS COULD LEAD TO RENEWED FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING FOR SOME AREAS. MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT... HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
441 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
KSZ060-MOZ053-131030-
LINN KS-BATES MO-
441 AM CDT WED JUL 13 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN LINN COUNTY UNTIL
530 AM CDT...
AT 440 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
LA CYGNE...MOVING SOUTH AT 15 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PLEASANTON...LA CYGNE...MOUND CITY...LINN VALLEY AND WORLAND.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3836 9492 3839 9473 3839 9461 3816 9458
3812 9489
TIME...MOT...LOC 0940Z 352DEG 13KT 3832 9477
MELLThe Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 130 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 15:25 UTC.
3 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A large tree of unknown condition or size was down on Seneca Street in Troy. Various tree limbs were also down across town.
Power lines were down and a tree of unknown size or condition was down in Lansing.
Several trees of unknown size or condition were down across the town of Bonner Springs.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 652605, 652606, 652607.