Easterly flow continued with afternoon sea breeze convection pressing inland. The focus for late afternoon and evening storms was well inland toward the I-75 corridor and western SE Ga where wet downbursts occurred.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
Easterly flow continued with afternoon sea breeze convection pressing inland. The focus for late afternoon and evening storms was well inland toward the I-75 corridor and western SE Ga where wet downbursts occurred.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 19, 2:51 PM EST, 44 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 351 PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2016 ..Near Term /Through Wednesday/... Scattered storms were developing across the northwestern half of southeast Georgia and Marion County in Florida this afternoon. Otherwise, it was relatively quiet in between with only isolated showers/storms forming on the east coast sea breeze. Subsidence aloft and drier low/mid levels was leading to less activity. Storms will diminish quickly this evening with loss of daytime heating, and light winds and mostly clear skies are forecast overnight with lows in the 70s. Northerly upper level flow is forecast Wednesday afternoon as an upper trough pushes southeast off the eastern conus bringing in drier air aloft. This will limit convection even further on Wednesday, with isolated to low end scattered showers and storms, mainly across the interior and west in the mid/late afternoon. The east coast areas will be mostly dry. Highs will be in the low to mid 90s, with heat indices in the 100-107 range. .Short Term /Wednesday night through Friday night/... Deep-layered ridging will remain centered over the southern Plains states, creating northerly steering flow over our region from Wed night through Thurs night that will veer to a N-NE flow on Fri and Fri night. A weak surface trough/frontal boundary will stall and then wash out near the Altamaha River on Wed night, which may focus widely scattered evening convection for locations north and east of Waycross. Widely scattered early evening convection for locations west of U.S. Highway 301 will become isolated by midnight. Isolated convection may flare over the near shore Atlantic waters during the predawn hours. Lows will only fall to the mid 70s inland and upper 70s/near 80 at the coast. High pressure will briefly build to the north of our region on Thurs before sliding east and gradually weakening Thurs night and Fri. This pattern will keep onshore winds in place in the low levels, focusing activity on Thurs afternoon over locations west of Interstate 95. Isolated to widely scattered morning convection is possible along and east of I-95 on Thurs and Fri mornings. Troughing aloft will then amplify along the U.S. eastern seaboard on Thurs night and Fri, but a drier air mass will also filter into our region from the north, which should limit afternoon convective activity to widely scattered in nature. Highs will climb into the mid/upper 90s inland and near 90 at the beaches, with lows in the low/mid 70s inland and upper 70s/near 80 at the coast. .Long Term /Saturday through Tuesday/... Deep-layered ridging will remain centered to the north of our region through the period. The 12Z operational GFS brings a rather well defined Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough (TUTT) westward through our region from late Sun through Mon night. Unseasonably dry air (PWATS below 1.5 inches) should rotate through our region on Sat night and Sun, followed by an uptick in deep-layered moisture on the western side of this upper low for early next week. Isolated to widely scattered convection can be expected Sat, with convection perhaps increasing somewhat for Sun and likely increasing further during the afternoon and evening hours on Mon and Tues. Model blends support a diurnal convective pattern Sun-Tues, so rain chances may be increased for early next week in future forecasts if model consistency with this TUTT passage increases. Highs this weekend will soar into the mid/upper 90s inland and into the lower 90s at the beaches, with temperatures cooling off slightly early next week as convection potentially increases. Lows will remain in the 70s, except near 80 at the coast. && .Aviation... Isolated convection is forecast to fire along the east coast sea breeze near the TAF sites this afternoon, with scattered storms forming west of I-95. Generally VFR conditions will prevail. Easterly winds around 10 knots will prevail this afternoon with light and variable winds overnight into Wednesday morning. Patchy fog is possible at KVQQ overnight. && .Marine... High pressure remaining to the north this week will produce east to southeast winds around 10 knots with seas 2 to 4 feet. Nocturnal scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will be possible over the waters. Rip Currents: Low risk through Wednesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 72 97 74 96 / 30 30 20 40 SSI 77 91 80 91 / 10 20 20 20 JAX 73 94 75 92 / 10 20 20 20 SGJ 75 92 78 90 / 10 10 20 30 GNV 71 94 74 95 / 10 30 30 40 OCF 73 95 75 94 / 10 30 20 40 && .JAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories... FL...None. GA...None. AM...None. && Kennedy/Nelson/Peterson
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 310 AM EDT TUE JUL 19 2016 AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125- GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-201100- COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-INLAND NASSAU-INLAND DUVAL-UNION- BRADFORD-CLAY-ST. JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION- COASTAL NASSAU-COASTAL DUVAL-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING- WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN- ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN- 310 AM EDT TUE JUL 19 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA... SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP INLAND AS THE SEA BREEZE FRONT MOVES INLAND. A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...STRONG WIND GUSTS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. STORM MOTION WILL BE TO THE WEST. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL NEAR 105 DEGREES INLAND THIS AFTERNOON. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY... SCATTERED MAINLY INLAND AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY. STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...WITH GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. ELEVATED HEAT INDICES NEAR 105 ARE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
342 PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2016
GAZ132-133-192030-
JEFF DAVIS GA-COFFEE GA-
342 PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN JEFF DAVIS AND
SOUTHEASTERN COFFEE COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT...
AT 342 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES NORTHEAST OF WEST GREEN...OR 13 MILES SOUTH OF HAZLEHURST...
MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH.
EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DOUGLAS...BROXTON...NICHOLLS...WEST GREEN AND DENTON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
&&
LAT...LON 3172 8256 3167 8258 3167 8263 3156 8263
3142 8268 3160 8294 3177 8270
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 034DEG 12KT 3168 8265
NELSONSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
358 PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2016
GAZ132-133-192030-
JEFF DAVIS GA-COFFEE GA-
358 PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN JEFF DAVIS AND
COFFEE COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM EDT...
AT 358 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM JACKSONVILLE TO NEAR NICHOLLS. MOVEMENT WAS
SOUTH AT 30 MPH.
EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DOUGLAS...BROXTON...AMBROSE...NICHOLLS...WEST GREEN...SNIPESVILLE...
PRIDGEN AND DENTON.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH
FLOODED ROADWAYS.
&&
LAT...LON 3151 8308 3156 8306 3161 8306 3163 8301
3166 8300 3179 8297 3178 8287 3182 8282
3173 8259 3167 8260 3167 8263 3137 8263
3136 8282 3140 8285 3140 8293 3142 8298
3142 8314 3143 8314 3146 8315
TIME...MOT...LOC 1958Z 010DEG 25KT 3179 8299 3150 8266
SANDRIKSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
431 PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2016
GAZ134-149-150-192100-
BACON GA-ATKINSON GA-WARE GA-
431 PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN BACON...NORTHWESTERN
WARE AND EAST CENTRAL ATKINSON COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM EDT...
AT 431 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
ALMA...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH.
EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ALMA AND BICKLEY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
LAT...LON 3147 8239 3123 8257 3136 8275 3137 8263
3147 8263 3147 8260 3156 8260 3159 8255
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 041DEG 13KT 3148 8254
SANDRIKThe Moody AFB radar (KVAX), 82 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:37 UTC.
4 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A large tree was blown down in Broxton. The time of damage was based on radar.
A large tree was blown down along Westgreen Road in Douglas. The time od damage was based on radar.
Two trees were blown down near the intersection of Harper Land and Trace Circle. The time of damage was based on radar.
A tree was blown down on Ben Carver Road. The time of damage was based on radar.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Georgia in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 648209, 648211, 648213, 648215.