Scattered thunderstorms developed ahead of a cold front. Most storms remained below severe limits, but one storm did become severe in Seminole county with several trees blown down.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.
Scattered thunderstorms developed ahead of a cold front. Most storms remained below severe limits, but one storm did become severe in Seminole county with several trees blown down.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 13, 10:46 AM EST, 3 hours 44 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tallahassee FL 1046 AM EST Tue Dec 13 2016 .UPDATE... Cancelled the rest of the dense fog advisory early as visibilities were improving and the onset of sustained southwesterly winds starting to mix out the dense fog. Conditions will continue to improve over the next hour. A warm frontal boundary is draped to our north across central Alabama into Georgia. Showers continue to move along the front to our north and west. A subtle shortwave trough is expected to move through the flow today and enhance showers and possibly a few thunderstorms later today with chances for precipitation increasing, especially closer to the front in SE Alabama and SW Georgia. Shear and instability will be limited today so not expecting severe storms. Highs today will be in the 70s (mid 70s across I-10 corridor to lower 70s across more cloudy areas of SE Alabama and SW Georgia. && .PREV DISCUSSION [940 AM EST]... .NEAR TERM [Through Today]... The 11 pm regional surface analysis showed a quasi-stationary front from along the Piedmont, through central AL and GA, and into east TX. South of this front, with warm, moist Gulf air beneath dry air aloft, conditions appear favorable for widespread fog through mid to late morning. Vapor imagery and upper air data showed quasi-zonal winds over much of the CONUS, with multiple, subtle short wave troughs embedded within the broader flow. There is good agreement among the various NWP models that one of these upstream minor troughs will interact with the surface front, creating an environment which is more favorable for deep moist convection later today. The highest PoPs (40-60%), will be across portions of the FL Panhandle, southeast AL, and southwest GA this afternoon, with PoPs below 20% south and east of Tallahassee. Temperatures will be above average, with highs in the mid 70s. .SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Thursday]... In the upper levels, a deep low over northern Ontario and associated broad trough covering the eastern 2/3rd of the CONUS will translate eastward through the short term period. At the surface, a 1036mb high centered just north of Washington state tonight will advance SEWD into the Midwest by late Thursday. This will send a cold into the Tri-state region tonight with the front passing to our east by Wednesday afternoon. In addition to a warm moist environment ahead of the front, ample upper level energy and deep layer moisture accompanying this system will ensure the development of widespread rains across the region tonight and Wednesday. Models continue to show just enough instability for isolated thunderstorms as well. Wednesday night through Thursday will be cooler and dry. Lows will be around 60 to the lower 60s tonight cooling into the lower 40s northwest to mid 50s southeast zones Wednesday night. Highs will range from the mid 60s to lower 70s Wednesday and then the upper 50s northwest to upper 60s southeast on Thursday. .LONG TERM [Thursday Night Through Tuesday]... Models show the surface high centered over the Midwest moving east off the mid-Atlantic states Friday night making way for the next developing cold front which is forecast to bring another chance for rain by the later part of the weekend. While there are still some differences between the GFS and ECMWF with how they are handling the front, both models are hinting that the boundary may initially stall near or along the Gulf coast with rain chances lingering into early next week. .AVIATION [Through 12Z Wednesday]... Vis/cigs were near or below local minimums this morning, and are likely to remain very low until late morning. Brief periods of -RA are also possible at KDHN and KABY this morning. MVFR cigs/VFR Vis are likely this afternoon. A band of rain (with isolated TSRA) is expected to develop across southeast AL and south GA this afternoon or evening, affecting mainly KDHN and KABY. The latest consensus of NWP guidance is once again bullish on VLIFR Vis/cigs overnight, but we are not yet willing to go this low given the uncertainty of the aforementioned rain band, since convection, even though relatively shallow, can cause overturning of the PBL and increase mid cloud cover...both of which are unfavorable for fog/low cigs. .MARINE... Winds will be light until they increase to 15 knots behind a cold front Wednesday night. Winds may reach cautionary levels Thursday and again over the upcoming weekend ahead of the next cold front. Seas will also increase to 3 to 4 feet with the higher winds late in the week. .FIRE WEATHER... No concerns. .HYDROLOGY... Rainfall totals through Thursday morning associated with the front will be fairly limited with rainfall totals of 0.5-1.5 inch. The higher amounts are expected to be across southeast Alabama and southwest Georgia. The area should be able to handle this amounts and will monitor for any higher amounts. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Tallahassee 75 63 72 50 63 / 20 70 60 10 0 Panama City 72 64 69 52 62 / 30 70 50 10 0 Dothan 73 59 65 42 57 / 60 80 40 0 0 Albany 72 59 65 43 58 / 60 80 60 0 0 Valdosta 75 62 70 50 63 / 20 70 60 10 0 Cross City 74 60 73 54 68 / 0 20 40 10 0 Apalachicola 71 65 71 54 65 / 10 40 50 10 0 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AL...None. GM...None. && UPDATE...Scholl NEAR TERM...Scholl SHORT TERM...Fournier LONG TERM...Barry AVIATION...Barry MARINE...Fournier FIRE WEATHER...Barry HYDROLOGY...Fournier
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
100 PM CST TUE DEC 13 2016
FLZ011-131945-
Jackson FL-
100 PM CST TUE DEC 13 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN JACKSON COUNTY IN
THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA UNTIL 145 PM CST...
At 1259 PM CST, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a a
strong thunderstorm 5 miles southwest of Marianna, moving east at 40
mph.
Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.
Locations impacted include...
Marianna, Grand Ridge, Cypress, Union City, Star, Simsville, Sink
Creek, Alliance and Kynesville.
&&
LAT...LON 3077 8535 3078 8495 3061 8496 3060 8499
3061 8510 3064 8538
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 275DEG 37KT 3069 8529
38-GODSEYThe Tallahassee radar (KTLH), 80 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:30 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The Seminole county dispatch reported several trees blown down along Highway 39.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Georgia in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, December 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 663549.