Weak northeasterly flow ahead of a cold front, with a weak disturbance aloft provided enough instability for scattered showers to form over the Atlantic waters and spread over the metro areas. One of these showers produced a funnel cloud.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.
Weak northeasterly flow ahead of a cold front, with a weak disturbance aloft provided enough instability for scattered showers to form over the Atlantic waters and spread over the metro areas. One of these showers produced a funnel cloud.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 14, 3:48 PM EST, 37 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
348 PM EST Mon Nov 14 2016
.DISCUSSION...
NEAR TERM /THROUGH 6 AM TUESDAY MORNING/...
As of 345 PM EST...Outside of some isolated showers across
portions of the Lake Okeechobee region this afternoon, South
Florida has remained dry out ahead of an approaching cold front.
This cold front will continue moving southeast across the region,
with its forward progress slowing tonight, and potentially even
stalling for some time heading into tomorrow morning. Meanwhile, a
piece of strong shortwave energy in the central Plains will
rotate through the base of a longwave trough located across the
eastern third of the CONUS beginning tonight, but remain far
enough north and west to have limited impacts across the region
through tonight.
So for the rest of this afternoon and into tonight, mainly dry
weather is expected with mostly cloudy to cloudy skies, with the
best chance for some isolated showers across the Lake Okeechobee
region, Palm Beach county, and adjacent Atlantic waters. Winds will
be light and variable trending more northerly late tonight,
increasing slightly towards daybreak especially over the water. Low
temperatures tonight will generally be in the 60s, despite the
significant cloud cover which is expected to mainly be in the upper
mid and high decks which will still allow for good radiational
cooling.
SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
The cold front will continue to slowly progress southeastward
across the region Tuesday and into early Wednesday, and as
mentioned above, may become hung up for a bit tomorrow as the
shortwave energy approaches. The front lingering across the region
will help to pool moisture, allowing PWATs to increase well in
excess of 1.5 inches, well above normal for this time of year.
Combined with the synoptic forcing from the approaching shortwave
energy, scattered to locally numerous showers will be possible
especially during the afternoon hours. The best chance for
moderate to perhaps locally heavy showers will be across
southeastern areas closest to the frontal boundary.
The threat for thunderstorms appears low at this time, as the
forcing and placement of expected precip resembles more of an ana-
front scenario than prefrontal, which typically features more in the
way of periods of light rain/drizzle with an occasional heavier
shower. High temperatures Tuesday will be limited by the precip and
continued abundant cloud cover, only ranging from the mid to upper
70s.
Drier air will begin to filter in from the northwest Tuesday night,
although enough low-level moisture looks to still be in place for
some scattered showers across far southeastern areas. The drier air
will help low temperatures fall into the mid and upper 50s in
interior and Gulf Coast regions, with low 60s across the east coast
metro. Cloud cover will begin to rapidly decrease from northwest to
southeast late Tuesday night.
Wednesday looks to feature dry weather and mostly clear skies with
high temperatures around 80 as high pressure builds at the surface
and aloft, with continued dry weather Wednesday night with lows
ranging from the mid 50s to low 60s.
LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
High pressure will dominate the long term period with dry weather
and mostly clear skies. High temperatures will be around 80, with
low temperatures ranging from the mid and upper 50s across the
interior and Gulf Coast to lower and mid 60s in the east coast
metro. A surge of drier air beginning Sunday will help low
temperatures Sunday night plummet into the 50s likely for all of
South Florida, with wind chills possibly reaching into the mid 40s,
although there is still plenty of time to see how the forecast
evolves over the coming days.
&&
.MARINE...
A frontal boundary and strong upper-level energy will move across
the region through Tuesday, bringing scattered to locally numerous
showers to the local waters, with isolated thunderstorms possible
over the Atlantic waters Tuesday afternoon. Behind the frontal
passage, high pressure will build into the region from the north
with dry weather beginning Wednesday and continuing into the weekend.
Winds will be light and variable through this evening, becoming
northerly Tuesday and increasing to 10-15 knots, occasionally gusty
near the frontal boundary. Winds will trend north/northeasterly
through the rest of the week around 15 knots. Seas through Thursday
will generally be in the 2-4 foot range, increasing slightly to 4-6
feet over the Atlantic waters heading into the weekend.
&&
.BEACH FORECAST...
A Coastal Flood Advisory remains in effect for the entire east coast
of South Florida through Wednesday afternoon. Minor tidal inundation
will be possible around times of high tide, with tidal levels
running about a foot above predicted due to the occurrence of the
super moon. The threat for coastal flooding is expected to begin
decreasing towards the end of the work week.
Rip current risk will remain low at all South Florida beaches
through Wednesday, with an increased risk possible as early as
Thursday for Atlantic beaches with increasing onshore northeasterly
flow.
&&
.AVIATION...
Despite continually increasing cloud cover, VFR conditions should
prevail into Tuesday. As some shower activity develops early
Tuesday, cant rule out some mainly brief periods of restrictions,
but confidence too low to include in 18z TAF issuances. Light
onshore flow will calm overnight, then turn northerly
after midnight, from north to south as FROPA occurs.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
West Palm Beach 62 77 61 79 / 20 50 20 10
Fort Lauderdale 67 77 62 79 / 20 50 30 10
Miami 67 77 64 79 / 10 50 40 10
Naples 64 76 59 81 / 10 20 10 0
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 PM EST Wednesday for FLZ168-172-
173.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&
DISCUSSION...92/IRL
MARINE...92/IRL
AVIATION...23/SK
BEACH FORECAST...92/IRLHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 332 PM EST MON NOV 14 2016 AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676- 151200- LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM EXCLUDING THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY- INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI-DADE-METRO MIAMI-DADE- MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI- DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 332 PM EST MON NOV 14 2016 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE SOUTH FLORIDA ATLANTIC COAST... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT FLOODING: TIDAL FLOODING OF VULNERABLE AREAS ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST IS LIKELY AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING AND AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING. THIS INCLUDES AREAS NEAR THE INTRACOASTAL, AS WELL AS TIDAL CANALS AND CREEKS. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE ATLANTIC COAST OF SOUTH FLORIDA. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST AND INTRACOASTAL AREAS WITH HIGH TIDES THROUGH AT LEAST MID WEEK. RIP CURRENT RISK FOR THE ATLANTIC BEACHES MAY BEGIN TO INCREASE AS EARLY AS THURSDAY WITH INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW. MARINE CONDITIONS MAY DETERIORATE, ESPECIALLY OVER THE ATLANTIC, LATE WEEK AS NORTHEASTERLY FLOW INCREASES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.
The Miami radar (KAMX), 22 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:27 UTC.
1 funnel cloud. Local standard time, as filed.
A funnel cloud was reported by an NWS employee located 5 miles northeast of his vehicle while driving on US-41. The funnel cloud lasted from 425 PM EST until 455 PM EST and never touched down.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, November 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 662540.