Prevailing west coast sea breeze regime with scattered afternoon thunderstorms.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
Prevailing west coast sea breeze regime with scattered afternoon thunderstorms.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 4, 9:50 AM EST, 3 hours 40 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 1050 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 .UPDATE...WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE OCCURRING FROM JACKSONVILLE TO GAINESVILLE AND POINTS SOUTHWARD THIS MORNING. A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY RESIDES FROM PONTE VEDRA TO JUST NORTH OF OCALA. THIS COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTHEASTWARD DURING THE DAY. IN THE MEANTIME...SOME DRIER AIR IS STARTING TO WORK INTO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S ACROSS THE NORTHERN PRECIPICE OF THE CWA. ISODROSOTHERM ANALSIS SHOWING DEWPOINTS IN THE 65 TO 70 DEGREE RANGE SOUTH OF THE FRONT WHERE BULK SHEAR IS AROUND 50 AND SLIGHTLY ABOVE WITH CAPES STILL NEAR 1000 J/KG. HAVE STRATIFIED POP ACROSS THE SE GA AND NE FL REGION WITH POPS NEAR NIL ACROSS INTERIOR SE GA AND LIKELY CHANCES ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA. A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SAINT AUGUSTINE TO GAINESVILLE THIS LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. DRIER AIR MASS WILL FILTER INTO NORTHEAST FL IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT THIS MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. && .AVIATION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE NE FL TERMINALS THRU 16Z...WITH A PERIOD OF SUB-VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEAR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ACTIVITY WILL MOVE QUICKLY EASTWARD...ENDING AT THE DUVAL COUNTY TERMINALS AROUND 15Z...AND MOVING OFFSHORE OF SGJ AROUND 17Z. A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THE NORTHEAST FL TERMINALS THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...WITH WIND GUSTS TO 35 TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL REGION-WIDE BY 18Z. && .MARINE...A COLD FRONT HAVE CROSSED THE GEORGIA WATERS THIS MORNING...AND WILL PASS THROUGH THE OFFSHORE FLORIDA WATERS BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL PASSAGE OVER THE FLORIDA WATERS...SOUTH OF PONTE VEDRA. LOW PRESSURE WILL THEN ORGANIZE NEAR THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS TONIGHT...TIGHTENING OUR LOCAL PRESSURE GRADIENT WITH WEST/NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO CAUTION SPEEDS OVER BOTH THE NEAR SHORE AND OFFSHORE WATERS. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE OFFSHORE GEORGIA WATERS DURING THE PREDAWN HOURS ON THURS MORNING...AND WILL OVERSPREAD THE REST OF THE GEORGIA AND FLORIDA WATERS BY THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. SEAS OFFSHORE WILL PEAK IN THE 5-7 FT RANGE THURS NIGHT. WINDS WILL LIKELY SUBSIDE BACK TO CAUTION LEVELS ON THURS NIGHT IN THE NEAR SHORE WATERS...WITH SCA CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH AROUND SUNRISE ON FRI OFFSHORE. HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER TEXAS ON FRIDAY WILL BUILD EAST/SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO THIS WEEKEND. CAUTION CONDITIONS MAY CONTINUE THROUGH FRI NIGHT OFFSHORE...WITH OFFSHORE WINDS CONTINUING THIS WEEKEND BUT SPEEDS REMAINING BELOW CAUTION CRITERIA. RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY DUE TO OFFSHORE WINDS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 80 54 72 49 / 10 0 10 0 SSI 79 59 73 52 / 20 10 0 0 JAX 83 56 76 52 / 30 10 0 0 SGJ 81 60 76 56 / 50 20 0 0 GNV 82 56 77 50 / 50 10 0 0 OCF 81 56 80 52 / 70 20 0 0 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GA...NONE. AM...NONE. && CORDERO/HESS/COMBS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 451 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125- GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-050900- COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-INLAND NASSAU-INLAND DUVAL-UNION- BRADFORD-CLAY-ST. JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION- COASTAL NASSAU-COASTAL DUVAL-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING- WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN- ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN- 451 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA... SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... A COLD FRONT WILL PROGRESS SOUTHEASTWARD THROUGH OUR AREA TODAY. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS MORNING OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA. STORM MOTION WILL GENERALLY BE EASTWARD AROUND 30 MPH. STRONGER ACTIVITY WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OF 40-55 MPH...SMALL HAIL...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES. ACTIVITY MAY LINGER THROUGH THE MID-AFTERNOON HOURS IN NORTH CENTRAL FLORIDA. NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN OVER THE COASTAL WATERS TONIGHT. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE OFFSHORE WATERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY OVER BOTH THE NEAR SHORE AND OFFSHORE WATERS...WITH ADVISORY CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING OFFSHORE. BREEZY TO WINDY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND A MUCH DRIER AIR MASS WILL CREATE AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER ON THURSDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX. NELSON
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1234 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016
FLZ036-037-040-041715-
ALACHUA FL-MARION FL-PUTNAM FL-
1234 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ALACHUA...WEST
CENTRAL PUTNAM AND NORTHWESTERN MARION COUNTIES UNTIL 115 PM EDT...
AT 1234 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
CROSS CREEK...OR 9 MILES WEST OF CITRA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.
HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE IN DIAMETER CAN BE EXPECTED.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
INTERLACHEN...FORT MCCOY...CITRA...MELROSE...HAWTHORNE...ORANGE SPRINGS...
CROSS CREEK...MELROSE LANDING...ORANGE HEIGHTS...SPARR...NEWNANS LAKE...
ROCHELLE...MICANOPY...REDDICK...MCINTOSH...LOWELL...FLEMINGTON...GROVE
PARK...JOHNSON AND HOG VALLEY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
&&
LAT...LON 2929 8227 2945 8241 2948 8241 2949 8242
2976 8214 2965 8191 2933 8187
TIME...MOT...LOC 1634Z 230DEG 40KT 2945 8226
HESSPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1246 PM EDT WED MAY 04 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1205 PM HAIL ST. AUGUSTINE SHORES 29.81N 81.31W
05/04/2016 E0.25 INCH ST. JOHNS FL PUBLIC
SOCIAL MEDIA POST REPORTING PEA SIZE HAIL IN ST.
AUGUSTINE SHORES.
&&
COMBSSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 122 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 FLZ031>033-036-037-041815- ALACHUA FL-BRADFORD FL-CLAY FL-ST. JOHNS FL-PUTNAM FL- 122 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL ST. JOHNS...EAST CENTRAL ALACHUA...NORTHERN PUTNAM...SOUTHEASTERN BRADFORD AND SOUTHERN CLAY COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM EDT... AT 122 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER MELROSE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... SAINT AUGUSTINE...PALATKA...GREEN COVE SPRINGS...INTERLACHEN...KEYSTONE HEIGHTS...HASTINGS...MELROSE...WORLD GOLF VILLAGE...SAINT AUGUSTINE BEACH...HAWTHORNE...GEORGE'S LAKE...MELROSE LANDING...SAINT AUGUSTINE SHORES...LAKE GENEVA...SAINT AUGUSTINE SOUTH...BARDIN...GUANA RIVER STATE PARK...VILANO BEACH...BOSTWICK AND FLORAHOME. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && LAT...LON 2976 8123 2958 8209 2979 8218 3008 8134 TIME...MOT...LOC 1722Z 245DEG 38KT 2970 8205 HESS
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
127 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016
FLZ036-041815-
ALACHUA FL-
127 PM EDT WED MAY 4 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL ALACHUA COUNTY UNTIL 215
PM EDT...
AT 126 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
ARCHER...OR 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF BRONSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30
MPH.
HAIL UP TO NICKEL SIZE IN DIAMETER AND GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GAINESVILLE...ALACHUA...HAWTHORNE...ARCHER...GAINESVILLE AIRPORT...NEWNANS
LAKE...UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA...ORANGE HEIGHTS...ROCHELLE...WALDO...
MICANOPY AND GROVE PARK.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
&&
LAT...LON 2948 8255 2954 8256 2954 8261 2962 8266
2962 8265 2985 8219 2984 8217 2961 8205
2956 8206 2948 8244
TIME...MOT...LOC 1726Z 245DEG 26KT 2958 8254
HESSPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
130 PM EDT WED MAY 04 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1205 PM HAIL ST. AUGUSTINE SHORES 29.81N 81.31W
05/04/2016 E0.75 INCH ST. JOHNS FL BROADCAST MEDIA
BROADCAST MEDIA RELAYED A PICTURE OF DIME TO PENNY SIZE
HAIL IN ST. AUGUSTINE SHORES. TIMING ESTIMATED.
&&
COMBSPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
147 PM EDT WED MAY 04 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0130 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 SSW PUTNAM HALL 29.72N 81.97W
05/04/2016 M2.31 INCH PUTNAM FL MESONET
CWOP SITE RECORDED 2.31 INCHES OF RAIN WITHIN THE LAST 2
HOURS WITH 2.02 INCHES OF THAT OCCURRING IN THE LAST 1
HOUR.
&&
COMBS1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
Multiple wildfires were reported within the city limits of Gainesville including SW 122 Stree and SW 24 Avenue. There were no reports of road closures nor endangerments.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, May 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 629275.