Seabreeze thunderstorms developed late in the afternoon with easterly flow in place. A brief tornado developed in a rural section of Manatee County with a developing thunderstorm complex.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TBW wrote it up.
Seabreeze thunderstorms developed late in the afternoon with easterly flow in place. A brief tornado developed in a rural section of Manatee County with a developing thunderstorm complex. No damage was reported. Additionally, a lightning strike sparked a fire to a warehouse in Hillsborough County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 11, 1:59 PM EST, 4 hours 1 minute earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 259 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2016 .SYNOPSIS... 17Z water vapor and H4 RAP analysis shows the Florida peninsula under the control of strong mid-level ridging. The 12Z KTBW RAOB sampled the ridge with a well defined subsidence inversion around 700mb. The "cap" will not be enough to hold back all of the convection this afternoon...but will be a hindrance to widespread updrafts...and certainly will slow the parcels attempt to rise. We also have some drier air in the mid-levels associated with the subsidence that will be another negative factor toward convective strength through entrainment processes. Seeing a slower beginning to the convection than previous days...but first cells did begin to pop along the Nature Coast between 1230 - 100PM EDT. Removed from our forecast area...the main belt of upper level northern stream westerlies cuts across the northern tier of the CONUS. Main feature with this flow is a strong/potent shortwave trough and closed low ejecting across the High Plains this afternoon. This energy has been responsible for multiple rounds of severe weather across the Dakotas and upper midwest since last night. These features are not part of our climo this time of year. While the north deals with organized MCS complexes...we will just keep dealing with our diurnal pulse storms. At the surface...subtropical ridge extends from north of the Bahamas...through the central FL peninsula and into the eastern Gulf of Mexico. The position of the surface ridge as changed little over the past several days. However...increasing confidence that the axis will shift at least a little to the north through the middle portion of the week. This movement will place more of our forecast area within a zone of synoptic southeast low level flow...and SE flow is favored for maximizing west coast Florida sea-breeze convergence and afternoon/evening thunderstorm coverage. Another warm to hot afternoon is underway. Well...it is July. Most inland observation site as peaking in the lower/middle 90s...while coastal spots are within a degree or two of 90 early this afternoon. && .SHORT TERM (This Afternoon through Tuesday)... Warm and muggy the rest of the daylight hours...with a scattering of storms continuing to develop/evolve into the early evening hours. As mentioned in the synopsis...storm coverage is likely to fall a bit short of climo later this afternoon/evening due to only marginally favorable thermodynamics in the mid-levels of the convective column. However...efficient diurnal mixing will result in fairly high storm bases by late afternoon...and this combined with evaporative entrainment of drier air aloft can result in any of the stronger storms producing strong gusty winds upon updraft collapse. Synoptic low level flow is still light given the close proximity of the ridge axis through the center of the state. So although...storms will tend to migrate inland with time as the sea-breeze propagates...outflow boundaries will not have much resistance coming back west this evening. Therefore...similar to previous days...a second round of sct storms during the evening hours is not out of the question back toward the coast. Lingering storms dissipate over the land mass within a few hours of sunset...and for a while regional radars should be quiet. Then...late tonight/toward dawn...as a subtle land breeze develops...we are likely to see isolated/wdly sct storms develop over the coastal waters. These convective columns will likely be visible from land...but the flow suggests they will mostly remain offshore through the morning hours. Low temperatures overnight generally in the lower/middle 70s inland...and upper 70s to around at the immediate coast. Tuesday... The ridge axis finally begins to migrate slowly to the north. Good agreement in the guidance that this sets up a more defined southeast synoptic low level flow (1000-700mb vector average) over much of the forecast area...although the flow will be most defined to the south of the I-4 corridor...further removed from the ridge axis. This pattern corresponds to a borderline "type 6" sea- breeze convection regime. Do not worry about the number...but a type 6 describes a pattern where storms develop along Suncoast...and especially down toward Lee/Charlotte Counties as the east coast sea-breeze quickly moves across the state within the synoptic flow and collides with the west-coast sea-breeze. Storms fire during the middle afternoon and tend to migrate/develop northward toward the Tampa Bay Area/ I-4 corridor with time. Since we will still be in a transition type day...the pure type 6 climo pattern of convection is likely to not materialize. Will keep the expected timing and evolution for this synoptic flow in terms of PoPs...but drop the actual chances a bit lower then would normally be expected. && .Mid/Long Term (Tuesday Night through Monday)... Models continue in good agreement through the period, large scale upper ridging over the southern tier of the U.S. with small weakness in the ridge over the lower Mississippi River Valley as upper trough drops out of Canada moving through the Great Lakes to end the work week then down the Eastern seaboard over the weekend. At the surface, the Western Atlantic high pressure axis over the N FL peninsula to start the period very slowly migrates northward into the weekend. This set up should allow for a more typical summertime SE flow regime temp and POP scenario in a warm, moist and unstable environment Expect west coast bay/seabreeze convergence to produce scattered early afternoon thunderstorms around I-75 from the Tampa Bay area into SW FL then the east coast seabreeze and outflow boundary collisions to occur with increased convective coverage through the evening hours in coastal counties/areas. This set up will have an impact to late day boaters and beach goers mid to late week and over the weekend. This will be the first SE flow regime this summer, so we want people to be safe and aware for the possibility of deadly lighting and strong gusty winds for localized rough conditions in the vicinity of stronger storms. Temperatures should return to more seasonal levels with highs in the low to mid 90s, except upper 80s at the beaches. Lows will generally range from near 80 degrees at the coast to the mid 70s inland. && .AVIATION (11/18Z through 12/18Z)... Typical summer conditions across west-central and southwest Florida as VFR prevailing. Scattered storms will enter the forecast through the middle evening hours before dissipating. A brief restriction is possible at any terminal with a passing storm. VFR conditions with low chances for storms overnight through Tuesday morning. We will then begin the process again after 16-17Z on Tuesday with scattered storms building across the region. && .MARINE... The weather pattern across the eastern Gulf of Mexico remains quiet and seasonable through the middle of the week. High pressure will continue to ridge westward from the Atlantic... across the Florida peninsula and into the Gulf of Mexico. The proximity of this ridge axis will keep wind generally below 15 knots and seas at 2 feet or less. Typical for this time of year...the greatest concern for mariners will be the potential for localized rough conditions in the vicinity of mainly overnight and morning thunderstorms. Later in the week...the pattern may shift to one more favorable for stronger afternoon and evening storms over the near shore waters. && .FIRE WEATHER... No significant fire weather concerns are anticipated through the next several days as winds remain light and relative humidity values remain above critical levels. Temperatures through Wednesday will average a few degrees above average during the day...while thunderstorms coverage remains at or below average. There are still signs that the pattern will undergo a change during the second half of the week that will favor an increase in the afternoon/evening rainfall coverage. No significant fog is expected through the next several days. && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... TPA 78 92 79 93 / 20 30 30 40 FMY 76 93 77 93 / 30 50 30 60 GIF 76 94 77 95 / 20 40 30 50 SRQ 79 90 78 91 / 10 20 30 40 BKV 74 93 74 95 / 20 30 20 40 SPG 80 92 81 92 / 20 20 30 40 && .TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && SYNOPSIS/SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WX...Mroczka MID TERM/LONG TERM/DECISION SUPPORT...Davis
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 441 AM EDT MON JUL 11 2016 FLZ043-050-052-056-057-061-139-142-148-149-151-155-160-162-165- 239-242-248-249-251-255-260-262-265-GMZ830-836-850-853-856-870- 873-876-120000- SUMTER-PINELLAS-POLK-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-DESOTO-COASTAL LEVY- COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL PASCO- COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA- COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL LEE-INLAND LEVY-INLAND CITRUS- INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND PASCO-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND MANATEE- INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND LEE-TAMPA BAY WATERS- CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM- 441 AM EDT MON JUL 11 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AS EARLY AS LATE MORNING FOR NEAR COASTAL AREAS. THEREAFTER...STORMS WILL BECOME MORE SCATTERED DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. A FEW STRONG STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. STORMS SHOULD GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR EACH DAY FROM MID TO LATE MORNING INTO THE EVENING HOURS. STORMS MAY INCREASE IN COVERAGE HEADING INTO THE LATTER HALF OF THIS WEEK. A FEW OF THE STORMS MAY BE STRONG...WITH SMALL HAIL...STRONG WIND GUSTS...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL GENERALLY SHIFT OFFSHORE EACH NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. AUSTIN
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL 600 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2016 FLZ052-251-112230- POLK-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH- 600 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2016 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN HILLSBOROUGH AND WEST CENTRAL POLK COUNTIES... AT 600 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER MEDULLA...OR NEAR LAKELAND...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH. WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... LAKELAND...PLANT CITY...BARTOW...LAKELAND LINDER AIRPORT...MEDULLA... COMBEE SETTLEMENT...MULBERRY...GIBSONIA...LAKELAND HIGHLANDS... WINSTON...CRYSTAL LAKE...KATHLEEN...WILLOW OAK AND HIGHLAND CITY. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. LAT...LON 2813 8225 2822 8195 2792 8187 2785 8205 TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 157DEG 9KT 2796 8200
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL
622 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2016
FLZ251-255-260-112300-
INLAND MANATEE-INLAND SARASOTA-INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-
622 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2016
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN
HILLSBOROUGH...NORTHEAST SARASOTA AND EASTERN MANATEE COUNTIES...
AT 620 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES EAST OF PARRISH TO 13 MILES
NORTHEAST OF MYAKKA RIVER STATE PARK TO NEAR MYAKKA CITY. MOVEMENT
WAS NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.
WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MYAKKA CITY...GREATER SUN CENTER...LAKE MANATEE STATE PARK...
DUETTE...HIDDEN RIVER AND WIMAUMA.
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
LAT...LON 2769 8235 2745 8239 2725 8230 2726 8212
2737 8216 2768 8209
TIME...MOT...LOC 2220Z 132DEG 9KT 2755 8218 2741 8221 2730 8216SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA / RUSKIN FL 651 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2016 FLZ151-251-112315- INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH- 651 PM EDT MON JUL 11 2016 ...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY... AT 649 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR PLANT CITY TO NEAR FISH HAWK. MOVEMENT WAS WEST AT 10 MPH. WINDS UP TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... TAMPA...PLANT CITY...TEMPLE TERRACE...FISH HAWK...BRANDON... RIVERVIEW...GREATER SUN CENTER...EAST LAKE-ORIENT PARK... PALM RIVER-CLAIR MEL...DOVER...SEFFNER...THONOTOSASSA... TAMPA EXECUTIVE AIRPORT...VALRICO...ALAFIA RIVER STATE PARK... BOYETTE...FORT LONESOME...LITHIA SPRINGS STATE PARK... BLOOMINGDALE AND MANGO. TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. LAT...LON 2814 8237 2769 8235 2768 8209 2813 8207 TIME...MOT...LOC 2249Z 090DEG 7KT 2809 8213 2783 8218
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 30 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 23:01 UTC.
1 tornado, 1 lightning. Local standard time, as filed.
A tornado was spotted in a very rural portion of Manatee County near Duette. The exact location was unknown due to the rural nature of the area but numerous pictures and videos showed the circulation reaching the ground. No damage was reported.
A newspaper reported on a 25,000 square foot warehouse that burned down after being struck by lightning.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Florida, 2016Warnings in Florida, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 638482, 639260.