California, 2016

Wildfire in California, September 17 to 30, 2016

September 17 to 30, 2016 · NWS MFR · 1 event in 1 county or zone

The Soup Complex wildfire started on 09/17/16 at 1619 PDT. The cause remains unknown.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS MFR wrote it up.

The Soup Complex wildfire started on 09/17/16 at 1619 PDT. The cause remains unknown. As of 0345 PDT on 10/01/16 , the fire covered 2647 acres and was 62% contained. No structures were lost and 5.35 million dollars had been spent on firefighting efforts.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 17, 1:44 PM PST, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 17, 1:44 PM PST, 1 hour 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
244 PM PDT SAT SEP 17 2016

.DISCUSSION...Despite significant morning cloudiness, clouds have
thinned and the sun is currently shining through at most
locations. Temperatures are running close to where they were 24
hours ago overall, though temperatures have climbing to a mild 70F
at North Bend as of 1 PM PDT. Expect forecast highs are pretty
well on track due to the thinning cloudiness.

Tonight into Sunday morning increasing humidity, clouds, and winds
aloft should keep temperatures 5 to as much as 10 degrees
warmer. Clouds are expected to increase again this evening into
Sunday as a frontal system brushes through from the northwest.

It still appears that some areas in the Coos Coastal Mountains and
portions of northwestern Douglas County could see around a tenth
of an inch of rain this evening through Sunday morning. The
Cascades and of northern Klamath and Douglas Counties north of
Crater Lake National Park could see 0.10" to 0.25" during this
same time period. Up to a few hundredths of an inch are possible
in portions of Curry, Josephine, and Jackson Counties.

For this next week we are still on track for cooler conditions,
with highs in the 60s and 70s for most valley locations. We will
need to be on the lookout for any periods of clearing mid to late
week, as some west side areas could, potentially, experience their
first frost of the season. At this point, the coldest morning
looks to be Thursday morning.

Showers were added to the forecast over portion of the area for
Wednesday and Thursday, as the numerical models have been
indicating a cold trough passing through under northwest flow.
This could be enough to result in some showers over the higher
terrain. Snow levels are likely to be in the 6kft to 7.5kft range
Wednesday night and Thursday, so it is possible that the high
peaks could see a dusting should the current slight chance of
showers materialize as observed showers. Since run to run
variability in the models has been fairly high during this time
period, have left it simply as slight chance for now.

As for next weekend, models are leaning more northwestward with
rainfall now, meaning that we have some possibility mainly over
the coast and Umpqua, but chances are very slim elsewhere. BTL

&&

.AVIATION...17/18Z TAF CYCLE...VFR conditions are expected to
continue through the TAF period at most locations. Stratus with
IFR CIGs is expected to surge back onto the coast tonight and
spill into the Umpqua overnight. We may also see conditions worsen
to LIFR along the coast (including KOTH) as stratus lowers and
mist/fog forms overnight. -Wright

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...230 PM Saturday 17 September 2016...There are
few fire weather concerns for the next several days as a cold
front moves over the area and brings a cooler and more humid
airmass moves in from the north and west. We will see gusty
afternoon and evening west winds over the east side each day
through much of the upcoming week. The combination of winds and
humidity will be borderline critical today on the east side, but
are expected to remain short of red flag conditions. While winds
will be stronger on the east side tomorrow and Monday, red flag
criteria are not expected to be met due to higher humidities. An
upper trough moves in mid week with cooler and more humid
conditions area-wide. -Wright

&&

.MARINE...Updated 230 PM PDT Saturday 17 September 2016...A cold
front will move through the waters tonight. South winds ahead of the
front will veer to northwest Sunday morning. Seas will continue to
build tonight and become dominated by moderate 6 to 8 ft (15
seconds) west swell Sunday. Periods will shorten (down to 11
seconds) between swells Monday into Tuesday. Expect conditions to
become hazardous to small craft as gusty north winds return on
Monday and Tuesday, especially south of Cape Blanco. -Spilde

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...None.

CA...None.

Pacific Coastal Waters...None.

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.

Wildfire, Modoc County

When
September 17, 3:19 PM PST to September 30, 11:59 PM PST
Where
Modoc County forecast zone
Reported by
Other Federal Agency
Coordinates
41.590, -120.725 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Soup Complex wildfire started on 09/17/16 at 1619 PDT. The cause remains unknown. As of 0345 PDT on 10/01/16 , the fire covered 2647 acres and was 62% contained. No structures were lost and 5.35 million dollars had been spent on firefighting efforts.

What these are

Wildfire
A fire burning in wildland vegetation, with its acreage and damage where known.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in California in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in California, September 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 651855.