Arkansas, 2016

Flooding in Arkansas, December 22 to 31, 2016

December 22 to 31, 2016 · NWS LZK · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Heavy rain again brought flooding to the east and south parts of Arkansas 12/22 through 12/31.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.

Heavy rain again brought flooding to the east and south parts of Arkansas 12/22 through 12/31.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 22, 8:35 PM CST, 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 22, 8:35 PM CST, 25 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Update
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
835 PM CST Thu Dec 22 2016

.Discussion...

An area of light rain/showers or just sprinkles was moving across
northeast OK and is pushing east into AR. Forecast update did add
slight chance of light showers or light rain to northern parts of AR
tonight with very light amounts. Temperatures are expected to stay
above freezing but will need to be monitored overnight. Otherwise
increasing clouds tonight, and better chances of rain on Friday as
upper shortwave energy moves through the region. Lows tonight will
be from the lower 40s west to mid to lower 30s east. Late
evening update will only fine tune a few elements. (59)

&&

.Prev Discussion.../ Issued 530 PM CST Thu Dec 22 2016/
.Aviation...

Overall VFR flight conditions with ceilings will be seen tonight.
Increasing mid and high clouds will spread over AR from the west to
east. A few light showers or just sprinkles may be seen over western
to northern parts of AR tonight. Winds will be from the north to
northeast at 3 to 9 mph tonight. On Friday, winds will become more
east to southeast at 5 to 10 mph. (59)

&&

.Prev Discussion.../ Issued 251 PM CST Thu Dec 22 2016/

.SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Saturday

The cold front that pushed through the state overnight has brought
drier and cooler conditions to the Natural State this Thu. This will
change late tonight through Fri as this front will lift back north
as a warm front...with rain chances returning to the forecast for a
large portion of the state Fri afternoon. Before that however...some
areas across WRN and SWRN AR may see a few sprinkles late this
afternoon into the evening hrs as light precip activity to the west
moves this direction. Given the dry air in place this
afternoon...most areas should remain dry however.

The warm front will have moved across the state by late on
Fri..stretched from approximately SWRN AR NE into NERN AR. An upper
level shortwave will move east over the region by Fri night into Sat
morning...with SHRA and some isolated TSRA possible across the
state. Have generally high chance to likely POPs forecast at this
time...with the most likely area for seeing precip along this front
Fri night into Sat morning. Rainfall amounts should remain less than
an inch for a large portion of the state...but higher amounts will
be possible along this frontal boundary from central into ERN
sections of the state. Rainfall amounts may exceed 2 inches in this
region of the CWA.

As the upper shortwave moves east of the region...chances for precip
will decrease...even with the warm front remaining over the state
through Sat afternoon. However...this front will lift north of the
state in the early part of the long term period...with chances for
SHRA/TSRA increasing once again.

&&

.LONG TERM...Saturday Night Through Thursday

Not making a lot of changes to the existing forecast at this time.
Extended period begins with a southerly surface flow bringing warm
and moist air across the region. Christmas Day is going to be rather
warm, with max temperatures ranging from the mid 60's across the
north to the lower 70's across the south.

A surface cold front, and a shortwave aloft will be moving into the
area late Saturday into Sunday morning. SPC has been mentioning a
chance of severe storms across the far western portions of the state
and unless things speed up, this looks to be quite reasonable. Like
the last event, this will be a relatively low CAPE and high shear
environment.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     32  49  45  58 /  10  50  80  40
Camden AR         37  56  54  67 /  10  50  60  40
Harrison AR       32  48  42  59 /  10  70  50  10
Hot Springs AR    36  50  48  63 /  10  60  80  40
Little Rock   AR  35  52  49  63 /  10  50  80  50
Monticello AR     37  58  55  67 /  10  40  50  40
Mount Ida AR      36  49  46  63 /  10  60  80  30
Mountain Home AR  33  47  41  58 /  10  60  60  20
Newport AR        33  50  46  59 /  10  50  80  50
Pine Bluff AR     35  55  53  65 /  10  50  60  50
Russellville AR   34  47  43  59 /  10  60  70  30
Searcy AR         32  51  47  61 /  10  50  80  50
Stuttgart AR      35  54  50  63 /  10  50  70  50
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

Short Term...62 / Long Term...53
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 22, 8:20 PM CST, 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
820 PM CST THU DEC 22 2016

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-231100-
BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD-
INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY-
FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND-
SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT-
JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-CALHOUN-
BRADLEY-DREW-
820 PM CST THU DEC 22 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN OR LIGHT SHOWERS WILL BE SEEN TONIGHT MAINLY
OVER NORTHERN ARKANSAS. OTHERWISE NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM.

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT...AS A COLD FRONT MAKES ITS WAY INTO THE REGION. SOME
STRONG OR POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS COULD OCCUR ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...MAINLY OVER WESTERN AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THE THREAT OF
SEVERE WEATHER WILL DEPEND ON HOW MUCH WARMING OCCURS OUT AHEAD OF
THE FRONT ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO THE NEXT
WEEK...BUT AT THIS TIME...THE THREAT OF ANY ADDITIONAL STRONG STORMS
IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

&&

VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LZK.

57/59

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Woodruff

When
December 22, 9:00 PM CST to December 26, 2:00 AM CST
Where
Woodruff County, 0.91 mi W of Riverside to 0.07 mi N of Cavell
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
35.280, -91.246

Heavy rain caused a second round of flooding 12/22 to 12/26.

Flood, Ouachita

When
December 26, 10:30 PM CST to December 31, 9:30 PM CST
Where
Ouachita County, 1.21 mi NNW of Camden to 1.26 mi NE of Collendale
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
River/Stream Gage
Coordinates
33.596, -92.837

Heavy rain caused flooding on the Ouachita River 12/26 to 12/31.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arkansas in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, December 2016

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 670084, 670087.