Thunderstorms produced severe winds and heavy rain over Yavapai County.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.
Thunderstorms produced severe winds and heavy rain over Yavapai County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 25, 9:30 AM MST, 1 hour 50 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 930 AM MST MON JUL 25 2016 .SYNOPSIS...Monsoon moisture will increase across northern Arizona from south to north through Tuesday. Expect good coverage of showers and thunderstorms especially over the mountains. On Wednesday dry air should move southward leading to an isolated storm from I-40 northward. Elsewhere expect scattered storms to continue from the Mogollon Rim region south. && .DISCUSSION... Short term forecast is in good shape with no updates planned. && .PREV DISCUSSION 423 AM..A subtropical high is positioned to the east of Arizona and a subtropical low is positioned to the southwest...both the clockwise and counter clockwise circulation respectively are helping draw much deeper subtropical moisture northward into Arizona with 1.5 inch PW creeping into southern parts of the state with 1.0 inch PW moving north of I-40. Areas to the north of I-40 will see thunderstorms however not as widespread south of I-40 storm are forecast to be more widespread today. The subtropical moisture is forecast to spread northward toward the Utah border on Tuesday with storms becoming more widespread on Tuesday. The main threat from these storms will be hail...strong gusty winds...and localized heavy rain. On Wednesday...The subtropical high shifts to the northwest of Arizona...slowly bring drier air into northern Arizona primarily to the north of I-40 with fewer storms. To the south moisture is forecast to remain deep enough for scattered showers and thunderstorms. This pattern is forecast to persist through Friday. Through the weekend...the subtropical high is forecast to move east into New Mexico with a moist SE subtropical flow returning and bringing deeper subtropical moisture back into northern Arizona by Sunday. This moist pattern is forecast to continue into next week with subtropical weather disturbances moving northwest across the area helping to enhance afternoon and overnight thunderstorm activity. && .AVIATION...For the 18Z package...Scattered to numerous SHRA/TSRA will develop today...initially around 18Z over the higher terrain and then spreading into the lower elevations after 21Z and into the evening. Scattered MVFR and isolated IFR in heavy rain and small hail, with gusty winds also possible near storm activity. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && PUBLIC...41 / TC AVIATION...jj For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 522 AM MST MON JUL 25 2016 AZZ004>018-037>040-260615- KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY- COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS- NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY- CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY- WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS- NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS- OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA- NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264- 522 AM MST MON JUL 25 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO... NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY...WITH STORMS BEING MORE NUMEROUS SOUTH OF I-40 BY LATE MORNING INTO THIS EVENING. THE MAIN THREATS ARE LIGHTNING...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL...HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY. AREAS NORTH OF THE MOGOLLON RIM WILL EXPERIENCE DRIER AND HOTTER CONDITIONS WITH ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY AS DRIER AIR FILTERS INTO FAR NORTHER ARIZONA. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM SOUTHWARD. BY SATURDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH IS FORECAST TO SHIFT INTO A MORE FAVORABLE POSITION...TO THE EAST OF ARIZONA WITH DEEPER SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURNING OVER THE AREA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 108 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 18:20 UTC.
2 heavy rain, 2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A trained spotter reported 0.70 inches of rain in 20 minutes and water running down the roads in Walker.
A trained spotter measured 2.68 inches of rain in two hours three miles east of Iron Springs.
The Humbug Creek RAWS measured a peak wind gust of 61 MPH in association with a thunderstorm in the area.
The Stanton RAWS measured a peak wind gust of 58 MPH with a thunderstorm in the area.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arizona in 2016Every state in 2016This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, July 2016
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 654666, 654667, 654663, 654664.