Alaska, 2016High Wind in Alaska, December 23, 2016
December 23, 2016 · NWS AFC · 1 event in 1 county or zone
A triple point low moved through the Eastern Aleutians, causing brief high winds at Dutch Harbor.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A triple point low moved through the Eastern Aleutians, causing brief high winds at Dutch Harbor.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Dec 23, 4:41 AM AKST, 6 hours 52 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 23, 4:41 AM AKST, 6 hours 52 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
441 AM AKST Fri Dec 23 2016
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
There is a progressive upper level ridge over southwest Alaska and
the eastern Bering Sea. A weak "ridge-topping" trough currently
stretches north-northwest from Kodiak Island to Norton Sound.
There is an upper level low situated south of the central
Aleutians. An associated surface low is deepening and moving to
the north. A strong low associated with a more vigorous upper
trough is located to the southwest of the western Aleutians and
moving rapidly eastward. The low that has been in the Gulf of
Alaska the last few days is now in the southeast Gulf and moving
quickly away to the south-southeast.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The numerical models are in good agreement this morning. There are
some differences with how they handle the merging lows in the
Bering Saturday and Saturday night, but these differences do not
impact the forecast very much.
&&
.AVIATION...
PANC...Areas of fog and low clouds will persist. VFR conditions
are preferred this afternoon with the for retreating back to the
knik arm. The fog should move back in again in the evening, but
will then dissipate tonight as offshore flow increases.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
An upper level trough moves through the Cook Inlet to the MAT-SU
corridor today and into western Canada tonight. A few flurries are
expected with this feature. Areas of fog across the Anchorage Bowl
should diminish by afternoon. There will probably be a little more
fog again tonight, but not as extensive. Pressure gradients begin
to relax today so outflow winds across the eastern Kenai Pen and
North Gulf Coast will diminish.
The focus then shifts to a strong weather front approaching the
southern Gulf late tonight. The front then pushes to the northern
Gulf Sat night. This front will bring widespread gales with some
storms to the marine areas and strong wind/gap flows across the
northern Gulf/eastern Kenai Pen as it heads north. Warming temps
will accompany abundant moisture and will spread north. Precipitation
will start briefly as snow across Kodiak tonight, but then
rapidly shifting to rain. Snow should spread to the Kenai Pen by
Sat afternoon and be heavy at times over the eastern Kenai Pen
through Sat night. Coastal areas however should start to see a mix
of snow and rain. Strong winds coinciding with moderate to heavy
snowfall could produce blizzard conditions in turnagain Pass and
Portage Valley Sat afternoon through Sat night. There is still
some uncertainty as to the degree of warming that will occur in
Portage Valley. Temps in this area could rise into the mid 30s Sat
evening and produce a fairly wet snow or mix and mitigate the
potential for blowing snow. Turnagain pass should safely stay all
snow through Sat night. That said, issued a blizzard watch for
both areas.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
After some areas of fog this morning, higher clouds in advance of
the Bering front will arrive. Strong warm advection southeast flow
will also begin this afternoon. Some light snow will begin along
the coast tonight and spread inland on Sat. Heaviest snowfall is
expected on the upwind side of mountains north of Togiak and
Manokotak during the day Sat, tapering off Sat night into Sun.
Other areas in the Bristol Bay region will have snow mixing with
rain beginning Sat. Wind and snow northwest of Bethel will produce
areas of blowing snow on Sat, with some reduction in visibility.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The Bering front will spread rain and gale force winds across the
eastern Bering through tonight before moving across the Alaska
Peninsula and into the mainland on Sat. Some storm force winds are
also expected south of Dutch Harbor today. A second low affects
the western Aleutians later today with rain and some snow showers,
as well as small craft and gale force winds. These conditions will
spread east through the weekend.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
A gale-force front will bring snow to the north Gulf coast on
Sunday while the Cook Inlet region remains downsloped and dry.
Western Prince William Sound will take the brunt of this system.
The same front will be weakening over the southwest, leaving
scattered rain and snow showers in the area. The responsible low
pressure system will encompass most of the Bering, but will have
little in the way of forcing for widespread precipitation. Look
for scattered to numerous showers across the area.
The extended forecast begins late Sunday with the same pattern. A
broad trough sits over the Bering with the jet stream to the south
of the Aleutians. The previous front will hang against the north
Gulf coast, then fall apart while the trough gradually shifts
eastward. Toward the middle of next week, a pattern change is
underway as a developing Kamchatka low looks to amplify the
pattern over the western Bering. This will bring ridging, a front, and
warmer air to the Bering, while the Southcentral will remain in a
weak outflow pattern with clear sky, light winds, and enhanced gap
winds along the coast.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Blizzard Watch 125.
MARINE...Storm Warning 130 172.
Gale Warning 120 131 132 136 137 138 141 150 155 160 165 170 171
173 174 175 176 179 180 181 185.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DS
LONG TERM...MTL
High Wind, Eastern Aleutians
- When
- December 23, 11:33 AM AKST to 2:46 PM AKST
- Where
- Eastern Aleutians forecast zone
- Measured
- 74 kt (85 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- AWOS
A peak gust of 74 kts was measured on a secondary wind sensor on the Unalaska Airport runway.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flooding and Heavy Snow in California, December 23 to 24, 201660 kt wind · 33 events
- Winter Weather in Kansas, December 23, 20162 injured · 3 events
- Winter Storm in Utah, December 23 to 26, 201616 events
- Winter Weather in Wisconsin, December 23, 201614 events
- Blizzard and Winter Storm in Idaho, December 23 to 25, 201611 events
- Heavy Snow and High Wind in California, December 23 to 24, 2016$10,000 · 70 kt wind · 8 events
- Blizzard and Winter Storm in Wyoming, December 23 to 26, 20166 events
- Heavy Snow in Nevada, December 23 to 25, 20165 events
- Winter Storm in California, December 23 to 24, 20164 events
- Winter Weather in Colorado, December 23, 20163 events
- Dense Fog in Utah, December 23, 20163 events
- Flood and Heavy Snow in Nevada, December 23 to 24, 2016$1,000 · 3 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 670667.