Texas, 2015

Flooding in Texas, March 9, 2015

March 9, 2015 · NWS FWD · 2 events in 2 counties and zones

Localized heavy rainfall produced isolated flooding across a few of the southern-most counties north Texas.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
2

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.

Localized heavy rainfall produced isolated flooding across a few of the southern-most counties north Texas.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 9, 9:58 AM CST, 1 hour 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 9:58 AM CST, 1 hour 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1058 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015

.UPDATE...
COOL...MOIST AIR AT THE SURFACE CONTINUES TO ADVECT IN FROM THE
NORTHEAST DUE TO BACKING LOW LEVEL FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH A
STRENGTHENING TROUGH ALONG THE TEXAS COAST. WARM/MOIST AIR
ADVECTION ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO OVERRIDE THE COOLER AIRMASS NEAR
THE SURFACE AHEAD OF AN UPPER TROUGH OVER MEXICO. THIS WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY...WHICH SHOULD NOT END UNTIL THE SYSTEM TO OUR WEST
MIGRATES EAST OF NORTH TEXAS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE HIGHEST
MOISTURE VALUES STILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHEAST COUNTIES...WHERE
PWATS IN EXCESS OF AN INCH AND A QUARTER RESIDE. THIS COULD
PRODUCE SOME LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS...AND WE WILL MAINTAIN
THE FLOOD WATCH FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A
KILLEEN TO PALESTINE LINE THROUGH 1 AM TUESDAY. THE ONLY REAL
CHANGE FOR THIS UPDATE WAS TO LOWER MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES BY A
COUPLE OF DEGREES BASED ON RECENT TRENDS AND UPDATED GUIDANCE.

30

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 715 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015/
/12Z TAFS/

CONCERNS...LIFR CEILINGS...RAIN WITH RESTRICTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

A TROPICAL PLUME CONTINUES SPREADING HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS
SOUTHEAST TEXAS. THE BULK OF THIS PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN
SOUTHEAST OF TAF SITES TODAY...BUT WITH EASTERLY AND NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW THROUGHOUT THE DAY...LIFR CEILINGS WILL PREVAIL WITH
INTERMITTENT LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE. VARIABLE VISIBILITY WILL
GENERALLY BE NEAR THE IFR/MVFR BOUNDARY.

AS THE CONVEYOR BELT SHIFTS INTO LOUISIANA THIS EVENING...DRAGGING
A COASTAL TROUGH WITH IT...WINDS WILL BACK FURTHER TO THE NORTH.
VISIBILITIES WILL IMPROVE WITH THE CESSATION OF PRECIP. BUT
DESPITE THE LOSS OF ANY UPSLOPE COMPONENT IN THE SURFACE WINDS...
THE CONTINUED ADVECTION OF COOL/MOIST AIR IN THE LOW-LEVELS WILL
SLOW THE LIFTING OF CEILINGS. IT WILL LIKELY TAKE UNTIL MID-
MORNING TUESDAY FOR MVFR CEILINGS TO RETURN.

25

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 410 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015/
A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL ROTATE ACROSS SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AND BRING
NUMEROUS SHOWERS TO THE ENTIRE REGION. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL WILL
EXTEND FROM THE SOUTHERN ZONES OF NORTH TEXAS TO THE TEXAS COAST
WHERE PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES WILL BE IN EXCESS OF 1.25 INCHES.
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES WILL AVERAGE
BETWEEN 1 AND 3 INCHES WITH SOME HIGHER TOTALS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
EXTREME SOUTHEAST ZONES. TOTALS ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF NORTH
TEXAS WILL BE GENERALLY LESS THAN 1 INCH. WE WILL LEAVE THE FLOOD
WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR LOCATIONS SOUTHEAST OF A
KILLEEN TO PALESTINE LINE.

SURFACE WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BE GENERALLY FROM THE EAST BUT
WILL TURN TO THE NORTH/NORTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY AS A COASTAL LOW
DEEPENS. AS THE WIND TURNS TO THE NORTH...SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR WILL
FILTER INTO THE REGION. THE COMBINATION OF DRIER AIR AND THE
DEPARTING SHORT WAVE WILL BRING AN END TO MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT. A FEW SHOWERS MAY LINGER ACROSS THE
EASTERN ZONES EARLY TUESDAY.

A DEEP SOUTHERN BRANCH TROUGH WILL REMAIN ORIENTED JUST WEST OF
NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY WHICH SHOULD KEEP
NORTH TEXAS IN A ZONE OF NEUTRAL LARGE SCALE FORCING. A CLOSED
LOW IS PROGGED TO DEVELOP LATE IN THE WEEK AS A SHORT WAVE FROM
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST MERGES WITH THE SOUTHERN BRANCH TROUGH.
THIS CLOSED LOW IS FORECAST BY THE MODELS TO DEEPEN ACROSS WESTERN
MEXICO ON THE WEEKEND. NORTH TEXAS SHOULD REMAIN IN A REGION OF
WEAK LARGE SCALE FORCING UNTIL THIS SYSTEM FINALLY LIFTS
NORTHEAST WHICH MAY NOT HAPPEN UNTIL THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
WHEN IT DOES FINALLY LIFT NORTH IT SHOULD BRING INCREASING RAIN
CHANCES WITH IT.

NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS SURFACE LOW PRESSURE
REMAINS NEAR THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS SURFACE PATTERN
WILL KEEP LOW LEVEL GULF MOISTURE CUT OFF FROM NORTH TEXAS. THE
COMBINATION OF WEAK OR NO LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT AND
RELATIVELY DRY AIR SHOULD KEEP RAIN CHANCES AT A MINIMUM ACROSS
NORTH TEXAS TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY.

HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE MAINLY IN THE LOWER 50S DUE TO
EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER AND EXPECTED RAINFALL. TEMPERATURES THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND SHOULD BE WARMER WITH
HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 60S TO AROUND 70. OVERNIGHT LOWS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND WILL BE GENERALLY IN THE 40S.

79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  52  46  65  49  73 /  90  50  10   5   5
WACO, TX              52  47  65  46  71 / 100  40  10   5  10
PARIS, TX             49  44  61  47  68 /  90  60  20  10  10
DENTON, TX            51  45  64  44  71 /  90  50  10   5   5
MCKINNEY, TX          51  45  65  45  69 /  90  50  10   5   5
DALLAS, TX            54  46  65  51  72 /  90  50  10   5   5
TERRELL, TX           52  47  63  47  70 /  90  50  10   5  10
CORSICANA, TX         52  49  64  50  70 / 100  50  20   5  10
TEMPLE, TX            52  47  63  48  70 / 100  40  10   5  10
MINERAL WELLS, TX     53  44  61  43  74 /  90  30  10   5   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR TXZ147-148-158-160>162-174-
175.

&&

58/30
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 7:12 AM CST, 4 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
812 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-101100-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
812 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM TONIGHT FOR AREAS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM KILLEEN...TO MEXIA...TO PALESTINE. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

25

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Freestone

When
March 9, 11:37 AM CST to 1:37 PM CST
Where
Freestone County, Fairfield to 1.9 mi S of Fairfield
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
31.720, -96.170

A social media report stated that U.S Hwy 84 in Freestone County had water over the roadway at the railroad overpass.

Flood, Milam

When
March 9, 12:38 PM CST to 1:38 PM CST
Where
Milam County, 0.72 mi S of Rockdale to 1.49 mi S of Rockdale
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Social Media
Coordinates
30.640, -97.001

A social media report stated that FM 908 south of U.S. 77 was closed due to flooding.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, March 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 568196, 568199.