Texas, 2015

Flash Flooding in Texas, June 19, 2015

June 19, 2015 · NWS EWX · 3 events in 1 county or zone

Thunderstorms formed along an old outflow boundary in a moist, conditionally unstable airmass. Some of these storms produced heavy rain that led to flash flooding.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS EWX wrote it up.

Thunderstorms formed along an old outflow boundary in a moist, conditionally unstable airmass. Some of these storms produced heavy rain that led to flash flooding.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 19, 2:40 AM CST, 1 hour 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 19, 2:40 AM CST, 1 hour 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
340 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
RAINFALL POTENTIAL SHOULD BE A BIT LESS THAN THE LAST COUPLE DAYS
AS ONCE TROPICAL STORM BILL EXIT THE REGION. STILL QUITE A MOIST
AIR MASS IS IN PLACE HOWEVER SO ISOLATED HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AGAIN
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. ALREADY THIS
MORNING...SOME ISOLATED MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS ARE DEVELOPING
AROUND BEXAR COUNTY WHICH APPEARS TO BE DRIVEN BY ISENTROPIC
ASCENT. VAD WIND PROFILES AT CRP/EWX/DRT SHOW ONLY ABOUT 20 KTS
OF 850 MB FLOW THIS MORNING AND SOME LOWER THETA E AIR APPEAR TO
BE ADVECTING INTO THE AREA BY MID MORNING SAYS NAM/RAP FORECAST
SOUNDINGS. THE ISENTROPIC ASCENT APPEARS TO WEAKEN BY MID MORNING
AS WELL. THEREFORE...NOT EXPECTING THIS ACTIVITY TO PERSIST INTO
THE AFTERNOON BUT AT THAT POINT...DIURNAL HEATING MAY TAKE OVER AS
THE DOMINANT LIFTING MECHANISM SO CARRIED CHANCE POPS THROUGH 00Z.

WV IMAGERY DEPICTS SOME DRIER AIR OVER THE FAR WESTERN COUNTIES
THIS MORNING BUT ANOTHER SURGE OF MOISTURE UPSTREAM SHOULD MOVE IN
THIS AFTERNOON IN ASSOCIATION WITH A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM
THE MEXICAN PACIFIC COAST. IT WILL PARK ITSELF OVER THE RIO GRANDE
VALLEY SATURDAY AND STAY SOMEWHAT STATIONARY INTO SUNDAY. THIS
FEATURE WILL BE THE MAIN FOCUS FOR RAINFALL POTENTIAL THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BECOME MORE OF AN
INVERTED TROUGH AS IT BECOMES SANDWICHED BETWEEN A BUILDING HIGH
OVER THE SW CONUS AND THE GULF OF MEXICO. IN THE LOWER LEVELS...A
HEALTHY LLJ DEVELOPS OVER SOUTH TEXAS AND THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY
PUMPING HEALTHY LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RIGHT INTO THE LOW CENTER. WITH
FORECAST SOUNDINGS INDICATING PWATS OVER DEL RIO OVER 2
INCHES...A 30-40 KT LLJ...AND 1500-2500 J/KG OF SBCAPE...HEAVY
RAIN CONTINUES TO LOOK POSSIBLE OVER THIS REGION. AS A
RESULT...BUMPED UP QPF VALUES ALONG THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY TO ABOUT
AN INCH SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. ALSO...AS OVERALL FLOW
WILL BE WEAK ABOVE 700 MB...STORM MOTIONS SHOULD BE SLOW OR
NEARLY STATIONARY...THEREFORE THINK ISOLATED POTENTIAL OF 3+
INCHES IS VALID. WILL ADDRESS THIS IN THE HWO.

AFTER SUNDAY...THE TROUGH WILL BEGIN A TANGO WITH THE HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE SW EFFECTIVELY RETROGRADING THE TROUGH TO THE
WEST AND THE HIGH BROADENING AND PUSHING EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
PLAINS. THIS SHOULD CUT OFF THE MOISTURE INFLUX FOR A FEW DAYS. BY
MID WEEK HOWEVER...THE PHASING OF THE TWO SYSTEM WILL RETURN FLOW
TO THE SOUTHEAST AND RAIN CHANCES WILL RETURN TO THE SOUTHEAST
CWA. HOWEVER...DONT FORESEE ANYTHING YET TO INDICATE THAT
ANYTHING HAZARDOUS WILL BE IN THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              90  73  88  74  89 /  20  10  20  20  30
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  90  72  88  73  89 /  20  10  20  20  30
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     90  73  88  74  89 /  20  20  30  30  40
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            91  72  87  73  88 /  10  10  20  20  20
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           89  73  87  73  88 /  20  30  30  40  50
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        91  73  87  74  89 /  10  10  20  10  20
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             88  73  86  73  87 /  30  20  30  30  40
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        89  73  87  74  88 /  20  10  30  20  30
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   90  74  89  75  90 /  20  10  40  20  20
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       89  74  87  75  88 /  30  20  30  30  40
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           88  74  88  75  89 /  30  20  40  30  40

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...76
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...TB3
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 18, 10:07 AM CST, 17 hours 46 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1107 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-191100-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
1107 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND TO THE
SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90 AND EAST OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR. SHOWERS HAVE
BEGUN TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING AND WILL LIKELY GROW IN COVERAGE AND
STRENGTH THROUGH THE MID TO LATE MORNING AND INTO THE AFTERNOON.
LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING WILL
BE POSSIBLE. WHILE IT WILL BE DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT WHERE THE
HEAVIEST DOWNPOURS WILL OCCUR IN THE WATCH AREA...LOCALIZED
AMOUNTS COULD REACH 1 TO 3 INCHES QUICKLY WITH EVEN HIGHLY
ISOLATED LOCATIONS RECEIVING 4 TO 5 INCHES. OVERALL STORM MOTION
WILL BE SLOW. STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS COULD ALSO BE CAPABLE OF
40-50 MPH WINDS UNDER THE STRONGER PRECIPITATION DOWNBURSTS. STORM
ACTIVITY SHOULD DECREASE THROUGH THE MID TO LATE EVENING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY AND ESPECIALLY SUNDAY
COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AS A MOIST AIRMASS
RE-ESTABLISHES ITSELF AND A WEATHER DISTURBANCE REMAINS OVER THE
RIO GRANDE VALLEY. THE MOST FAVORED LOCATIONS FOR POSSIBLE
IMPACTS WILL BE CENTRAL AND WESTERN AREAS. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR
UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE THIS WEEKEND OF THIS
DEVELOPING SITUATION.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY AND POSSIBLY OVER THE
WEEKEND FOR FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS.

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 33 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 09:53 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Bexar

When
June 19, 3:53 AM CST to 6:45 AM CST
Where
Bexar County, 1.89 mi W of Luxello to 1.62 mi WSW of Luxello
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
29.595, -98.351

Thunderstorms produced heavy rain that caused flash flooding in northeast San Antonio. The fire department reported a water evacuation at 6900 N. Loop 1604 near Nacogdoches Rd.

Flash Flood, Bexar

When
June 19, 3:58 AM CST to 6:45 AM CST
Where
Bexar County, 1.95 mi ENE of Olmos Park to 2.12 mi E of Olmos Park
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
29.486, -98.418

Thunderstorms produced heavy rain that caused flash flooding along Salado Creek in San Antonio. The fire department reported a water rescue at Holbrook Rd. and Rittiman Rd.

Flash Flood, Bexar

When
June 19, 4:35 AM CST to 6:45 AM CST
Where
Bexar County, 2.59 mi ESE of Grey Forest to 2.51 mi ESE of Grey Forest
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Fire Department/Rescue
Coordinates
29.571, -98.628

Thunderstorms produced heavy rain that caused flash flooding along Maverick Creek in northwest San Antonio. The fire department reported a water rescue at Roadrunner Way and Jetlyn Dr. near the University of Texas at San Antonio campus.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2015

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 585578, 585577, 585581.