A cold front pushed through the Mid-South during the early morning hours of November 6, 2015. Widespread showers and a few thunderstorms accompanied the front as it moved through.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MEG wrote it up.
A cold front pushed through the Mid-South during the early morning hours of November 6, 2015. Widespread showers and a few thunderstorms accompanied the front as it moved through. One storm became severe over Tipton County with damaging winds.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Memphis, TN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Nov 5, 11:40 PM CST, 1 hour 45 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1140 PM CST THU NOV 5 2015 .UPDATE... UPDATED TO ADD 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 932 PM CST THU NOV 5 2015/ UPDATE... MIDEVENING GOES WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWED A UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE LIFTING INTO SOUTHEAST KS FROM CENTRAL OK. REFLECTIVITY CORES OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST AR HAD SHOWN INTENSIFICATION WITH THE APPROACH OF THIS FEATURE. 00Z NAM MODEL SHOWS AN INCREASE IN POSITIVE THETA E ADVECTION AT 925MB OVER EASTERN AR THROUGH MIDNIGHT... SUGGESTING A SLIGHT INCREASE IN LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY MAY ACCOMPANY THE MIDLEVEL HEIGHT FALLS FROM THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE. A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT... MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE MS RIVER. THEREAFTER...EXPECT A GRADUAL DECREASE IN CONVECTIVE INTENSITY BEHIND THE EXITING SHORTWAVE. STORMS WILL LIKELY REDEVELOP/INTENSIFY FRIDAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-40...ALONG THE FRONT AND UNDER THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF AN UPPER LEVEL JET CORE. FORECAST UPDATE SENT WITH ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS. PWB PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 604 PM CST THU NOV 5 2015/ UPDATE... UPDATED TO ADD 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 229 PM CST THU NOV 5 2015/ DISCUSSION... QUIET DAY SO FAR ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING TROUGH THAT WILL IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND. PRECIP TODAY HAS HELD OVER THE FAR NORTHWEST COUNTIES BUT WILL PROGRESS THROUGH THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA BY LATE THIS EVENING. SEVERE THREAT LOOKS TO BE ABOUT THE SAME REGARDING TIMING...WHICH LOOKS TO BE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS FOR THE NORTHWEST AND LATER IN THE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON FOR THE SOUTHEAST. 0-6KM SHEAR STILL LOOKS TO BE VERY STRONG AROUND 60 KNOTS OR SO...WITH LARGER AND SLIGHTLY SMALLER VALUES DEPENDING ON THE MODEL. AS THE COLD FRONT APPROACHES...INSTABILITY SHOULD BE MAXIMIZED NEAR THE FRONT WHICH SHOULD DEVELOP A DECENT SQUALL LINE CAPABLE OF SOME DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. THE COLD FRONT SHOULD BE KNOCKING ON THE DOOR IN THE MEMPHIS AREA AROUND MID MORNING THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON TIME FRAME. ANY STRONG CELLS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE SOUTHEAST OF MEMPHIS AFTER THIS TIME. LINGERING RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE JUST BEHIND THE FRONT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT LOOKS TO STALL A BIT AS ANOTHER PLAINS TROUGH APPROACHES THE MS RIVER VALLEY REGION TO THE NORTH...SO PRECIP CHANCES FOR THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE AREA LOOKS TO HANG AROUND INTO THE DAY SATURDAY. A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRIER CONDITIONS MOVES IN ON SUNDAY AS MORE OF AN UPPER ZONAL FLOW PATTERN SETTLES IN. A CLOSED UPPER LOW DEVELOPS IN THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND WILL BRING PRECIP CHANCES BACK TO THE REGION OVERNIGHT SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THE ECMWF IS MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW AND THUS THE PRECIP WHILE THE GFS IS MORE SUBTLE AND DOES NOT HAVE MUCH PRECIP OVER THE CWA. HAVE MORE OF A CONSENSUS SOLUTION FOR MONDAY AND HAVE BETTER CHANCES FOR PRECIP FOR EASTERN AREAS. AFTER ANOTHER DRY PERIOD TUESDAY...ANOTHER LARGE PLAINS TROUGH BEGINS TO IMPACT THE AREA AND WILL BRING MORE PRECIP CHANCES IN WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE LONG TERM ON FRIDAY. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1145 AM CST THU NOV 5 2015/ && .AVIATION... 06Z TAF CYCLE A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING THROUGH JBR AS OF DISCUSSION. THIS CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD TO MEM/MKL OVERNIGHT AND EVENTUALLY TOWARDS TUP AS EARLY AS MID TO LATE MORNING. TRENDS STILL SUGGEST A MAJORITY OF THE ACTIVITY WILL BE WEAK AS IT MOVES INTO MEM/MKL. BEST CHANCES FOR SHRAS/VCTS AT TUP WILL BE MAINLY FROM LATE MORNING INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. SOUTH WINDS WILL VEER N WITH PASSAGE OF COLD FRONT. VFR CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED TO DETERIORATE TO MVFR CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT AND PERHAPS IFR CONDITIONS AT MKL/TUP LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MID MORNING AND GRADUALLY IMPROVING TOWARDS VFR CONDITIONS FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. CJC && .MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...NONE. MO...NONE. MS...NONE. TN...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 954 PM CST THU NOV 5 2015 ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115- MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-070600- ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY- COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR- DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD- HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE- LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION- PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN- RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON- TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA- 954 PM CST THU NOV 5 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS... THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT... OVER AREAS TO THE WEST AND NORTH OF LINE FROM CLARKSDALE MISSISSIPPI TO JACKSON TENNESSEE. STRONG TO PERHAPS DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AND EARLY OVERNIGHT ALONG AND WEST OF A TUNICA MISSISSIPPI TO JACKSON AND PARIS TENNESSEE LINE. THIS RAINFALL MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 ON FRIDAY. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION BE REQUESTED THIS EVENING OVER NORTHEAST ARKANSAS. PWB
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN 1104 PM CST THU NOV 5 2015 ARZ018-026-028-MOZ113-060530- CRAIGHEAD AR-MISSISSIPPI AR-GREENE AR-DUNKLIN MO- 1104 PM CST THU NOV 5 2015 ...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL UNTIL 1130 PM CST FOR... NORTHEASTERN CRAIGHEAD COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... SOUTH CENTRAL GREENE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS... SOUTH CENTRAL DUNKLIN COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI... AT 1104 PM CST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING WINDS UP TO 40 MPH WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE CITY...MOVING EAST NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN CRAIGHEAD...NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL GREENE AND SOUTH CENTRAL DUNKLIN COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY. LAT...LON 3579 9056 3594 9061 3604 9019 3583 9019 TIME...MOT...LOC 0504Z 257DEG 40KT 3587 9049
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1237 AM CST FRI NOV 6 2015
ARZ035-036-048-049-060700-
ST. FRANCIS AR-CRITTENDEN AR-CROSS AR-LEE AR-
1237 AM CST FRI NOV 6 2015
...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL UNTIL 100 AM CST FOR...
ST. FRANCIS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
SOUTHWESTERN CRITTENDEN COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
SOUTHEASTERN CROSS COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
NORTHERN LEE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
AT 1236 AM CST...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING WINDS AT LEAST 40
MPH WAS LOCATED OVER MADISON...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.
VERY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.
PEOPLE IN ST. FRANCIS...SOUTHWESTERN CRITTENDEN...SOUTHEASTERN CROSS
AND NORTHERN LEE COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.
LAT...LON 3487 9101 3508 9096 3512 9085 3526 9040
3490 9035
TIME...MOT...LOC 0636Z 258DEG 46KT 3504 9074
TVTThe Memphis radar (KNQA), 17 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 07:26 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Straight line winds knocked down a few large trees down near the intersection of Portersville Road and Wortham Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Tennessee in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Tennessee, November 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 607962.