North Carolina, 2015Damaging Winds in North Carolina, July 13, 2015
July 13, 2015 · NWS GSP · 7 events in 6 counties and zones
A line of strong to severe thunderstorms moved into the North Carolina mountains during early evening. Although the storms dissipated quickly near the Tennessee border, an area of strong winds left behind by the storms continued to produce wind damage toward the Blue Ridge.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 7
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A line of strong to severe thunderstorms moved into the North Carolina mountains during early evening. Although the storms dissipated quickly near the Tennessee border, an area of strong winds left behind by the storms continued to produce wind damage toward the Blue Ridge. As the area of damaging winds moved into the Piedmont, new storms developing along the leading edge produced additional localized wind damage across portions of the foothills and Piedmont.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 13, 3:54 PM EST, 2 hours 22 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 13, 3:54 PM EST, 2 hours 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
454 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH...MULTIPLE IMPULSES
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA RESULTING IN GOOD CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS DAILY THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK. A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM AND STRONG FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION
TUESDAY...WITH STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE. AFTER THE FRONT
PASSES...AN UPPER HIGH WILL DRY OUT THE FORECAST AREA FOR THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WORK WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 445 PM...UPDATED THE FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR AN APPROACHING
BOWING MCS. WITH COLLABORATION WITH SPC...A SEVERE TSTM WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR THE I-40 CORRIDOR AND NORTH (SEE WCNGSP FOR MORE
DETAILS)...UNTIL 10 PM EDT. I HAVE INCREASED POPS TO CATEGORICAL TO
LIKELY ALONG THIS CORRIDOR. MAIN THREAT LOOKS TO BE DAMAGING WINDS
AND HEAVY RAIN. CONFIDENCE ON HOW THE MCS WILL EVOLVE AS IT CROSSES
THE APPALACHIANS IS STILL LOW. THE LATEST SPC MESOANALYSIS PAGE
SHOWS MUCAPE OF AROUND 1500-2000 J/KG EAST OF THE MTNS. THIS WILL
LIKELY BEGIN DECREASING AROUND SUNSET. SHEAR ALSO IS WEAKER ONCE
YOU GET TO THE I-77 CORRIDOR...WITH EFFECTIVE SHEAR ONLY 20-25
KTS. I WILL KEEP A CHC POP SOUTH OF I-85 AND LIKELY FROM ABOUT
KGSP TO KCLT AND NORTH...AS THE CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
FROM N TO S THIS EVENING.
AS OF 245 PM EDT MONDAY...BROAD UPPER ANTICYCLONE CONTINUES TO
ROTATE ATOP THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WHILE A TROF AXIS DIGS ACROSS THE
UPPER MIDWEST AND GREAT LAKES REGION. AT THE SURFACE...AN
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AND MODERATELY SHEARED AIRMASS OVER THE OH/TN
VALLEYS ARE EXPECTED TO SUPPORT CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT/PROPAGATION OF
AN ONGOING MCS. CLOSE TO HOME...LATEST SPC MESO ANALYSIS PLACES
UPWARDS OF 2-3K J/KG SBCAPE ATOP THE NORTHEAST GA AND THE WESTERN
CAROLINAS...WITH A 1.5K J/KG DCAPE MAXIMA CENTERED OVER THE
UPSTATE. FORTUNATELY...NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF TRIGGERING IS PRESENT
OVER THESE ZONES THUS THE FCST ONLY FEATURES ISOLATED/SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THAT SAID...ANY STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP
WILL LIKELY GROW TO STRONG/SEVERE LIMITS WITH LARGE HAIL AND
MICROBURSTS BEING THE PRIMARY FOCUS.
BEYOND THAT THE FCST SHIFTS FOCUS TO THE PROPAGATION OF UPSTREAM
SEVERE MCS ACTIVITY. MOST GUIDANCE NOW FAVORS THE POTENTIAL FOR TWO
MCS TRACKS...THE FIRST COMING INTO THE PICTURE TONIGHT...AND THE
SECOND AROUND EARLY MORNING TUESDAY. SPC CONTINUES TO HIGHLIGHT THE
WESTERN NC HIGH TERRAIN IN THE SLIGHT RISK FOR THE AFORE MENTIONED
NIGHTTIME MCS WHERE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS WILL BE FAVORED.
MODELS AGREE BETTER...HOWEVER STILL NOT AT A CONSENSUS AS TO HOW FAR
EAST ANY SURVIVING CONVECTION WILL STRETCH. NEVERTHELESS...ENOUGH
INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT FOR SUSTAINMENT AS THE LIKELY BROKEN
LINE SLIDES INTO/THROUGH THE MTNS. THEREFORE POPS THIS EVENING
FEATURE LIKELY LEVELS OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN...EASTWARD INTO THE I40
CORRIDOR OF WESTERN NC. FURTHER SOUTHEAST THE POPS DROP OFF TO HIGH
END CHANCE LEVELS. THE SECOND POSSIBLE LINE OF CONVECTION WILL BE
GENERALLY 4-5 HOURS BEHIND THE FIRST...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IN THE
TRACK REMAINS LOW DUE TO THE AMOUNT OF REMAINING INSTABILITY PRESENT
BEHIND THE FIRST MCS. THINK THE MOST FAVORED TRACK WILL BE JUST TO
THE WEST OVER THE GREAT VALLEY WHERE THE MOST UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH
LIKELY RESIDE. THUS...POPS OVERNIGHT WILL TAPER OVER THE EAST WHERE
SLIGHT CHANCES ARE FAVORED...INCREASING WESTWARD TO LOW END LIKELY
POPS ALONG THE TN LINE.
THE FCST FOR TUESDAY LOOKS TO DEPEND HIGHLY ON THE TRACK OF THE
ABOVE MENTIONED SECOND MCS AS THE ATMOSPHERE WILL LIKELY SUFFER DUE
DO EITHER ITS CONVECTION...OR CONVECTIVE DEBRIS. HIRES GUIDANCE
DOES INDICATE SOME LINGERING ACTIVITY LIKELY IN THE FORM OF SHOWERS
ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 85 BY LATE MORNING...WITH THE NC
ZONES BEING CONVECTION FREE. ANOTHER MORE POTENT MCS TRACK IS
PROGGED BEYOND THE PERIOD AND WILL BE AIDED BY THE PROGRESSION OF
THE PRIMARY UPPER SHORTWAVE. CONDITIONS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE FOR STRONG/SEVERE CONVECTION ON TUESDAY...HOWEVER SHOULD
REMAIN CAPPED FOR THE MOST PART. THUS...ONLY CHANCE POPS ARE
CARRIED OVER THE ENTIRE REGION ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. SPC HAS PLACED
THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE FCST IN THE ENHANCED RISK FOR SEVERE
WEATHER ON TUESDAY DUE TO THE UNSTABLE/SHEARED AIRMASS.
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL REMAIN AT OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL
FOR MOST LOCATIONS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
OF 215 PM MONDAY...MAIN ACTION IN THE SHORT TERM WILL BE TUE
NIGHT WHEN A RATHER RARE JULY COLD FRONT ARRIVES BEING DRIVEN BY A
VIGOROUS SHORT WAVE SWINGING SE FROM THE THE GREAT LAKES. IT
REMAINS TO BE SEEN HOW MUCH CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR TUE
NIGHT. THE 12Z GFS IS RATHER MUTED IN ITS QPF RESPONSE TUE NIGHT AS
IT LIMITS CONVECTION MAINLY TO THE MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN PIEDMONT.
THIS IS NOT AN UNUSUAL SCENARIO WITH DEEP LAYER NW FLOW IN PLACE.
THE NAM ON THE OTHER HAND IS MUCH MORE BULLISH IN BRINGING A BROKEN
LINE OF CONVECTION ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE FRONT. WITH THE UPPER
SUPPORT AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE...WILL LEAN MORE TOWARD THE
NAM SOLUTION. HOWEVER...EXPECT THE BEST COVERAGE WILL INDEED BE OVER
THE MOUNTAINS WITH PERHAPS JUST SCT CONVECTIVE CELLS SURVIVING EAST
OF THE MOUNTAINS. SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN A THREAT AS WIND SHEAR
REMAINS ELEVATED.
AFTER THE BKN-SCT CONVECTIVE LINE CROSSES...THE MAIN SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AXIS WILL SWING EAST OF THE AREA EARLY WED. SOME LINGERING
UPSLOPE SHOWERS MAY OCCUR ALONG THE TN LINE ON WED...AND SOME
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE SOUTHERN PIEDMONT IN THE
AFTERNOON NEAR THE TROUGH AXIS. OTHERWISE...WED SHOULD BE DRY THANKS
TO THE NW FLOW AND RESULTANT LOWER RH'S. MAX TEMPS WILL BE ABOUT
A CATEGORY ABOVE CLIMO THANKS TO DOWNSLOPE. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL
RIDGE INTO THE AREA WED NIGHT AND CONTINUE TO CONTROL THE WEATHER
THROUGH THURSDAY AS IT MOVES EASTWARD. MAX TEMPS WILL LOWER TO NEAR
CLIMO VALUES ON THU AS SFC WINDS VEER TO THE NE/E.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
OF 2 PM MONDAY...THE GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT
THAT THE UPPER ANTICYCLONE CENTERED OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY WILL REMAIN ESSENTIALLY IN PLACE. THIS PUTS THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS AND THE WESTERN CAROLINAS ON THE EASTERN FRINGE OF THIS
SYSTEM PLACING THE MAIN SHORT WAVE TRACK BE EAST OF THE FORECAST
AREA.
EARLY IN THE PERIOD...DRY HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NE STATES WILL
CONTINUE TO RIDGE INTO THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY WHICH SHOULD PRODUCE
GENERALLY QUIET WEATHER AND AND TEMPS A LITTLE ABOVE CLIMO THROUGH
FRIDAY NIGHT. BY SATURDAY...THE HIGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE EASTWARD
INTO THE ATLANTIC WITH MOISTURE INCREASING OVER THE SE STATES. IN
ITS WAKE...A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP
GENERALLY CENTERED ALONG THE APPALACHIANS WITH A LEE TROUGH THROUGH
THE CENTRAL CAROLINAS INTO GA. THIS SET UP IS FORECAST TO HOLD
THROUGH MONDAY AND SUGGESTS A MAINLY DIURNAL MODE TO THE CONVECTION
WHICH COMMENCES ON SATURDAY AND CONTINUES INTO THE FIRST PART OF
NEXT WEEK. WITH THE NW FLOW ALOFT...THE MOUNTAIN CONVECTION
DEVELOPING DURING THE AFTERNOON WOULD ADVECT INTO THE FOOTHILLS AND
PIEDMONT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. LOW LEVEL
THICKNESS SUPPORTS MAX TEMPS AT LEAST A CATEGORY ABOVE CLIMO.
&&
.AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT...VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF POSSIBLE TSRA OVERNIGHT ASSOCIATED WITH AN MCS.
INITIALIZED TAF WITH LOW VFR CU AS VISB SATELLITE INDICATES EXPANDING
CU FIELD ACROSS THE REGION BENEATH HIGH LEVEL CIRRUS. THE
ATMOSPHERE IS FAIRLY UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON HOWEVER LACK OF
TRIGGERING IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT CONVECTION...THUS NO WX IS FEATURED
THROUGH 00Z. AT 03Z WX IS INTRODUCED AS THE FIRST OHIO VALLEY MCS
ADVECTS SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA...HOWEVER THE EASTWARD EXTENT IS
QUESTIONABLE...THUS ONLY CARRIED A PROB30 WITH MVFR VISB FROM
03Z-06Z. MODELS PROG MVFR CIGS ACROSS THE PIEDMONT BEHIND THE
INITIAL ROUND OF SHRA/TSRA...AHEAD OF ANOTHER POSSIBLE ROUND OF
PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH A SECOND MCS ADVECTING IN. CONFIDENCE IN THE
SECOND MCS IS LOWER THAN THE FIRST...THUS CARRY ONLY VCSH AT THIS
TIME WITH LOW VFR CIGS BY 15Z. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO VARY
SOMEWHAT...HOWEVER SHOULD PREVAIL NW BEFORE BACKING SLIGHTLY TO SW
BY MORNING.
ELSEWHERE...MUCH THE SAME AS KCLT ABOVE HOWEVER WITH SLIGHTLY HIGHER
CONFIDENCE IN SHRA/TSRA. INITIALIZED ALL TAFS WITH INCREASING LOW
VFR CU...WITH VCTS MENTIONED AT THE SC SITES WHERE CU FIELD LOOKS
MOST ROBUST WITH CONVECTION ALREADY INITIATING SOUTH OF INTERSTATE
85 INTO THE MIDLANDS. OTHERWISE...TAFS DRY OUT INTO EARLY EVENING
AHEAD OF INCREASED CHANCES DUE TO INTRUDING OHIO VALLEY MCS
TONIGHT. THUS...ALL TAFS FEATURE PROB30S FROM 03Z-06Z FOR SUCH WITH
TIMING BEING THE BIGGEST QUESTION MARK. VCTS IS CARRIED AT ALL
SITES JUST AFTER DAYBREAK AS THE SECOND MCS SLIDES TOWARDS THE
REGION...HOWEVER WITH LOWER CONFIDENCE THAN THE FIRST. WINDS
THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL REMAIN VARIABLE OUT OF NW/SW THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH SW PREVAILING ON TUESDAY.
OUTLOOK...THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BE MORE FAVORABLE FOR MAINLY
AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THRU MIDWEEK.
HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE SOME ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS THAT MOVE
ACROSS THE REGION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. LOW CLOUDS AND FOG COULD ALSO
DEVELOP IN THE MORNING AT PLACES THAT HAVE SHOWER ACTIVITY THE DAY
BEFORE...AND IN MTN AND RIVER VALLEYS.
CONFIDENCE TABLE...
21-03Z 03-09Z 09-15Z 15-18Z
KCLT HIGH 100% HIGH 100% MED 61% HIGH 100%
KGSP HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KAVL HIGH 100% HIGH 100% MED 61% MED 65%
KHKY HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% MED 65%
KGMU HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 100%
KAND HIGH 100% HIGH 100% HIGH 91% HIGH 100%
THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...CSH
NEAR TERM...ARK/CDG
SHORT TERM...LG
LONG TERM...LG
AVIATION...CDGHazardous weather outlook, Jul 13, 6:12 PM EST, 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
712 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
GAZ010-NCZ051-058-059-062>065-142315-
RABUN-SWAIN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
712 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 415 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT TUESDAY...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES EMANATING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. ONE COMPLEX HAS ARRIVED THIS EVENING AND A
SECOND IS POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL
BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL.THE STORMS WILL ALSO
CONTAIN FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. SOME FLOODING CONCERNS ARE POSSIBLE IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
..TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER APPEAR TO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS ON TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT INCLUDING DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLE
TORNADOES.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.
NCZ033-048>050-052-053-142315-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-
712 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 412 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES EMANATING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. ONE COMPLEX HAS ARRIVED THIS EVENING AND A
SECOND IS POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL
BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL.THE STORMS WILL ALSO
CONTAIN FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. SOME FLOODING CONCERNS ARE POSSIBLE IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
..TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER APPEAR TO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS ON TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT INCLUDING DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLE
TORNADOES.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.
GAZ017-142315-
HABERSHAM-
712 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES EMANATING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. ONE COMPLEX WILL ARRIVE THIS EVENING AND A
SECOND IS POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. SOME OF THE STORMS MAY
BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE
TENNESSEE BORDER. THE STORMS WILL ALSO CONTAIN FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. SOME FLOODING CONCERNS
ARE POSSIBLE IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
..TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER APPEAR TO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS ON TUESDAY AND
TUESDAY NIGHT INCLUDING DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLE
TORNADOES.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.
NCZ057-068>072-082-507>510-SCZ001>014-019-142315-
ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
712 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 415 IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT TUESDAY...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH
CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES MOVING OUT THE MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT MAY
CONTAIN DAMAGING WINDS,LARGE HAIL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
..TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER APPEAR TO BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA INCLUDING DAMAGING
WIND...LARGE HAIL AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.
NCZ035>037-056-501>506-142315-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
712 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 412 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES EMANATING FROM THE OHIO VALLEY WILL MOVE
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. ONE COMPLEX HAS ARRIVED THIS EVENING AND A
SECOND IS POSSIBLE EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL
BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL.THE STORMS WILL ALSO
CONTAIN FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. SOME FLOODING CONCERNS ARE POSSIBLE IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
..TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER APPEAR TO BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA INCLUDING DAMAGING
WIND...LARGE HAIL AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.
GAZ018-026-028-029-142315-
STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-
712 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA.
.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES MOVING OUT THE MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT MAY
CAUSE DAMAGING WINDS, LARGE HAIL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
..TUESDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. ALL MODES OF SEVERE
WEATHER APPEAR TO BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA INCLUDING DAMAGING
WIND...LARGE HAIL AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 13, 1:58 PM EST, 4 hours 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
258 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1030 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 SSE MARS HILL 35.80N 82.53W
07/13/2015 M3.00 INCH MADISON NC COCORAHS
&&Local storm report, Jul 13, 2:04 PM EST, 4 hours 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
304 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1015 AM HEAVY RAIN 2 NNW FAUST 35.94N 82.54W
07/13/2015 M4.69 INCH MADISON NC MESONET
SAMS GAP AFWS
&&Special weather statement, Jul 13, 5:34 PM EST, 42 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
634 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
NCZ033-048>050-052-053-501-503-505-132345-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...ELK PARK...
CROSSNORE...SUGAR MOUNTAIN...MARS HILL...MARSHALL...HOT SPRINGS...
BURNSVILLE...SPRUCE PINE...WAYNESVILLE...CANTON...
LAKE JUNALUSKA...ASHEVILLE...EDGEMONT...JONAS RIDGE...OLD FORT
634 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7 AND 730 PM...
A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OUT
OF NORTHEAST TENNESSEE BY AROUND 7 PM...THEN MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS
THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS THROUGH ABOUT 730 PM. THE MAIN AREAS
THAT WILL BE AFFECTED THROUGH THAT TIME ARE LOCATIONS NORTH OF
THE I-40 CORRIDOR. WIDESPREAD WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH ARE
EXPECTED TO ACCOMPANY THE STORMS...WHICH WILL LIKELY RESULT IN
QUITE A FEW TREES AND POWER LINES FALLING. ALTHOUGH THE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BEGIN A WEAKENING TREND AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE HIGH
TERRAIN NEAR THE TENNESSEE BORDER ...LOCATIONS ALONG THE I-40
CORRIDOR...INCLUDING ASHEVILLE AND HICKORY COULD SEE SEVERE
WEATHER BY AROUND 8 PM.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM. STAY
TUNED TO NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO AND LOCAL NEWS MEDIA FOR
LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
LANE
Special weather statement, Jul 13, 5:52 PM EST, 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
652 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
NCZ082-132315-
UNION NC-
652 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF EASTERN UNION COUNTY
UNTIL 715 PM EDT...
AT 651 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6
MILES NORTHEAST OF MONROE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONROE...WINGATE...MARSHVILLE...STURDIVANTS...UNIONVILLE AND NEW
SALEM.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
GUSTY WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES THAT ARE DEAD...OR THAT HAVE WEAKENED
ROOT SYSTEMS. OUTDOOR FURNITURE AND SIMILAR ITEMS CAN BE TOSSED
AROUND IF NOT ANCHORED. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS.
&&
LAT...LON 3481 8032 3481 8035 3500 8056 3515 8044
3509 8029
TIME...MOT...LOC 2251Z 306DEG 13KT 3503 8044
LANESpecial weather statement, Jul 13, 6:09 PM EST, 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
709 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
NCZ070-071-SCZ009-132345-
GASTON NC-MECKLENBURG NC-YORK SC-
709 PM EDT MON JUL 13 2015
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF WESTERN
MECKLENBURG...SOUTH CENTRAL GASTON AND NORTH CENTRAL YORK COUNTIES
UNTIL 745 PM EDT...
AT 709 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES SOUTHEAST OF GASTONIA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TOWN OF LAKE WYLIE...STEELE CREEK...BELMONT AND SOUTHWEST CHARLOTTE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
GUSTY WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES THAT ARE DEAD...OR THAT HAVE WEAKENED
ROOT SYSTEMS. OUTDOOR FURNITURE AND SIMILAR ITEMS CAN BE TOSSED
AROUND IF NOT ANCHORED. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS.
&&
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM EDT FOR
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA AND CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA.
LAT...LON 3517 8117 3523 8111 3517 8095 3503 8104
TIME...MOT...LOC 2309Z 304DEG 14KT 3516 8110
LANE
Thunderstorm Wind, Madison
- When
- July 13, 6:16 PM EST
- Where
- Madison County, 2.24 mi E of Paint Rock
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 35.930, -82.840
Spotter reported multiple trees blown down near the Tennessee border.
Thunderstorm Wind, Madison
- When
- July 13, 6:36 PM EST
- Where
- Madison County, 1.32 mi ESE of Rollins
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 35.770, -82.650
County comms reported multiple trees blown down southeast of Marshall.
Thunderstorm Wind, Caldwell
- When
- July 13, 6:50 PM EST to 7:10 PM EST
- Where
- Caldwell County, 1.82 mi ESE of Hartland to 1.82 mi WNW of Grace Chapel
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 35.840, -81.620
Spotters and the public reported multiple trees blown down from south of Gamewell to the south side of Lenoir to Dudley Shoals Rd in Granite Falls.
Thunderstorm Wind, McDowell
- When
- July 13, 7:12 PM EST
- Where
- McDowell County, Sugar Hill
- Measured
- 40 kt (46 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 35.580, -82.050
Spotter reported a tree blown down on a house in the Sugar Hill community.
Thunderstorm Wind, Catawba
- When
- July 13, 7:20 PM EST
- Where
- Catawba County, 2.89 mi WSW of Plateau
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 35.590, -81.420
Spotter reported multiple trees blown down on Highway 10 in the Vale area.
Thunderstorm Wind, Henderson
- When
- July 13, 7:23 PM EST to 7:29 PM EST
- Where
- Henderson County, Mountain Home to Etowah
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- County Official
- Coordinates
- 35.380, -82.500
County comms reported multiple trees blown down in the Etowah and Mountain Home communities.
Thunderstorm Wind, Burke
- When
- July 13, 7:30 PM EST
- Where
- Burke County, Valdese
- Measured
- 40 kt (46 mph) estimated gust
- Property damage
- $5,000
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 35.730, -81.570
Spotter reported a tree blown down on a shed in the Valdese area.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Kentucky, July 13, 20154 deaths · 15 injured · $3.7 million · 60 kt wind · 61 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Kansas, July 13 to 14, 2015$285,000 · EF3 · 20 events
- Heat in Oklahoma, July 13 to 21, 201534 injured · 1 event
- Flash Flooding and Flood in Indiana, July 13 to 14, 20151 death · $210,000 · 1 in hail · 24 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Kentucky, July 13 to 17, 2015$545,000 · EF1 · 110 events
- Flash Flood in New Mexico, July 13, 20151 death · $15,000 · 1 event
- Heat in Illinois, July 13, 20151 death · 1 event
- Heat in Texas, July 13, 20151 death · 1 event
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Georgia, July 13 to 15, 20151 injured · $698,000 · 1 in hail · 38 events
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Wisconsin, July 13, 2015$1.3 million · 1 in hail · 29 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Virginia, July 13 to 14, 2015$2.2 million · 18 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Indiana, July 13 to 14, 2015$199,000 · EF1 · 38 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 595757, 595758, 595759, 595764, 595760, 595761, 595765.