A weak low pressure system slowly drifted east into the Great Plains with a trailing upper level disturbance rotating around the backside of the upper low. As the disturbance moved over the region with high moisture in place, it brought thunderstorms with high winds to southeast New Mexico.
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The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
A weak low pressure system slowly drifted east into the Great Plains with a trailing upper level disturbance rotating around the backside of the upper low. As the disturbance moved over the region with high moisture in place, it brought thunderstorms with high winds to southeast New Mexico.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 14, 2:04 PM MST, 48 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 404 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2015 .UPDATE... Sent a quick update for Severe Thunderstorm Watch #300 for southeast New Mexico and northwest portions of the Permian Basin through 11pm CDT/10pm MDT tonight. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 241 PM CDT Sun Jun 14 2015/ DISCUSSION... A weak low pressure system will slowly drift east into the plains with a trailing shortwave rotating around the backside of that low will cross the region today bringing chances of showers and thunderstorms for parts of SE New Mexico and the northern Permian Basin. A lee trough will allow southeast winds to keep good moisture in place. Instability and deep layer shear is less than it has been the last couple of days, but mid level rates remain slightly above 7.0 C/km. This will keep a possibility for at least some isolated severe storms today with hail, damaging winds and localized flash flooding. Initiation will be off the higher terrain of NM and parts of the Upper Trans Pecos with the help of daytime heating and the approaching shortwave. Additional development will occur in the Davis Mountains aided similarly by upslope flow and daytime heating. The Lower Trans Pecos and northern Permian Basin will be the focus into the evening hours as storms will potentially grow upscale as they move east. Any potential for severe weather will likely diminish with the loss of heating, but the threat for some localized flash flooding will be remain with Preciptitable Water values of 1.25 to 1.50 inches. A weak front will push through the Texas Panhandle tomorrow afternoon. Believe it will stay north of the forecast area holding off rain chances until later in the day. The trend towards weaker upper level flow will keep severe chances down heading into the early part of the week. A trough axis does remain across the region, which will be enough to keep some chances of precipitation across West Texas and SE New Mexico through Tuesday. Rain chances will decrease through the end of the week as the upper low moves off to the east and an upper ridge begins to build in from the west. A return to the mid to upper 90s for the majority of locations looks likely as the ridge builds in by next weekend. There are indications there could be some disturbances that will rotate around the ridge in northerly flow aloft, but do not have much confidence in keeping very high precip chances that far out. Will have to keep an eye on the track of the tropical system in the gulf and the potential for moisture to reach the area from Hurricane Carlos in the Eastern Pacific to see how it may effect rain chances for our region. Arnold && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... ANDREWS TX 68 85 66 88 / 40 40 30 30 BIG SPRING TX 71 86 67 87 / 40 40 30 40 CARLSBAD NM 66 91 66 89 / 20 30 30 20 DRYDEN TX 70 90 69 91 / 40 20 20 20 FORT STOCKTON TX 70 91 67 92 / 40 30 20 30 GUADALUPE PASS TX 64 88 63 84 / 20 30 20 20 HOBBS NM 66 83 64 89 / 40 40 30 30 MARFA TX 59 87 58 83 / 30 30 20 40 MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 69 88 66 88 / 40 30 30 30 ODESSA TX 70 87 67 89 / 40 30 30 30 WINK TX 71 92 68 91 / 30 30 30 30 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NM...NONE. TX...NONE. && 27 Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: http://facebook.com/NWSMidland http://twitter.com/NWSMidland Check us out on the internet at: http://weather.gov/midland
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 157 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-151900- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS- LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 157 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015 /1257 PM MDT SUN JUN 14 2015/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THE GREATER THREAT WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF GUSTY WINDS SMALL HAIL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. THE GREATER CONCERN HOWEVER WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
155 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0403 PM HAIL 13 WSW FORT DAVIS 30.52N 104.10W
06/13/2015 E1.25 INCH JEFF DAVIS TX PUBLIC
0440 PM HAIL 8 W PECOS 31.41N 103.63W
06/13/2015 E1.75 INCH REEVES TX CO-OP OBSERVER
0448 PM TSTM WND GST 8 NW SEVEN RIVERS 32.68N 104.52W
06/13/2015 E60.00 MPH EDDY NM STORM CHASER
0515 PM TSTM WND GST ARTESIA 32.85N 104.43W
06/13/2015 M61.00 MPH EDDY NM ASOS
0537 PM HAIL 14 SE CAPROCK 33.25N 103.54W
06/13/2015 E1.75 INCH LEA NM STORM CHASER
REPORTED ON SH 457
0547 PM HAIL ALPINE 30.36N 103.67W
06/13/2015 E1.25 INCH BREWSTER TX TRAINED SPOTTER
WALL CLOUD EARLIER, NO FUNNELS.
0548 PM TSTM WND DMG 3 WNW CARLSBAD 32.42N 104.28W
06/13/2015 EDDY NM TRAINED SPOTTER
3 POWER POLES DOWN AND ROAD SIGN BLOWN DOWN ALONG US
HIGHWAY 285.
0750 PM TSTM WND GST 1 SW SEAGRAVES 32.93N 102.58W
06/13/2015 M74.00 MPH GAINES TX MESONET
1015 PM TSTM WND GST 3 E SNYDER 32.71N 100.86W
06/13/2015 E72.00 MPH SCURRY TX MESONET
1034 PM HAIL 2 N COLORADO CITY 32.43N 100.86W
06/13/2015 E1.00 INCH MITCHELL TX LAW ENFORCEMENT
&&
DHPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
241 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0750 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 NW SEAGRAVES 32.95N 102.58W
06/13/2015 GAINES TX EMERGENCY MNGR
POWER LINES DOWN. DAMAGE TO TREES THROUGHOUT THE CITY.
ANOTHER POWER LINE DOWN 3 MILES SOUTH OF SEAGRAVES ON FM
1429.
&&
DHThe Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 166 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:50 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
A thunderstorm moved across Eddy County and produced a 60 mph wind gust two miles north of Seven Rivers.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in New Mexico in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in New Mexico, June 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 580823.