When considering the time of day, this Tuesday featured a somewhat rare type of severe weather event in far southeastern portions of the local area (mainly Thayer County): severe hail-producing storms that didn't initiate until a few hours after sunrise, peaked in intensity mid-late morning and departed east of the area during the early afternoon. m.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GID wrote it up.
When considering the time of day, this Tuesday featured a somewhat rare type of severe weather event in far southeastern portions of the local area (mainly Thayer County): severe hail-producing storms that didn't initiate until a few hours after sunrise, peaked in intensity mid-late morning and departed east of the area during the early afternoon. More specifically, mainly between 9:00 a.m.-1:30 p.m. CDT, a number of elevated storms continuously redeveloped over the same west-to-east corridor, resulting in several hail reports ranging in size from quarters to slightly larger than golf balls. The largest hail reports originated from the Hebron, Byron and Chester areas, including a broken windshield a few miles northeast of Chester. In addition, a spotter several miles northeast of Hubbell reported quarter size hail from separate storms 90 minutes apart. Outside of Thayer County, additional storms brushed through Fillmore County along with several other counties to the west along Highway 136, but for the most part they were weaker, yielding only a few accounts of dime to penny size hail in Upland and near Hardy. Although all severe-criteria reports occurred after 9 a.m. CDT, the very first storm of the morning actually flared up along the extreme southern edges of Nuckolls/Thayer counties between 8:00-8:30 a.m. CDT. As for rainfall, the majority of Thayer County received no more than 0.50-1.00. However, east-central portions of the county were drenched with notably higher totals thanks to repeated storm training, including a measured 3.15 in Gilead, where some short-term flooding issued were noted in the vicinity.
Although the time of day was somewhat unusual for this elevated hailer event, the synoptic and mesoscale setup was supportive. In the mid-upper levels, there were no notable disturbances passing through the zonal pattern, as South Central Nebraska resided within the transition zone between weak flow to the south within a Southern Plains ridge, and much stronger flow to the north over the Dakotas/Upper Midwest. At the surface, seasonably strong high pressure was centered over Nebraska, holding the primary west-east oriented surface front and resultant low-level instability axis well to the south in Kansas. However, it was a different story around the 700 millibar level, where a persistent axis of southwesterly lift/moisture advection teamed with steepening mid-level lapse rates to yield an environment supportive of hail production, featuring 1000-2000 J/kg most-unstable CAPE and effective-shear around 40 knots.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 23, 6:02 AM CST, 1 hour 58 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 702 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2015 .UPDATE... ISSUED AT 702 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2015 NEEDLESS TO SAY...ANY SEMBLANCE OF INCREASING ELEVATED SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS...WHICH WAS ONCE AGGRESSIVELY SUGGESTED BY MODELS SUCH AS THE HRRR/RAP IN SOUTHERN ZONES...HAS TURNED OUT TO BE A BIG DUD. SO...THE OBVIOUS QUESTION GOING FORWARD IS WHETHER OR NOT THE DAYTIME HOURS HOLD ANY GREATER POTENTIAL. BASED OFF SEVERAL OF THE LATEST MODELS...HAVE DECIDED TO STICK WITH AT LEAST A GENERIC SLIGHT 20 POP FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE CWA...WITH A SMALL AREA OF 30S IN MAINLY THE SOUTHEAST 1/4 OF THE AREA. OBVIOUSLY AT LEAST SUBTLE LIFT IS PRESENT PER THE INCREASING MID LEVEL CLOUD DECK INFILTRATING THE CWA FROM SOUTHWEST-TO-NORTHEAST...BUT IT'S ALSO FAIRLY APPARENT THAT DESPITE RATHER HEALTHY ELEVATED INSTABILITY VALUES OF 1000-2000 J/KG MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...THAT AT LEAST A WEAK CAPPING LAYER STILL EXISTS. IN SUMMARY...ALTHOUGH OUR POPS WERE NEVER ALL THAT HIGH GOING INTO TODAY...CONFIDENCE HAS DECREASED A BIT MORE IN MOST AREAS SEEING MUCH POTENTIAL. THAT BEING SAID...DON/T WANT TO COMPLETELY PULL THE PLUG YET...AND THE RISK FOR AT LEAST AN ISOLATED STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE HAILER TODAY IS STILL NON- ZERO. && .SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT) ISSUED AT 400 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2015 NOT EXACTLY THE HIGHEST-CONFIDENCE UPCOMING 24 HOURS IN ESPECIALLY THE PRECIPITATION BUT ALSO THE TEMPERATURE DEPARTMENT...AND ON TOP OF IT ALL...ESPECIALLY THE NORTHERN 1/2 OF THE CWA CARRIES A MARGINAL TO SLIGHT RISK OF HAVING AT LEAST A FEW SEVERE STORMS ESPECIALLY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH LARGE HAIL THE MAIN THREAT. EVEN BEFORE THEN THOUGH...CANNOT RULE OUT A FEW STRONG TO MAYBE EVEN MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS RIGHT AWAY THIS MORNING INTO THE DAYTIME HOURS...ALTHOUGH THE EXTENT OF AREAL COVERAGE OF CONVECTION DURING ESPECIALLY THESE FIRST 12 HOURS OR SO IS FAIRLY QUESTIONABLE. WILL STATE UP FRONT...STAY TUNED FOR POTENTIALLY NOTICEABLE ADJUSTMENTS IN PRECIP CHANCES (POPS) IN LATER FORECAST UPDATES DEPENDING ON HOW THINGS ACTUALLY EVOLVE...BUT FOR NOW HAVE KEPT THE VAST MAJORITY OF POPS DURING THESE NEXT 24 HOURS NO HIGHER THAN 30-40 PERCENT DUE TO MARGINAL CONFIDENCE. STARTING OFF WITH THE HERE AND NOW AS OF 08Z/3AM...THE MAJORITY OF THE CWA IS EXPERIENCING A VERY QUIET AND SEASONABLY COOL OVERNIGHT...AS THE PRESENCE OF ESSENTIALLY CLEAR SKIES MAINLY OVER NEB ZONES ALONG WITH LIGHT NORTHERLY TO VARIABLE BREEZES THANKS TO A 1020MB SURFACE HIGH CENTERED OVER NORTHERN NEB...HAS TEAMED UP TO ALLOW TEMPS TO DROP WELL INTO THE COOLISH MID-50S TO LOW 60S RANGE SO FAR. MEANWHILE...ITS BEEN A BIT DIFFERENT STORY OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN CWA (MAINLY KS ZONES)...WHERE A RIBBON OF LOW-MID LEVEL CLOUDS HAS STEADILY BEEN BUILDING NORTHWARD...HELPING KEEP TEMPS WELL UP INTO THE MID 60S TO LOW 70S RANGE. JUST WITHIN THE PAST HOUR...A NARROW...WEST-EAST LINE OF WEAK CONVECTION FLARED UP BUT QUICKLY WEAKENED WITHIN OUR SOUTHERN-MOST KS COUNTIES...NEAR WHERE THE FAR NORTHERN EDGE OF A SHARP GRADIENT IN ELEVATED CAPE IS INTERACTING WITH A SOMEWHAT SUBTLE ZONE OF LIFT/THETA-E ADVECTION EVIDENT AROUND 700MB. ALTHOUGH THIS CONVECTION IS SEEMINGLY QUITE-ELEVATED...LATEST MESO-ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT IT COULD POTENTIALLY TAP INTO AS MUCH AS 1000-2000 J/KG MUCAPE AND AT LEAST 35KT OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR...SO AT LEAST SMALL HAIL AND POTENTIALLY EVEN UP TO MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL COULD BE AT LEAST A LIMITED POSSIBILITY THIS MORNING. BRIEFLY TURNING TO THE LARGER- SCALE PICTURE OF THE MID-UPPER LEVELS PER WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND SHORT TERM MODEL DATA...THE LOCAL AREA LIES SQUARELY ALONG THE INTERFACE BETWEEN WEAKER QUASI-ZONAL FLOW TO THE SOUTH WITHIN AN ELONGATED RIDGE AXIS CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...AND NOTABLY STRONGER HIGH LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW CENTERED OVER THE DAKOTAS/GREAT LAKES. NOW TURNING TO THE FORECAST THROUGH THESE NEXT 24 HOURS... EARLY THIS MORNING (THROUGH 7AM): OBVIOUSLY THE IMMEDIATE CONCERN IS MONITORING SOUTHERN/SOUTHWEST ZONES TO SEE IF ADDITIONAL POTENTIALLY STRONG STORMS WITH HAIL POTENTIAL DEVELOP...AS MODELS SUCH AS THE HRRR/RAP SUGGEST THAT ADDITIONAL CONVECTION COULD EASILY TRY BUILDING AT LEAST SLIGHTLY NORTH OF THE STATE LINE AS THE ELEVATED INSTABILITY AXIS ADVECTS NORTH-NORTHEAST...ESPECIALLY SOUTHWEST OF THE TRI- CITIES. HOWEVER...THE MAJORITY OF THE CWA (ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST 1/2) SHOULD HAVE LITTLE TO NO CHANCE OF PRECIP THROUGH THESE NEXT FEW HOURS. TODAY (THROUGH 7PM): LET THE UNCERTAINTY GAMES BEGIN IN THE SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM DEPARTMENT...ALTHOUGH THE LATEST HRRR/RAP RUNS ARE BECOMING MORE SUGGESTIVE THAT CONVECTIVE COVERAGE COULD ACTUALLY BECOME SOMEWHAT WIDESPREAD MAINLY IN THE SOUTHERN CWA NEAR/SOUTH OF THE STATE LINE THIS MORNING...AND THEN LIKELY SHIFTING NORTHEASTWARD SOMEWHAT DURING THE AFTERNOON AS LOW-MID LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION INCREASES AND CONTINUES TO DRAW THE ELEVATED INSTABILITY AXIS BACK NORTHWARD ACROSS THE CWA. IN THEORY...THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF CONVECTION SHOULD LIFT NORTH- NORTHEAST WITH TIME...IN RESPONSE TO THE EDGE OF WARMER MID LEVEL AIR ALOFT (12-13C AT 700MB) ADVECTING NORTHEASTWARD AS WELL...AND LARGELY CAPPING ANY CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL TO ITS SOUTHWEST. ALTHOUGH POPS WILL NOT BE INCREASED ABOVE 50 PERCENT UNTIL/UNLESS CONVECTION DOES IN FACT BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD TODAY AS SOME BUT NOT ALL MODELS SUGGEST...THIS WOULD BE MOST FAVORED TO OCCUR WITHIN THE SOUTHERN 1/3 TO SOUTHEAST 1/3 OF THE CWA...WITH LIKELY NO MORE THAN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS/STORMS MAINTAINING ESPECIALLY NORTH/WEST OF THE TRI-CITIES. BY THIS AFTERNOON...CURRENT THINKING IS THAT AT LEAST THE SOUTHWEST 1/3 OF THE CWA WILL PROBABLY BECOME STORM-FREE AS CONVECTION CONTINUES LIFTING NORTHEAST WITH TIME. AS FOR SEVERE PROSPECTS DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS...CAN ONLY SAY THAT ALTHOUGH THEY DON/T SEEM QUITE AS HIGH AS THOSE OF LATER TONIGHT...THEY ARE NOT "ZERO" EITHER...AS FORECAST SOUNDINGS/INSTABILITY PROGS SUGGEST THAT EVEN THE FAIRLY ELEVATED NATURE OF ANY DAYTIME STORMS COULD HAVE ACCESS TO AT LEAST 1000-1500 J/KG CAPE IN THE 850-700MB LAYER...WHICH COULD PROMOTE AT LEAST MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. EVEN IF SHOWER/STORM COVERAGE TODAY DOES IN FACT END UP FAIRLY SPARSE...AT THE VERY LEAST A RATHER CLOUDY DAY SHOULD MATERIALIZE AS A WIDESPREAD DECK OF LOW-MID LEVEL CLOUDS CONTINUES TO OVERSPREAD THE CWA FROM SOUTHWEST-TO-NORTHEAST WITH TIME...BUT POSSIBLY CLEARING OUT OF SOUTHERN/SOUTHWEST ZONES LATER IN THE DAY. THE NET RESULT IS A TRICKY HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST THAT COULD FEATURE A SHARP GRADIENT ESPECIALLY WITHIN KS ZONES...AND CARRIES A HIGHER-THAN-AVERAGE POTENTIAL OF BUSTING BY 5+ DEGREES. FOR NOW THOUGH HAVE TAKEN A BEST-STAB...AIMING MOST NEB ZONES INTO ONLY THE 78-81 RANGE...WITH KS ZONES RANGING ALL THE WAY FROM LOW- MID 80S ALONG THE STATE LINE TO LOW-MID 90S SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 24. BREEZES TODAY ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE CWA SHOULD GENERALLY AVERAGE 10-15 MPH OUT OF THE EAST-SOUTHEAST. THIS EVENING/TONIGHT (BEYOND 7PM): IF WE MANAGE TO GET THROUGH THE DAY WITHOUT ANY STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE STORMS FLARING UP...THE ODDS OF HAVING A FEW OF THEM TONIGHT APPEAR TO BE A BIT HIGHER MAINLY WITHIN THE NORTHERN 1/3 OF THE CWA...ALTHOUGH YET AGAIN UNCERTAINTY EXISTS...AS MODELS SUCH AS THE VERY LATEST 06Z NAM KEEP THE VAST MAJORITY OF STRONG STORM POTENTIAL JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CWA ALONG A CORRIDOR FROM NORTHEAST/EAST-CENTRAL NEB INTO WESTERN IA. IN THE MID-UPPER LEVELS...AT LEAST ONE SUBTLE-BUT-EVIDENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPEARS POISED TO TRACK ACROSS THE REGION. MORE IMPORTANTLY...A FAIRLY STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL JET EVIDENT AT 850MB CRANKS UP OVER THE HEART OF THE CWA...WITH SPEEDS REACHING AT LEAST 40-45KT. HOWEVER...THE MILLION DOLLAR QUESTION THAT WILL LIKELY DICTATE WHETHER OR NOT WE DEAL WITH MUCH OF A SEVERE HAIL THREAT TONIGHT IS EXACTLY WHERE THE EDGE OF THE MAIN LOW-MID LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE AND MID LEVEL CAP COINCIDE. ALTHOUGH MODELS VARY CONSIDERABLY...THE GENERAL CONSENSUS IS THAT THE MAIN RISK FOR CONVECTION SHOULD FOCUS PRIMARILY NEAR/NORTH OF I-80 AND POSSIBLE EVEN ALMOST NOT WITHIN THE CWA AT ALL...WITH LITTLE TO NO RISK OF STORMS NEAR AND ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF THE STATE LINE INTO KS. DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES...WILL AGAIN KEEP POPS BELOW "LIKELY" CATEGORY...BUT FOCUS THE HIGHEST 30-40 PERCENT CHANCES IN NORTHERN ZONES POST- MIDNIGHT...WITH LESSER CHANCES IN THE EVENING. GIVEN THE RATHER WARM MID LEVEL TEMPS AND LOW-MID LEVEL INVERSION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT HAIL WOULD LIKELY BE A GREATER THREAT THAN WIND WITH ANY SEVERE STORMS...WITH A ROUGH AVERAGE OF MODELS SUGGESTING THAT ELEVATED INSTABILITY VALUES COULD AVERAGE AT LEAST 1500-2000 J/KG IN THE PRESENCE OF 30+ KT OF DEEP-LAYER EFFECTIVE SHEAR...POSSIBLY ENOUGH TO FOSTER AN ELEVATED SUPERCELL OR TWO. THIS IS TRULY ONE OF THOSE SETUPS WHERE IT/S ALMOST A "COIN FLIP" AS TO WHETHER OR NOT A SEVERE THREAT ACTUALLY DEVELOPS WITHIN THE CWA OR NOT. AT THE SURFACE...LOW PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR THE NEB/KS/CO BORDER WILL HELP DRAW THE WARM FRONT OVER NORTHERN KS NORTHWARD A BIT ALONG WITH RESULTANT SOUTH BREEZES IN SOUTHERN ZONES WHILE NORTHERN ZONES MAINTAIN EASTERLY. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN A MODEST GRADIENT IN LOW TEMPS...AND HAVE AIMED FROM LOW 60S NORTH...MID 60S CENTRAL...AND LOW 70S FAR SOUTH. .LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY) ISSUED AT 400 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2015 TEMPERATURES WILL AVERAGE A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD. NORMAL HIGHS ARE NOW AROUND 87 IN THE TRI CITIES AND NEAR 90 OVER NORTHERN KANSAS. THE WARMEST DAY AND THE ONE DAY WHERE WE SHOULD BE ABOVE NORMAL WILL BE WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM AROUND 90 IN THE TRI CITIES TO THE UPPER 90S OVER NORTHERN KANSAS. WE WILL SEE A FEW LOW END CHANCES OF RAIN...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF RAIN BEING THURSDAY NIGHT WHEN SOME AREAS WILL SEE A 50/50 CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. WEDNESDAY...WE WILL HAVE THE NOSE OF THAT LOW LEVEL JET PRESSING NORTHEAST INTO OUR NORTHEASTERN FORECAST AREA AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM TUESDAY NIGHT...MIGHT LINGER OVER OUR NORTHEASTERN ZONES INTO A FEW HOURS AFTER SUNRISE PRIOR TO EXITING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. A WARM FRONT WILL SLIDE NORTH THROUGH THE DAY AND EXPECT SOUTHWEST WINDS BY AFTERNOON ACROSS MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE NORTHWEST ZONES WHERE A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO SLIDE SOUTHEAST INTO THE LEXINGTON AND ORD AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON. THE SOUTHWEST WINDS SHOULD MAKE IT POSSIBLE TO SEE THOSE 90 DEGREE TEMPERATURES FROM THE TRI CITIES SOUTHWARD. SO FAR WE HAVE ONLY HIT 90 TWICE THIS MONTH IN THE TRI CITIES. THE QUESTION IS WILL WE SEE ANY THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT SLIDES SOUTH AND WE WILL BE ON THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET. THE BEST FORCING FROM THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL BE OVER IOWA...BUT BEING ALONG A SFC FRONT AND THE EDGE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET CAN NOT RULE OUT A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LATER WEDNESDAY EVENING/NIGHT. THURSDAY...WILL BE A COOLER DAY WITH THE COOL FRONT NOW SOUTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE FRONT THURSDAY AFTERNOON PRIMARILY SOUTH OF I-80. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL JET INCREASES AND NOSES INTO OUR FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY OUR SOUTHEAST ZONES. FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...COOLER AIR WILL SLIDE IN ESPECIALLY ON FRIDAY WITH THE COLD FRONT TRACKING WELL SOUTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA AND THEN EXPECT JUST A SLOW MODERATION THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BUT STILL BELOW NORMAL FOR TEMPERATURES. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITHIN THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL TRACK THROUGH ON FRIDAY AND GIVE US A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THE WEEKEND WILL LIKELY BE DRY ALTHOUGH SOME MODELS HINT AT A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. WILL CONTINUE TO CALL FOR A DRY WEEKEND FORECAST FOR NOW. MONDAY...THE DRY WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE AS A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STRENGTHENS OVER THE ROCKIES. HIGHS SHOULD STILL BE A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL RANGING FROM THE MID 80S OVER NEBRASKA TO THE UPPER 80S OVER NORTHERN KANSAS. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY MORNING) ISSUED AT 702 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2015 CONFIDENCE REMAINS FAIRLY HIGH IN VFR CEILING/VISIBILITY THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST 15-18 HOURS OF THE PERIOD...ALTHOUGH THERE ARE A FEW MORE QUESTION MARKS BEYOND THAT LATE TONIGHT. STARTING OFF THIS MORNING...OTHER THAN INCREASING MID LEVEL CLOUDS OVERALL NOT MUCH GOING ON. THIS CLOUD DECK COULD LOWER SOMEWHAT DURING THE DAY BUT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN VFR TERRITORY. LATE TONIGHT...SOME MODELS/GUIDANCE SUGGEST THAN AN MVFR CEILING COULD EVENTUALLY TRANSPIRE...BUT FOR NOW WILL SIMPLY HINT AT IT WITH A SCATTERED MVFR CLOUD GROUP. AS FOR SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...THERE IS AT LEAST A SLIGHT/ISOLATED POSSIBILITY OF CONVECTION AFFECTING THE AREA AT ALMOST ANY POINT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...BUT THE PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE IS STILL DEEMED TOO LOW TO EVEN INTRODUCE A GENERIC VICINITY THUNDERSTORM (VCTS) MENTION AT THIS TIME. AS FOR SURFACE WINDS...NOT EXPECTING MAJOR ISSUES HERE...AS SUSTAINED SPEEDS THROUGH NEARLY THE ENTIRE PERIOD SHOULD AVERAGE UNDER 12KT...AS DIRECTION PREVAILS EASTERLY ONCE THE INITIAL LIGHT/VARIABLE COMPONENT ABATES WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. && .GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. KS...NONE. && UPDATE...PFANNKUCH SHORT TERM...PFANNKUCH LONG TERM...WESELY AVIATION...PFANNKUCH
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 449 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2015 KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087- 241215- PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE- SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK- GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN- WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER- 449 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THERE IS AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA TODAY...WITH CHANCES TONIGHT THEN FOCUSED MAINLY NORTH OF THE NEBRASKA-KANSAS BORDER. ALTHOUGH IT IS UNCLEAR AT THIS TIME WHETHER STORM COVERAGE WILL REMAIN SPARSE OR POTENTIALLY BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR A FEW STORMS TO BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE...WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING HAIL UP TO AROUND THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS. ALONG THE PLATTE RIVER THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE STRETCH BETWEEN THE GOTHENBURG AND CLARKS AREAS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD WARNING STATEMENTS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING...PRIMARILY NORTHEAST OF A HEBRON...GRAND ISLAND...LOUP CITY LINE. A FEW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...THEN AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY. THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS APPEARS TO BE THURSDAY NIGHT. ALONG THE PLATTE RIVER THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...FLOOD WARNINGS WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS BETWEEN THE GOTHENBURG AND CLARKS AREAS. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD WARNING STATEMENTS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AT SOME POINT TODAY INTO TONIGHT...MAINLY TO RELAY ANY REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL. && MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE: HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS (ALL LOWERCASE) PFANNKUCH/WESELY
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
818 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2015
KSZ007-NEZ085-086-231345-
JEWELL KS-WEBSTER NE-NUCKOLLS NE-
818 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2015
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN JEWELL...
SOUTHWESTERN NUCKOLLS AND SOUTHEASTERN WEBSTER COUNTIES UNTIL 845 AM
CDT...
AT 817 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
BOSTWICK...OR 35 MILES WEST OF BELLEVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SUPERIOR...GUIDE ROCK...HARDY...WEBBER AND BOSTWICK.
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
LAT...LON 4000 9793 3989 9793 3990 9835 4009 9836
4016 9805 4000 9783
TIME...MOT...LOC 1317Z 267DEG 32KT 4001 9826
FAYSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE 853 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2015 NEZ086-087-231430- THAYER NE-NUCKOLLS NE- 853 AM CDT TUE JUN 23 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN NUCKOLLS AND SOUTHERN THAYER COUNTIES UNTIL 930 AM CDT... AT 853 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR BYRON...OR 17 MILES NORTHWEST OF BELLEVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... HEBRON...DESHLER...CHESTER...BYRON...HUBBELL AND GILEAD. THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. LAT...LON 4000 9737 4000 9789 4013 9790 4018 9737 TIME...MOT...LOC 1353Z 266DEG 32KT 4005 9779 FAY
The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 85 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 13:59 UTC.
9 hail, 1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Storm total rainfall of 3.15, all of which fell between 9 a.m.-2 p.m. CDT. This was a rather localized area of heavy rain over eastern Thayer County, and some short-term flooding was reported in the area by county officials.
Hail up to 2 in diameter broke the windshield of a vehicle.
Quarter to golf ball size hail reported in town.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Nebraska in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Nebraska, June 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 591657, 588765, 588766, 588767, 588566, 588769, 588771, 588772, 588774, 588773.