A severe thunderstorm tracked across northeastern Missouri and into west central Illinois producing a continuous swath of damaging winds from Knox County MO to Marion County IL.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LSX wrote it up.
A severe thunderstorm tracked across northeastern Missouri and into west central Illinois producing a continuous swath of damaging winds from Knox County MO to Marion County IL.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 13, 4:34 PM CST, 6 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
534 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015
.SHORT TERM: (THROUGH LATE TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 410 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015
HEAT ADVISORY CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA UNTIL LATER THIS
EVENING WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S AND DEW POINTS IN THE
70S THIS AFTERNOON. HEAT INDICES WERE MAINLY FROM 100 TO 110,
TOPPING OUT AT 113 AT LAMBERT FIELD. CONVECTION CONTINUES TO
DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN MO ON THE NORTHERN FRINGES OF THE CAP AND
AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WHICH EXTENDS FROM NORTHWESTERN WI SOUTHWEST
INTO CENTRAL KS. CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP TONIGHT AS THE
FRONT SINKS SLOWLY SOUTHWARD INTO OUR AREA AND THE CAP GRADUALLY
WEAKENS. WITH EXTREME INSTABILITY AND AMPLE WIND SHEAR SOME OF THE
STORMS WILL BE SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS BEING THE MOST LIKELY
HAZARD. MOST OF THE CONVECTION WILL BE ACROSS NORTHEAST MO AND WEST
CENTRAL IL THIS EVENING, THEN SHIFT SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST MO AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS LATE TONIGHT. SLIGHTLY COOLER
CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHEAST MO LATE TONIGHT BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT, WITH CONTINUED WARM AND MUGGY CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE.
GKS
.LONG TERM: (TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 410 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015
UPPER LEVEL HIGH CENTERED OVER THE SOUTH-CENTRAL CONUS WILL MOVE
LITTLE OVER THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS...BUT ITS DOMINANCE OVER OUR REGION
WILL WAX AND WANE AT TIMES.
THIS UPPER LEVEL HIGH WILL LOSE SOME OF ITS INFLUENCE BEGINNING
TUESDAY AND THIS WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY PASSAGE OF THE MAIN COLD
FRONT. HOWEVER...THIS COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL COME TOO LITTLE TOO
LATE FOR MANY AREAS WITH W-SW WINDS EXPECTED THRU MUCH OF THE DAY
AND IN THE WAKE OF THE LEFTOVER CONVECTION FROM THE PRE-FRONTAL TROF
THE NIGHT BEFORE...MANY AREAS SHOULD SEE DECENT SUNSHINE RETURN.
MOS TEMPS SEEM TO HAVE A GOOD HANDLE ON THIS WITH A RETURN OF MID
90S TEMPS AND COUPLED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW-MID 70S WILL RESULT
IN HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 100-105 FOR A FOURTH CONSECUTIVE DAY FOR THE
CORRIDOR BETWEEN COU/JEF AND STL METRO. HAVE EXTENDED IN TIME THRU
EARLY TUESDAY EVENING THE HEAT ADVISORY FOR THIS AREA WITH POSSIBLE
AREAL EXPANSION ELSEWHERE ON TUESDAY. FOR NOW...THE HEAT ADVISORY
EXPIRES ELSEWHERE AT 9PM THIS EVENING.
COOLER TEMPS THEN TAKE HOLD FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY PROVIDING SOME RELIEF AND KEEPING MAX TEMPS IN THE 80S FOR
MOST AREAS WITH LOWER HUMIDITIES.
THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY IS SET TO RETURN FOR FRIDAY AND THRU EARLY
NEXT WEEK WITH POSSIBLE RE-ISSUANCE OF HEAT HEADLINES.
OTHERWISE...RAIN CHANCES LOOK MEAGER FOR MUCH OF THIS PERIOD WITH
EITHER THE MAIN FOCUS TO OUR SOUTH IN THE CASE OF WEDNESDAY...AND A
WELL CAPPED ATMOSPHERE FOR FRIDAY THRU NEXT MONDAY. THE BEST
CHANCES WILL BE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WITH A WARM FRONT
BUCKLING BACK NORTH. DESPITE THE MAIN COLD FRONT MOVING THRU
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...THE PRE-FRONTAL TROF STEALS THE SHOW JUST ENOUGH
WITH MOISTURE TO ALLOW THE CAP TO LIKELY MAINTAIN THRU MUCH OF ITS
PASSAGE THRU THE FORECAST AREA.
TES
&&
.AVIATION: (FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 520 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015
WEAK BOUNDARY, MORE OF A WIND SHIFT WITH A PRE-FRONTAL TROF, LIES
ACROSS NORTHERN MO. ONE BIG THUNDERSTORM AND SOEM SHOWERS ARE
MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST NEAR THIS BOUNDARY. SURFACE HEATING AND
ABUNDANT INSTABILITY LIKELY THE DRIVING FACTOR. HRRR BLOWS UP THE
LINE AND MOVE IT SOUTH. RAP AND THE LONGER TERM MODELS DO NOT,
KILLING IT AND THEN REDEVELOPING ABOUT 10Z ACROSS CENTRAL TO
EASTERN MO. THIS SCENARIO LOOKS BETTER GIVEN THE CAP AND CURRENT
TREND OF THE RAIN SHRINKING (EXCEPT FOR THE ONE STORM. BOUNDARY
WILL CONTINUE SOUTH WITH THE REAL COLD FRONT ARRIVING TUESDAY
AFTERNOON.
SPECIFICS FOR KSTL: NOT HIGH ON THE HRRR SOLUTION SO AM PRETTY MUCH
FOLLOWING THE NAM AND OTHER MODELS WHICH ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT.
WILL WATCH THE CURRENT RAIN AND MAY NEED A VCSH/VCTS SOMETIME
THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE WILL PUT ANOTHER VCTS ABOUT 09-10Z BASED
ON THE NAM AND RAP. CAP SHOULD BE WEAKER BY THEN. WEST WIND
TUESDAY GOING NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
JPK
&&
.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR CRAWFORD MO-IRON
MO-KNOX MO-LEWIS MO-MADISON MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-PIKE MO-
RALLS MO-REYNOLDS MO-SHELBY MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-WASHINGTON
MO.
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR AUDRAIN MO-BOONE MO-
CALLAWAY MO-COLE MO-FRANKLIN MO-GASCONADE MO-JEFFERSON MO-
LINCOLN MO-MONITEAU MO-MONTGOMERY MO-OSAGE MO-ST. CHARLES
MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-ST. LOUIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-WARREN
MO.
IL...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR ADAMS IL-BOND IL-
BROWN IL-CLINTON IL-FAYETTE IL-GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MARION
IL-MONTGOMERY IL-PIKE IL-WASHINGTON IL.
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-
MADISON IL-MONROE IL-RANDOLPH IL-ST. CLAIR IL.
&&
WFO LSXHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 357 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027- 034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-141200- GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL- MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL- CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO- LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO- AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO- LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO- ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO- WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO- MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO- 357 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE THIS EVENING WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...WITH LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ALSO POSSIBLE. LITTLE RELIEF FROM THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY CAN BE EXPECTED AS TEMPERATURES ONLY FALL BETWEEN 75 AND 80 DEGREES. A HEAT ADVISORY IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. MAJOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ON ALL POINTS ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER FROM LA GRANGE TO THE CONFLUENCE OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS ON TUESDAY...AND WILL PERSIST IN SOUTHERN MISSOURI INTO WEDNESDAY. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXPAND TO MUCH OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN MAINLY BE LIMITED TO NORTHERN MISSOURI AND CENTRAL ILLINOIS FOR LATE WEEK AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. MAJOR FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER THROUGH THIS WEEK. HEAT INDICES MAY REACH DANGEROUS LEVELS OF 105 DEGREES OR GREATER LATE THIS WEEK AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING. TES
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
532 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0525 PM TSTM WND DMG BARING 40.24N 92.21W
07/13/2015 KNOX MO PUBLIC
TWIGS BLOWN DOWN
&&
GKSThe St Louis radar (KLSX), 208 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:38 UTC.
3 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Thunderstorm winds blew down numerous large tree limbs as well as a few trees, especially in Edina and just northeast of Colony.
Thunderstorms produced a wide swath of damaging winds as it moved east southeast across the county. In Lewistown, a large tree was blown over onto an unoccupied mobile home. In Ewing, the roof was blown off of a church and numerous trees were blown down around town. In Canton, there was widespread tree damage and numerous trees uprooted or snapped off. Also, an unanchored mobile home was pushed off of its foundation.
Thunderstorm winds uprooted a 48 inch diameter tree and blew down numerous powerlines around town.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Missouri in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, July 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 599806, 599807, 599808.