Thunderstorms developed along and ahead of a cold front during the afternoon and evening hours. Some of these storms became severe, producing wind damage as they moved across the area.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAN wrote it up.
Thunderstorms developed along and ahead of a cold front during the afternoon and evening hours. Some of these storms became severe, producing wind damage as they moved across the area. The storms weakened during the evening hours over the eastern portions of Mississippi.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 1, 10:05 AM CST, 4 hours 25 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1005 AM CST SUN FEB 1 2015 .UPDATE...MOST OF THE SHOWERS ARE MOVING OFF TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING...BUT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM NORTHEAST ARKANSAS INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS AND THIS FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE DELTA BY MID AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO WORK ITS WAY ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. CURRENTLY WE HAVE A LIMITED RISK FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OUTLOOKED OVER MUCH OF THE AREA. IT CONTINUES TO LOOK UNFAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES WITH THE MAIN RISK BEING STRONG WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. BUMPED POPS DOWN THIS MORNING TO ALIGN WITH MAINLY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE AREA...BUT OTHER THAN THAT THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK./15/ .DISCUSSION... TODAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... THE WEATHER SCENARIO IS GENERALLY UNFOLDING AS ADVERTISED THIS MORNING WITH WIDESPREAD MOSTLY LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS BREAKING OUT IN A WARM ADVECTION REGIME...ALBEIT A LITTLE FASTER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. IN SPITE OF POOR MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES PRESENT...THE FORECAST FOR GREATER SFC HEATING AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN HAVE INCREASED THE INSTABILITY WHICH IS NOW FORECAST TO BE ~500 J/KG MOST UNSTABLE CAPE LATER THIS AFTN. WITH STRONG WIND SHEAR FORECAST (0-6KM ~60KT, 0-1KM ~35KT)...THIS INCREASES THE CONCERN FOR GETTING A FEW STORMS CONTAINING STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS WHERE CONVECTION CAN BECOME NEAR SFC-BASED...BUT THE POSITIVE TILT OF THE TROUGH AND RELATIVELY VEERED LOW LEVEL WIND PROFILES SHOULD KEEP INGREDIENTS FOR SEVERE WEATHER SOMEWHAT DISJOINTED AND UNFAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES. EXPECT THE GREATER RISK FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO BE IN THE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING PER LATEST ARW/NMM GUIDANCE WHEN THE COMBINATION OF LOW LEVEL FRONTAL FORCING/DIABATIC HEATING WILL BE GREATEST. WILL ADD A MENTION OF THIS LIMITED SEVERE WEATHER RISK IN THE HWO. TOTAL RAINFALL WILL BE MODERATE ON AVERAGE - A HALF TO ONE INCH AT MOST LOCATIONS. THERE MAY BE A LENGTHY BREAK IN THE RAINFALL LATER THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON AS WE WAIT FOR THE COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...BUT CONFIDENCE IN TIMING IS TOO LOW TO EXPLICITLY DEPICT IN THE FORECAST GRIDS. THE GREATER COVERAGE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS SHOULD MOVE THROUGH LATE AFTN/EARLY EVNG...THEN EXPECT THE FRONT TO SWEEP EASTWARD THIS EVENING AND BRING AN END TO ANY CONVECTIVE RAINFALL BY AROUND MIDNIGHT. BEHIND THE FRONT...STRONG COLD ADVECTION WILL TAKE OVER AND A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS STILL LOOK POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT IN THE GOLDEN TRIANGLE REGION WITH CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES DROPPING INTO THE LOWER 30S. MONDAY WILL BE A VERY UNCOMFORTABLE DAY WITH BLUSTERY NORTHWEST WINDS REDUCING WIND CHILL READINGS INTO THE 20S FOR MOST OF THE MORNING. HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER/MID 40S. WITH HIGH PRESSURE AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...TEMPERATURES WILL DROP WELL INTO THE 20S MONDAY NIGHT. /EC/ TUESDAY THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY... SEVERAL SYSTEMS WILL AFFECT THE REGION DURING THE PERIOD WITH SEASONABLY CHILLY TEMPERATURES. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL BE OVER THE CWA ON TUESDAY AS OUR NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. WITH ISENTROPIC LIFT CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AS LIGHT RAIN MOVES OVER THE REGION ON TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. PRECIPITABLE WATER WILL GET UP TO AROUND ONE INCH. THE SOUTHERN STREAM SHORT WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH A GULF SURFACE WAVE WILL CROSS THE REGION ON THURSDAY. A SECONDARY SHORTWAVE WILL CROSS THE CWA FROM THE NORTHWEST ON THURSDAY NIGHT. WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR PHASING OF THESE TWO SHORTWAVES IN FUTURE MODEL RUNS. IT WILL HAVE ENOUGH COLD AIR IN THE LOW LEVEL FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW FLURRIES BEFORE THE PRECIP MOVES OUT BY FRIDAY. THE ECMWF AND CANADIAN MODELS ARE STILL FASTER IN MOVING OUT THE PRECIP BY THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT THE 00Z ECMWF TRENDED A LITTLE SLOWER AND HAVE OPTED TO GO TOWARD THE SLOWER GFS SOLUTION. FOR FRIDAY COLD HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION WHICH WILL BRING DRY WEATHER THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE COULD DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION ON SUNDAY. THE COLDEST MORNING WILL BE EARLY FRIDAY WITH LOWS POSSIBLY DROPPING WELL INTO THE 20S. /17/ && .AVIATION...EARLY MORNING SHOWER ACTIVITY WL SHIFT NE OF THE AREA BY 16Z. ADDITIONAL SHRA/TSRA ACTIVITY WL DEVELOP THIS AFTN AND EVENING ALONG AND AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT. THIS WL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD MVFR AND OCNL IFR RESTRICTIONS DUE TO CIGS AND VSBY. MUCH DRIER AND COLDER AIR WL SURGE INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT. IT APPEARS SOME STRATOCU MAY LINGER FOR MOST OF THE AREA MONDAY MORNING BUT EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP BY AFTN. /22/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... JACKSON 70 34 41 25 / 92 69 4 0 MERIDIAN 67 37 44 23 / 87 92 6 0 VICKSBURG 70 34 43 26 / 94 44 2 0 HATTIESBURG 70 41 47 27 / 80 61 4 0 NATCHEZ 69 34 43 26 / 90 61 2 0 GREENVILLE 66 30 39 26 / 98 20 2 0 GREENWOOD 66 31 39 24 / 98 31 3 0 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...NONE. LA...NONE. AR...NONE. && EC/17/
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 101 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2015 ARZ074-075-MSZ018-019-025>039-021915- ASHLEY-CHICOT-BOLIVAR-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL- MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON- HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE- 101 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY. LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ040>066-072>074-021915- MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-MADISON LA- FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO- MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON- LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON- ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON- JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 101 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...LIMITED TIMING...THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ALONG A STRONG COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. A FEW STORMS MAY BRIEFLY REACH SEVERE LIMITS WITH THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. (WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1) .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. 21 && ...HAZARD LEGEND... *SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS* EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL. SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL. ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL. LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN HOME PAGE... WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK... WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER... @NWSJACKSONMS ...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES... STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)... WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/ SPC...MESO ANALYSIS... WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/# SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS... WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/ SPC...STORM REPORTS... WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/ NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!
ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-012100-
ASHLEY AR-CHICOT AR-MOREHOUSE LA-EAST CARROLL LA-WEST CARROLL LA-
228 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2015
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
228 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2015
A STRONG THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PEA TO DIME SIZE HAIL AND
40 TO 50 MPH WINDS WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTH OF BERLIN AT 228 PM
CST...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.
VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN CHICOT AND SOUTHEASTERN ASHLEY COUNTIES...AND
NORTHEASTERN WEST CARROLL...NORTH CENTRAL EAST CARROLL AND
NORTHEASTERN MOREHOUSE PARISHES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM CLOSELY.
LAT...LON 3318 9117 3314 9116 3314 9119 3311 9120
3308 9115 3303 9114 3302 9116 3299 9117
3296 9121 3291 9182 3309 9185
TIME...MOT...LOC 2028Z 262DEG 45KT 3301 9172
GRGThe Little Rock radar (KLZK), 172 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:31 UTC.
13 thunderstorm wind, 1 strong wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Strong winds caused a tree to snap.
A tree was blown down and partially blocked the road at the intersection of Highway 61 and Iowa Blvd/Pemberton Square Blvd.
A few trees were blown down.
Utility wires were blown down along Fisher Ferry Rd.
A few trees were blown down. Dime size hail also fell.
Several trees were blown down in the Farmhaven area. Dime size hail also fell in this area.
A tree fell on a house on Smith Robinson St. Trees were also blown down along North West Street.
Recorded at Hawkins Field in Jackson.
A few trees were blown down along the Natchez Trace.
A tree was blown down along Mathis Road.
A few trees were blown down in the Freetrade and Madden area.
Two homes and one mobile home sustained minor damage. One chicken house lost part of its roof and six sheds were damaged and destroyed. The damaged occurred along county roads 1129 and 149. A few trees were blown down in the Hope Community.
Roof blown off a house along Neely Town Rd.
Winds gusted to 54 mph at Key Field in Meridian.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Mississippi in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Mississippi, February 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 551868, 551887, 551572, 551888, 551573, 551574, 551575, 551582, 551577, 551579, 551578, 551580, 551581, 551889.