A line of severe thunderstorms moved across southeast Minnesota during the early morning hours of July 18th. One of these storms produced a small, short-lived tornado southeast of Theilman (Wabasha County).
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS ARX wrote it up.
A line of severe thunderstorms moved across southeast Minnesota during the early morning hours of July 18th. One of these storms produced a small, short-lived tornado southeast of Theilman (Wabasha County). The tornado moved through a corn field and across one farmstead removing the tops off of two silos, blowing in garage doors and moved several tires off a sileage pile. Besides the tornado, the storms also produced damaging winds that blew down trees in Millville (Wabasha County).
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS La Crosse, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 17, 10:42 PM CST, 1 hour 49 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 1142 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015 .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 307 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015 MAIN CONCERN FOR TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY WILL BE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL LATER TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. FOR TONIGHT...A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE EASTERN DAKOTAS AND WESTERN MINNESOTA THEN ROLL ACROSS SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN AND NORTHEAST IOWA OVERNIGHT. THE STORMS SHOULD ARRIVE ACROSS SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AROUND 04Z TO 06Z AND ACROSS NORTHEAST IOWA AND SOUTHWEST WISCONSIN BETWEEN 06Z AND 08Z. MODEL 0-6KM SHEAR VALUES OF 30 TO 45 KNOTS NOTED...EXCEPT WRF MODEL WHICH HAS 45 TO 55 KNOTS OVER SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA. PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL. MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 7 C/KM WOULD SUPPORT SOME LARGE HAIL DESPITE WET BULBS OF TWELVE TO THIRTEEN THOUSAND FEET. MORNING CONVECTION SHOULD WANE OR END BY MID TO LATE MORNING. MAIN QUESTION IS HOW MUCH CONVECTION WILL REFORM SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING. SOME OF THE MODELS ARE VERY QUIET WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ACTIVITY. HOWEVER...MODIFIED LA CROSSE SOUNDING INDICATED LITTLE CIN AND CAPES AROUND 3500 J/KG. DO EXPECT SCATTERED CONVECTION TO BREAK OUT ALONG THE FRONT. ALSO... AFTERNOON HEAT INDICIES WILL APPROACH 100 SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 90. .LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 307 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015 ONGOING CONVECTION SATURDAY EVENING WILL BE PRESENT EARLY ACROSS WESTERN WISCONSIN AND NORTHEAST IOWA. ANY ACTIVITY SHOULD END BY MIDNIGHT AS FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH. NEXT SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. A MUCH MORE POTENT SYSTEM IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. WILL NEED TO WATCH THIS SYSTEM IN THE COMING DAYS FOR THE SEVERE POTENTIAL. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE CLOSE TO NORMAL EARLY IN THE WEEK...TRENDING A TAD BIT BELOW NORMAL BY THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 1142 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015 RADAR SHOWING A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS BEARING DOWN ON KRST/KLSE TAF SITES. EXPECTING THIS LINE TO MOVE THROUGH KRST AROUND 07Z TIME FRAME AND KLSE IN THE 08-09Z TIME FRAME. PUT IN TEMPO TS WINDS OF 29030G45KT...BUT COULD GUST HIGHER IF THESE STORMS MAINTAIN CURRENT INTENSITY. EXPECT DRASTIC TEMPO REDUCTIONS IN VSBY/CIGS IN THE STORMS AS WELL. A BIT OF A BREAK IN THE ACTION IN THE MORNING...BUT THEN WILL HAVE TO CONTEND WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH BY EARLY AFTERNOON. MODELS OFFERING DIFFERING OPINIONS ON CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONT...WITH A COUPLE NOT DOING ANYTHING. FOR NOW...HAVE INCLUDED A VCTS AT KRST AFTER 17Z AND KLSE AFTER 19Z. LOOK LIKE COLD FRONT AND CONVECTION SHOULD BE CLEAR OF THE AREA BY EARLY EVENING. && .ARX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WI...NONE. MN...NONE. IA...NONE. && SHORT TERM...ECKBERG LONG TERM...ECKBERG AVIATION...DAS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI 1120 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015 WIZ043-044-181200- JUNEAU-ADAMS- 1120 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS COULD IMPACT THE AREA BETWEEN 3 AM AND 6 AM. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN ARE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY MORNING. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. HEAT INDICES MAY APPROACH 100 DEGREES SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 90 SATURDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING. IF THE STORMS DEVELOP...HAZARDS WOULD INCLUDE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL STORMS COULD OCCUR AT TIMES FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF SEVERE WEATHER WOULD BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BETWEEN 3 AM AND 6 AM. .EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION... NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED. IAZ008>010-018-019-029-MNZ079-086>088-094-095-WIZ032-181200- MITCHELL-HOWARD-WINNESHIEK-FLOYD-CHICKASAW-FAYETTE-WABASHA-DODGE- OLMSTED-WINONA-MOWER-FILLMORE-BUFFALO- 1120 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT A LINE OF SEVERE STORMS COULD IMPACT THE AREA BETWEEN 1 AM AND 3 AM. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY MORNING. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. HEAT INDICES MAY APPROACH 100 DEGREES SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 90 SATURDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING. IF THE STORMS DEVELOP...HAZARDS WOULD INCLUDE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL STORMS COULD OCCUR AT TIMES FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF SEVERE WEATHER WOULD BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BETWEEN 1 AM AND 3 AM. .EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION... NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED. IAZ011-030-MNZ096-WIZ017-029-033-034-041-042-053>055-061-181200- ALLAMAKEE-CLAYTON-HOUSTON-TAYLOR-CLARK-TREMPEALEAU-JACKSON- LA CROSSE-MONROE-VERNON-CRAWFORD-RICHLAND-GRANT- 1120 PM CDT FRI JUL 17 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST IOWA...SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...AND SOUTHWEST INTO CENTRAL WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COULD IMPACT THE AREA BETWEEN 2 AM AND 4 AM. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY MORNING. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. HEAT INDICES MAY APPROACH 100 DEGREES SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 90 SATURDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE AGAIN POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING. IF THE STORMS DEVELOP...HAZARDS WOULD INCLUDE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL. ADDITIONAL STORMS COULD OCCUR AT TIMES FROM MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. IT IS TOO EARLY TO DETERMINE IF SEVERE WEATHER WOULD BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED BETWEEN 2 AM AND 4 AM. .EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT COORDINATION... NO WEBINAR IS SCHEDULED. WETENKAMP
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
1245 AM CDT SAT JUL 18 2015
MNZ079-086-087-WIZ032-180745-
DODGE-WABASHA-OLMSTED-BUFFALO-
1245 AM CDT SAT JUL 18 2015
...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT WABASHA...
DODGE...OLMSTED AND NORTHWESTERN BUFFALO COUNTIES BETWEEN 1 AND 245
AM...
AT 1241 AM CDT...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED
FROM MINNEAPOLIS TO MANKATO...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.
WIND GUSTS OF 45 TO 70 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS. THESE WIND GUSTS COULD RESULT IN DAMAGE. AN ISOLATED
TORNADO IS ALSO POSSIBLE.
LOCATIONS THAT COULD BE IMPACTED BY 2 AM INCLUDE...
ROCHESTER...DODGE CENTER...WABASHA...MANTORVILLE...ALMA...KASSON...
BYRON...PLAINVIEW...EYOTA...ORONOCO...MAZEPPA...DOVER...CLAREMONT...
KELLOGG...MARION AND DOUGLAS
PREPARE NOW FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER. MOVE INDOORS AND IF A
WARNING IS ISSUED...TAKE ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
LAT...LON 4420 9304 4419 9255 4437 9255 4437 9243
4445 9243 4445 9224 4441 9208 4459 9202
4459 9174 4419 9196 4419 9208 4394 9210
4396 9305
TIME...MOT...LOC 0541Z 269DEG 37KT 4494 9324 4406 9373
AJThe Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 104 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 06:28 UTC.
4 thunderstorm wind, 1 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.
A pine tree was snapped off and other trees were blown down in Mazeppa.
Trees were blown down across County Road 2 in Millville.
A small, short-lived tornado damaged some corn, removed the tops off of two silos, blew in garage doors and moved tires off a sileage pile.
Trees were blown down along State Highway 42 near Kellogg.
Trees were blown down along U.S. Highway 61 between Lake City and the city of Wabasha.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Minnesota in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Minnesota, 2015Warnings in Minnesota, July 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 590595, 590566, 580925, 590575, 590576.