Heavy rain from thunderstorms caused flash flooding in the Verde Lakes Estates southeast of Camp Verde.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.
Heavy rain from thunderstorms caused flash flooding in the Verde Lakes Estates southeast of Camp Verde.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 18, 4:06 PM MST, 5 hours 24 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 406 PM MST SAT JUL 18 2015 .SYNOPSIS...A SURGE OF TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL MOVE OVER ARIZONA THIS WEEKEND RESULTING IN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. STORMS MAY PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING FROM HEAVY RAINFALL AND SLOW MOVEMENT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS YAVAPAI...NORTHERN GILA AND WESTERN COCONINO COUNTIES. EXPECT DAILY CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE DECREASING MID WEEK. && .DISCUSSION...A COUPLE ATMOSPHERIC INFLUENCES ARE IMPACTING THE WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION TODAY. ONE IS THE DEEP MOISTURE BROUGHT UP INTO THE SOUTHWEST BY THE CIRCULATION AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL HIGH OVER TEXAS...AND REMNANT MOISTURE FROM THE DEPARTED HURRICANE DOLORES. ANOTHER ATMOSPHERIC PLAYER IS THE SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH CALIFORNIA...LIFTING NORTHEAST INTO WESTERN ARIZONA. THESE ATMOSPHERIC VARIABLE HAVE HELPED WITH STORMS ACROSS WESTERN AZ. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR FAR WESTERN AZ THROUGH 9 PM MST...FLASH FLOOD WATCH COVERING MOST OF WEST ARIZONA THROUGH SATURDAY AT LEAST...WITH EXTENSIONS OF THE WATCHES INTO SUNDAY...FOR WESTERN AZ ALONG THE RIVER AND UNTIL THIS EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF COCONINO...YAVAPAI...AND NORTHERN GILA COUNTIES. THERE WILL MOSTLY LIKELY BE MORE UPDATES TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH PRODUCTS AS THIS WEATHER EVENT UNFOLDS OVER THE SOUTHWEST. FOR SUNDAY ANOTHER WEATHER DISTURBANCE LIFTS NORTHWARD OVER WESTERN ARIZONA...WITH AMPLE SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE STILL IN PLACE TO BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING LOCALIZED INTENSE RAINFALL. MONDAY IS A TRANSITION DAY AS THE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH LIFTS NORTHEAST THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. BY THIS TIME THE ATMOSPHERE IS FORECAST TO BEGIN GETTING DRIER WITH FEW STORMS. THEN BY TUESDAY DRIER AIR LIMITS THE STORM ACTIVITY TO MAINLY ISOLATED STORMS AT BEST. WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...DRIER WEATHER THROUGH THIS PERIOD WITH TEMPERATURES BELOW TO NEAR NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. && .AVIATION...FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...WIDESPREAD STORMS TO CONTINUE THIS EVENING AND BEGIN TO DCRS BTWN 07-10Z SUNDAY. STORMS WILL INCREASE AGAIN AFTER 17Z. ISOLD TO SCT IFR CONDS ARE XPCTD WITH ERRATIC GUSTY WINDS NEAR THE STRONGEST STORMS. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR && .FIRE WEATHER...DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN THIS EVENING THEN DECREASE IN NUMBER TONIGHT. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON SUNDAY AS DEEP MOISTURE REMAINS OVER THE AREA. SOME DRYING IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY WITH FEWER STORMS. TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...A DRYING TREND WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 11 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR AZZ004>008- 015-016-018-037-038. && PUBLIC...TC AVIATION...MAS FIRE WEATHER...MAS FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 407 AM MST SAT JUL 18 2015 AZZ004>018-037>040-190600- KAIBAB PLATEAU-MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY- COCONINO PLATEAU-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS- NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-CHINLE VALLEY- CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY- LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY- WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS- NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS- OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-BLACK MESA AREA- NORTHEAST PLATEAUS AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264- 407 AM MST SAT JUL 18 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO... NORTHERN GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD ACROSS NORTHERN ARIZONA TODAY. HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE A THREAT FROM THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS THREAT WILL BE GREATEST ACROSS NORTHERN GILA, YAVAPAI AND SOUTHERN COCONINO COUNTIES...WHERE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY A GOOD CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY. A RETURN TO A MORE TYPICAL MONSOONAL PATTERN TAKES SHAPE ON MONDAY WITH DECREASING CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OR THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING 1-888-745-1637.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
525 PM MST SAT JUL 18 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0500 PM HEAVY RAIN TIMBERLINE 35.32N 111.55W
07/18/2015 M0.50 INCH COCONINO AZ PUBLIC
HALF INCH OF RAIN IN FIFTEEN MINUTES 445 TO 500 PM
&&
CORRECTED EVENT TIME...REMARKS
EVENT NUMBER FGZ1500090
DGVPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
738 PM MST SAT JUL 18 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0647 PM HEAVY RAIN 10 SE CONGRESS 34.06N 112.73W
07/18/2015 M4.65 INCH YAVAPAI AZ TRAINED SPOTTER
FELL IN LAST HOUR AND A HALF
&&
EVENT NUMBER FGZ1500091
DGVPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
740 PM MST SAT JUL 18 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0708 PM HEAVY RAIN YARNELL 34.22N 112.75W
07/18/2015 M1.00 INCH YAVAPAI AZ TRAINED SPOTTER
RAINFALL LAST HOUR
&&
EVENT NUMBER FGZ1500092
DGVPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
741 PM MST SAT JUL 18 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0730 PM HEAVY RAIN CHINO VALLEY 34.76N 112.45W
07/18/2015 M1.00 INCH YAVAPAI AZ TRAINED SPOTTER
RAINFALL LAST HOUR
&&
EVENT NUMBER FGZ1500093
DGVPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
802 PM MST SAT JUL 18 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0750 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 NW PRESCOTT 34.61N 112.49W
07/18/2015 M2.75 INCH YAVAPAI AZ TRAINED SPOTTER
RAINFALL LAST TWO AND A HALF HOURS
&&
EVENT NUMBER FGZ1500094
DGVPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
810 PM MST SAT JUL 18 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0753 PM HEAVY RAIN PRESCOTT 34.58N 112.45W
07/18/2015 M2.70 INCH YAVAPAI AZ ASOS
THREE HOUR RAINFALL
&&
EVENT NUMBER FGZ1500095
DGVThe Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 47 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 04:28 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Fifteen residents were rescued from homes in Verde Lakes Estates. Seven homes had significant flood damage. The flooding came form a tributary of West Clear Creek.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arizona in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, July 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 597466.