Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms produced locally heavy rain in Montgomery County.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms produced locally heavy rain in Montgomery County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 2, 2:24 PM EST, 2 hours 51 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 324 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015 .SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT) ISSUED AT 254 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015 OVERALL THERE IS SOME REASONABLE AGREEMENT WITH THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IN THE SHORT TERN PERIOD. MORE ISSUES RESIDE IN THE SMALLER SHORTWAVE FEATURES RIDING THROUGH THE FLOW IN TERMS OF DEPTH AND SPEED. THESE DIFFERENCES WILL CERTAINLY HAVE IMPLICATIONS IN THE SURFACE FEATURES. OTHERWISE TROUGH SETUP WILL LEAD TO A STORMY SHORT TERM PERIOD OVERALL. THIS AFTERNOON WE DO SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER...WHICH IS LEADING ADDITIONAL CONVECTION ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND WESTERN KY. THE HRRR KEEPS HINTING THAT THIS CONVECTION WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA...HOWEVER THE TIMING SEEMS A BIT TOO FAST AT THIS TIME. GIVEN THE SUB 1 INCH 1 HOUR GUIDANCE OVER PORTIONS OF THAT AREA FLOODING WOULD BE A BIG CONCERN THIS EVENING ONCE AGAIN. QUASI/STATIONARY FRONT REMAINS ALONG AND NEAR THE OHIO RIVER THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS RIDING ALONG THE FRONT. THIS BOUNDARY WILL WAVER ACROSS THE COMMONWEALTH THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD AND WILL LEAD TO GENERALLY UNSETTLED CONDITIONS. GIVEN AT TIMES PWATS WILL BE NEAR 2.0 INCHES IN SPOTS...LOWERING FFG...AND AT TIMES CONVECTIVE NATURE OF STORMS COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. THIS WILL HAVE THE BEST CHANCES OF OCCURRING IN AREAS THAT SEE REPEATED ROUNDS OR SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS. THEREFORE HAVE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN PLACE FOR ALL OF THE CWA FROM NOW THROUGH 00Z SAT. MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGEST A LULL IN THE PRECIP AS WE MOVE INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. .LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY) ISSUED AT 324 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015 UPPER LEVEL TROUGH RESPONSIBLE FOR ALL THE UNSETTLED WEATHER LATELY WILL FINALLY FLATTEN OUT INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL LEAD TO LESSER CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS AS WE HEAD INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. IN THE MEANTIME...WE WILL STILL HAVE AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO CONTEND WITH THROUGH THE WEEKEND...KEEPING THE WEATHER UNSETTLED...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON/EVENING HOURS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND GIVEN THE CLOUD COVER AND PRECIPITATION. NOT CONFIDENT YET TO GO WITH A DRY PERIOD NEXT WEEK...BUT ITS LOOKING INCREASINGLY LIKELY WE WILL SEE AT LEAST A FEW DRY PERIOD EARLY NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DIVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY BY TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH ANOTHER FRONT DROPPING INTO THE VICINITY OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. THIS WILL LEAD TO INCREASING RAIN/STORM CHANCES ONCE AGAIN BY MIDWEEK. HEAT AND HUMIDITY SHOULD ALSO BUILD AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SO WE MAY SEE TEMPERATURES AT LEAST APPROACH OR EVEN EXCEED NORMAL FOR AT LEAST ONE DAY EARLY NEXT WEEK. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 132 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015 15Z SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED NEAR AND ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER THIS AFTERNOON WITH SURFACE LOWS ALONG THE FRONT. THIS WILL LEAD TO A STORMY TAF PERIOD OVERALL. THIS AFTERNOON MANY OF THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN SITES ARE SEEING LIFR TO MVFR CEILINGS AND VIS. WE ARE SEEING SOME CLEARING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN SITES...HOWEVER ANY CLEARING COULD LEAD TO INCREASED INSTABILITY. GIVEN THAT SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO DEVELOP UPSTREAM THE CONCERN WOULD BE ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT WOULD BE POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH DO EXPECT DEVELOPMENT THE EXACT LOCATIONS OF THIS ARE STILL UNCERTAIN. THEREFORE DID KEEP TAFS THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT VCTS/VCSH AT THIS POINT. ALSO SEEM REASONABLE THAT FOG AND LOWER CEILING WOULD HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT ONCE AGAIN LEADING TO LIFR/IFR CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE OVERALL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT IN NATURE...EXCEPT PERHAPS WITH STORM ACTIVITY. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR KYZ044-050>052- 058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120. && SHORT TERM...DJ LONG TERM...KAS AVIATION...DJ
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 258 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-032200- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO... JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD... IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...BRODHEAD... MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...BURNSIDE...SOMERSET...LONDON... MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG... BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...CUMBERLAND...HARLAN... SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON... SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE... JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD... MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...INEZ...COAL RUN... ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON 258 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH TONIGHT...LEADING TO THE POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THOSE LOCATIONS AT GREATEST RISK WILL BE THE ONES THAT SEE MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE SAME AREA. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES FROM FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING...LEADING TO THE CONTINUED POSSIBILITY OF SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN ANY REPORTS OF EXCESSIVE RAIN OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE. DJ/KAS
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
312 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0620 PM FUNNEL CLOUD FABER 36.88N 84.13W
07/01/2015 WHITLEY KY BROADCAST MEDIA
FACEBOOK VIDEO OF FUNNEL CLOUD BUT NO EVIDENCE OF IT
TOUCHING DOWN.
&&
KASSPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
549 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015
KYZ044-051-022245-
BATH-FLEMING-
549 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2015
...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BATH...FLEMING...
AT 548 PM EDT...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS OVER COWAN...OR 9
MILES WEST OF FLEMINGSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FLEMINGSBURG...POPLAR PLAINS...PLUMMERS LANDING...GRANGE CITY...
CRAINTOWN...NEPTON...ELIZAVILLE...GODDARD...PECKS RIDGE...BETHEL...
RINGOS MILLS...SHARKEY...MUSES MILLS...WYOMING...ODESSA...
WALLINGFORD...SHERBURNE...TILTON...PEBBLE AND HILLSBORO.
HEAVY...TO AT TIMES TORRENTIAL...RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH
THESE STORMS...WHICH WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS.
LOCALIZED FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE
THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3846 8387 3849 8376 3847 8358 3843 8358
3840 8348 3838 8345 3835 8350 3827 8351
3821 8357 3820 8362 3818 8361 3825 8390
3830 8385 3834 8384 3835 8390 3845 8399
3849 8393
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 286DEG 16KT 3841 8390
GREIFThe Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 77 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:15 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Water was observed flowing across Grassy Lick Road. The flood water inundated nearby driveways and surrounded cars. Flood waters were also seen flowing across Whitaker Road near the Montgomery county dispatch office.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, July 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 583526.