Thunderstorm Wind, Dale
- When
- July 2, 11:00 AM CST
- Where
- Dale County, 0.59 mi NW of Arguta
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- 911 Call Center
- Coordinates
- 31.576, -85.597
A tree was blown down across County Road 19.
Scattered afternoon thunderstorms developed in an environment favorable for severe wet microbursts with high Wet Microburst Severity Index values.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TAE wrote it up.
Scattered afternoon thunderstorms developed in an environment favorable for severe wet microbursts with high Wet Microburst Severity Index values.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 2, 8:41 AM CST, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 1041 AM EDT THU JUL 2 2015 .NEAR TERM [THROUGH TODAY]... THIS MORNING'S ANALYSIS STILL SHOWS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN STATES WITH BROAD TROUGHING OVER THE EAST. THE 1000-700 MB FLOW IS WESTERLY TODAY ON THE 12Z KTAE SOUNDING WITH A DECENT AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AND MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR OR SLIGHTLY GREATER THAN 6 C/KM. VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A GOOD BIT OF SUNSHINE ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH INCREASING CLOUDINESS OFF TO THE WEST. OVERALL...THE CAM GUIDANCE FORECASTS A FAIRLY ACTIVE AFTERNOON WITH CONVECTION DEVELOPING EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE WEST AND SPREADING EASTWARD ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. SEVERAL OF THE MEMBERS HAVE EXPLICIT WIND GUSTS IN THE 40-50 KNOT RANGE...AND A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. && .PREV DISCUSSION [645 AM EDT]... .SHORT TERM [TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY]... A RATHER BROAD, WEAK 500 MB TROUGH WILL CONTINUE OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN CONUS, WITH THE BASE OF THIS TROUGH (MARKED BY THE 588 DM LINE) REMAINING OVER CENTRAL AL AND GA. AT THE SURFACE, THE WESTERN EXTENT OF THE BERMUDA RIDGE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL FL AND THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THE WEAK UPPER LEVEL +PV ANOMALY MOVING THROUGH OUR FORECAST AREA TODAY WILL WEAKEN AND BE EAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT, WITH ENOUGH MID-UPPER LAYER DRYING ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY FOR LOWER POPS. THE POP WILL BE IN THE 30-40 PERCENT RANGE FRIDAY AFTERNOON, THEN AROUND 30 PERCENT FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY. THESE VALUES ARE A LITTLE BELOW CLIMO, BUT SLIGHTLY ABOVE MOS CONSENSUS. WITH THE REDUCED CLOUD COVER COMES WARMER DAYTIME TEMPERATURES, AND WE EXPECT HIGHS AWAY FROM THE BEACHES IN THE MID 90S. DESPITE THE LOWER POPS, THE FORECAST THERMODYNAMIC PROFILE WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF ISOLATED PULSE SEVERE STORMS EACH AFTERNOON. IN FACT, THE DRIER AIR ALOFT, STEEPER-THAN-AVERAGE MID LAYER LAPSE RATES, AND RATHER HIGH SURFACE THETA-E VALUES, WOULD SUGGEST AN INCREASED RISK OF WET MICROBURSTS- THOUGH ISOLATED. .LONG TERM [SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY]... THE GFS AND ECMWF SOLUTIONS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT THAN 24 HOURS AGO. A WEAK MID-UPPER TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL TRANSLATE SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO NEXT WEEK, LEAVING OUR FORECAST AREA PRIMARILY UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE BUILDING EASTWARD FROM TX. DESPITE THIS RIDGING, THE MOS CONSENSUS POPS ARE STILL VERY CLOSE TO CLIMATOLOGY (AROUND 40 PERCENT EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF OUR FORECAST AREA), PROBABLY DUE TO THE LACK OF DRYING ALOFT. IT APPEARS THE 1000-700 MB MEAN WINDS WILL EITHER BE WEAK OR HAVE AN OFFSHORE COMPONENT, WHICH WOULD INDICATE A LATER START TO SEABREEZE-GENERATED CONVECTION (AS OPPOSED TO STARTING IN THE MORNING). THIS WOULD ALLOW FOR WARM HIGH TEMPERATURES, GENERALLY IN THE MID 90S. .AVIATION... [THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY]... THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE WIDESPREAD THIS AFTERNOON. INCLUDED TEMPO GROUPS FOR GUSTY WINDS AND MVFR VISIBILITIES IN STORMS BETWEEN 18 AND 22Z AT DHN, ABY, VLD AND TLH. RAIN CHANCES ARE LOWER AT ECP SO MENTIONED VCTS. .MARINE... LIGHT TO MODERATE WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING AS THE COASTAL WATERS REMAIN NORTH OF THE BERMUDA RIDGE. WINDS WILL BE AT THEIR STRONGEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. LIGHTER WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND. .FIRE WEATHER... THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. .HYDROLOGY... RIVER STAGES REMAINED BELOW THEIR LOCAL ACTION LEVELS, AND THIS IS LIKELY TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS WE DO NOT EXPECT ORGANIZED HEAVY RAIN. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TALLAHASSEE 90 73 93 73 94 / 70 10 30 10 30 PANAMA CITY 86 78 88 78 89 / 50 10 10 10 30 DOTHAN 90 73 93 74 93 / 70 10 20 10 30 ALBANY 90 73 92 73 93 / 70 20 40 20 30 VALDOSTA 91 72 93 73 95 / 70 20 40 10 30 CROSS CITY 92 73 93 72 94 / 40 10 20 10 30 APALACHICOLA 90 77 91 76 91 / 40 10 10 20 30 && .TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GA...NONE. AL...NONE. GM...NONE. && NEAR TERM...DVD SHORT TERM...FOURNIER LONG TERM...FOURNIER AVIATION...WESTON MARINE...FOURNIER FIRE WEATHER...WESTON HYDROLOGY...FOURNIER
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1219 PM EDT THU JUL 02 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1209 PM MARINE TSTM WIND APALACHICOLA AIRPORT 29.72N 85.03W
07/02/2015 M51 MPH FRANKLIN FL ASOS
&&
DVDThe Ft Rucker radar (KEOX), 18 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 16:57 UTC.
13 thunderstorm wind, 1 hail, 1 lightning. Local standard time, as filed.
A tree was blown down across County Road 19.
Several trees were blown down between Samson and Coffee Springs. Pea size hail was also reported.
A tree was blown down across Church Street.
A couple of trees were blown down in Cottonwood.
A couple of trees were blown down in Ashford.
A large tree was uprooted and fell onto Judge Logue Road, blocking the roadway. A photo of the tree was tweeted by the Dothan Fire Department.
Several trees and power lines were blown down in Wicksburg with reports of pea to marble size hail. Damage was estimated.
A tree was blown down in the Pinckard area.
Quarter size hail was reported near Wallace College.
Trees were blown down in the city of Elba.
Trees were blown down on County Road 110 between Frisco and Roeton.
A tree was blown down in Level Plains.
There were an estimated 15 to 20 reports of trees blown down in Dale county, especially across northern and central sections of the county. One concentrated area was between Ozark and Ariton.
A tree was blown down west of Fort Gaines near the Henry/Clay county border.
Lightning struck a transformer near the 1100 block of Valley Forge Road, igniting the transformer on fire. Damage was estimated.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Alabama in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Alabama, July 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 594822, 594823, 594824, 594825, 594826, 594827, 594837, 594828, 594829, 594830, 594831, 594832, 594833, 594835, 594836.