A soaking rain brought an average of just under 2 inches to southern Indiana during the 13th and 14th of March. Local streams and rivers, already quite high due to previous heavy rains and snow melt went into flood over the subsequent several days.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LMK wrote it up.
A soaking rain brought an average of just under 2 inches to southern Indiana during the 13th and 14th of March. Local streams and rivers, already quite high due to previous heavy rains and snow melt went into flood over the subsequent several days.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 14, 11:37 PM EST, 2 hours 3 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 1237 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2015 ...Updated Aviation Discussion... ...Forecast Update... Issued at 930 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2015 Rain has been well suppressed to our south and skies really starting to clear out. Will update to clean up precip wording across south central Kentucky. Still some potential for fog formation later tonight given clear skies, light winds, and very moist ground, so will leave the mention in where we have it. .SHORT TERM (Now through Sunday Night)... Issued at 300 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2015 A cold front has made its way south of the Ohio River and will continue to work through the area over the next couple of hours. Meanwhile, a narrow band of light rain will spread across central and southern Kentucky over the next few hours, dissipating in coverage as it does. A tenth of an inch or less is expected south of the Bluegrass Parkway through the late afternoon and evening. Will keep the Areal Flood Warning going for Washington County in southern Indiana for a few more hours, otherwise things are quieting down on the hydro front (excluding continued river flooding). The rest of the short term will be dry tonight through Monday morning as surface high pressure and upper ridging have control. Lows tonight will dip into the upper 30s and low 40s in most spots. Highs on Sunday under full sun and 925 mb temps up to 8 to 10 C will reach into the low and mid 60s. Upper 30s and low 40s look good for Sunday night lows, with the milder temps across our north as some upper clouds and light winds pick up toward dawn. There is some concern that fog could develop tonight due to the residual low level moisture from recent heavy rain, calming winds, and clearing skies. However, 925 mb winds look to stay up around 20 knots through most of the night and dew points will be running away from temps. So, will only mention patchy fog as a possibility. .LONG TERM (Monday through Saturday)... Issued at 328 PM EDT Sat Mar 14 2015 Upper level ridging will be in place at the beginning of the forecast period. The ridge will slide southward toward the Gulf of Mexico as a stronger trough moves out of Canada into New England. As this stronger trough moves into New England, it will send a cold front through the region during the day on Tuesday. Not a lot of moisture for this front to really work with as high pressure will be advancing in from the north, and we'll have a separate high to the south blocking the Gulf moisture. Most likely we'll just see an increase in mid-high level cloud cover as the front moves through. Another area of high pressure will drop into the region for Wednesday resulting dry conditions. It appears that the weather will take a downturn by Thursday as the upper level flow flattens out and a mid-level wave moves out of the western US into the Ohio Valley. Another upper level system within the northern stream will quickly follow and push into the region on Friday providing more wet weather for the region. The global models continue to show some spread in their solutions for this time period. The GFS solutions have been more suppressed down to the south, while the Euro runs have been more northward. Our previous forecast leaned more toward the Euro and today's 12Z run of the Euro continues to support the ongoing forecast. Given the previous forecast and the current model trends, feel that the current forecast is good shape here and the blended model guidance results in a very similar forecast. Will be keeping good chance PoPs in the forecast for Thursday and Friday as these successive systems move through. Boundary layer temps look to remain warm enough for plain rain, so no p-type issues are expected. Drier conditions are expected by Saturday as some mid-level ridging builds into the area. However, another southern stream system will eject out of the southwest by the late weekend. This system may end up phasing with a northern stream system resulting in a large trough over the eastern US by the 23rd. This has been well advertised in some of the long range guidance over the last week or so. As for temperatures, generally stuck close to the multi-model consensus blend. The warmest temperatures of the week will be early in the period highs in the upper 50s to the lower-mid 60s on Tuesday. Cooler weather is likely as we head into Wednesday through Friday with highs in the lower 50s and overnight lows in the mid 30s. With dry and perhaps a bit more sun, we could see another run at the upper 50s to the lower 60s by Saturday. && .AVIATION (06Z TAF Update)... Issued at 1230 AM EDT Sun Mar 15 2015 Surface high pressure is currently building into the Ohio Valley early this morning while a broken cirrus deck slides overhead. Light/variable winds coupled with residual ground moisture favors fog formation at the TAF sites, particularly BWG/LEX. However a steady influx of drier air at the surface along with a stout 15 to 20 kt wind just off the surface should preclude prolonged aviation impacts. Will maintain brief periods of MVFR visibilities early this morning, otherwise plan on VFR conditions for today through tonight. && .LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. IN...NONE. && Update.........RAS Short Term.....BJS Long Term......MJ Aviation.......ZBT
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY 317 PM EDT SAT MAR 14 2015 INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067- 070>078-081-082-151930- ORANGE IN-WASHINGTON IN-SCOTT IN-JEFFERSON IN-DUBOIS IN-CRAWFORD IN- PERRY IN-HARRISON IN-FLOYD IN-CLARK IN-HANCOCK KY-BRECKINRIDGE KY- MEADE KY-OHIO KY-GRAYSON KY-HARDIN KY-BULLITT KY-JEFFERSON KY- OLDHAM KY-TRIMBLE KY-HENRY KY-SHELBY KY-FRANKLIN KY-SCOTT KY- HARRISON KY-SPENCER KY-ANDERSON KY-WOODFORD KY-FAYETTE KY-BOURBON KY- NICHOLAS KY-NELSON KY-WASHINGTON KY-MERCER KY-JESSAMINE KY-CLARK KY- LARUE KY-MARION KY-BOYLE KY-GARRARD KY-MADISON KY-BUTLER KY- EDMONSON KY-HART KY-GREEN KY-TAYLOR KY-CASEY KY-LINCOLN KY-LOGAN KY- WARREN KY-SIMPSON KY-ALLEN KY-BARREN KY-MONROE KY-METCALFE KY- ADAIR KY-RUSSELL KY-CUMBERLAND KY-CLINTON KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PAOLI...SALEM...SCOTTSBURG...MADISON... JASPER...MARENGO...TELL CITY...CORYDON...NEW ALBANY... JEFFERSONVILLE...HAWESVILLE...HARDINSBURG...BRANDENBURG... BEAVER DAM...LEITCHFIELD...ELIZABETHTOWN...FORT KNOX... MOUNT WASHINGTON...SHEPHERDSVILLE...LOUISVILLE...LA GRANGE... BEDFORD...NEW CASTLE...SHELBYVILLE...FRANKFORT...GEORGETOWN... CYNTHIANA...TAYLORSVILLE...LAWRENCEBURG...VERSAILLES...LEXINGTON... PARIS...CARLISLE...BARDSTOWN...SPRINGFIELD...HARRODSBURG... NICHOLASVILLE...WINCHESTER...HODGENVILLE...LEBANON...DANVILLE... LANCASTER...RICHMOND...MORGANTOWN...BROWNSVILLE...MUNFORDVILLE... GREENSBURG...CAMPBELLSVILLE...LIBERTY...STANFORD...RUSSELLVILLE... BOWLING GREEN...FRANKLIN...SCOTTSVILLE...GLASGOW...TOMPKINSVILLE... EDMONTON...COLUMBIA...JAMESTOWN...BURKESVILLE...ALBANY 317 PM EDT SAT MAR 14 2015 /217 PM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. RIVERS...STREAMS...AND CREEKS WILL REMAIN HIGH DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED. && MORE INFORMATION...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND...AT WEATHER.GOV/LOUISVILLE. BJS/MJ
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rainfall over the previous 2 weeks brought the Ohio River at Clifty Creek into minor flood. The river crested at 453.1 feet on the morning of March 16th.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Indiana in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, March 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 564871.