Ice Storm in Georgia, February 16 to 17, 2015

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
106 PM EST MON FEB 16 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A MOIST LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH WIDESPREAD WINTRY PRECIPITATION
WILL TRACK ACROSS THE CAROLINAS TONIGHT AND MOVE OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST TUESDAY MORNING.  IN ITS WAKE...AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT
WILL SWEEP THROUGH FROM THE NORTH WEDNESDAY. VERY COLD HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD IN AND PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY...BEFORE A
MOIST SURFACE BOUNDARY MOVES INTO THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 1255 PM EST...THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING FROM THE SRN
PLAINS TO THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY TODAY WILL DAMPEN AS IT MOVES
EASTWARD ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS LATER TONIGHT. THE ASSOCIATED SFC
LOW CENTER MOVING ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH SHOULD TRACK FROM THE
CENTRAL AL/GA BORDER AT 00Z THIS EVENING...TO NW OF AUGUSTA GA BY
06Z...TO OFF THE OUTER BANKS OF NC BY 12Z TUE. AHEAD OF THIS
LOW...PRECIPITATION IS RAPIDLY FILLING IN FROM THE WEST THIS
AFTN...AND THERMAL PROFILES ARE QUICKLY WET BULBING DOWN TO SUPPORT
MAINLY SNOW/SLEET SHORTLY AFTER ONSET. THE DEEPER FORCING WILL REACH
THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE W STEADILY THROUGH THE LATE AFTN
HOURS...MAXIMIZING 00Z TO 03Z AS THE BEST SRLY JET TRAVERSES THE
REGION. THE LATEST RAP RUN HAS REGAINED IT/S THERMAL SANITY
SOMEWHAT...WITH SUBFREEZING SFC TEMPS NOW LARGELY LOCKED IN ALONG
AND NW OF INTERSTATE 85 UNTIL MID TO LATE EVENING. THE MAIN
EXCEPTION WILL BE IN WRN/SRN UPSTATE SECTIONS AS WELL AS NE GA
OUTSIDE OF THE MTNS...WHERE THE SREF MEAN/GEFS ALSO SUPPORT EARLIER
WARMING OF SFC TEMPS. THIS WILL MAKE FOR A VERY SHARP ICE ACCUM
GRADIENT IN THE SRN TIER...BUT THE CURRENT HAZARD SUITE SEEMS TO
HAVE THIS FAIRLY WELL PLACED.

LOCATIONS NW OF INTERSTATE 40 LOOK TO BE MORE SOLIDLY SNOW
THROUGHOUT THE VAST MAJORITY OF THE EVENT...WITH SOME SLEET ONLY
MIXING IN AT TIMES EARLY AND LATE...AND ANY FZRA WINDOW FAIRLY
BRIEF. NRN BLUE RIDGE AREA SNOW ACCUMS HAVE BEEN BOOSTED SLIGHTLY.
EXPECT SOME DRY SLOTTING TO ARRIVE AT MID LEVELS CIRCA 06Z TO
09Z...WITH POPS TRENDING DOWN WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT. NW FLOW
MOISTURE WILL DIMISH ALONG THE SPINE OF THE SRN APPALACHIANS TUE
MORNING...WITH LOW LEVEL FLOW BACKING AHEAD OF THE FALLING HEIGHTS
TO THE W AS A DEEP CENTRAL CONUS TROUGH TRANSITIONS EWD. MELTING IS
LIKELY IN THE SRN MTNS AND ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS/PIEDMONT TUE
AFTN...TEMPS REBOUNDING ABOVE FREEZING IN WEAK WESTERLY DOWNSLOPE
FLOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 300 AM MONDAY...THE 00Z MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT ON
THE BACK EDGE OF THE PRECIP SHIELD PRETTY MUCH COMPLETELY EXITED OFF
TO THE EAST BY 12Z TUESDAY...EXCEPT FOR SOME LINGER NW FLOW CHCS FOR
TUESDAY MORNING. OTHERWISE...TUESDAY LOOKS LIKE A COLD DAY...WITH
PERSISTENT 850 MB CAA ALL DAY. TEMPS DO REBOUND FROM SUN-MON
READINGS...BUT STILL 10-15 DEG BELOW NORMAL (20S TO UPR 30S MTNS AND
MAINLY LWR-MID 40S PIEDMONT).

TUESDAY NIGHT THRU WEDNESDAY NIGHT...ANOTHER PIECE OF THE POLAR
VORTEX WILL DIG INTO THE GREAT LAKES...AND BRING TWO SHOTS OF
REINFORCING ARCTIC AIR. THE FIRST WILL BE WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH
STRONG CAA AND SOME LLVL MOISTURE FOR NW FLOW SNOW SHWR ACTIVITY.
THE SECOND (STRONGER) FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE
MAIN CONCERN WITH THE FIRST FRONT WILL BE SNOW ALONG THE TN BORDER.
GUIDANCE HAS TRENDED A LITTLE WETTER...BUT LIKE THE LAST FEW FRONTS
OF THIS NATURE...THE TIME INTERVAL IS RATHER SHORT...AND GENERALLY
SUB-ADV ACCUMS ARE EXPECTED. I DID BUMP UP POP FOR WEDNESDAY IN THE
NC MTNS. THE OP MODELS AGREE ON STEEP LLVL LAPSE RATES ACRS THE
PIEDMONT WITH AT LEAST A SLGT CHC OF A FEW SHWRS BREAKING
CONTAINMENT FROM THE TN LINE WED AFTN. I INTRODUCED A SLGT CHC OF
SNOW SHWRS ACRS THE NC PIEDMONT. NO ACCUMS EXPECTED...BUT AN ISOLD
DUSTING LOOKS POSSIBLE. TEMPS WEDNESDAY WILL BE 2-3 CATEGORIES
COLDER THAN TUESDAY. WITH THE SECOND FRONT WEDNESDAY NIGHT...THE
BIGGER CONCERN WILL BE WIND CHILLS. THE 850 MB TEMPS PLUMMET TO -17
TO -24C ACRS MOST OF THE CWFA. WITH STILL DECENT WINDS OF 30-40 KTS
AT 850 MB AND CAA...SHUD SEE GUSTY WINDS LINGERING OVERNIGHT IN THE
MTNS AND A LIGHT WIND ACRS THE PIEDMONT. THIS COUPLED WITH LIKELY
RECORD LOW TEMPS THURSDAY MORNING WILL RESULT IN SOLID WIND CHILL
ADV CRITERIA ACRS NEARLY THE ENTIRE CWFA...AND WIND CHILL WARNING
ACRS ALL THE NC MTNS ABOVE 3500 FT. WILL HIGHLIGHT DANGEROUS WIND
CHILLS IN THE HWO. FOR THE DAILY RECORD LOWS FOR THURSDAY SEE
CLIMATE SECTION BELOW.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 255 AM MONDAY...ONLY A FEW CHANGES WERE MADE THE PREVIOUS FCST
AS GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EVOLUTION OF THE
SRN STREAM SFC BNDRY AND DEGREE/PLACEMENT OF SFC CYCLOGENESIS. THERE
SHOULD BE A GOOD AMOUNT OF GOM MOISTURE FLUX AFT THU BUT AGAIN...AN
AGREEABLE AREA OF LIKELY PRECIP REMAINS TO BE WORKED OUT.

WITH A VERY COLD START TO THE DAY THU AND A CA HIGH CENTER WORKING
ACROSS TN...MAX TEMPS WILL RECOVER ONLY NOMINALLY EVEN WITH VERY
GOOD INSOL. RECORD LOW MAXES ARE STILL FCST/D BY A FEW DEGREES. THU
NIGHT AND FRI WILL REMAIN QUITE COLD AS THE SFC HIGH SHIFTS EAST
ACROSS SRN VA AND ENABLES GOOD RAD COOLING AND A SLOWLY VEERING FLOW.
THUS...MINS AND MAXES WILL AGAIN APPROACH AND POSSIBLY BREAK RECORD
LEVELS. SEE THE CLIMATE SECTION OF THIS AFD FOR THE ACTUAL RECORD
VALUES. VERY COLD WIND CHILLS WILL DEVELOP THU NIGHT ACROSS THE
FCST AREA...WITH THE NC MTNS LIKELY REACHING WARNING/ADV CRITERIA
THROUGH DAYBREAK.

THE PATTERN REMAINS ACTIVE FRI THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HOWEVER...MORE
UNCERTAINTY ARISES...WITH THE OP MODELS CONTINUING TO SHOW DISPARATE
HANDLINGS WRT THE SRN BNDRY AND INTERACTIONS WITH ULVL S/W ENERGY.
THE LATEST TREND HAS BEEN FOR A SLOWER ADVANCEMENT EAST WITH
MEASURABLE PRECIP FRI AS A STUBBORN CA HIGH PERSISTS OVER THE
CAROLINAS. THE ECMWF HAS MORE RIDGING ALOFT AND THIS KEEPS IT/S SFC
BNDRY MORE NORTH AND WEST THAN THE GFS THROUGH THE PERIOD. SO...POPS
WERE ADJ DOWN A LITTLE ACCOUNT FOR HIGHER UNCERTAINTY MAINLY ACROSS
THE SRN ZONES. PRECIP SHOULD BE MAINLY DIURNAL RAIN/SNOW...WITH SOME
LOW SNOW ACCUMS POSSIBLE OUTSIDE THE MTNS FRI NIGHT AND AGAIN
NON/MTN -SNSH POSSIBLE SAT NIGHT OVER THE NRN ZONES. MAX TEMPS
SHOULD WARM 8-10 DEGREES BOTH SAT AND SUN...YET STILL A COUPLE
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL SUN AFTERNOON.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT...RADAR SHOWS THE LIGHT VIRGA/PRECIP SHIELD JUST WEST OF
KGSP AT ISSUANCE TIME...WITH A LIGHT SN/PL ONSET LIKELY BY 21Z AT
KCLT. EXPECT MVFR CIGS TO QUICKLY SET UP...WITH A STEADY TRANSITION
TO FZRA FOR THE BULK OF THE PRECIP EVENT TONIGHT. ICE ACCUMULATIONS
OF ONE QUARTER TO ONE THIRD INCH TONIGHT WILL POSE MAJOR DEICING
ISSUES FOR THE AIRFIELD WITH MIN TEMPS BELOW FREEZING UNTIL MID
MORNING TUE. EXPECT IFR TO LIFR CIGS DURING THE HEAVIEST
PRECIP...WITH ONLY SLOW RECOVERY THROUGH TUE MORNING. ESE WINDS
EARLY WILL QUICKLY TOGGLE NE AS THE PRECIPITATION GETS
STARTED...WITH MORE LIGHT N TO NW FLOW ON TUE AS CIGS SLOWLY LIFT
AND SCATTER.

ELSEWHERE...THE LEADING EDGE OF THE PRECIP SHIELD WAS FROM KAVL TO
KGSP TO KAND AT ISSUANCE TIME...WITH MAINLY SNOW/SLEET AT ONSET.
KAND WILL TRANSITION TO RAIN THE QUICKEST THIS EVENING...WHILE
KGSP/KGMU GET MORE LOCKED IN WITH FZRA FOR MUCH OF THE LATE
DAY/EVENING HOURS. KAVL WILL SEE MORE SNOW/SLEET FOR A LONGER
PERIOD...BEFORE THE FZRA WINDOW OPENS THERE LATE EVENING. KHKY WILL
ALSO SEE A MUCH LONGER SNOW/SLEET WINDOW...WITH LARGER ACCUMS
POSSIBLE THAN AT THE OTHER SITES...AND SLIGHTLY LESS FZRA. ALL
TOLD...MOST OF THE SITES WILL HAVE SIGNIFICANT DEICING
ISSUES...ASIDE FROM POSSIBLY KAND WHERE RAIN IS MORE LIKELY. EXPECT
CIGS TO TRANSITION DOWN QUICKLY THROUGH MVFR LATE TODAY...WITH IFR
TO LIFR LIKELY DURING THE PERIOD OF HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION THIS
EVENING/OVERNIGHT. SLOW LIFTING AND SCATTERING IS EXPECTED THROUGH
TUE MORNING.

OUTLOOK...A WEAK WAVE WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON WED...BUT
CONDITIONS LOOK TO BE MAINLY VFR. VERY COLD WEATHER WILL RETURN
THROUGH LATE WEEK.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            13-19Z        19-01Z        01-07Z        07-12Z
KCLT       HIGH  95%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       MED   74%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       MED   77%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION_TABLES

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY...FEBRUARY 19TH...

GSP   9 1958
CLT   8 1958
AVL   7 1958

RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY...FEBRUARY 19TH...

GSP  30 1900
CLT  34 1958
AVL  25 1958

RECORD MINIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY...FEBRUARY 20TH...

GSP  13 1903
CLT  13 1896
AVL  10 1979

RECORD LOW MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES FOR FRIDAY...FEBRUARY 20TH...

GSP  34 1947
CLT  32 1947
AVL  26 1979

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR GAZ010-017.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR GAZ018.
NC...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR NCZ033-035>037-
     048>053-056>059-062>065-068>072-082-501>510.
SC...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR SCZ001>003-
     005>009.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR SCZ004-010-
     012>014.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...HG
SHORT TERM...ARK
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...HG
CLIMATE...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
503 AM EST MON FEB 16 2015

GAZ010-017-NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-501-503-505-507-509-
SCZ001>003-171015-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-
GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-POLK MOUNTAINS-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
503 AM EST MON FEB 16 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...WINTRY MIX LIKELY. PLEASE SEE CAEWSWGSP FOR DETAILS.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR...RESULTING IN BITTERLY COLD WIND
CHILLS.
..FRIDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-508-510-SCZ005>009-171015-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-
EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-EASTERN POLK-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-
503 AM EST MON FEB 16 2015

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH
CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. PLEASE SEE CAEWSWGSP FOR
DETAILS.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR...RESULTING IN BITTERLY COLD WIND
CHILLS.
..FRIDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ026-028-029-SCZ011-019-171015-
FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ABBEVILLE-GREENWOOD-
503 AM EST MON FEB 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR...RESULTING IN BITTERLY COLD WIND
CHILLS.
..FRIDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ018-SCZ004-010-012>014-171015-
STEPHENS-GREATER OCONEE-ANDERSON-LAURENS-UNION-CHESTER-
503 AM EST MON FEB 16 2015

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND UPSTATE
SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. PLEASE SEE CAEWSWGSP FOR
DETAILS.
..WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..THURSDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY. THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES OF THE
SEASON ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR...RESULTING IN BITTERLY COLD WIND
CHILLS.
..FRIDAY...COLD WAVE LIKELY.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

ARK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
858 AM EST MON FEB 16 2015

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033-035>037-048>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-170000-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-AVERY-ALEXANDER-
IREDELL-DAVIE-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-
CATAWBA-ROWAN-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-
CABARRUS-UNION-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-
BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-
GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-
GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAYTON...PINE MOUNTAIN...
MOUNTAIN CITY...CORNELIA...BALDWIN...DEMOREST...CLARKESVILLE...
TOCCOA...ROYSTON...LAVONIA...FRANKLIN SPRINGS...CANON...
HARTWELL...REED CREEK...ELBERTON...BANNER ELK...NEWLAND...
ELK PARK...CROSSNORE...SUGAR MOUNTAIN...BETHLEHEM...
TAYLORSVILLE...STONY POINT...STATESVILLE...MOORESVILLE...
MOCKSVILLE...MARS HILL...MARSHALL...HOT SPRINGS...BURNSVILLE...
SPRUCE PINE...BRYSON CITY...WAYNESVILLE...CANTON...
LAKE JUNALUSKA...ASHEVILLE...HICKORY...NEWTON...ST. STEPHENS...
SALISBURY...ROBBINSVILLE...CULLOWHEE...SYLVA...FRANKLIN...
HIGHLANDS...CASHIERS...BREVARD...HENDERSONVILLE...FLETCHER...
EAST FLAT ROCK...ETOWAH...SHELBY...KINGS MOUNTAIN...LINCOLNTON...
GASTONIA...CHARLOTTE...CONCORD...KANNAPOLIS...MONROE...
INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...TRINITY...WALHALLA...WESTMINSTER...
NINE TIMES...PUMPKINTOWN...ROCKY BOTTOM...CAESARS HEAD...
CLEVELAND...GOWENSVILLE...MARIETTA...TIGERVILLE...SENECA...
EASLEY...CLEMSON...GREENVILLE...TAYLORS...GREER...MAULDIN...
SIMPSONVILLE...BEREA...SPARTANBURG...GAFFNEY...ROCK HILL...
ANDERSON...ABBEVILLE...CALHOUN FALLS...LAURENS...CLINTON...
UNION...CHESTER...GREAT FALLS...GREENWOOD
858 AM EST MON FEB 16 2015

...DEALING WITH ICE AND SNOW STORMS...

HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS OF ICE AND SNOW ON TREES AND POWER LINES
OFTEN CAUSE ELECTRICAL OUTAGES. WHEN A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR
SIGNIFICANT ICE OR SNOW ACCUMULATIONS IS ISSUED FOR YOUR
LOCATION...TAKE IMMEDIATE STEPS TO PREPARE FOR ANY POWER OUTAGES.
THESE STEPS MIGHT INCLUDE...LOCATING FLASHLIGHTS...LANTERNS...AND
PORTABLE RADIOS SO THAT THEY ARE EASILY ACCESSIBLE IF THE POWER GOES
OUT. CHECK THAT THEY HAVE FRESH BATTERIES. A BATTERY POWERED NOAA
WEATHER RADIO IS AN ESPECIALLY GOOD TOOL FOR KEEPING ABREAST OF THE
LATEST WINTER WEATHER DEVELOPMENTS. ALSO...BE VERY CAUTIOUS
ABOUT USING CANDLES AS A LIGHT SOURCE SINCE THEY CAN EASILY TIP OVER
AND START A FIRE.

IF YOU USE A GENERATOR DURING POWER OUTAGES...BE SURE TO NEVER
OPERATE IT INDOORS...INSIDE THE GARAGE...OR NEAR THE AIR INTAKE OF
YOUR HOME BECAUSE OF THE RISK OF CARBON MONOXIDE POISONING. ALSO...
NEVER USE A CHARCOAL GRILL OR A PORTABLE GAS CAMP STOVE INDOORS.
MAINTAIN VENTILATION WHEN USING A KEROSENE HEATER TO AVOID A BUILD
UP OF TOXIC FUMES. ALWAYS REFUEL HEATERS OUTSIDE AND KEEP ALL
HEATERS AT LEAST THREE FEET AWAY FROM FLAMMABLE OBJECTS. USE A
CARBON MONOXIDE DETECTOR...ESPECIALLY ONE WITH A BATTERY BACKUP.

CONSIDER STORING DRINKING WATER IF YOUR WATER SUPPLY IS PUMPED FROM
A WELL. STOCK UP ON CANNED FOOD...OR OTHER FOOD THAT DOES NOT NEED
TO BE COOKED. MAKE SURE YOU HAVE A NON ELECTRIC CAN OPENER AT YOUR
DISPOSAL. ENSURE THAT YOU HAVE ADEQUATE BABY FOOD...PRESCRIPTIONS...
AND ANY OTHER NECESSARY HOUSEHOLD ITEMS BEFORE THE STORM STRIKES.

DURING ICE STORMS...TREES AND LARGE BRANCHES CAN FALL ON YOUR
HOME...POSSIBLY CAUSING DAMAGE OR INJURIES. AVOID PARTS OF YOUR HOME
THAT COULD BE HIT BY FALLING TREES OR LIMBS...AND DO NOT STAND UNDER
TREES IF YOU VENTURE OUTSIDE. BEFORE THE NEXT STORM...CONSIDER
HAVING PROFESSIONALS REMOVE TREES OR BRANCHES THAT ARE TOO CLOSE TO
YOUR HOME.

REMEMBER TO CHECK ON FAMILY...FRIENDS...AND NEIGHBORS. THE
ELDERLY AND CHRONICALLY ILL ARE MOST AT RISK DURING POWER
OUTAGES.

GERAPETRITIS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
132 PM EST MON FEB 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 PM     SLEET            4 NW CLAYTON            34.91N  83.46W
02/16/2015  E0.0 INCH        RABUN              GA   CO-OP OBSERVER

            ELEVATION 2832 FEET. SLEET STARTED AT 1119 AM. MIXED AT
            TIMES WITH SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN. BURST OF SNOW AT 1240
            AM. ALL SURFACES HAVE A THIN COATING OF ICE. TEMP
            FALLING AS WAS 24 AROUND 1PM AND NOW 23 DEGREES.

&&

OUTLAW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
136 PM EST MON FEB 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 PM     SNOW             HENDERSONVILLE          35.32N  82.46W
02/16/2015  E0.0 INCH        HENDERSON          NC   PUBLIC

            SNOW JUST STARTED FALLING AT A MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY
            HEAVY RATE. SURFACES ARE TURNING WHITE RAPIDLY. 24
            DEGREES.

&&

OUTLAW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
140 PM EST MON FEB 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     SNOW             CHEROKEE                35.47N  83.31W
02/16/2015  E0.0 INCH        SWAIN              NC   PUBLIC

            FIRST LINE OF SNOW SHOWERS CROSSING AREA WITH SNOW
            ACCUMULATING RAPIDLY. A GOOD DUSTING ALREADY.

&&

OUTLAW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
148 PM EST MON FEB 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     SNOW             3 ESE GRANDFATHER MOUNT 36.09N  81.80W
02/16/2015  E0.5 INCH        AVERY              NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HEAVY SNOW FALLING AND ACCUMULATING RAPIDLY. AT LEAST A
            HALF INCH ON GROUND. 14 DEGREES. ELEVATION 4005 FEET.

&&

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
154 PM EST MON FEB 16 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0135 PM     SNOW             4 NNE UPTON             36.12N  81.67W
02/16/2015  E0.2 INCH        CALDWELL           NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            ALREADY A GOOD COATING OF SNOW ON HIGHWAY 321.

&&

OUTLAW