Funnel Cloud in Florida, September 14, 2015

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
148 PM EDT MON SEP 14 2015

.AVIATION...

CAN'T RULE OUT A FEW STORMS ALONG THE EAST COAST TAF SITES FOR THE
REST OF THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER MOST ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN
INLAND AND THEN ACROSS THE GULF COAST. BRIEF MVFR/IFR CONDS
POSSIBLE WITH NUMEROUS STORMS NEAR APF LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY ARRIVE ALONG THE EAST COAST LATER TONIGHT
AS MOISTURE INCREASES AHEAD OF FORMER GRACE MOVING THROUGH THE FL
STRAITS. ALTHOUGH GUIDANCE ISN'T AS AGGRESSIVE WITH RAIN TONIGHT
COMPARED TO PREVIOUS RUNS. FOR NOW WILL JUST START WITH VCSH,
ALTHOUGH MORE NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD OCCUR NEAR
DAWN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  78  89  79  88 /  40  50  40  40
FORT LAUDERDALE  79  88  80  88 /  50  50  40  40
MIAMI            79  89  80  88 /  60  50  40  40
NAPLES           76  93  75  89 /  30  50  50  60

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...21/KM
LONG TERM....21/KM
AVIATION...21/KM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
948 AM EDT MON SEP 14 2015

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
150200-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 NM TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM
TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-
COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM-
GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM
20 TO 60 NM-
948 AM EDT MON SEP 14 2015

...A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE GULF COAST...
...MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ATLANTIC BEACHES...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ON
ATLANTIC BEACHES.

THUNDERSTORMS: THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING
AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN
INTERIOR AND THE GULF COAST. THE PRIMARY RISKS WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES AND
GUSTY WINDS.

WATERSPOUTS: WATERSPOUTS ARE POSSIBLE ON SOUTH FLORIDA WATERS.

WIND: THE STRONGEST THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON COULD PRODUCE
WINDS UP TO 55 MPH...MAINLY OVER THE NORTHERN INTERIOR...LAKE
OKEECHOBEE AND THE GULF COAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS MAY INCREASE TOMORROW FOR THE ATLANTIC
BEACHES.

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...ESPECIALLY OVER
WESTERN AREAS DURING THE AFTERNOONS. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
WILL BE THE PRIMARY RISK WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...GUSTY
WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL CAUSING LOCALIZED STREET FLOODING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED, HOWEVER INDIVIDUAL
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT HIGH WIND TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN MIAMI.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.