A remnant frontal boundary lingering over South Florida led to scattered showers and thunderstorms during the day. The slow moving storms lingered across locations in Miami-Dade and Broward counties, producing locally heavy rainfall and roadway flooding.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.
A remnant frontal boundary lingering over South Florida led to scattered showers and thunderstorms during the day. The slow moving storms lingered across locations in Miami-Dade and Broward counties, producing locally heavy rainfall and roadway flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 7, 3:38 PM EST, 37 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 438 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2015 .DISCUSSION... THIS AFTERNOON-TONIGHT...BOTH SEAS BREEZES HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE EAST COAST THE MORE ACTIVE OF THE TWO. STORM MOTION IS A VERY LIGHT EAST-NORTHEAST AND THIS HAS MEANT THAT THE SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS THAT ARE DEVELOPING ARE LINGERING IN ONE SPOT OR DRIFTING BACK TO THE IMMEDIATE COAST. MESOSCALE MODELS SHOW ACTIVITY LINING UP ALONG REMNANT WEST-EAST SURFACE AXIS ACROSS REGION LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE BECOMING THE MORE DOMINANT CONVECTIVE DRIVER. BEST RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THIS EVENING LOOK TO BE ALONG THIS AXIS FROM COLLIER INTO INTERIOR BROWARD/MIAMI-DADE...WITH THE CAP AROUND 650MB LIMITING THE MAJORITY OF ACTIVITY TO SHOWERS. THERE HAVE BEEN A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES THIS AFTERNOON SO WILL KEEP ISOLATED STORMS IN THE FORECAST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. OVERNIGHT...BOUNDARY IS PROGGED TO LIFT A LITTLE NORTH BACK NEAR THE LAKE WITH INCREASING LOW LEVEL EAST-NORTHEAST FLOW LEADING TO SOME ADDITIONAL COASTAL CONVERGENCE ALONG IT ACROSS BROWARD/PALM BEACH COUNTIES. GIVEN LACK OF DEEP MOISTURE DON'T EXPECT A SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAIN EVENT AT THIS TIME...THOUGH SOME LOCATIONS MAY HAVE TO BE WATCHED FOR TRAINING IF THIS SCENARIO MATERIALIZES. THURSDAY...SURFACE BOUNDARY LINGERS ACROSS S FLORIDA WITH A LITTLE DEEPER MOISTURE POOLED ALONG IT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE LAKE AND PALM BEACH COUNTY. OVERALL WIND FLOW REMAINS LIGHT...BOTH IN THE LOW AND MID LEVELS...WITH LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW INCREASING AS WE COME UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE LARGE SURFACE HIGH MOVING OFF THE EASTERN SEABOARD. MID LEVEL TEMPS COOL TOWARDS SEASONAL NORM OF -6C...A QUICK PROXY FOR THE FACT THAT OVERALL INSTABILITY LOOKS SUFFICIENT ENOUGH FOR SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS. MORNING STARTS OUT WITH SOME CONVERGENCE SHOWERS ALONG PALM BEACH COAST...WITH MOST ACTIVITY OCCURRING IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE ONSET OF THE SEA BREEZES...WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LAKE REGION. FRIDAY-SATURDAY...LOW LEVEL BOUNDARY WASHES OUT ON FRIDAY BUT MOISTURE REMAINS WITH WEST-SOUTHWEST STEERING FLOW DEVELOPING. SOME WARMING ALOFT OCCURS DURING THE DAY AS BRIEF SHORTWAVE RIDGE TRANSITS REGION...BUT OVERALL INFLUENCE ON POPS LOOKS MINIMAL AS AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE INTERACTION STILL IS MAIN DRIVER OF ACTIVITY. HIGHER POPS LOOK TO FAVOR EAST COAST WITH WESTERLY STEERING FLOW. STRONGER WEST-SOUTHWEST FLOW ON SATURDAY AS STRONGER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH SOUTHEAST WITH SURFACE LOW DEVELOPING OFF THE NE FL/GA COAST. SURFACE FRONT COMES INTO THE STATE...BUT FOR THE MOMENT LOOKS TO REMAIN WELL NORTH OF S FLORIDA THROUGH THE DAY. SW WIND COMPONENT LOOKS STRONG ENOUGH TO HOLD OFF EACH COAST SEA BREEZE DEVELOPMENT SO EXPECT MOST ACTIVITY TO DEVELOP THEN MOVE QUICKLY OFF TO THE NE WITH SCATTERED COVERAGE STILL FAVORING PALM BEACH AND INTO BROWARD. LONG TERM...UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEEPEN WITH UPPER LOW DEVELOPING OVER NE FL/GA DRIVING DEEPENING SFC LOW OFF COAST. SURFACE LOW LIFTS UP EAST COAST WITH TROUGH LATE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODELS IN BETTER AGREEMENT IN CRANKING COLD FRONT THROUGH LATE SUNDAY...USHERING IN A SOMEWHAT COOLER AND DEFINITELY DRIER AIR MASS. THE DEGREE AND TIMING WILL STILL WAIT TO BE RESOLVED WITH FUTURE MODEL RUNS. && .MARINE...REMNANT BOUNDARY WILL KEEP WEAK PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS S FL AND ADJACENT WATERS WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE FLOW THROUGH THIS EVENING BECOMING MORE DEFINITIVELY EAST-SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT. BOTH GULF AND EAST COAST SEA BREEZES DEVELOP NEXT FEW AFTERNOONS...BRINGING WINDS AROUND TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST ALONG THE GULF COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS BECOME SOUTH-SOUTHWEST ON SATURDAY AHEAD OF NEXT FRONT...VEERING NORTHWEST INTO SUNDAY AND MONDAY THOUGH TIMING OF FRONT STILL VARIABLE AT THIS POINT. CURRENT TRENDS AND MODELS SUGGEST THE ATLANTIC NE SWELL IS PEAKING OR HAS PEAKED THIS AFTERNOON. SO WILL SEE SEAS SLOWLY SUBSIDING FROM 4-6FT OFF THE PALM BEACH COAST TO 3-4FT BY FRIDAY AND 2FT OR LESS INTO SUNDAY. GULF WATERS 2FT OR LESS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... WEST PALM BEACH 73 87 75 86 / 40 50 40 50 FORT LAUDERDALE 75 88 77 88 / 40 30 30 50 MIAMI 75 88 77 89 / 40 30 30 50 NAPLES 73 87 74 88 / 30 40 20 30 && .MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR FLZ168-172. AM...NONE. GM...NONE. && 88/ALM
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 510 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2015 AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676- 080300- LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY- COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 NM TO THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF THE BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY- INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER- INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-METRO MIAMI DADE- MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD- COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE, FL OUT 20 NM- GULF WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH, FL EXTENDING FROM 20 TO 60 NM- 510 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...REST OF TODAY THUNDERSTORMS: A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA. SLOW MOVING STORMS WILL PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WHICH MAY LEAD TO PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY ACROSS METRO BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES. A FEW CONVERGENT BANDS DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT MAY LEAD TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG PALM BEACH COUNTY. RIP CURRENTS: THERE IS A CONTINUING HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES OF PALM BEACH AND NORTHERN BROWARD COUNTIES. LOCAL BEACH PATROL HAVE REPORTED NUMEROUS RIP CURRENTS NEAR PIERS AND JETTIES ALONG WITH A STRONG LONGSHORE CURRENT. THE RISK TAPERS DOWN TO A MODERATE RISK IN SOUTHERN BROWARD AND A SLIGHT RISK ALONG MIAMI-DADE BEACHES. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL SLOWLY DECREASE THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AND UPCOMING WEEKEND AS SEAS GRADUALLY SUBSIDE. THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK AND INTO UPCOMING WEEKEND. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT ANY LOCAL FLOODING IN THEIR AREA. FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
456 PM EDT WED OCT 07 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0446 PM WATER SPOUT 6 ESE LAUDERDALE BY THE 26.16N 80.02W
10/07/2015 AMZ651 FL TRAINED SPOTTER
SPOTTER REPORTED WATERSPOUT OFF THE COAST EAST OF THE
NE 27TH BEACH ENTRANCE IN FORT LAUNDERDALE. PICTURES
ALSO RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
&&
EVENT NUMBER MFL1500388
ALMThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
3 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy rain resulted in barely passable streets in the Falls area of Miami-Dade, especially along SW 97th Avenue and SW 136th Street near the Falls Shopping Center. Nearby rain gauges measured between 3 and 5 inches of rain in only a few hours.
Flooding along Sample Road between I-95 and Powerline Road with around 6 inches of water on the roadway.
Road flooding resulted in the closure of NE 48th Street between NE 3rd Avenue and North Dixie Highway in Pompano Beach. Nearby rain gauges measured between 3 and 4 inches of rain in a short time.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, October 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 598822, 598823, 598824.