A mean layer surface trough over the area fueled scattered afternoon and evening storms.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
A mean layer surface trough over the area fueled scattered afternoon and evening storms.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 16, 7:23 AM EST, 5 hours 12 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 823 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2015 .UPDATE...THERE IS A SFC RIDGE AXIS THAT REMAINS ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THIS MORNING WITH A SFC TROF AXIS THAT EXTENDS FROM SOUTH CAROLINA THROUGH CENTRAL GEORGIA INTO ALABAMA. THIS SCENERIO WILL FURNISH A CONTINUED W/SW FLOW WITH A PREVAILING WEST COAST SEA BREEZE WITH THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE PINNED PRETTY CLOSE TO THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON. AS A RESULT...CONVECTION WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE PENINSULA. CURRENTLY...THERE IS EARLY MORNING CONVECTION OVER TAYLOR...DIXIE AND LEVY COUNTIES. THIS SHALLOW CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE AS IT PUSHES EASTWARD THEN INTENSIFY AS ATMOSPHERE BECOMES MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH STRONG SFC HEATING DEVELOPS AS THE DAY PROGRESSES. THE 5H TEMPS ARE WARMER TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND -7C WITH ANY HAIL BEING RATHER SMALL WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. THE MAIN IMPACT WITH A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL BE A THREAT FOR DOWNBURST WINDS OF 40 TO 65 MPH. HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT KEEPING COVERAGE LOWER INTO THE EARLY AFTN...WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE NEAR THE I-10 CORRIDOR SOUTHWARD INTO NORTH CENTRAL FLORDIA LATE THIS AFTN. WILL CAP POPS AT HIGH END SCATTERED TO LOW END NUMEROUS THERE...WITH MID/HIGH END SCATTERED ELSEWHERE. && .AVIATION...VFR WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS TSTMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTN...WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF NE FL. THUS...WILL USE PROB30/TEMPO GROUPS FOR JAX/CRG/VQQ/SGJ/GNV FOR MVFR CONDITIONS IN TSTMS THIS AFTN. WILL USE VCTS FOR SSI WITH A BIT LESS COVERAGE EXPECTED. && .MARINE...OFFSHORE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH LIGHTER ONSHORE WINDS FOR THE WEEKEND AS A SURFACE TROUGH WEAKENS. FLOW WILL VEER TO THE SW FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. WIND SPEEDS WILL REMAIN UNDER CAUTION LEVELS. RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK THROUGH FRIDAY WITH GENERAL OFFSHORE FLOW. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 95 74 97 74 / 40 30 50 30 SSI 89 78 88 76 / 50 40 50 30 JAX 94 76 93 75 / 60 40 60 40 SGJ 90 75 88 74 / 50 30 50 30 GNV 91 75 91 72 / 50 30 60 40 OCF 90 75 91 73 / 50 30 60 30 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GA...NONE. AM...NONE. && CORDERO/COMBS
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 310 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2015 AMZ450-452-454-470-472-474-FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-124-125- GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-171000- COASTAL WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL OUT 20 NM- WATERS FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GA TO FERNANDINA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM FERNANDINA BEACH TO ST. AUGUSTINE FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM ST. AUGUSTINE TO FLAGLER BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM- HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-INLAND NASSAU-INLAND DUVAL-UNION- BRADFORD-CLAY-ST. JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION- COASTAL NASSAU-COASTAL DUVAL-COFFEE-JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING- WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY-INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN- ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN-COASTAL CAMDEN- 310 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2015 ...HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 104 TO 108 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON... ...STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON TODAY AND FRIDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA...SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. SOME OF THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE MAIN THREAT. HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER INLAND LOCATIONS WILL RISE INTO THE MID 90S...WITH MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX READINGS OF 104 TO 108. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THE STRONGER STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS...FREQUENT LIGHTNING LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER INLAND LOCATIONS WILL RISE INTO THE MID 90S FRIDAY...WITH MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX READINGS OF 104 TO 108. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO SELF-ACTIVATE IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX.
The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 34 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 17:35 UTC.
2 lightning. Local standard time, as filed.
A citizen was struck by lightning near 16000 Rebar Road. The time of the incident was based on lightning and radar data.
A citizen was struck by lightning near 1500 South Lane Avenue. The time of the incident was based on radar and lightning data.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2015Every state in 2015This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, July 2015
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 595831, 595832.